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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201501



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index edged up 0.6 point to 59.4 in January
Posted: January 30, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business Barometer stabilised in January following two consecutive monthly declines, with continued firm growth in orders and output driving employment to a 14-month high. The Chicago Business Barometer edged up 0.6 point to 59.4 in January from a revised 58.8 in December, following the publication of new seasonal factors earlier ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in January to 98.1
Posted: January 30, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer optimism rose in the January 2015 survey to its highest level in the past decade. Most of the gains were recorded since mid 2014. Importantly, the gains during the past six months were as large among households with incomes under $75,000 as over that amount. Consumers anticipated that the economy would expand and create new jobs at ...


4Q2014 GDP advance estimate increased 2.6%
Posted: January 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.6% in 4Q2014
Posted: January 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending December 2014, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.5 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


Pending Home Sales Index decreased 3.7% in December
Posted: January 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Despite interest rates being at their lowest level of 2014, pending home sales cooled in December but remained above year-over-year levels for the fourth consecutive month, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions experienced declines ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dipped by 0.3%
Posted: January 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 17 2015, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dipped by 0.3 percent to 98.6 after a short-lived recovery in the prior week. This week’s barometer was mainly driven by weak performances in consumption indexes, in which chain store sales decreased by 1.1 percent, extending the falling trend for three consecutive weeks. ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 43,000 to 265,000
Posted: January 29, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, a decrease of 43,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 15, 2000 when it was 259,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 307,000 to 308,000. The 4-week moving ...


FOMC target funds rate reaffirmed at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: January 28, 2015 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have improved further, with strong job gains and a lower unemployment rate. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 28, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 3.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 23, 2015.This week’s results include an adjustment to account for the Martin Luther ...


New Home Sales in December at annual rate of 481,000
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in December 2014 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 481,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.6 percent (±16.5%) above the revised November rate of 431,000 and is 8.8 percent (±17.9%) above the ...


Consumer Confidence rose sharply in January to 102.9
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in December, rose sharply in January. The Index now stands at 102.9 (1985=100), up from 93.1 in December. The Present Situation Index rose to 112.6 from 99.9, while the Expectations Index increased to 96.4 from 88.5 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index lost 1 point to a reading of 6
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity expanded at a modest pace in January, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments increased at a faster pace this month, while the volume of new orders remained steady. Manufacturing employment and average wages grew at a slower pace this month. However, the ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices decrease 0.2% in November
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for November 2014 shows a continued slowdown in home prices nationwide, but with price increases in nine cities.

Year-over-Year
Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw year-over-year growth rates decline in November compared to October. The 10-City Composite gained 4.2% year-over-year, down from 4.4% in October. The 20-City Composite gained 4.3% year-over-year, compared to 4.5% in ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 3.4%, Ex-Trans Down 0.8%
Posted: January 27, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in December decreased $8.1 billion or 3.4 percent to $230.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down four of the last five months, followed a 2.1 percent November decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.8 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Stalls and Outlook Worsens in January
Posted: January 26, 2015 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity was flat in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, came in at 0.7, indicating output was essentially unchanged ...


Existing-Home Sales rose 2.4% in December
Posted: January 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Despite low inventory conditions, existing-home sales bounced back in December and climbed above an annual pace of 5 million sales for the sixth time in seven months, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Median home prices for 2014 rose to their highest level since 2007, but total sales fell 3.1 percent ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.5%
Posted: January 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.5 percent in December to 121.1 (2010 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in November, and a 0.6 percent increase October.

December’s gain in the LEI was driven by a majority of its components, suggesting the short-term outlook is getting brighter and the economy continues to build momentum. Still, a lack of growth in residential construction and average weekly hours in manufacturing remains a ...


Chicago Fed National Activity moderated in December
Posted: January 23, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.05 in December from +0.92 in November. None of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from November, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded at a slower pace in January
Posted: January 22, 2015 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity expanded at a slower pace in January, but producers’ expectations for future activity remained at solid levels. Most price indexes were lower than last month, especially for finished goods prices.

The month-over-month composite index was 3 in January, down from 8 in December and 6 in November . The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. The overall slower growth was mostly ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.4%
Posted: January 22, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 10 2015, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.4 percent to 98.9 after a sharp drop in the previous week. This week’s barometer was partially fueled by strong recovery in production indexes, in which electric output bounced back by 10.1 percent after falling in prior weeks; while truck production picked ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 10,000 to 307,000
Posted: January 22, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 307,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 316,000 to 317,000. The 4-week moving average was 306,500, an increase of 6,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


December Housing Starts up 4.4%, Permits down 1.9%
Posted: January 21, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,032,000. This is 1.9 percent (±1.3%) below the revised November rate of 1,052,000, but is 1.0 percent (±1.1%) above the December 2013 estimate of Single-family authorizations in December were at a rate ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 21, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 14.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 16, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 17 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 22 ...


Philadelphia Nonmanufacturing activity slowed in January
Posted: January 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The pace of regional nonmanufacturing activity slowed in January, according to firms responding to this month's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity, new orders, and sales or revenues all decreased but remained positive. Responding firms continue to be optimistic about activity over the next ...


Builder Confidence declined 1 points in January to 57
Posted: January 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes declined one point to 57, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index released today. This marks the third straight month that the index has hovered in the upper ...


