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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201606



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose 7.5 points to 56.8 in June
Posted: June 30, 2016 at 09:45 AM (Thursday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose 7.5 points to 56.8 in June from 49.3 in May, the highest since January 2015, led by strong gains in New Orders and Production.

June’s rebound was just enough to offset the previous two months of weakness, leaving the Barometer broadly unchanged over the quarter at an average of 52.2 in Q2 compared with 52.3 in Q1. ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 10,000 to 268,000
Posted: June 30, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 268,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 259,000 to 258,000. The 4-week moving average was 266,750, unchanged from the previous week's revised average. The previous ...


Pending Home Sales Index slid 3.7% in May
Posted: June 29, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

After steadily increasing for three straight months, pending home sales letup in May and declined year-over-year for the first time in almost two years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All four major regions experienced a cutback in contract activity ...


Personal Income increased 0.2%, Spending increased 0.4%
Posted: June 29, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Personal income increased $37.1 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $33.9 billion, or 0.2 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $53.5 billion, or 0.4 percent. In April, personal income increased $75.4 billion, or 0.5 percent, ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 29, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 24, 2016.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index dropped 6 points to a reading of -7
Posted: June 28, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity weakened in June, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. New orders and shipments declined this month, while backlogs decreased further compared to last month. Manufacturing employment softened, while firms continued to increase wages. Prices of raw materials rose ...


Consumer Confidence improved in June to 98.0
Posted: June 28, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had decreased in May, improved in June. The Index now stands at 98.0 (1985=100), up from 92.4 in May. The Present Situation Index increased from 113.2 to 118.3, while the Expectations Index rose from 78.5 to 84.5 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 1.0% in April
Posted: June 28, 2016 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for April 2016 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.0% annual gain in April, down from 5.1% the previous month. The 10-City Composite posted a 4.7% annual increase, down from 4.8% in March. The 20-City ...


1Q2016 GDP final estimate increased 1.1%
Posted: June 28, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 1.1 percent in the first quarter of 2016, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Declines Again in June
Posted: June 27, 2016 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity declined again in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, posted a second consecutive negative reading but rose from -13.1 to -7.0, suggesting the pace of contraction eased somewhat ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dropped in June to 93.5
Posted: June 24, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumers were a bit less optimistic in June due to rising concerns about prospects for the economy. While no recession is anticipated, consumers increasingly expect a slower pace of growth in the year ahead. Importantly, the persistent strength in personal finances will keep consumer spending at relatively high levels and support an ...


May New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 2.2%, Ex-Trans down 0.3%
Posted: June 24, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in May decreased $5.3 billion or 2.2 percent to $230.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following two consecutive monthly increases, followed a 3.3 percent April increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity increased slightly in June
Posted: June 23, 2016 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity increased slightly, posting a positive reading for the first time in eighteen months. Expectations for future activity remained generally solid, and most price indexes rose modestly.

The month-over-month composite index was 2 in June, up from -5 in May and -4 in April. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. The improvement came from both durable and ...


New Home Sales in May at annual rate of 551,000
Posted: June 23, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales of new single-family houses in May 2016 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 551,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.0 percent (±12.8%) below the revised April rate of 586,000, but is 8.7 percent (±14.6%) above the May ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index declined 0.2% in May
Posted: June 23, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.2 percent in May to 123.7 (2010 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in April, and a 0.1 percent increase in March.

“The US LEI declined in May, primarily due to a sharp increase in initial claims for unemployment insurance. The growth rate of the LEI has moderated over the past year,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “While ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 18,000 to 259,000
Posted: June 23, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 259,000, a decrease of 18,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 277,000. The 4-week moving average was 267,000, a decrease of 2,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 269,250. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Chicago Fed National Activity slowed in May
Posted: June 23, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.36 in May from –0.25 in April. May’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was somewhat below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over the ...


