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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201506



Consumer Confidence increased in June to 101.4
Posted: June 30, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had improved moderately in May, increased further in June. The Index now stands at 101.4 (1985=100), up from 94.6 in May. The Present Situation Index increased from 107.1 last month to 111.6 in June, while the Expectations Index advanced to 94.6 from 86.2 ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index increased 3.2 points to 49.4 in June
Posted: June 30, 2015 at 09:45 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Business Barometer recovered half of May’s loss in June but stayed in contraction for the second consecutive month, with activity weakening further in Q2 from an already depressed Q1.

The Barometer increased 3.2 points to 49.4 in June from 46.2 in May, up from February’s 5½-year low but spending the fourth month below 50 since the start of the year. Despite the modest improvement in June, the Barometer declined to 49.3 in Q2 from 50.5 in the previous ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices unchanged% in April
Posted: June 30, 2015 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for April 2015 show that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

Year-over-Year
Both Composites and the National index showed slightly lower year-over-year gains compared to last month. The 10-City Composite gained 4.6% year-over-year, while the 20-City Composite gained 4.9% year-over-year. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price ...


Paychex-IHS Small Business Jobs Index dipped to 100.63 in June
Posted: June 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Paychex | IHS Small Business Jobs Index was relatively unchanged in June, declining just 0.03 percent, bringing the national index to 100.63. Year-over-year the index decreased 0.44 percent. After increasing 0.23 percent during the first quarter of 2015, the pace of employment growth slowed 0.16 percent in the second quarter. With a ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Still Contracting in June
Posted: June 29, 2015 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity declined again in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose to -6.5 but remained in negative territory, suggesting a fourth consecutive month of ...


Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.9% in May
Posted: June 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales continued to rise in May and are now at their highest level in over nine years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Gains in the Northeast and West were offset by small decreases in the Midwest and South.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, climbed 0.9 percent to 112.6 in May from a slight downward revision of 111.6 in April and is now 10.4 percent above May 2014 (101.9). The index has now increased year-over-year for nine ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence up in June to 96.1
Posted: June 26, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumers voiced in the first half of 2015 the largest and most sustained increase in economic optimism since 2004. Just as important, that same record was set by households in the top third of the income distribution as well as by the middle third and those in the bottom third of the income distribution. Moreover, the recent surveys ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined at a slightly slower pace in June
Posted: June 25, 2015 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined at a slightly slower pace than the previous month, and producers’ expectations improved modestly. Most price indexes continued to rise, particularly for raw materials.

The month-over-month composite index was -9 in June, up from -13 in May but down from -7 in April. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Durable goods manufacturing improved ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.2%
Posted: June 25, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 13 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.2 percent to 98.6, following a decline of 0.3 percent in the previous week. This week’s barometer was mainly driven by strong performance in most production indexes. The largest contribution to this week’s recovery came from electric output, which rose by ...


Personal Income increased 0.5%, Spending increased 0.9%
Posted: June 25, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $79.0 billion, or 0.5 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $65.5 billion, or 0.5 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $105.9 billion, or 0.9 percent. In April, personal income increased $69.6 billion, or 0.5 percent, ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 3,000 to 271,000
Posted: June 25, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 271,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 267,000 to 268,000. The 4-week moving average was 273,750, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


1Q2015 GDP Final estimate decreased 0.2%
Posted: June 24, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- decreased at an annual rate of 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 24, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 1.6% from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 19, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.6% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1% compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 2% from the previous ...


New Home Sales in May at annual rate of 546,000
Posted: June 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in May 2015 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 546,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.2 percent (±16.7%) above the revised April rate of 534,000 and is 19.5 percent (±19.7%)* above the May ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index gained 5 points to a reading of 6
Posted: June 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity grew modestly in June, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The volume of new orders picked up, while order backlogs increased. However, shipments remained flat in June. Manufacturing employment continued to rise at a modest pace, while average wages grew ...


Philadelphia Nonmanufacturing Activity unchanged in June
Posted: June 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

According to firms responding to this month's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey, the pace of regional nonmanufacturing activity in June was effectively unchanged from the prior month. The survey's indicators for employment rose, while the indicators for new orders were effectively unchanged, and indicators for sales fell. The ...


May New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 1.8%, Ex-Trans up 0.5%
Posted: June 23, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in May decreased $4.1 billion or 1.8 percent to $228.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down three of the last four months, followed a 1.5 percent April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 2.1 ...


Existing-Home Sales rose 5.1% in May
Posted: June 22, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Fueled partly by an increase in the share of sales to first-time buyers, existing-home sales increased in May to their highest pace in nearly six years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Led by the Northeast, all major regions experienced sales increases ...


Chicago Fed National Activity slightly below average in May
Posted: June 22, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased slightly to –0.16 in May from –0.20 in April. May’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was somewhat below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.7% in May
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.7 percent in May to 123.1 (2010 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in April, and a 0.4 percent increase in March.

The U.S. LEI increased sharply again in May, confirming the outlook for more economic expansion in the second half of the year after what looks to be a much weaker first half. While residential construction and consumer expectations support the more positive outlook, ...


Philadelphia June Outlook Suggest Continued Growth
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing conditions in the region improved in June, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive and increased over their readings in May. Employment and average work hours increased, on balance, at the reporting firms. ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.3%
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 6 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.3 percent to 98.4, following a rise of 0.5 percent in the previous week. This week’s barometer was chiefly driven by weak performances in consumption indexes. Chain store sales plunged by 2.8 percent, the largest drop since the beginning of the year; although it ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 12,000 to 267,000
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 267,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 279,000. The 4-week moving average was 276,750, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 278,750. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


1Q2015 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—a net measure of transactions between the United States and the rest of the world in goods, services, primary income (investment income and compensation), and secondary income (current transfers)—increased to $113.3 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2015 from $103.1 billion (revised) in the ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in May, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.1%
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index was unchanged before seasonal adjustment.

