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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202206


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Dips to 56.0 in June 2022
Posted: June 30, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Thursday)

Chicago Business Barometer Dips to 56.0 in June, following last month's recovery to 60.3. The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, tumbled to the lowest since August 2020 in June, giving back last month’s recovery. The indicator has been bouncing between readings in the mid-50s and low 60s since the beginning of the year, as ...


Personal Income Increased 0.5%, Spending Increased 0.2% in May 2022
Posted: June 30, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $113.4 billion (0.5 percent) in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $96.5 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $32.7 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 2,000 to 231,000
Posted: June 30, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 231,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 4,000 from 229,000 to 233,000. The 4-week moving average was 231,750, an increase of 7,250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


1Q2022 GDP final estimate decreased 1.6%
Posted: June 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2022, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2021, real GDP increased 6.9 percent.

The "third" estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the decrease in real GDP was 1.5 percent. The update primarily reflects a downward revision to personal ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 29, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 24, 2022. This week’s results include an adjustment for the observance of the ...


Consumer Confidence decreased in June 2022 to 98.7
Posted: June 28, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased in June, following a decline in May. The Index fell to 98.7 (1985=100)—down 4.5 points from 103.2 in May—and now stands at its lowest level since February 2021 (Index, 95.2). The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity declined to -19 in June 2022
Posted: June 28, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing firms reported another decline in activity in June, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell from −9 in May to −19 in June, as two of its three component indexes dropped further into negative territory. The indexes for shipments and volume ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 2.1% in April 2022
Posted: June 28, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for April 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 20.4% annual gain in April, down from 20.6% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 19.7%, up from 19.5% in ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity decelerated sharply in June 2022
Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity decelerated sharply in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell from 18.8 to 2.3, reaching its lowest reading since ...


Pending Home Sales inched up 0.7% in May 2022
Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales crept higher in May, ending a six-month streak of declines, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Regionally, month-over-month results were mixed as the Northeast and South experienced increases while the Midwest and West posted decreases. Year-over-year contract activity slid in all four ...


May 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 0.7%, Ex-Trans up 0.7%
Posted: June 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in May increased $1.9 billion or 0.7 percent to $267.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up seven of the last eight months, followed a 0.4 percent April increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


New Home Sales in May 2022 at annual rate of 696,000
Posted: June 24, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in May 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 696,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 10.7 percent (±18.9 percent)* above the revised April rate of 629,000, but is 5.9 percent ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence fell in June 2022 to 50.0
Posted: June 24, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment continued its downward trend, falling 14.4% in June, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

All components of the index fell this month, with the steepest declines in the year-ahead outlook for the economy, down 24% from May, and consumers’ assessments of their personal financial situation, which worsened about 20%, said U-M economist Joanne Hsu, director of the ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Slowed Further in June 2022
Posted: June 23, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity slowed further but remained positive. Expectations for future activity also moderated slightly but were still at solid levels overall (Chart 1, Tables 1 & 2). Raw materials price indexes eased slightly from last month and compared with last year. Finished goods price indexes increased slightly from ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 2,000 to 229,000
Posted: June 23, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 229,000 to 231,000. The 4-week moving average was 223,500, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


1Q2022 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 23, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit widened by $66.6 billion, or 29.6 percent, to $291.4 billion in the first quarter of 2022, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised fourth-quarter deficit was $224.8 billion. The first-quarter deficit was 4.8 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product, ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 22, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 17, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 3.4% in May 2022
Posted: June 21, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales retreated for the fourth consecutive month in May, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Month-over-month sales declined in three out of four major U.S. regions, while year-over-year sales slipped in all four regions.

Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 3.4% from April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.41 million in May. Year-over-year, sales receded 8.6% (5.92 million in May 2021). ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Economic Growth Declined in May 2022
Posted: June 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to +0.01 in May from +0.40 in April. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made negative contributions in May, and two categories deteriorated from April. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to +0.20 in May from +0.40 ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest expansion in activity in June 2022
Posted: June 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region expanded this month, according to the firms responding to the June Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, new orders, and full-time employment all increased this month. The prices paid and prices received indexes increased, with ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.4% in May 2022
Posted: June 17, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for theU.S. decreased by 0.4 percent in May 2022 to 118.3 (2016 = 100), following a 0.4 percent decline in April 2022. The LEI is now down 0.4 percent over the six-month period from November 2021 to May 2022.

“The US LEI fell again in May, fueled by tumbling stock prices, a slowdown in housing construction, and gloomier consumer expectations,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “The index is still near a historic high, but the ...


May 2022 Industrial Production moved up 0.2%, Capacity Utilization increased to 79.0%
Posted: June 17, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Total industrial production moved up 0.2 percent in May. Output has increased in every month of the year so far, with an average monthly gain of nearly 0.8 percent. In May, manufacturing output declined 0.1 percent after three months when growth averaged nearly 1 percent; the indexes for utilities and mining rose 1.0 percent and 1.3 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 3,000 to 229,000
Posted: June 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 229,000 to 232,000. The 4-week moving average was 218,500, an increase of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity declined in June 2022
Posted: June 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region weakened, according to the firms responding to the June Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indicators for current activity and new orders turned negative, and the shipments index also declined but remained positive. However, the firms reported continued increases in employment. Both price ...


