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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201308



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dropped to 82.1
Posted: August 30, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence eased in August after reaching its highest level in six years in the prior month. The small retrenchment still meant that the Sentiment Index was significantly higher than a year ago and still points toward increases in consumer spending during the year ahead. The cross-currents responsible for the small August decline ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index increased to 53.0
Posted: August 30, 2013 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business Barometer increased to 53.0 in August from 52.3 in July, led by an increase in New Orders and a second monthly gain in Order Backlogs. Order Backlogs, though, remained in contraction after a record plunge in June.

The August data showed a second month of stabilization in the Barometer compared with the erratic moves seen in the second quarter. This stability came, however, at fragile levels leaving the Barometer within striking distance of the breakeven 50 level, and below the ...


Personal Income increased 0.1%, Spending increased 0.1%
Posted: August 30, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $14.1 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $21.7 billion, or 0.2 percent, in July, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $16.3 billion, or 0.1 percent. In June, personal income increased $38.2 billion, or 0.3 percent, ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3%
Posted: August 29, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 17th 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3 percent to 97.2, falling to a two-month low. Both production and consumption indexes contributed negatively to this week’s barometer. Consumption indexes were dragged down by chain store sales, declining largely by 1.8 percent following a 0.2 ...


2Q2013 GDP preliminary estimate increased 2.5%
Posted: August 29, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in the second quarter of 2013 (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 6,000 to 331,000
Posted: August 29, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 331,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 337,000. The 4-week moving average was 331,250, an increase of 750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Pending Home Sales Index declined 1.3%
Posted: August 28, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales were down in July, with higher mortgage interest rates slowing the market, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, declined 1.3 percent to 109.5 in July from 110.9 in June, but is 6.7 percent above July 2012 when it was 102.6; the data reflect contracts but not closings. Pending sales have stayed above ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 28, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 23, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 5 ...


Consumer Confidence increased slightly in August to 81.5
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in July, increased slightly in August. The Index now stands at 81.5 (1985=100), up from 81.0 in July. The Present Situation Index decreased to 70.7 from 73.6. The Expectations Index increased to 88.7 from 86.0 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rebounded 25 to 14
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity strengthened in August, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments, new orders, and capacity utilization rose. Additionally, the ongoing decline in the backlog of orders slowed this month. Vendor lead-time flattened and finished goods inventories grew a bit ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices rose 2.2%
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through June 2013, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that prices continue to increase. The National Index grew 7.1% in the second quarter and 10.1% over the last four quarters. The 10-City and 20-City Composites posted returns of 2.2% for ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index Decreased 0.1%
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 08:40 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) decreased 0.1% in July, to a seasonally adjusted level of 95.8 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was up 0.4% in June. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) moved down 0.1% in July. Regional output rose 1.6% in July from a year earlier, ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose slightly by 0.2% in Aug 24 Wk
Posted: August 27, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Mixed results continue to reign in on retailers as the traditional summer lull settled in this past week. As a result, for the week ending August 24, 2013 weekly sales rose slightly by 0.2%, according to on the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. However, on a year-over-year ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Increased at a Slower Pace in August
Posted: August 26, 2013 at 11:32 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased but at a slower pace in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, remained positive but fell from 11.4 to 7.3.

Other measures of current manufacturing activity also indicated slower growth in August. The new orders index was positive for the fourth month in a row, although it moved down from 10.8 to 5.4. The shipments index also posted a fourth consecutive positive reading but ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 7.3%, Ex-Trans Down 0.6%
Posted: August 26, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased $17.8 billion or 7.3 percent to $226.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following three consecutive monthly increases and followed a 3.9 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new ...


New Home Sales in July at annual rate of 394,000
Posted: August 23, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Sales of new single-family houses in July 2013 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 394,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 13.4 percent (±14.5%) below the revised June rate of 455,000, but is 6.8 percent (±18.6%) above the July ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Improved Further
Posted: August 22, 2013 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity improved further in August, and producers’ expectations also edged higher after easing last month. Price indexes rose modestly, with a continued increase in future finished goods prices.

The month-over-month composite index was 8 in August, up from 6 in July and -5 in June. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Production increased at both durable and ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.6%
Posted: August 22, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.6 percent in July to 96.0 (2004 = 100), following no change in June, and a 0.3 percent increase in May.

Following moderate growth in the last few months, the U.S. LEI picked up in July, with widespread gains among its components. The pace of the LEI’s growth over the last six months has nearly doubled, pointing to a gradually strengthening expansion through the end of the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased moderately by 0.1%
Posted: August 22, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 10th 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased moderately by 0.1 percent following an upwardly-revised flat reading in the prior week. Production indexes contributed to the barometer this week while consumption indexes decreased. However, among those increased production indexes, most of them ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 13,000 to 336,000
Posted: August 22, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 336,000, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 323,000. The 4-week moving average was 330,500, a decrease of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Existing-Home Sales Spiked 6.5% in July
Posted: August 21, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales rose strongly in July, with the median price maintaining double-digit year-over-year increases, according to the National Association of Realtors®

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 6.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.39 million in July from a downwardly revised 5.06 million in June, and are 17.2 ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 21, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 16, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Below Average in July
Posted: August 20, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) edged up to –0.15 in July from –0.23 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased slightly from June, but only two of the four categories made positive contributions to the index ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 1.9% in Aug 17 Wk
Posted: August 20, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. chain-store sales rose 2.2 percent year on year for the week that ended on August 17, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. However, weekly comparable-store sales dropped by 1.9 percent.

