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Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in February 2023, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.5%


The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.5 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 6.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter was the largest contributor to the monthly all items increase, accounting for over 70 percent of the increase, with the indexes for food, recreation, and household furnishings and operations also contributing. The food index increased 0.4 percent over the month with the food at home index rising 0.3 percent. The energy index decreased 0.6 percent over the month as the natural gas and fuel oil indexes both declined.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.5 percent in February, after rising 0.4 percent in January. Categories which increased in February include shelter, recreation, household furnishings and operations, and airline fares. The index for used cars and trucks and the index for medical care were among those that decreased over the month.

The all items index increased 6.0 percent for the 12 months ending February; this was the smallest 12-month increase since the period ending September 2021. The all items less food and energy index rose 5.5 percent over the last 12 months, its smallest 12-month increase since December 2021. The energy index increased 5.2 percent for the 12 months ending February, and the food index increased 9.5 percent over the last year.

Food

The food index increased 0.4 percent in February, and the food at home index rose 0.3 percent over the month. Five of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the month. The index for nonalcoholic beverages increased 1.0 percent in February, after a 0.4-percent increase the previous month. The indexes for other food at home and for cereals and bakery products each rose 0.3 percent over the month. The index for fruits and vegetables increased 0.2 percent in February, and the index for dairy and related products rose 0.1 percent.

In contrast, the meats, poultry, fish, and eggs index fell 0.1 percent over the month, the first decrease in that index since December 2021. The index for eggs fell 6.7 percent in February following sharp increases in recent months.

The food away from home index rose 0.6 percent in February, as it did in January. The index for limited service meals increased 0.7 percent over the month and the index for full service meals increased 0.6 percent.

The food at home index rose 10.2 percent over the last 12 months. The index for cereals and bakery products rose 14.6 percent over the 12 months ending in February. The remaining major grocery store food groups posted increases ranging from 5.3 percent (fruits and vegetables) to 12.4 percent (other food at home).

The index for food away from home rose 8.4 percent over the last year. The index for full service meals rose 8.0 percent over the last 12 months, and the index for limited service meals rose 7.2 percent over the same period.

Energy

The energy index fell 0.6 percent in February, after increasing 2.0 percent in January. The natural gas index decreased 8.0 percent over the month, the largest 1-month decrease in that series since October 2006. The fuel oil index fell 7.9 percent over the month, following a 1.2-percent decline in January. In contrast, the gasoline index rose 1.0 percent in February, following a 2.4-percent increase in the previous month. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices rose 1.7 percent in February.) The index for electricity increased 0.5 percent over the month.

The energy index rose 5.2 percent over the past 12 months. The fuel oil index rose 9.2 percent over the last 12 months, while the index for electricity rose 12.9 percent, and the index for natural gas increased 14.3 percent over the same period. The gasoline index decreased 2.0 percent over the span.

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.5 percent in February, after rising 0.4 percent in January. The shelter index continued to increase, rising 0.8 percent over the month. The index for rent rose 0.8 percent in February, while the index for owners' equivalent rent increased 0.7 percent over the month. The index for lodging away from home increased 2.3 percent in February.

The shelter index was the dominant factor in the monthly increase in the index for all items less food and energy. Among the other indexes that rose in February was the index for recreation, which increased 0.9 percent, and the index for household furnishings and operations which increased 0.8 percent. The airline fares index rose 6.4 percent, ending a string of four consecutive declines. The index for motor vehicle insurance, the index for apparel, the index for personal care, and the index for new vehicles also increased in February. In contrast, the index for used cars and trucks fell 2.8 percent in February, continuing a recent downward trend.

The medical care index fell 0.5 percent in February, after falling 0.4 percent in January. The index for physicians' services continued to decline, falling 0.5 percent after declining 0.1 percent in January. The hospital services index and the prescription drugs index were unchanged in February.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 5.5 percent over the past 12 months. The shelter index increased 8.1 percent over the last year, accounting for over 60 percent of the total increase in all items less food and energy. Other indexes with notable increases over the last year include motor vehicle insurance (+14.5 percent), household furnishings and operations (+6.1 percent), recreation (+5.0 percent), and new vehicles (+5.8 percent).

Not seasonally adjusted CPI measures

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 6.0 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 300.840 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.6 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 5.8 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 295.057 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.5 percent prior to seasonal adjustment.

The Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U) increased 6.2 percent over the last 12 months. For the month, the index increased 0.6 percent on a not seasonally adjusted basis. Please note that the indexes for the past 10 to 12 months are subject to revision.




Posted: March 14, 2023 Tuesday 08:30 AM




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