Treasury International Capital Data for November 2014
Posted: January 16, 2015 at 04:00 PM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for November 2014. The sum total in November of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $6.3 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $2.9 billion, ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.1%
Capacity Utilization decreased 0.3% to 79.7%

Posted: January 16, 2015 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production decreased 0.1 percent in December after rising 1.3 percent in November. The decrease in December reflected a sharp drop in the output of utilities, as warmer-than-usual temperatures reduced demand for heating; excluding utilities, industrial production rose 0.7 percent. Manufacturing posted a gain of 0.3 percent for ...


Consumer Price Index declined 0.4% in December, Ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: January 16, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.4 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 0.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The gasoline index continued to fall sharply, declining 9.4 percent and leading to the decrease in the seasonally adjusted all items index. The fuel oil index also fell sharply, and the energy index posted its largest one-month decline since December 2008, although the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.1% in December
Posted: January 16, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.1 percent from November to December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.2 percent decrease in average hourly earnings combined with a 0.4 percent decrease in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Philadelphia January Outlook Suggest Slower Pace of Growth
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region increased modestly in January, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s current indicators for general activity and new orders fell from their readings in December, suggesting a slower pace of growth. Firms reported continued moderation in ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 1.8%
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 3 2015, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 1.8 percent to 98.5. This week’s barometer was driven by both consumption and production indexes. Chain store sales (inflation-adjusted basis) fell by 3.7 percent. As to the production side, electric output dropped by 6.3 percent. Auto and truck production ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 19,000 to 316,000
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 10, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 316,000, an increase of 19,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 294,000 to 297,000. The 4-week moving average was 298,000, an increase of 6,750 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Producer Price Index fell 0.3% in December, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.3 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices decreased 0.2 percent in November and advanced 0.2 percent in October. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand increased 1.1 percent in 2014 after rising 1.2 percent ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The January 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity expanded for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index climbed eleven points to 10.0. This month’s survey also showed modest growth in new orders and shipments. Labor market conditions were mixed, with the index for number of ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity Continues at a "modest" or "moderate" pace
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts suggest that national economic activity continued to expand during the reporting period of mid-November through late December, with most Districts reporting a "modest" or "moderate" pace of growth. In contrast, the Kansas City District reported only slight growth in December. However, most of ...


Business Inventories up 0.2% in November
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,345.8 billion, down 0.2 percent (±0.2%)* from October 2014, but were up 2.2 percent (±0.5%) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index fell 2.5% in December
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The price index for U.S. imports fell 2.5 percent in December following a 1.8-percent drop in November and a 1.4-percent decline in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each of the monthly decreases was driven by lower fuel prices. U.S. export prices declined 1.2 percent in December, after decreasing 0.8 percent ...


U.S. Retail Sales for December decrease 0.9%, Ex-Auto down 1.0%
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $442.9 billion, a decrease of 0.9 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but up 3.2 percent (±0.9%) above December 2013. ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 49.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 9, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 49.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 119 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 66 ...


Job Openings were 5.0 million in November
Posted: January 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 5.0 million job openings on the last business day of November, little changed from 4.8 million in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires (5.0 million) were little changed and separations (4.6 million) declined in November. Within separations, the quits rate (1.9 percent) was unchanged and the layoffs ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 2.3 points to 100.4
Posted: January 13, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index gained 2.3 points to 100.4 in December, at long last taking the Index back to its pre-recession average and the highest reading since October 2006. While last month’s gain was accounted for just 2 of the 10 Index components (expected business conditions and real sales), the gain in December was broad-based, with ...


Employment Trends Index increased in December to 128.43
Posted: January 12, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in December. The index now stands at 128.43, up from 127.83 in November. This represents a 7.5 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

The Employment Trends Index increased in every single month of 2014, capping the year off with strong growth, 2.3 percent, in the final quarter. The strengthening in the ETI suggests that rapid job growth is likely to continue throughout the first half of 2015. And as the ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.8% in November
Posted: January 9, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that November 2014 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $452.2 billion, down 0.3 percent (+/-0.5%)* from the revised October level, but were up 2.4 percent ...


December Employment increased by 252,000
Unemployment Rate declined to 5.6%

Posted: January 9, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 252,000 in December, and the unemployment rate declined to 5.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, construction, food services and drinking places, health care, ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 5.00%
Posted: January 8, 2015 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

In November, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 1-1/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent.

...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.2%
Posted: January 8, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 27 2014, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.2 percent to 100.3. This week’s barometer was driven by both consumption and production indexes. Chain store sales (inflation-adjusted basis) increased by 0.2 percent. As to the production side, auto and truck production increased by 28.5 and 9.1 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 4,000 to 294,000
Posted: January 8, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 3, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 294,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 298,000. The 4-week moving average was 290,500, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 290,750. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Challenger Layoffs totaling 32,640 in December
Posted: January 8, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

Job cuts declined for a second consecutive month in December, as U.S.-based employers announced plans to reduce payrolls by 32,640. It was the third lowest monthly total of 2014; a year that saw the fewest planned job cuts since 1997, according to the report Thursday from global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand fell 79,200 to 5,174,700 in December
Posted: January 7, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies fell 79,200 to 5,174,700 in December, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series, released today. The November Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.73 unemployed for each advertised vacancy with a total of 3.9 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The number ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in November 2014
Posted: January 7, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $39.0 billion in November from $42.2 billion in October (revised), as imports decreased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $39.0 billion in November, down $3.2 billion from $42.2 billion in October, revised. November exports were $196.4 ...



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