“Sales continued a choppy performance with the latest week’s weakness being driven by slower business for discounters and dollar stores, in particular," said Michael Niemira, ICSC's vice president of research and chief economist. "On the other hand, performance was stronger ...


Forecasters Outlook for Growth Weakens
Posted: August 16, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years is weaker than that of three months ago, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter and to rise to 2.9 percent in the second ...


2Q2013 Productivity Growth Increased 0.9%
Posted: August 16, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 0.9 percent annual rate during the second quarter of 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The increase in productivity reflects increases of 2.6 percent in output and 1.7 percent in hours worked. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally ...


July Housing Starts up 5.9%, Permits up 2.7%
Posted: August 16, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 943,000. This is 2.7 percent (±0.8%) above the revised June rate of 918,000 and is 12.4 percent (±1.3%) above the July 2012 estimate of 839,000. Single-family authorizations in July were at a rate of 613,000; this ...


Philadelphia Fed August Outlook Suggest Continued Growth
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing firms responding to the August Business Outlook Survey indicated that regional manufacturing activity expanded this month. The survey’s broadest indicators for general activity and new orders were positive for the third consecutive month, although they fell back from higher readings last month. Responses indicated flat shipments ...


Builder Confidence Rose 3 points in August to 59
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose three points to 59 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for August, released today. This fourth consecutive monthly gain brings the index to its highest level in nearly ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped slightly by 0.1%
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 3rd 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped slightly by 0.1 percent following a significant decrease of 0.6 percent in the prior week. A slight dip in this week’s barometer resulted from declines in the production indexes, which overall have weakened for four consecutive weeks. Electric output dropped by ...


Industrial Production was unchanged%
Capacity Utilization edged up to 77.6%

Posted: August 15, 2013 at 09:15 AM (Thursday)

Industrial production was unchanged in July after having gained 0.2 percent in June. In July, manufacturing production declined 0.1 percent. The output of mines advanced 2.1 percent, its fourth consecutive monthly increase, and the production of utilities fell 2.1 percent, its fourth consecutive monthly decrease. At 98.9 percent of its ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2013
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 09:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2013. The sum total in June of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $19.0 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $4.6 billion, and ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in July, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The rise in the seasonally adjusted all items index was the result of ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.2% in July
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees fell 0.2 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline stems from a 0.1 percent decrease in average hourly earnings and a 0.2 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Improved Modestly
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The August 2013 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers improved modestly for a third consecutive month. The general business conditions index, at 8.2, was little changed from last month. The new orders index slipped four points to 0.3 and the shipments index fell seven points to 1.5, suggesting ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 15,000 to 320,000
Posted: August 15, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 10, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 320,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 335,000. The 4-week moving average was 332,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


Producer Price Index unchanged% in July, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: August 14, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods was unchanged in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods moved up 0.8 percent in June and 0.5 percent in May. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods also were unchanged in July, and ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 14, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 9, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


Business Inventories unchanged% in June
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for June, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,285.8 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2) from May 2013, and were up 4.9 percent (±1.1) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.2% in July
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Prices for U.S. imports rose 0.2 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after decreasing in each of the previous 4 months. The July upturn was driven by rising fuel prices which more than offset lower nonfuel prices. In July, U.S. exports edged down 0.1 percent for the second ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July up 0.2%, Ex-Auto up 0.5%
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $424.5 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 5.4 percent (±0.7%) above July 2012. Total sales ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 0.2% in Aug 10 Wk
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. chain-store sales rose 2.6 percent year on year for the week that ended on August 10, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. However, weekly comparable-stores sales fell 0.2 percent.

“Aggregate chain store sales slipped a tad over this past week as some shifts in consumer spending occurred,” said Michael Niemira, ICSC's vice president of research and chief economist. “According to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs consumer tracking survey, department, apparel, ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 0.6 points to 94.1
Posted: August 13, 2013 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism gained a whoppin’ 0.6 points in July. At 94.1, the Index does not impress and signals nothing but a subpar performance for the 3rd quarter. In an attempt to “make lemonade”, the July reading is the 4th highest reading since December 2007 which was 94.6, well below the average reading of 100 in the prior ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.2% in June
Posted: August 9, 2013 at 10:01 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that June 2013 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $425.9 billion, up 0.4 percent (+/-0.5%)* from the revised May level and were up 5.6 percent (+/-2.8%) from ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined considerably by 0.6%
Posted: August 8, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending July 27th 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined considerably by 0.6 percent, the biggest drop since February 9, after a pickup of 0.2 percent in the prior week. Decreases were seen in most of the indexes other than Railroad Freight Carloadings, which was virtually a flat reading. The largest negative ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 5,000 to 333,000
Posted: August 8, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 333,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 328,000. The 4-week moving average was 335,500, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 6.00%
Posted: August 7, 2013 at 03:00 PM (Wednesday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6 percent in the second quarter. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased 7-1/2 percent. In June, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's unch in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 7, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index was essentially unchanged compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index was ...


Job Openings were 3.9 million in June
Posted: August 6, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.9 million job openings on the last business day of June, little changed from May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and separations rate (3.0 percent) also were little changed in June. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in June 2013
Posted: August 6, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $34.2 billion in June from $44.1 billion in May (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total June exports of $191.2 billion and imports of $225.4 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $34.2 billion, down from $44.1 billion in ...



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