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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202406


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence June 2024 Results down to 68.2
Posted: June 28, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Sentiment was essentially unchanged this month, inching down a scant 1% from May, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

While consumers exhibited confidence that inflation will continue to soften, many expressed concerns about the effect of high prices and weakening incomes on their personal finance, said U-M economist Joanne Hsu, director of the Surveys of Consumers. These developments ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index increased to 47.4 in June 2024
Posted: June 28, 2024 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business Barometer™, produced with MNI increased 12.0 points to 47.4 in June. This is the first monthly rise after sixth consecutive monthly falls, making this month’s reading the highest since November 2023 with the index seeing the largest monthly increase since September 2020. ALL FIVE SUBCOMPONENTS RISE; WITH NEW ORDERS ...


Personal Income Increased 0.5%, Spending Increased 0.2% in May 2024
Posted: June 28, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income income increased $114.1 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in May, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 2 and 3). Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $94.0 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity fell moderately in June 2024
Posted: June 27, 2024 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity fell moderately in June, while expectations for future remained expansionary. Price growth for both raw materials and finished products cooled somewhat this month.

The month-over-month composite index was -8 in June, down from -2 in May and unchanged from -8 in April. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. The decline was primarily ...


Pending Home Sales fell 2.1% in May 2024
Posted: June 27, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales in May slipped 2.1%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Midwest and South posted monthly losses in transactions while the Northeast and West recorded gains. Year-over-year, all U.S. regions registered reductions.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – decreased to 70.8 in May. Year over year, pending transactions were down 6.6%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. ...


1Q2024 GDP final estimate increased 1.4%
Posted: June 27, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP increased 3.4 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 1.3 percent. The upward revision primarily reflected a downward revision to imports, ...


May 2024 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 0.1%, Ex-Trans down 0.1%
Posted: June 27, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in May, up four consecutive months, increased $0.3 billion or 0.1 percent to $283.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This followed a 0.2 percent April increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 0.2 ...


New Home Sales in May 2024 at annual rate of 619,000
Posted: June 26, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in May 2024 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 619,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.3 percent (±15.5 percent)* below the revised April rate of 698,000 and is 16.5 percent ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 26, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending June 21, 2024. This week's results include an adjustment for the Juneteenth holiday.The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, ...


Consumer Confidence dipped in June 2024 to 100.4
Posted: June 25, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® dipped in June to 100.4 (1985=100), down from 101.3 in May. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—increased to 141.5 (1985=100) from 140.8 last month.

However, the Expectations Index—based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions—fell to 73.0 (1985=100) in June, down from 74.9 in May. The Expectations Index has been below 80 (the threshold which usually signals a recession ahead) ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity slowed to -10 in June 2024
Posted: June 25, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity slowed in June, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index decreased from 0 in May to −10 in June. Of its three component indexes, shipments fell notably from 13 to −9, new orders decreased from −6 to −17, and employment rose from −6 ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 1.2% in April 2024
Posted: June 25, 2024 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the April 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices shows that the upward trend decelerated in April 2024.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests economic growth increased in May 2024
Posted: June 25, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.18 in May from –0.26 in April. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index increased from April, and two categories made positive contributions in May. The index's three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.09 in May from –0.05 ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity continued to expand in June 2024
Posted: June 25, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region continued to expand overall this month, according to the firms responding to the June Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues all increased. The full-time employment index moved up and suggests increases in employment. ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity was flat in June 2024
Posted: June 24, 2024 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity was flat in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, inched up to 0.7 from -2.8 in May. The near-zero reading signals little change in output after a slight decline over the ...


Existing-Home Sales Decreased 0.7% in May 2024
Posted: June 21, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Existing-home sales slightly declined in May as the median sales price climbed to a record high, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. In the four major U.S. regions, sales slid month-over-month in the South but were unchanged in the Northeast, Midwest and West. Year-over-year, sales rose in the Midwest but receded in the ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.5% in May 2024
Posted: June 21, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. decreased by 0.5 percent in May 2024 to 101.2 (2016=100), following a 0.6 percent decline in April. Over the six-month period between November 2023 and May 2024, the LEI fell by 2.0 percent—a smaller decrease than its 3.4 percent contraction over the previous ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 5,000 to 238,000
Posted: June 20, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000, a decrease of 5,000
from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 242,000 to 243,000. The
4-week moving average was 232,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity mostly steady overall in June 2024
Posted: June 20, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region was mostly steady overall, according to the firms responding to the June Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicator for general activity edged lower but remained positive, while the indexes for shipments and new orders remained negative. The employment index increased but remained ...


May 2024 Housing Starts Decreased 5.5%, Permits down 3.8%
Posted: June 20, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,386,000. This is 3.8 percent below the revised April rate of 1,440,000 and is 9.5 percent below the May 2023 rate of 1,532,000. Single‐family authorizations in May were at a rate of 949,000; this is 2.9 percent ...


1Q2024 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 20, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, widened by $15.9 billion, or 7.2 percent, to $237.6 billion in the first quarter of 2024, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic ...


NAHB Builder Confidence down 2 points to 43 in June 2024
Posted: June 19, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage rates that continue to hover in the 7% range along with elevated construction financing costs continue to put a damper on builder sentiment.

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes was 43 in June, down two points from May, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. This is the lowest reading since December ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 19, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending June 14, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2024
Posted: June 18, 2024 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $66.2 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $44.2 billion, and net foreign official inflows were $22.0 billion.

