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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201209



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell to 49.7
Posted: September 28, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the Chicago Business Barometer fell to 49.7, its lowest level in three years. Among the Business Activity measures, five of seven posted declines as New Orders fell below 50 and Order Backlogs contracted for the fourth of the past five months. Prices Paid showed the biggest gain in nearly two years ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Rose to 78.3
Posted: September 28, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence improved substantially in the September survey due to more favorable prospects for the national economy. Importantly, consumers expected the economy to create more jobs in the year ahead. The overall rise in confidence was aided by higher stock prices as well as rising home values. The majority of consumers, however, ...


Personal Income increased 0.1%, Spending increased 0.5%
Posted: September 28, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $15.0 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $12.5 billion, or 0.1 percent, in August, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $57.2 billion, or 0.5 percent. In July, personal income increased $18.5 billion, or 0.1 percent, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Slowed Somewhat
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity slowed somewhat in September, although producers expectations for future activity remained relatively positive. Direct impacts from the economic situation in Europe remained minimal overall. However, a few respondents indicated business conditions have deteriorated further with European customers ...


Pending Home Sales Index declined 2.6%
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

After reaching a two-year peak, pending home sales fell in August but are at elevated levels compared with a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, declined 2.6 percent to 99.2 in August from an upwardly revised 101.9 in July but is 10.7 percent above August 2011 when it was 89.6. The data reflect contracts but not closings. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Decreased by 1.1%
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 15, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 1.1 percent following a 1.1 percent increase in the prior week. In contrast to increases in the production side last week, many industries declined this week. Auto and Truck Productions dropped largely after rising by more than 10 percent, respectively. ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 13.2%, Ex-Trans Down 1.6%
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in August decreased $30.1 billion or 13.2 percent to $198.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following three consecutive monthly increases, was the largest decrease since January 2009 and followed a 3.3 percent July increase. Excluding transportation, new ...


2Q2012 GDP Final estimate up 1.3%
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.3 percent in the second quarter of 2012 (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 26,000 to 359,000
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 359,000, a decrease of 26,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 385,000. The 4-week moving average was 374,000, a decrease of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index Decreased 1.2%
Posted: September 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) decreased 1.2% in August, to a seasonally adjusted level of 94.1 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was up 1.5% in July. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) decreased 0.7% in August. Regional output rose 10.1% in August from a year earlier, ...


New Home Sales in August at annual rate of 373,000
Posted: September 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in August 2012 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 373,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 0.3 percent (±9.3%)* below the revised July rate of 374,000, but is 27.7 percent (±18.8%) above the August ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 26, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 2.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 21, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 3 ...


Consumer Confidence rose in Sept to 70.3
Posted: September 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in August, improved in September. The Index now stands at 70.3 (1985=100), up from 61.3 in August. The Expectations Index increased to 83.7 from 71.1. The Present Situation Index rose to 50.2 from 46.5 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index gained 13 to 4
Posted: September 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region firmed somewhat in September, following three months of contraction, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. The seasonally adjusted index of overall activity edged higher as positive readings for shipments and new orders offset the negative reading for employment. Modest improvement ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increased 1.5%
Posted: September 25, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through July 2012, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed average home prices increased by 1.5% for the 10-City Composite and by 1.6% for the 20-City Composite in July versus June 2012. For the third consecutive month, all 20 cities and ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 0.6% in Sept 22 Wk
Posted: September 25, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC‐Goldman Sachs (ICSC‐GS) chain store sales index for the week ending September 22 rose by 0.6% from the prior week and its year‐over‐year momentum also accelerated to 2.9% from 2.1% in the prior week. The ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey found that overall customer traffic strengthened during this past week compared with either last ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Growth Picks Up in September
Posted: September 24, 2012 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose from 6.4 to 10, suggesting stronger output growth.

Other measures of current manufacturing activity also indicated growth in September. The new orders index rose to 5.3 following a reading of zero last month, suggesting a pickup in demand. The capacity utilization index advanced from 1.7 to 9.3, largely due to fewer ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Weakened in August
Posted: September 24, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.87 in August from –0.12 in July. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index deteriorated from July, with each making a negative contribution to the index ...


August Mass Layoffs total 1,267 actions, 127,454 workers
Posted: September 21, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Employers took 1,267 mass layoff actions in August involving 127,454 workers as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. Mass layoff events in August decreased by 73 from July, and ...


Philadelphia Fed August Outlook Suggest Flat Growth
Posted: September 20, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Firms responding to the September Business Outlook Survey reported nearly flat business activity this month. The survey’s indicators for general activity and new orders both improved from last month but recorded levels near zero. Firms reported continuing declines in shipments, employment, and hours worked. Indicators for the firms’ ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index declined 0.1%
Posted: September 20, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1 percent in August to 95.7 (2004 = 100), following a 0.5 percent increase in July, and a 0.5 percent decline in June.

The U.S. LEI has declined in three of the last six months. While its six-month growth rate has slowed substantially, it still remains in growth territory due to positive contributions from the financial components including stock prices, yield spread and the Leading Credit ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Increased by 1.1%
Posted: September 20, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 8, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 1.1 percent following a 0.2 percent decrease in the prior week. On the production side, most of the industries showed increases, except Bituminous and Lignite Production which has been decreasing for three consecutive weeks. In particular Auto and Truck ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 3,000 to 382,000
Posted: September 20, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 382,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 385,000. The 4-week moving average was 377,750, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


Existing-Home Sales increased 7.8% in August
Posted: September 19, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales continued to improve in August and the national median price rose on a year-over-year basis for the sixth straight month, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 7.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.82 million in August from 4.47 million in July, and are 9.3 percent higher than the ...


