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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - PHILA FED FORECASTERS



Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Near-Term Growth
Posted: August 9, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy for the next three quarters looks slightly weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 35 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.8 percent this quarter, 2.0 percent next quarter, and 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2020, ...


Forecasters See Lower Near-Term Growth
Posted: May 10, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four quarters is slightly weaker than that in the last survey, according to 40 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.9 percent this quarter and 2.1 percent next quarter, down from the ...


Forecasters See Lower Near-Term Output Growth and somewhat stronger employment growth
Posted: March 22, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Lower Near-Term Output Growth
The U.S. economy looks weaker now in the next few quarters than it did four months ago, according to 38 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.5 percent this quarter and 2.4 percent next quarter, down from the ...


Forecasters See Weaker Near-Term Growth amid Stronger Job Gains
Posted: November 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four quarters is slightly weaker from that of three months ago, according to 37 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.4 percent next quarter, down from the previous ...


Forecasters See Steady Outlook for Growth with Stronger Labor Markets
Posted: August 10, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years is mostly unchanged from that of three months ago, according to 38 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.0 percent this quarter and 2.8 percent next quarter, unchanged from the estimates ...


Forecasters See Slightly Brighter Outlook for Growth and Labor Markets in 2018 and 2019
Posted: May 11, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy looks slightly stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 36 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.0 percent this quarter and next quarter, up slightly from the estimates of three months ago. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters See Stronger Output Growth and Brighter Labor Market
Posted: February 9, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 36 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.0 percent this quarter and 2.9 percent next quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, the forecasters predict real ...


Forecasters See Stronger Outlook for Growth over the Next Two Quarters
Posted: November 13, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next two quarters looks slightly stronger overall than that of three months ago, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.4 percent next quarter, marking ...


Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Growth and Lower Unemployment
Posted: August 11, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years looks slightly weaker overall than that of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters Predict real GDP will grow at a faster pace
Posted: May 12, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy over the next four quarters looks slightly stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 37 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.1 percent this quarter, up from the previous estimate of 2.3 percent. Quarterly growth over ...


Forecasters Predict real GDP will grow at a faster pace
Posted: February 10, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, the forecasters predict real ...


Forecasters Predict Slightly Lower Growth over the Next Three Years
Posted: November 14, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Growth in the U.S. economy looks slightly weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia before the election on November 8. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter and in each of the next four quarters in 2017. On ...


Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Growth and Employment
Posted: August 12, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years looks slightly weaker than that of three months ago, according to 40 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters Predict Weaker Outlook for Growth, but Stronger Outlook for Employment
Posted: May 13, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The economy looks slightly weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.1 percent this quarter and 2.4 percent next quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, real GDP will grow 1.7 ...


Forecasters Predict Lower Growth over the Next Three Years
Posted: February 12, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 40 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.0 percent this quarter and 2.5 percent next quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, real GDP will grow 2.1 percent in ...


Forecasters Shave Their Growth Estimates for 2016 and 2017
Posted: November 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Growth in real GDP in 2016 and 2017 looks a little slower now than it did three months ago, according to 45 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters currently see growth in the annual-average level of real GDP at 2.6 percent in 2016 and 2.5 percent in 2017. These current estimates represent ...


Forecasters See Slightly Slower Growth as the Unemployment Outlook Holds Steady
Posted: August 14, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years looks slightly lower from that of three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter and 2.8 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters See Stronger Quarterly Growth This Year Accompanied by Lower Unemployment
Posted: May 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth over the next three quarters looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Growth this quarter will be 3.3 percent at an annual rate, up from the previous estimate of 3.0 percent. Third-quarter growth will be 2.9 percent, an upward ...


Forecasters Unchanged Outlook for Growth, but Brighter Outlook for Labor Markets
Posted: February 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years has changed little from the survey of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter and 3.0 percent next quarter. On an ...


Forecasters Steady Outlook for Growth with Improved Outlook for Labor Market
Posted: November 17, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years is little changed from the survey of three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter and 2.8 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters Hold the Line on Projections for Growth
Posted: August 15, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years looks mostly unchanged from that of three months ago, according to 43 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 3.0 percent this quarter and 3.1 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters See Stronger Quarterly Growth With Lower Unemployment
Posted: May 16, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth over the next three quarters looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Growth this quarter will be 3.3 percent at an annual rate, up from the previous estimate of 3.0 percent. Third-quarter growth will be 2.9 percent, an upward ...


