Research >> Economics

Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201409


Consumer Confidence declined in September to 86.0
Posted: September 30, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in August, declined in September. The Index now stands at 86.0 (1985=100), down from 93.4 in August. The Present Situation Index decreased to 89.4 from 93.9, while the Expectations Index dropped to 83.7 from 93.1 ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index decreased 3.8 points to 60.5 in September
Posted: September 30, 2014 at 09:45 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Business Barometer decreased 3.8 points to a still robust 60.5 in September, as Production and New Orders slowed while firms reported a record rise in stocks and a sharp increase in input prices.

With the latest fall, the Barometer ended Q3 at an average of 59.1, down from the weather boosted 63.7 rate seen in Q2, but still showing the US economy is growing at a healthy clip. ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.6% in July
Posted: September 30, 2014 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through July 2014, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show a significant slowdown in price increases. Nineteen of the 20 cities saw lower annual returns in July. Las Vegas, Miami and San Francisco were the only cities to report double-digit ...


Paychex-IHS Small Business Jobs Index decreased to 100.85 in September
Posted: September 30, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

While the Paychex | IHS Small Business Jobs Index grew 0.13 percent in the past 12 months through September, the national index decreased to 100.85 with the pace of small business employment growth continuing to slow slightly. Coming off its April peak of 101.26, the index is still trending higher than any quarter prior to 2014, ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased by 0.2% in Sept 27 Wk
Posted: September 30, 2014 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index increased 3.6% for the week ending September 27 - relative to the prior year. On a week-over-week basis, sales declined slightly by 0.2%.

"Weather generally was not favorable for seasonal demand, but business was brisk for a number of retail segments," said Michael Niemira, ICSC research consultant. "According to the ICSC-GS consumer tracking survey business was very strong for wholesale clubs, dollar stores, ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity increased again in September
Posted: September 29, 2014 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased again in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose markedly from 6.8 to 17.6, indicating output grew at a faster pace than ...


Pending Home Sales Index declined 1.0% in August
Posted: September 29, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales slowed modestly in August but contract signings remain at their second-highest level over the past year, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions experienced declines except for the West, which rose for the fourth ...


Personal Income increased 0.3%, Spending increased 0.5%
Posted: September 29, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $47.3 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $35.2 billion, or 0.3 percent, in August, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $57.5 billion, or 0.5 percent. In July, personal income increased $35.9 billion, or 0.2 percent, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in September to 82.5
Posted: September 26, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence posted a healthy September gain due to more favorable prospects for the domestic economy as well as more favorable personal income expectations. The September reading, the second highest in the last seven years, points toward renewed strength in consumer spending. While the September rebound brought confidence back to ...


2Q2014 GDP final estimate increased 4.6%
Posted: September 26, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 4.6 percent in the second quarter of 2014, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity edged higher in Sept
Posted: September 25, 2014 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity edged higher in September, and producers’ expectations for future activity maintained the solid level of the previous survey. Price indexes showed a mild decline from the previous month, and expectations for future price growth were mixed. Several firms continued to comment about difficulties ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer slumped by 0.9%
Posted: September 25, 2014 at 10:06 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 13 2014, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer slumped by 0.9 percent to 98.4, wiping out the gain of 0.7 percent from last week. The biggest factor that contributed to the performance of this week’s barometer was chain store sales, which plummeted by a sharp 2.5 percent, after three consecutive weeks of ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 12,000 to 293,000
Posted: September 25, 2014 at 08:37 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 293,000, an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 280,000 to 281,000. The 4-week moving average was 298,500, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 18.2%, Ex-Trans Up 0.7%
Posted: September 25, 2014 at 08:32 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in August decreased $54.5 billion or 18.2 percent to $245.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following two consecutive monthly increases, followed a 22.5 percent July increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7 percent. Excluding defense, new ...