August Housing Starts up 2.3%, Permits down 1.0%
Posted: September 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 803,000. This is 1.0 percent (±1.2%) below the revised July rate of 811,000, but is 24.5 percent (±1.7%) above the August 2011 estimate of 645,000. Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 19, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 14, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from ...


Builder Confidence Continues to Gain Momentum in September
Posted: September 18, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose for a fifth consecutive month in September to a level of 40 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This latest three-point gain brings the index to its highest reading since June ...


Treasury International Capital Data for July 2012
Posted: September 18, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2012. The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $73.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $59.0 billion, and ...


2Q12 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: September 18, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—decreased to $117.4 billion (preliminary) in the second quarter from $133.6 billion (revised) in the first quarter. The decrease in the current-account deficit was accounted for by a decrease in the deficit on ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales down 2.5% in Sept 15 Wk
Posted: September 18, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC‐Goldman Sachs (ICSC‐GS) chain store sales index for the week ending September 15 tumbled 2.5% from the prior week and its year‐over‐year momentum slowed sharply to 2.1% from 3.4% in the prior week. The ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey found that overall customer traffic weakened appreciably and across the board by store type during ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Continue to Weaken
Posted: September 17, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The September Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to weaken. The general business conditions index slipped another five points to -10.4, its second consecutive negative reading. The new orders index fell nine points to -14.0, its third straight negative reading. Both of these ...


Business Inventories up 0.8% in July
Posted: September 14, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for July, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,240.6 billion, up 0.9 percent (±0.1%) from June 2012 and up 2.8 percent (±0.3%) from ...


Industrial Production fell 1.2%
Capacity Utilization decreased to 78.2%

Posted: September 14, 2012 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production fell 1.2 percent in August after having risen 0.5 percent in July. Hurricane Isaac restrained output in the Gulf Coast region at the end of August, reducing the rate of change in total industrial production by an estimated 0.3 percentage point. Manufacturing output decreased 0.7 percent in August after having risen ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.6% in Aug, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: September 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.6 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index was the largest ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.7% in Aug
Posted: September 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees fell 0.7 percent from July to August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline resulted from unchanged average hourly earnings combined with a 0.6 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


U.S. Retail Sales for August up 0.9%, Ex-Auto up 0.8%
Posted: September 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $406.7 billion, an increase of 0.9 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 4.7 percent (±0.7%) above August 2011. Total ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: September 13, 2012 at 02:15 PM (Thursday)

FOMC target funds rate at 0 - 1/4% and will increase MBS holdings
Posted: September 13, 2012 at 12:30 PM (Thursday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that economic activity has continued to expand at a moderate pace in recent months. Growth in employment has been slow, and the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending has continued to advance, but growth in business fixed investment appears to ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Decreased by 0.1%
Posted: September 13, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 1, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped slightly by 0.1 percent following a 0.1 percent pickup in the prior week. Decreases were seen in many of industries this week, except Electric Output and Box Office Receipts. Auto Production decreased sharply by 3.4 percent for the first time in eight weeks ...


Producer Price Index up 1.7% in August, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: September 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 1.7 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase followed advances of 0.3 percent in July and 0.1 percent in June, and marks the largest monthly rise since a 1.9-percent increase in June 2009. At the earlier stages of processing, ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 15,000 to 382,000
Posted: September 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 382,000, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 367,000. The 4-week moving average was 375,000, an increase of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Wholesale Inventories Up 0.7% in July
Posted: September 12, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that July 2012 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $402.4 billion, down 0.1 percent (+/-0.4)* from the revised June level, but were up 2.7 percent (+/-0.7%) ...


U.S. Import Price Index Rose 0.7% in August
Posted: September 12, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices rose 0.7 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after declining 0.7 percent the previous month. The August increase was the first advance in overall import prices since a 1.4 percent rise in March. Export prices also increased in August, rising 0.9 percent following a 0.4 percent advance ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 12, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 11.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 7, 2012. This week’s results include the customary upward adjustment for the Labor Day ...


Job Openings were 3.7 million in July
Posted: September 11, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.7 million job openings on the last business day of July, little changed from June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.2 percent) and separations rate (3.0 percent) were also little changed in July. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in July 2012
Posted: September 11, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

he Nation’s international trade balance in goods and services worsened to -$42.0 billion in July from -$41.9 billion in June (revised), as exports decreased more than imports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total July exports of $183.3 billion and imports of $225.3 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $42.0 billion, up from $41.9 billion in ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 1.0% in Sept 8 Wk
Posted: September 11, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC‐Goldman Sachs (ICSC‐GS) chain store sales index for the week ending September 8 rose smartly by 1.0% from the prior week, although its year‐over‐year momentum moderated to 3.4%. The ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey found that overall customer traffic was stronger during this past week with relatively steady (and healthy) demand at ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 1.7 points to 92.9
Posted: September 11, 2012 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Optimism Index gained 1.7 points, rising to 92.9. Although an improvement, the number is still another solid recession reading. There were some positive signs however, the employment indicators for the fourth quarter improved substantially as did plans for capital outlays. However, few think the current period is a good time to expand at ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 1.50%
Posted: September 10, 2012 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

In July, total consumer credit decreased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1-1/2 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate 6-3/4 percent, and nonrevolving credit increased at an annnual rate of 1 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index Edged Up in August to 108.59
Posted: September 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) improved slightly in August for the second month. The index now stands at 108.59, up from the revised figure of 108.04 in July. The August figure is 6.2 percent higher than a year ago.

Despite this month’s rise, the Employment Trends Index has barely increased since February, suggesting that slow job growth will continue in the short-term. Economic activity expanded by less than a 2 percent rate in recent months, and this pace is likely to continue ...



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