Research >> Economics

2Q2019 Productivity Growth Increased 2.3%


Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.3 percent in the second quarter of 2019, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 1.9 percent and hours worked decreased 0.4 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the second quarter of 2018 to the second quarter of 2019, productivity increased 1.8 percent, reflecting a 2.6-percent increase in output and a 0.8-percent increase in hours worked.

Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked by all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.

Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.4 percent in the second quarter of 2019, and increased 2.5 percent over the last four quarters.

BLS calculates unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity. Increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs, and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.

Manufacturing sector labor productivity decreased 1.6 percent in the second quarter of 2019, as output decreased 2.1 percent and hours worked declined 0.5 percent. Productivity declined 0.9 percent in the durable manufacturing sector, reflecting a 1.8-percent decrease in output and a 0.9-percent decrease in hours worked. Productivity decreased 2.6 percent in the nondurable manufacturing sector as output fell 2.4 percent and hours worked rose 0.3 percent. Over the last four quarters, total manufacturing sector productivity increased 0.2 percent, as output increased 0.4 percent and hours worked increased 0.2 percent. Unit labor costs in the manufacturing sector increased 5.8 percent in the second quarter of 2019, and increased 4.3 percent from the same quarter a year ago.

The concepts, sources, and methods used for the manufacturing output series differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See the Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.

Revised first-quarter 2019 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity increased 1.5 percent in the first quarter of 2019 and increased 1.1 percent over the last four quarters. Unit labor costs increased 7.2 percent in the first quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent from the same quarter last year. Unit profits of nonfinancial corporations fell at a 33.6-percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2019 and decreased 5.9 percent over the last four quarters.

Revised measures
Measures of output for the business, nonfarm business, and nonfinancial corporate sectors, and measures of compensation for all sectors incorporate revised National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) data for first-quarter 2014 through first-quarter 2019 released on July 26 by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Department of Commerce. As a result, all measures incorporating output and compensation were revised, including labor productivity and unit labor costs. Current dollar output and the implicit price deflators for the business and nonfarm business sectors were also subject to further revisions back to 1947 due to rounding. Measures of output for the manufacturing sectors incorporate regular updates of source data for the first quarter of 2019 and the fourth quarter of 2018.

Measures of hours worked for all sectors incorporate regular updates of source data for the first quarter of 2019. Hours worked and related measures were revised back to 2003 for all sectors due to incorporation of revised ratios of supervisory and nonproduction worker average weekly hours to production and non-supervisory worker average weekly hours. Hours worked and related measures were revised back to 2010 for the business and nonfarm business sectors due to revised NIPA data on government enterprises employment and on the proportion of sector compensation paid to employees of nonprofit institutions. Hours worked and related measures were revised back to 2000 for the nonfinancial corporate sector due to the incorporation of revised NIPA data on the proportion of sector compensation paid to employees of corporations. Because hours worked were revised for the index base year of 2012, all measures incorporating hours worked--including productivity--were subject to revision back to 1947; resulting revisions to percent changes are small.

Table B1 presents revised and previous labor productivity and related measures for the nonfarm business, business, and manufacturing sectors for the first quarter of 2019; table C1 presents annual data for the nonfarm business, total manufacturing, and nonfinancial corporate sectors from 2016 to 2018.

Nonfarm business sector productivity increased 3.5 percent in the first quarter of 2019--similar to the previously reported estimate (3.4 percent)--reflecting a 0.1-percentage point downward revision to hours worked. (See table B1.) A large upward revision to first-quarter unit labor costs--from a decrease of 1.6 percent to an increase of 5.5 percent--reflected a 7.4-percentage point upward revision to hourly compensation and a 0.1-percentage point upward revision to productivity. Hourly compensation increased at a 9.2-percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2019, and real hourly compensation increased 8.3 percent--the largest quarterly gain since the fourth quarter of 2008 (14.3 percent).

Annual average productivity increased 1.3 percent in the nonfarm business sector in 2018 and 2017, and increased 0.3 percent in 2016. The average annual rate of productivity growth from 2007 to 2018--representing the current business cycle--was unchanged at 1.3 percent. Unit labor costs increased 1.8 percent in the nonfarm business sector in 2018, rather than increasing 1.2 percent, due to a 0.5-percentage point upward revision to hourly compensation. Unit labor costs were revised down by 0.1 percentage point in both 2017 and 2016.