New Home Sales in August at annual rate of 504,000
Posted: September 24, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in August 2014 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 504,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 18.0 percent (±16.3%) above the revised July rate of 427,000 and is 33.0 percent (±21.7%) above the August ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 24, 2014 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 19, 2014.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index up to a reading of 14
Posted: September 23, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity continued to grow at a moderate pace in September, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments and the volume of new orders picked up this month. Manufacturing employment also strengthened this month, while average wages rose at a slower pace and the average ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased by 0.1% in Sept 20 Wk
Posted: September 23, 2014 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index increased 4.1% for the week ending September 20 - relative to the prior year. On a week-over-week basis, sales increased 0.1%.

"According to the ICSC-GS consumer tracking survey business over the past week was strong for apparel stores, dollar stores, wholesale clubs and discounters. Business was also strong at electronic stores - possibly buoyed by the release of Apple's iPhone 6," said Michael ...


Existing-Home Sales decreased 1.8% in August
Posted: September 22, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

After four consecutive months of gains, existing-home sales slipped in August as investors paying in cash retreated from the market, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales increases in the Northeast and Midwest were outweighed by declines in the South ...


Chicago Fed National Activity decelerated in August
Posted: September 22, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.21 in August from +0.26 in July. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from July, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.2%
Posted: September 19, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in August to 103.8 (2004 = 100), following a 1.1 percent increase in July, and a 0.7 percent increase in June.

The LEI continued to rise in August, although at a slower rate than in July. The LEI’s six-month growth trend has been held back slightly by lackluster contributions from housing permits and new orders for nondefense capital orders. Despite concerns about investment picking ...


Philadelphia September Outlook Suggests continued expansion
Posted: September 18, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Firms responding to the Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated continued growth in the region’s manufacturing sector in September. Although the current activity index fell from its relatively high reading in August, the other broad indicators increased from their readings last month. The survey’s indicators for future ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.7%
Posted: September 18, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 6 2014, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.7 percent to 99.3 from last week, reaching the second highest level since the Great Recession (the highest peak was in July 5 this year). This week’s barometer is driven by both consumption and production indexes. Chain store sales jumped 0.8 percent after ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 36,000 to 280,000
Posted: September 18, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 13, the a dvance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 280,000, a decrease of 36,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 315,000 to 316,000. The 4-week moving average was 299,500, a decrease of 4 ,750 from the previous week's revised average. ...


August Housing Starts down 14.4%, Permits down 5.6%
Posted: September 18, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 998,000. This is 5.6 percent (±1.4%) below the revised July rate of 1,057,000, but is 5.3 percent (±1.7%) above the August 2013 estimate of 948,000. Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate still 0 - 1/4%, QE now $15 bil
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July suggests that economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace. On balance, labor market conditions improved somewhat further; however, the unemployment rate is little changed and a range of labor market indicators suggests that there remains significant underutilization ...


Builder Confidence rises 4 points in September to 59
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose for a fourth consecutive month in September to a level of 59 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This latest four-point gain brings the index to its highest reading since November ...


2Q2014 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—a net measure of transactions between the United States and the rest of the world in goods, services, primary income (investment income and compensation), and secondary income (current transfers)—decreased to $98.5 billion (preliminary) in the second quarter of 2014 from $102.1 billion (revised) in the ...


Consumer Price Index decreased 0.2% in August, Ex Fd & Engy was unch%
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.2 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The seasonally adjusted decline in the all items index was the first since April 2013. The indexes for food and shelter rose, but the increases were more than offset by declines in energy indexes, especially gasoline. The energy index fell 2.6 percent, with the gasoline ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased by 0.4% in August
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased by 0.4 percent from July to August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase stems from a 0.2 percent increase in the average hourly earnings and a 0.2 percent decrease in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). The change ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 17, 2014 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 7.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 12, 2014. The previous week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Treasury International Capital Data for July 2014
Posted: September 16, 2014 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2014. The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $57.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $84.9 billion, and ...


Producer Price Index was unch% in August, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: September 16, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.1 percent in July and 0.4 percent in June. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand increased 1.8 percent for the 12 months ended in ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales dropped by 2.6% in Sept 13 Wk
Posted: September 16, 2014 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index increased 3.0% for the week ending September 13 - relative to the prior year. On a week-over-week basis, sales dropped 2.6%.

