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Category: Research - Topic: Economics


NAHB Builder Confidence climbed 3 points to 51 in March 2024
Posted: March 18, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

A lack of existing inventory that continues to drive buyers to new home construction, coupled with strong demand and mortgage rates below last fall’s cycle peak helped push builder sentiment above a key marker in March.

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes climbed three points to 51 in March, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. This is the highest level since July 2023 and marks ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary March 2024 Results up to 76.5
Posted: March 15, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment moved little this month with a 0.4 index point decrease that is well within the margin of error, and thus sentiment has been steady and essentially unchanged since January 2024. Sentiment remained almost 25% above November 2023 and is currently halfway between the historic low reached during the peak of inflation in June ...


February 2024 Industrial Production edged up 0.1%, Capacity Utilization remained at 78.3%
Posted: March 15, 2024 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent in February after declining 0.5 percent in January. In February, the output of manufacturing rose 0.8 percent and the index for mining climbed 2.2 percent. Both gains partly reflected recoveries from weather-related declines in January. The index for utilities fell 7.5 percent in February because ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.3% in February 2024
Posted: March 15, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices rose 0.3 percent in February, after advancing 0.8 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics reported today. Higher prices for both nonfuel and fuel imports contributed to the overall
increase. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.8 percent in February following a 0.9-percent increase ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions continued to decline in March 2024
Posted: March 15, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity continued to decline in New York State, according to firms responding to the March 2024 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell nineteen points to -20.9. Demand softened as new orders declined significantly, and shipments were lower. Unfilled orders continued to shrink, and ...


Business Inventories down 1.3% in January 2024
Posted: March 14, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for January, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,833.3 billion, down 1.3 percent (±0.2 percent) from December 2023 and was down 1.2 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.6% in February 2024, ex Fd & Engy rose 0.3%
Posted: March 14, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.6 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices increased 0.3 percent in January and edged down 0.1 percent in December 2023. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index advanced 1.6 percent for the 12 months ...


U.S. Retail Sales for February 2024 up 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.3%
Posted: March 14, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $700.7 billion, up 0.6 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and up 1.5 percent (±0.7 percent) above February 2023. Total sales for the December 2023 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 209,000
Posted: March 14, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 209,000, a decrease of 1,000
from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 7,000 from 217,000 to 210,000.
The 4-week moving average was 208,000, a decrease of 500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in February 2024 to 155.8
Posted: March 13, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board−Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index rose in February 2024 to 155.8 (July 2018=100), up from an upwardly revised 151.1 in January. The 3.1 percent increase between February and January followed a 0.3 percent decrease between January and December. Overall, the Index is down 7.3 percent from one ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 13, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 7.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 8, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 7.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in February 2024, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.4%
Posted: March 12, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, after rising 0.3 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.2 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.4% in February 2024
Posted: March 12, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

All employees

Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.4 percent from January to February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.1 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 89.4 in February 2024
Posted: March 12, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in February to 89.4, marking the 26th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Twenty-three percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important business problem in operating their business, up three points from last month and replacing labor quality ...


Employment Trends Index decreased in February 2024 to 112.29
Posted: March 11, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased in February to 112.29, from a downwardly revised 113.18 in January. The Employment Trends Index is a leading composite index for employment. When the Index increases, employment is likely to grow as well, and vice versa. Turning points in the Index indicate that a change in the trend ...


February 2024 Employment rose by 275,000
Unemployment Rate increased to 3.9%

Posted: March 8, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 4.7% in January 2024
Posted: March 7, 2024 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

In January, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.7 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7.6 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 3.6 percent.

...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Unch at 217,000
Posted: March 7, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, unchanged from the
previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 215,000 to 217,000. The 4-week
moving average was 212,250, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous ...


Goods and Services Deficit increased in January 2024
Posted: March 7, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $67.4 billion in January, up $3.3 billion from $64.2 billion in December, revised.

Exports, Imports, and Balance
January exports were $257.2 billion, $0.3 billion more than December exports. January imports were $324.6 billion, $3.6 billion more than December imports. ...


4Q2023 Productivity Growth increased 3.2%
Posted: March 7, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.5 percent and hours worked increased 0.3 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the same quarter a year ago, ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 84,638 Job Cuts in February 2024
Posted: March 7, 2024 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 84,638 cuts in February, up 3% from the 82,307 cuts announced one month prior. It is 9% higher than the 77,770 cuts announced in the same month in 2023, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
Challenger, Gray ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 6, 2024 at 03:30 PM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 9.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 1, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity increased slightly since early January
Posted: March 6, 2024 at 03:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity increased slightly, on balance, since early January, with eight Districts reporting slight to modest growth in activity, three others reporting no change, and one District noting a slight softening. Consumer spending, particularly on retail goods, inched down in recent weeks. Several reports cited heightened price sensitivity ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.3% in January 2024
Posted: March 6, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

January 2024 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $657.2 billion, down 1.7 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised December level and were down 1.5 percent (±0.9 percent) from the revised January ...