Forecasters Predict Higher Growth and Lower Unemployment
Posted: February 14, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years looks stronger than that of three months ago, according to 45 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, the forecasters predict faster real GDP growth in 2014, 2015, and 2016. The forecasters see real ...


Forecasters Outlook for Steady Growth with Healthier Labor Market
Posted: November 25, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Steady Outlook for Growth with Healthier Labor Market

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy is little changed from the survey of three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 1.8 percent this quarter and 2.5 ...


Forecasters Outlook for Growth Weakens
Posted: August 16, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years is weaker than that of three months ago, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter and to rise to 2.9 percent in the second ...


Forecasters Outlook for Growth Holds Steady as Unemployment Outlook Improves
Posted: May 10, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years is little changed from that of three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 1.8 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter and to rise to 3.2 percent in ...


Forecasters Predict Stronger Labor Market
Posted: February 15, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years looks mostly unchanged from that of three months ago, according to 46 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.1 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter and to rise to 2.7 percent in ...


Forecasters Hold the Line on Their Estimates for Growth
Posted: November 9, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy is little changed from the survey of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 1.8 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 2.2 percent. Over the next three quarters, they ...


Forecasters Revise Downward Their Estimates for Growth
Posted: August 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 48 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 1.6 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 2.5 percent. Over the next three quarters, they ...


Forecasters Outlook for Growth Holds Steady
Posted: May 11, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy is little changed from that of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.4 percent this quarter, up slightly from the previous estimate of 2.3 percent. Over the next three ...


Forecasters Predict Stronger Labor Market
Posted: February 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy looks mostly unchanged from that of three months ago, according to 45 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 2.4 percent. On an annual-average over ...


Forecasters Predict Lower Growth and Higher Unemployment 2012-13
Posted: November 14, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for growth and unemployment in the U.S. economy looks a little weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 45 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict lower real GDP growth and higher unemployment rates in 2012 and 2013 than they did in August. Our panelists expect real GDP ...


Forecasters Predict Slower Growth
Posted: August 12, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Growth in the U.S. economy is predicted to be slower in the short run compared to the forecast of three months ago, according to 37 panelists surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Our panelists expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 3.4 percent. On an ...


Forecasters Predict Slower Growth over the Next Four Years
Posted: May 13, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Growth in the U.S. economy looks a little slower now than it did three months ago, according to 44 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Our panelists expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 3.2 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 3.5 percent. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, ...


Forecasters See Stronger Growth in 2011 and 2012
Posted: February 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy looks more positive now than it did just three months ago, according to 43 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 3.6 percent this quarter, up from the previous estimate of 2.4 percent. On an annual-average ...


Forecasters Predict Further Slowdown in Economic Recovery
Posted: November 15, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The pace of recovery in output and employment in the U.S. economy looks a little slower now than it did three months ago, according to 43 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 2.8 percent. On ...


Forecasters See Slower Pace of Economic Recovery
Posted: August 13, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did just three months ago, according to 36 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters see real GDP growing at an annual rate of 2.3 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 3.3 percent. On an annual-average over ...


Forecasters See Stronger Recovery
Posted: May 14, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy over the next few quarters looks stronger now than it did just three months ago, according to 44 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.3 percent over each of the next two quarters, up from the previous estimate of ...


Forecasters Expect Continued Growth
Posted: February 12, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy will grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent over each of the next five quarters, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters see stronger growth over the next three quarters than they projected in the survey of three months ago, but some of that upward revision will come at ...


Forecasters See the Expansion Continuing
Posted: November 16, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The U.S. economy will grow over each of the next five quarters, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters see real GDP growing at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, forecasters see real GDP falling 2.5 percent in 2009 before ...


Forecasters See Improved Prospects for Growth, But A More Sluggish Labor Market
Posted: August 14, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Upward revisions to the rate of growth in real GDP characterize the current outlook for the U.S economy over the next four years, according to 34 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters project growth at an annual rate of 2.4 percent this quarter, up from their previous estimate of 0.4 percent in the ...


Forecasters Expect Lower Growth and Higher Unemployment over the Next Two Years
Posted: May 15, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The economy looks weaker now than it did in February, according to 51 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters project lower real GDP growth and higher unemployment rates in 2009 and 2010 than they did three months ago. In the current year, the forecasters see the economy contracting at a rate of ...



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