The gasoline index increased sharply in May, rising 10.4 percent and accounting for most of the seasonally adjusted all items increase. Other energy indexes were mixed, with the fuel oil index rising but the electricity index declining and the index for natural gas ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.1% in May
Posted: June 18, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.1 percent from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings being more than offset by a 0.4-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: June 17, 2015 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate reaffirmed at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: June 17, 2015 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests that economic activity has been expanding moderately after having changed little during the first quarter. The pace of job gains picked up while the unemployment rate remained steady. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that under-utilization ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 17, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 12, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 ...


May Housing Starts down 11.1%, Permits up 11.8%
Posted: June 16, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,275,000. This is 11.8 percent (±1.8%) above the revised April rate of 1,140,000 and is 25.4 percent (±2.1%) above the May 2014 estimate of 1,017,000. Single-family authorizations in May were at a rate of 683,000; ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2015
Posted: June 15, 2015 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for April 2015. The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $106.6 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $119.9 billion, and ...


Builder Confidence Rose 5 Points in June to 59
Posted: June 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in June rose five points to a level of 59 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. This is the highest reading since September 2014.

“Builders are reporting more serious and committed buyers at their job sites and this is reflected in recent government data showing that new-home sales and single-family construction are gaining momentum,” said NAHB Chairman Tom Woods, a home builder from Blue Springs, Mo. ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.2%
Capacity Utilization decreased to 78.1%

Posted: June 15, 2015 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

Industrial production decreased 0.2 percent in May after falling 0.5 percent in April. The decline in April was larger than previously reported, but the rates of change for previous months were generally revised higher, leaving the level of the index in April slightly above its initial estimate. Manufacturing output decreased 0.2 percent in ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Worsened Slightly in June
Posted: June 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The June 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business conditions worsened slightly for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index fell five points to -2.0, its second negative reading in the past three months. The new orders index fell six points to -2.1, and the shipments index edged down to ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.5% in May, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: June 12, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.5 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices fell 0.4 percent in April and advanced 0.2 percent in March. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index declined 1.1 percent for the 12 months ended in May, the fourth straight ...


Business Inventories up 0.6% in April
Posted: June 11, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,318.8 billion, up 0.6 percent (±0.2%) from March 2015, but was down 2.3 percent (±0.5%) from ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.5%
Posted: June 11, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 30 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by a solid 0.5 percent to 98.7, after declining by 0.4 percent in the prior week. This week’s recovery stemmed from strong performances in both consumption and production indexes. Chain store sales rose by 1.9 percent after four consecutive weeks of decline. ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.3% in May
Posted: June 11, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices increased 1.3 percent in May following declines in each of the previous 10 months, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The May advance was driven by an increase in fuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports rose 0.6 percent in May, after a 0.7-percent decrease ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May increase 1.2%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: June 11, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $444.9 billion, an increase of 1.2 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 2.7 percent (±0.9%) above May 2014. Total sales ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 2,000 to 279,000
Posted: June 11, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 279,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 276,000 to 277,000. The 4-week moving average was 278,750, an increase of 3,750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 10, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 8.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 5, 2015. The previous week's results included an adjustment for the Memorial ...


Job Openings were 5.4 million in April
Posted: June 9, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings rose to 5.4 million on the last business day of April, the highest since the series began in December 2000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The number of hires was little changed at 5.0 million in April and the number of separations was little changed at 4.9 million. Within separations, the quits ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.4% in April
Posted: June 9, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that April 2015 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $448.3 billion, up 1.6 percent (+/-0.7) from the revised March level, but were down 3.3 percent (+/-1.4%) ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.4 points to 98.3
Posted: June 9, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 1.4 points to 98.3 in spite of 5 months of lousy growth. May is the best reading since the 100.4 December reading but nothing to write home about. The 42 year average is 98.0, a bit lower than the 99.5 average through 2007. Eight of the 10 Index components posted improvements. Overall, the ...


Employment Trends Index Increased in May to 128.60
Posted: June 8, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in May. The index now stands at 128.60, up from 128.10 (a downward revision) in April. The change represents a 5.1 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“In the past six months, the Employment Trends Index has been growing at a 3.5 percent annual rate, which is solid, but slower than the rates of the past two years. We therefore expect employment to grow by about 200,000 new jobs per month, rather than the spectacular ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 7.25%
Posted: June 5, 2015 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 7-1/4 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 11-1/2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5-3/4 percent.

...


May Employment increased by 280,000
Unemployment Rate essentially unchanged at 5.5%

Posted: June 5, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 280,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and health care. Mining employment continued ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.4%
Posted: June 4, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 23 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.4 percent to 98.2. This week’s barometer was driven by weak performance in auto and truck production, which decreased by 4.9 and 6.2 percent respectively. Along similar lines, chain store sales fell by 0.4 percent. On the other hand, MBA purchase index rose by ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 8,000 to 276,000
Posted: June 4, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 276,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 282,000 to 284,000. The 4-week moving average was 274,750, an increase of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


1Q2015 Productivity Growth Decreased 3.1%
Posted: June 4, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 3.1 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2015, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output declined 1.6 percent and hours worked increased 1.6 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) The decline ...



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