Foreign residents increased their holdings of long-term U.S. securities in April; their net purchases were $159.4 billion. Net purchases by private foreign investors were $127.5 billion, while net purchases by foreign official institutions were $31.9 billion. ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in April 2024
Posted: June 18, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,862.4 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.2 percent) from March 2024 and was up 2.2 percent (±0.3 percent) from ...


May 2024 Industrial Production rose 0.9%, Capacity Utilization moved up to 78.7%
Posted: June 18, 2024 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production rose 0.9 percent in May. Manufacturing output posted a similar gain of 0.9 percent after declining in the previous two months. The index for mining increased 0.3 percent in May, and the index for utilities advanced 1.6 percent. At 103.3 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in May was 0.4 percent ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May 2024 0.1%, Ex-Auto down 0.1%
Posted: June 18, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $703.1 billion, up 0.1 percent (±0.4 percent)* from the previous month, and up 2.3 percent (±0.5 percent) above May 2023. Total sales for the March 2024 through May ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined modestly in June 2024
Posted: June 17, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity declined modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2024 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index moved up ten points but remained below zero at -6.0. New orders held steady, while shipments inched higher. Delivery times shortened somewhat, and ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary June 2024 Results down to 65.6
Posted: June 14, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was little changed in June; this month’s reading was a statistically insignificant 3.5 index points below May and within the margin of error. Sentiment is currently about 31% above the trough seen in June 2022 amid the escalation in inflation. Assessments of personal finances dipped, due to modestly rising concerns over ...


U.S. Import Price Index decreased 0.4% in May 2024
Posted: June 14, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Prices for U.S. imports decreased 0.4 percent in May following a 0.9-percent advance the previous month,
the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel import prices contributed to the
overall decline. U.S. export prices fell 0.6 percent in May, after increasing 0.6 percent ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 32,000 to 219,000
Posted: June 13, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 242,000, an increase of 13,000
from the previous week's unrevised level of 229,000. The 4 -week moving average was 227,000, an increase of 4,750
from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Producer Price Index declined 0.2% in May 2024, ex Fd & Engy rose 0.3%
Posted: June 13, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand declined 0.2 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices increased 0.5 percent in April and edged down 0.1 percent in March. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 2.2 percent for the 12 months ended ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 5.25% - 5.50%
Posted: June 12, 2024 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. Job gains have remained strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation has eased over the past year but remains elevated. In recent months, there has been modest further progress toward the Committee's 2 percent ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in May 2024 to 127.3
Posted: June 12, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board−Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index rose in May 2024 to 127.3 (July 2018=100), up from 123.1 in April. The 3.4 percent increase between May and April followed a 3.5 percent decrease between April and March. Overall, the Index is down 10.5 percent from one ...


Consumer Price Index unch% in May 2024, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: June 12, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, after rising 0.3 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.3 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.5% in May 2024
Posted: June 12, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.5 percent from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.4 percent in average hourly earnings combined with no change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 12, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 15.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending June 7, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 15.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 90.5 in May 2024
Posted: June 11, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index reached the highest reading of the year in May at 90.5, a 0.8-point increase but still the 29th month below the historical average of 98. The Uncertainty Index rose nine points to 85, the highest reading since November 2020. Twenty-two percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most ...


Employment Trends Index increased in May 2024 to 111.44
Posted: June 10, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in May to 111.44, from a downwardly revised 110.48 in April. The Employment Trends Index is a leading composite index for employment. When the Index increases, employment is likely to grow as well, and vice versa. Turning points in the Index indicate that a change in the trend of ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in April 2024
Posted: June 7, 2024 at 10:00 PM (Friday)

April 2024 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $663.8 billion, up 0.1 percent (±0.4 percent)* from the revised March level and were up 1.4 percent (±0.9 percent) from the revised April 2023 level. ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 1.5% in April 2024
Posted: June 7, 2024 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.5 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 0.4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent

...


May 2024 Employment rose by 272,000
Unemployment Rate increased to 4.0%

Posted: June 7, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 272,000 in May, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in several industries, led by health care; government; leisure and hospitality; and professional, scientific, and ...


1Q2024 Productivity Growth increased 0.2%
Posted: June 6, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 0.9 percent and hours worked increased 0.6 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the same quarter a year ago, ...


Goods and Services Deficit increased in April 2024
Posted: June 6, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $74.6 billion in April, up $6.0 billion from $68.6 billion in March, revised.

Exports, Imports, and Balance
April exports were $263.7 billion, $2.1 billion more than March exports. April imports were $338.2 billion, $8.0 billion more than March imports.
The April increase in the goods and services deficit reflected an increase in the goods deficit ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 32,000 to 219,000
Posted: June 6, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 1, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, an increase of 8,000
from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 219,000 to 221,000. The
4-week moving average was 222,250, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 63,816 Job Cuts in May 2024
Posted: June 6, 2024 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 63,816 cuts in May, a 1.5% decrease from the 64,789 cuts announced one month prior. It is down 20% from the 80,089 cuts announced in the same month in 2023, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
So far this ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increase to 53.8% in May 2024
Posted: June 5, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in May after contracting in April for the first time since December 2022, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®. The Services PMI® registered 53.8 percent, indicating sector expansion for the 46th time in ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 152,000 jobs in May 2024
Posted: June 5, 2024 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 152,000 jobs in May and annual pay was up 5.0 percent year-over-year, according to the May ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 5, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending May 31, 2024. This week's results include an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, ...


Job Openings changed at 8.1 million in April 2024
Posted: June 4, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings changed little at 8.1 million on the last business day of April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, both the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.6 million and 5.4 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) and layoffs and discharges ...



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