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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201104



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Tempered
Posted: April 29, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER slackened but remained strong, indicating expanding economic activity for the nineteenth consecutive month. In response to special questions about the Japanese disaster, panelists reported minimal impact.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
NEW ORDERS and ORDER BACKLOGS eased ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Inched Upward
Posted: April 29, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Confidence inched upward in April as consumers thought that fuel prices would not rise enough to cause an economic downturn. While consumers still expect continued increases in gasoline prices, the April data indicated that consumers thought the rapid price run-up had largely ended. Nonetheless, half of all households reported that high fuel ...


Personal Income increased 0.5%, Spending up 0.6%
Posted: April 29, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $67.0 billion, or 0.5 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $64.4 billion, or 0.6 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $60.7 billion, or 0.6 percent. In February, personal income increased $53.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.6% in 1Q2011
Posted: April 29, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending March 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.4 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity Cools Down
Posted: April 29, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New York City business activity expanded at the slowest pace in almost two years, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index cooled down to 56.9 in Apr il from 66.4 in March.

Future optimism reached an eight-month low. The Six-Month Outlook index came in at ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Moderated
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity moderated somewhat in April, but remained solid. Most producers continued to report healthy expectations. Raw materials prices continued to rise, and more producers raised selling prices.

The month-over-month composite index was 14 in April, down from 27 in March and 19 in February. The ...


Pending Home Sales rose 5.1%
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

March saw another increase in pending home sales, with contract activity rising unevenly in six of the past nine months, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 5.1 percent to 94.1 in March from a downwardly revised 89.5 in February. The ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased 0.2%
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 16, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by +0.2 percent, which represents a fourth consecutive week of gains. In the latest week, more components posted declines than those that posted gains, but a healthy increase in inflation-adjusted chain store sales and a surge in mortgage activity beat all. ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 25,000 to 429,000
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 429,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 404,000. The 4-week moving average was 408,500, an increase of 9,250 from the previous week's revised average of 399,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved in March
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Led by gains in production indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to +0.26 in March from +0.16 in February. March marked the fourth consecutive positive reading of the index and the sixth consecutive positive contribution from employment-related indicators. Neither has exhibited such patterns since April 2006.

The ...


1Q2011 GDP advance estimate up 1.8%
Posted: April 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011 (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter) according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


FOMC target funds rate remains at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: April 27, 2011 at 12:30 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace and overall conditions in the labor market are improving gradually. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in nonresidential ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 2.5%, ex-trans up 1.3%
Posted: April 27, 2011 at 08:51 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in March increased $5.0 billion or 2.5 percent to $208.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up three consecutive months, followed a 0.7 percent February increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 2.3 ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 1.9%
Posted: April 27, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.9% in March, to a seasonally adjusted level of 85.0 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index increased 1.3% in February to 83.4. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) rose 0.7% in March. Regional output in March rose 12.5% from a ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 27, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 22, 2011. There was no adjustment made for Good Friday.

Purchase applications fell last week, driven primarily by a sharp decrease in government ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell 10 to 10
Posted: April 26, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded in April for the seventh straight month but at a more temperate pace than a month ago, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. All broad indicators — including shipments, new orders and employment — continued to grow but at a rate below March's pace. Other indicators were ...


Consumer Confidence Improved in April
Posted: April 26, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had decreased in March, improved in April. The Index now stands at 65.4 (1985=100), up from 63.8 in March. The Present Situation Index increased to 39.6 from 37.5. The Expectations Index rose to 82.6 from 81.3.

Consumer confidence, which had declined sharply in March, posted a modest gain ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show further deceleration
Posted: April 26, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through February 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show prices for the 10-and 20-city composites are lower than a year ago but still slightly above their April 2009 bottom. The 10-City Composite fell 2.6% and the 20-City Composite was down 3.3% ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.4% in April 23 Wk
Posted: April 26, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Retailers enjoyed another positive sales week as a result of consumers “hopping” to finalize their last minute Easter shopping. Overall, and being adjusted for seasonality, weekly retail sales increased by 0.4 percent for the week ending April 23, according to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. On a year-over-year basis, ...


New Home Sales in March at annual rate of 300,000
Posted: April 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Sales of new single-family houses in March 2011 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 300,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.1 percent (±21.7%) above the revised February rate of 270,000, but is 21.9 percent (±10.3%) below the ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Increases but at a Slower Pace
Posted: April 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, moved down from 24 to 8, suggesting slower growth in output.

Other measures of current manufacturing activity remained positive but retreated from their March levels. The capacity utilization and shipments indexes declined to readings of 10 and 8, respectively. The new orders index was positive for the sixth consecutive month, ...


March Mass Layoffs total 1,286 actions, 118,523 workers
Posted: April 22, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Employers took 1,286 mass layoff actions in March involving 118,523 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. The number of mass layoff events in ...


Philadelphia Fed April Outlook Indicators Suggest Slower Growth
Posted: April 21, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Results from the Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional manufacturing activity continued to grow in April but at a slower pace than in March. Nearly all of the survey’s broadest indicators remained positive but fell from their readings in the previous month. Increases in input prices continue to be widespread, and a significant ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.4%
Posted: April 21, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent in March to 114.1 (2004 = 100), following a 1.0 percent increase in February, and a 0.2 percent increase in January.