Job Openings changed little at 8.9 million in January 2024
Posted: March 6, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings changed little at 8.9 million on the last business day of January, the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations
were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.4 million)
and layoffs and discharges ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 140,000 jobs in February 2024
Posted: March 6, 2024 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 140,000 jobs in February and annual pay was up 5.1 percent year-over-year, according to the February ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab (“Stanford ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 3.6% in January 2024
Posted: March 5, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Summary
New orders for manufactured goods in January, down three of the last four months, decreased $21.5 billion or 3.6 percent to $569.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.3 percent December decrease. Shipments, down four of the last five months, decreased $5.7 billion or 1.0 percent to $572.3 billion. ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decrease to 52.6% in January 2024
Posted: March 5, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Economic activity in the services sector expanded in February for the 14th consecutive month as the Services PMI® registered 52.6 percent, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®. The sector has grown in 44 of the last 45 months, with the lone contraction in ...


Paychex-IHS Markit Small Business Jobs Index down to 100.67 in February 2024
Posted: March 5, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. Small Businesses Continue to Show Moderate Job Growth and Wage Inflation Continues to Moderate. According to the Paychex Small Business Employment Watch, year-over-year hourly earnings growth for U.S. workers moderated to 3.42% in February, continuing a trend that began mid-2022. Small business job growth held steady from last month, with ...


Construction Spending decreased 0.2% in January 2024
Posted: March 1, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Total Construction
Construction spending during January 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,102.4 billion, 0.2 percent (±0.8 percent)* below the revised December estimate of $2,105.8 billion. The January figure is 11.7 percent (±1.5 percent) above the January 2023 estimate of ...


ISM Manufacturing Index down at 47.8% in February 2024
Posted: March 1, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted in February for the 16th consecutive month following one month of “unchanged” status (a PMI® reading of 50 percent) and 28 months of growth prior to that, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence fell in February 2024 to 76.9
Posted: March 1, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was virtually unchanged in February, slipping just two index points and solidifying the large gains from December and January, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Consumers continue to express more confidence about the economy than they did last fall, confirming the considerable improvements in December and January across various aspects of the economy, said U-M economist Joanne Hsu, director of the Surveys of Consumers. ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined slightly in February 2024
Posted: February 29, 2024 at 02:16 PM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined slightly in February, and expectations for future activity moderated but remained slightly positive. Price growth for raw materials slowed somewhat this month and finished product prices also eased, although future increases are expected. On a year-over-year basis, both price indexes increased ...


Pending Home Sales dropped 4.9% in January 2024
Posted: February 29, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales in January dropped 4.9%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Northeast and West posted monthly gains in transactions while the Midwest and South recorded losses. All four U.S. regions registered year-over-year decreases.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – decreased to 74.3 in January. Year over year, pending transactions were down 8.8%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. ...


Personal Income Increased 1.0%, Spending Increased 0.2% in January 2024
Posted: February 29, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $233.7 billion (1.0 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 2 and 3). Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $67.6 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 13,000 to 215,000
Posted: February 29, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending February 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 215,000, an increase of
13,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 201,000 to
202,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,500, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised ...


4Q2023 GDP preliminary estimate increased 3.2%
Posted: February 28, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2023 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.9 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.3 percent. The update primarily reflected a downward revision to private inventory ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 28, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 23, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity was flat to −5 in February 2024
Posted: February 27, 2024 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity was flat in February, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index increased from −15 in January to −5 in February. Of its three component indexes, shipments remained solidly negative at −15, new orders increased from −16 to −5, and ...


Consumer Confidence fell in February 2024 to 106.7
Posted: February 27, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® fell in February to 106.7 (1985=100), down from a revised 110.9 in January. February’s decline in the Index occurred after three consecutive months of gains. However, as January was revised downward from the preliminary reading of 114.8, the data now suggest that there was not a material breakout ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices decrease 0.4% in December 2023
Posted: February 27, 2024 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for December 2023 show that 17 out of the 20 major metro markets reported month- over-month price ...


January 2024 New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 6.1%, Ex-Trans down 0.3%
Posted: February 27, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in January, down three of the last four months, decreased $18.0 billion or 6.1 percent to $276.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This followed a 0.3 percent December decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


New Home Sales in January 2024 at annual rate of 661,000
Posted: February 26, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in January 2024 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 661,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 1.5 percent (±19.9 percent)* above the revised December rate of 651,000 and is 1.8 percent ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity stabilized in February 2024
Posted: February 26, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity stabilized in February after contracting in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rebounded 16 points to 1.0. The near-zero reading suggests flat output month ...


Existing-Home Sales Increased 3.1% in January 2024
Posted: February 22, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales grew in January, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Among the four major U.S. regions, sales accelerated in the Midwest, South and West, and remained steady in the Northeast. Year-over-year, sales improved in the West, and decreased in the Northeast, Midwest ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 12,000 to 201,000
Posted: February 22, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending February 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 201,000, a decrease of
12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 212,000 to
213,000. The 4-week moving average was 215,250, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests economic growth decreased in January 2024
Posted: February 22, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.30 in January from +0.02 in December. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index decreased from December, and three categories made negative contributions in January. The index's three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased to –0.02 in ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity was mostly steady in February 2024
Posted: February 21, 2024 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Firms responding to the February Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated mostly steady business activity. The index for general activity at the firm level declined to a near-zero reading. The index for sales/revenues was little changed, while the index for new orders turned negative. On balance, the firms continued to report an ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 21, 2024 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 10.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 16, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 10.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index fell by 0.4% in January 2024
Posted: February 20, 2024 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. fell by 0.4 percent in January 2024 to 102.7 (2016=100), following a 0.2 percent decline in December 2023. The LEI contracted by 3.0 percent over the six-month period between July 2023 and January 2024, a smaller decrease than the 4.1 percent decline over the previous ...



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