Manufacturing sector productivity was revised up and increased 1.1 percent in the first quarter of 2019, as output declined less, and hours worked declined more, than previously reported. Productivity was also revised up in both the durable and nondurable manufacturing subsectors. In the first quarter of 2019, total manufacturing unit labor costs increased 6.8 percent rather than increasing 2.0 percent as reported June 6, as a 5.6-percentage point upward revision to hourly compensation was partially offset by a 0.7-percentage point upward revision to productivity. Total manufacturing real hourly compensation increased 7.1 percent in first-quarter 2019--the largest increase since the second quarter of 2009 (8.0 percent).

Annual average manufacturing productivity grew 0.7 percent in 2018, slightly less than previously reported, and was unrevised in 2017 and 2016. The average annual rate of manufacturing productivity growth from 2007 to 2018 also was unrevised at 0.7 percent. An upward revision to unit labor costs of 0.6 percentage point in 2018 reflected a similar upward revision to hourly compensation. Revisions to 2017 and 2016 unit labor costs were small.

Nonfinancial corporate sector productivity growth was revised up in the first quarter of 2019, to an increase of 1.5 percent, rather than the previously published decline of 0.4 percent. This revision was due solely to a 1.9-percentage point upward revision to output; hours worked were unrevised. Unit labor costs in the nonfinancial corporate sector were revised to an increase of 7.2 percent from a preliminary estimate of 2.0 percent, as a large upward revision to hourly compensation was partially offset by an upward revision to productivity. (See table A2.) Unit profits were revised downward for the first quarter of 2019, and fell 33.6 percent rather than falling 17.9 percent as previously reported. Historical revisions to nonfinancial corporate sector productivity due to the Annual Update of the NIPA were larger than for other major sectors. Fourth-quarter 2018 productivity growth was unrevised at 1.4 percent as a downward revision to output was offset by a downward revision to hours, but productivity was revised down along with output in each of the previous six quarters.

Annual average productivity in the nonfinancial corporate sector was revised downward in each of the last three years: from a 2.0-percent increase to a 0.2-percent decline in 2018; from a 1.7-percent increase to a 0.3-percent increase in 2017; and from no change to a decline of 1.1 percent in 2016. (See tables C1 and 6.) The average annual rate of productivity growth in the nonfinancial corporate sector from 2015 to 2018 was revised down from a 1.2-percent increase to a decline of 0.3 percent. The revisions to productivity were due primarily to downward revisions to profits, which are a component of output for this sector. Over the same 2015-2018 period profits were revised from a 2.0-percent increase to a 2.1-percent decrease.