"According to the ICSC-GS consumer tracking survey business over the past week was healthy overall and strong for wholesale clubs, dollar, discount, electronics, and furniture stores," said Michael Niemira, ICSC research consultant. "This past week saw the tail end of back ...


Industrial Production edged down 0.1%
Capacity Utilization decreased 0.3% to 78.8%

Posted: September 15, 2014 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

The index of industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in August, and the index for manufacturing output decreased 0.4 percent; the declines were the first for each since January. The gains in July for both indexes were revised down. The declines in total industrial production and in manufacturing output in August reflected a decrease of ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded at a robust pace
Posted: September 15, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The September 2014 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity expanded at a robust pace for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index rose thirteen points to 27.5, a multiyear high. The new orders index moved up three points to 16.9, and the shipments index advanced two points to 27.1. ...


Business Inventories up 0.4% in July
Posted: September 12, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for July, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,360.3 billion, up 0.8 percent (±0.2%) from June 2014 and were up 5.3 percent (±0.6%) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.9% in August
Posted: September 12, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Prices for U.S. imports decreased 0.9 percent in August following a 0.3-percent decline in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Both the August and July drops in overall import prices were driven by lower fuel prices. U.S. export prices declined 0.5 percent in August, after ticking up 0.1 percent the ...


U.S. Retail Sales for August increase 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.3%
Posted: September 12, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $444.4 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 5.0 percent (±0.9%) above August 2013. Total ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer unch%
Posted: September 11, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 30 2014, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer remained at the same level, 98.6, from the prior week as minor gains in most indexes were entirely cancelled out by sharp drops in others. On one side, electric output and lumber production rose by 1.7 and 1.8 percent, respectively, in line with other minor gains in truck ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 11,000 to 315,000
Posted: September 11, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 6, the ad vance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 315,000, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 302,000 to 304,000. The 4-week moving average was 304,000, an increase of 750 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in July
Posted: September 10, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that July 2014 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $458.6 billion, up 0.7 percent (+/-0.5) from the revised June level and were up 7.5 percent (+/-1.8%) from ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 10, 2014 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 7.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 5, 2014. This week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Job Openings were 4.7 million in July
Posted: September 9, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 4.7 million job openings on the last business day of July, little changed from June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.5 percent) and the separations rate (3.3 percent) were unchanged in July. Within separations, the quits rate (1.8 percent) and the layoffs and discharges rate (1.2 percent) ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased by 0.7% in Sept 6 Wk
Posted: September 9, 2014 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index increased 4.0% for the week ending September 6 - relative to the prior year. On a week-over-week basis, sales popped up by 0.7%.

"According to the ICSC-GS consumer tracking survey business over the past week was healthy overall and strong for department, apparel, discount, electronics and furniture stores," said Michael Niemira, ICSC research consultant. "September tends to have the third highest ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.4 points to 96.1
Posted: September 9, 2014 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

August’s Optimism Index rose 0.4 points to 96.1 making it the second highest reading since October 2007. Expectations are still glum, although improving grudgingly. More owners still think business conditions will be worse in six months than think they will be better. Few see the current period as a good time to expand. The outlook ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 9.75%
Posted: September 8, 2014 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

In July, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 9-3/4 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 10-1/2 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index increased in August to 121.29
Posted: September 8, 2014 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in August. The index now stands at 121.29, up from 120.62 (an upward revision) in July. This represents a 6.4 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

The strong increase in the Employment Trends Index in recent months signals robust job growth through the fall. The disappointing employment numbers for August seem to be a one-month deviation from a stronger trend. ...


August Employment increased by 142,000
Unemployment Rate dropped to 6.1%

Posted: September 5, 2014 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 142,000 in August, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 6.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services and in health care.

In August, both the unemployment rate (6.1 percent) and the number of unemployed persons (9.6 million) changed little. Over the year, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed persons were down by 1.1 percentage points and 1.7 million, respectively. ...



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