May 2022 Housing Starts Decreased 14.4%, Permits down 7.0%
Posted: June 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,695,000. This is 7.0 percent below the revised April rate of 1,823,000, but is 0.2 percent above the May 2021 rate of 1,691,000. Single‐family authorizations in May were at a rate of 1,048,000; this is 5.5 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2022
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for April 2022. The next release, which will report on data for May, is scheduled for July 18, 2022.

The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $1.3 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $9.3 billion, and net foreign official inflows were $10.6 billion. ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 1.50% - 1.75%
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader ...


Business Inventories up 1.2% in April 2022
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,813.9 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.2 percent) from March 2022 and was up 13.7 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


NAHB Builder Confidence fell 2 points to 67 in June 2022
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Rising inflation and higher mortgage rates are slowing traffic of prospective home buyers and putting a damper on builder sentiment. In a troubling sign for the housing market, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes posted its sixth straight monthly decline in June, falling two points to 67, according to the ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions was little changed in June 2022
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity was little changed in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index rose ten points to -1.2. New orders and shipments edged slightly higher, and unfilled orders declined for the first time in over a year. Delivery times ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.6% in May 2022
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices rose 0.6 percent in May, after advancing 0.4 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Higher fuel prices in May offset lower nonfuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports increased 2.8 percent in May following a 0.8-percent rise the ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May 2022 decrease 0.3%, Ex-Auto up 0.5%
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $672.9 billion, a decrease of 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, but 8.1 percent (±0.7 percent) above May 2021. Total sales for the March 2022 through ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 15, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 6.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 10, 2022. Last week’s results are compared to the prior week, which included an adjustment for the Memorial ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.8% in May 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 0.5%
Posted: June 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.8 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 0.4 percent in April and 1.6 percent in March. On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 10.8 percent for the 12 months ended ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 93.1 in May 2022
Posted: June 14, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Optimism Index fell 0.1 points in May to 93.1, marking the fifth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased four points to a net negative 54%, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year-old survey. Expectations for better business conditions ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary June Results fell to 50.2
Posted: June 10, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined by 14% from May, continuing a downward trend over the last year and reaching its lowest recorded value, comparable to the trough reached in the middle of the 1980 recession. All components of the sentiment index fell this month, with the steepest decline in the year-ahead outlook in business conditions, down 24% ...


Consumer Price Index increased 1.0% in May 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.6%
Posted: June 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.0 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.6 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.6% in May 2022
Posted: June 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.6 percent from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.3 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 1.0 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 27,000 to 229,000
Posted: June 9, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 200,000 to 202,000. The 4-week moving average was 215,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Wholesale Inventories up 2.2% in April 2022
Posted: June 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

April 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $691.6 billion, up 0.7 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised March level and were up 20.9 percent (±1.1 percent) from the revised April 2021 level. ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in May 2022 to 178.6
Posted: June 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in May and now stands at 178.6 (July 2018=100), up from 173.1 in April. The 3.2 percent increase between April and May follows a 3.8 percent decrease between March and April. Overall, the Index is up 22.1 percent from a ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 8, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 3, 2022. This week’s results include an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 17 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 6 ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 10.10% in April 2022
Posted: June 7, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 10.1 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 19.6 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7.1 percent.

...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in April 2022
Posted: June 7, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $87.1 billion in April from $107.7 billion in March (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $87.1 billion in April, down $20.6 ...


Employment Trends Index decreased slightly in May 2022 to 119.77
Posted: June 6, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) declined slightly in May to 119.77, down from 120.60 in April 2022 (an upward revision). “The Employment Trends Index fell slightly in May, signaling slowing, but positive job growth in the months ahead. The labor market may have less room for more growth with overall employment down only ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dipped to 55.9% in May 2022
Posted: June 3, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in May for the 24th month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 55.9 percent — say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “In May, the Services PMI® registered 55.9 percent, 1.2 percentage points lower than April’s reading of 57.1 ...


May 2022 Employment rose by 390,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 3.6%

Posted: June 3, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 390,000 in May, and the unemployment rate remained at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, in professional and business services, and in transportation and warehousing. Employment in retail ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.4% in April 2022
Posted: June 2, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in April increased $1.2 billion or 0.4 percent to $265.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up six of the last seven months, followed a 0.6 percent March increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


1Q2022 Productivity Growth decreased 7.3%
Posted: June 2, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 7.3 percent in the first quarter of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output decreased 2.3 percent and hours worked increased 5.4 percent. This is the largest decline in quarterly productivity since the third quarter of 1947, when the measure decreased 11.7 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 11,000 to 200,000
Posted: June 2, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 200,000, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 210,000 to 211,000. The 4-week moving average was 206,500, a decrease of 500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...



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