Posted: August 15, 2019 Thursday 08:30 AM




Tags - Research
ADP EMPLOYMENT
BEIGE BOOK
BUSINESS BAROMETER
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
CASE-SHILLER
CEO CONFIDENCE
CHALLENGER LAYOFFS
CHICAGO FED MIDWEST MFG
CHICAGO FED NATL ACTIVITY
CHICAGO PMI
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
CONSUMER CREDIT
CPI
CURRENT ACCOUNT
DURABLE GOODS
EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS INDEX
EXISTING HOME SALES
FACTORY ORDERS
FOMC STMT
FOMC
GDP
HELP WANTED HWOL
HOUSING STARTS
ICSC CHAIN STORE
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
ISM MFG
ISM NON-MFG
JOB OPENINGS
JOBLESS CLAIMS
KANSAS CITY FED MFG
LEADING INDEX
MASS LAYOFFS
MICH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
MORTGAGE APPS
NAHB INDEX
NAPM-NY
NBER
NEW HOME SALES
NEW YORK FED MFG
NFIB OPTIMISM INDEX
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT
PAYCHEX-IHS SMALL JOBS
PENDING HOME SALES
PERSONAL INCOME
PHILA FED FORECASTERS
PHILA FED MFG
PHILA FED NON-MFG
PPI
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL HOURLY EARNINGS
RETAIL SALES
RICHMOND FED MFG
TEXAS FED MFG
TREASURY INTL CAPITAL
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
Archives
Apr 2024
Mar 2024
Feb 2024
Jan 2024
Dec 2023
Nov 2023
Oct 2023
Sep 2023
Aug 2023
Jul 2023
Jun 2023
May 2023
Apr 2023
Mar 2023
Feb 2023
Jan 2023
Dec 2022
Nov 2022
Oct 2022
Sep 2022
Aug 2022
Jul 2022
Jun 2022
May 2022
Apr 2022
Mar 2022
Feb 2022
Jan 2022
Dec 2021
Nov 2021
Oct 2021
Sep 2021
Aug 2021
Jul 2021
Jun 2021
May 2021
Apr 2021
Mar 2021
Feb 2021
Jan 2021
Dec 2020
Nov 2020
Oct 2020
Sep 2020
Aug 2020
Jul 2020
Jun 2020
May 2020
Apr 2020
Mar 2020
Feb 2020
Jan 2020
Dec 2019
Nov 2019
Oct 2019
Sep 2019
Aug 2019
Jul 2019
Jun 2019
May 2019
Apr 2019
Mar 2019
Feb 2019
Jan 2019
Dec 2018
Nov 2018
Oct 2018
Sep 2018
Aug 2018
Jul 2018
Jun 2018
May 2018
Apr 2018
Mar 2018
Feb 2018
Jan 2018
Dec 2017
Nov 2017
Oct 2017
Sep 2017
Aug 2017
Jul 2017
Jun 2017
May 2017
Apr 2017
Mar 2017
Feb 2017
Jan 2017
Dec 2016
Nov 2016
Oct 2016
Sep 2016
Aug 2016
Jul 2016
Jun 2016
May 2016
Apr 2016
Mar 2016
Feb 2016
Jan 2016
Dec 2015
Nov 2015
Oct 2015
Sep 2015
Aug 2015
Jul 2015
Jun 2015
May 2015
Apr 2015
Mar 2015
Feb 2015
Jan 2015
Dec 2014
Nov 2014
Oct 2014
Sep 2014
Aug 2014
Jul 2014
Jun 2014
May 2014
Apr 2014
Mar 2014
Feb 2014
Jan 2014
Dec 2013
Nov 2013
Oct 2013
Sep 2013
Aug 2013
Jul 2013
Jun 2013
May 2013
Apr 2013
Mar 2013
Feb 2013
Jan 2013
Dec 2012
Nov 2012
Oct 2012
Sep 2012
Aug 2012
Jul 2012
Jun 2012
May 2012
Apr 2012
Mar 2012
Feb 2012
Jan 2012
Dec 2011
Nov 2011
Oct 2011
Sep 2011
Aug 2011
Jul 2011
Jun 2011
May 2011
Apr 2011
Mar 2011
Feb 2011
Jan 2011
Dec 2010
Nov 2010
Oct 2010
Sep 2010
Aug 2010
Jul 2010
Jun 2010
May 2010
Apr 2010
Mar 2010
Feb 2010
Jan 2010
Dec 2009
Nov 2009
Oct 2009
Sep 2009
Aug 2009
Jul 2009
Jun 2009
May 2009
Apr 2009
Mar 2009
Feb 2009
Jan 2009
Dec 2008
Nov 2008
Oct 2008
Sep 2008
Aug 2008






National Association for Business Economics
NABE

Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works.

CFA Institute

Quick Links
Barron's Online
Bloomberg
CNBC
CNBC TV Live
CNet Investor
Financial Times (UK)
Forbes
Kudlow Podcast
MSNBC TV Live
NBC News
NY Times
The Economist
TheStreet.com
Wall St Journal
Dismal Scientist
Dr. Ed Yardeni
FRED Graph
Lawrence Kudlow
GDPNow
NABE
ABC News
CNNfn
Institutional Investor
MarketWatch
Cash Prices - WSJ.com
Dollar Index
Dr. Jeremy Siegel
Market Map
NY RBOB Gas
PriceStats
Rig Count
Shadow Fed - SOMC
The Billion Prices Project
BankStocks.com
Dow Jones Indices
Morningstar
SP Indices
Mt Washington Observatory
Weather.com
Yahoo!!