The U.S. LEI continued to increase in March, pointing to strengthening business conditions in the near term. The March increase was led by ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased 0.1%
Posted: April 21, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 9, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by +0.1 percent on top of a jump of +0.5 percent in the prior week. The consumption side of the barometer showed mixed results in the latest week where an increase in box office receipts and inflation-adjusted chain store sales was offset by a large decline ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 13,000 to 403,000
Posted: April 21, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 403,000, a decrease of 13,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 416,000. The 4-week moving average was 399,000, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Existing-Home Sales rose 3.7% in March
Posted: April 20, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of existing-home sales rose in March, continuing an uneven recovery that began after sales bottomed last July, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 3.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 20, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 5.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 15, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 5.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


March Housing starts up 7.2%, Permits up 11.2%
Posted: April 19, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 594,000. This is 11.2 percent (±2.6%) above the revised February rate of 534,000, but is 13.3 percent (±1.3%) below the March 2010 estimate of 685,000. Single-family authorizations in March were at a rate of ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.3% in Apr 16 Wk
Posted: April 19, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

With economic crosswinds stronger in recent weeks consumer confidence grew giving retailers another week of positive sales results. Being adjusted for seasonality and calendar shifts, weekly retail sales rose by 0.3 percent for the week ending April 16, according to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. On a year-over-year ...


Builder Confidence Slips Back a Notch in April
Posted: April 18, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes slipped back one notch to 16 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for April, released today. The index has now held at 16 for five of the last six months.

While builders in some areas are starting to see a pickup in traffic ...


Industrial Production increased 0.8%
Capacity Utilization up to 77.4%

Posted: April 15, 2011 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production increased 0.8 percent in March and rose at an annual rate of 6.0 percent for the first quarter as a whole. Manufacturing output advanced 0.7 percent in March, its fourth consecutive month of strong expansion; factory production climbed at an annual rate of 9.1 percent in the first quarter. Outside of manufacturing, the ...


Treasury International Capital Data for February 2011
Posted: April 15, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for February 2011. Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $26.9 billion.

Net foreign purchases of long-term U.S. securities were $32.4 billion. Of this, net purchases by private foreign investors were $12.2 billion, and net purchases ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.5% in March, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: April 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Gasoline and food prices continued to rise and together accounted for ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.6% in March
Posted: April 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees declined by 0.6 percent from February to March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decrease stemmed from the 0.5 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), while average hourly earnings remained unchanged.

Real ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Improved Faster
Posted: April 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers improved at an accelerated pace in April. The general business conditions index rose for a fifth consecutive month, reaching 21.7, its highest level in a year. The new orders index jumped 17 points, to 22.3, and the shipments index shot up 27 points to ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased 0.5%
Posted: April 14, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 2, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer jumped by +0.5 percent, on top of an upward revised increase of +0.2 percent in the prior week (originally reported as +0.1%). Consumers came out swinging in the week that kicks off the second quarter. Inflation-adjusted retail sales, mortgage activity, and box office ...


Producer Price Index up 0.7% in March, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: April 14, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.7 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This advance followed a 1.6-percent increase in February and a 0.8-percent gain in January. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods climbed 1.5 ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 27,000 to 412,000
Posted: April 14, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 412,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 385,000. The 4-week moving average was 395,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of 390,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity Continues to Improve
Posted: April 13, 2011 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicated that economic activity generally continued to improve since the last report. While many Districts described the improvements as only moderate, most Districts stated that gains were widespread across sectors, and Kansas City described its economic gains as solid. Manufacturing continued ...


Business Inventories up 0.5% in February
Posted: April 13, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales. The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for February, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,174.2 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2%)* from January 2011 and up 10.9 percent (±0.5%) from February ...


Job Openings were 3.1 million in February
Posted: April 13, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

There were 3.1 million job openings on the last business day of February 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The job openings rate (2.3 percent) increased over the month. The hires rate (3.0 percent) and total separations rate (2.9 percent) were little changed over the month. This release includes estimates of the number ...


U.S. Retail Sales for March up 0.4%, Ex-Auto up 0.8%
Posted: April 13, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for March, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $389.3 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 7.1 percent (±0.7%) above March 2010. Total ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 13, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 8, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in February 2011
Posted: April 12, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $45.8 billion in February from $47.0 billion (revised) in January, as imports decreased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total February exports of $165.1 ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 2.7% in March
Posted: April 12, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. import prices rose 2.7 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 1.4 percent advance in February. The March increase was driven by both higher fuel and nonfuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports increased 1.5 percent in March after rising 1.4 percent the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped to 91.9
Posted: April 12, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gave up 2.6 points in March, falling to 91.9. Four components rose or were unchanged, while six lost ground. The “hard” components of the Index (job creation, job openings, capital spending plans and inventory plans) added two points while the “soft” components (the other six in the table above) gave up ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.1% in Apr 9 Wk
Posted: April 12, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

As expected the Easter sales shift shifted into gear giving retailers an inflated unadjusted year-over-year rise and adding volatility to the weekly performance. However adjusted for seasonality and calendar shifts weekly retail sales increased slightly (0.1%) for the week ending April 9, according to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain ...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.0% in February
Posted: April 8, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that February 2011 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $379.0 billion, down 0.8 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised January level, but were up 13.7 percent ...


Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3.75%
Posted: April 7, 2011 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3-3/4 percent in February 2011. Nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-3/4 percent, while revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 4 percent.

...



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