Existing-Home Sales grew 1.8% in May
Posted: June 22, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales sprang ahead in May to their highest pace in almost a decade, while the uptick in demand this spring amidst lagging supply levels pushed the median sales price to an all-time high, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions except for the Midwest saw strong sales increases ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 22, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 2.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 17, 2016.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 7 ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Continues Moderate Growth
Posted: June 21, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The pace of growth for regional nonmanufacturing activity remains at a moderate level, according to firms responding to June’s Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. While the survey’s index for current general activity at the firm level changed little, the index for current general activity in the region rose. Firms reported positive ...


May Housing Starts down 0.3%, Permits up 0.7%
Posted: June 17, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,138,000. This is 0.7 percent (±1.3%)* above the revised April rate of 1,130,000, but is 10.1 percent (±1.8%) below the May 2015 estimate of 1,266,000. Single-family authorizations in May were at a rate of ...


Builder Confidence rose two points to 60 in June
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

After holding steady for the past four months, builder confidence in the market for newly constructed single-family homes rose two points in June to a level of 60 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest reading since ...


1Q2016 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—a net measure of transactions between the United States and the rest of the world in goods, services, primary income, and secondary income—increased to $124.7 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2016 from $113.4 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2015, according to statistics released by ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in May, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 1.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The food index declined in May, but the indexes for energy and all items less food and energy rose, resulting in the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The food index fell 0.2 percent, as all six major grocery store food group indexes declined. The energy index ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.2% in May
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees were unchanged from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.2-percent increase in average hourly earnings being offset by a 0.2-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Indicators Are Mixed in May
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Firms responding to the Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey reported little growth this month. Though the indicator for general activity was positive in June, other broad indicators continued to reflect general weakness in business conditions. The indicators for both employment and work hours remained negative. Forecasts of future ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 13,000 to 277,000
Posted: June 16, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 277,000, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 264,000. The 4-week moving average was 269,250, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 269,500. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2016
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for April 2016. The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $80.4 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $110.9 billion, and ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate reaffirmed at 1/4 to 1/2%
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the pace of improvement in the labor market has slowed while growth in economic activity appears to have picked up. Although the unemployment rate has declined, job gains have diminished. Growth in household spending has strengthened. Since the beginning ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.4%
Capacity Utilization decreased to 74.9%

Posted: June 15, 2016 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production decreased 0.4 percent in May after increasing 0.6 percent in April. Declines in the indexes for manufacturing and utilities in May were slightly offset by a small gain for mining. The output of manufacturing moved down 0.4 percent, led by a large step-down in the production of motor vehicles and parts; factory output ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.4% in May, ex Fd & Engy down 0.1%
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.2 percent in April and declined 0.1 percent in March. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index inched down 0.1 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Improve in June
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The June 2016 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity expanded modestly for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index climbed fifteen points to 6.0. The new orders index and the shipments index rose from negative values to 10.9 and 9.3, respectively—a sign that orders and shipments ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 15, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 10, 2016. The previous week's results included an adjustment for the Memorial ...


Business Inventories up 0.1% in April
Posted: June 14, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,290.2 billion, up 0.9 percent (±0.2%) from March 2016, but was down 1.3 percent (±0.5%) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.4% in May
Posted: June 14, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Prices for U.S. imports increased 1.4 percent in May, following advances of 0.7 percent in April and 0.4
percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The May rise was primarily driven by higher fuel prices, although nonfuel prices also increased. U.S. export prices advanced 1.1 percent in May, after rising 0.5 percent ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May Increase 0.5%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: June 14, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $455.6 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month, and 2.5 percent (±0.7%) above May 2015. Total sales ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.2 points in May to 93.8
Posted: June 14, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 0.2 points to 93.8, positive but don’t start writing home about it. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, four declined and two were unchanged. The entire gain in the Index was accounted for by a 5 point gain in Expected Business Conditions which remains 9 percentage points below last ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.6% in April
Posted: June 9, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that April 2016 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $434.2 billion, up 1.0 percent (+/-0.5%) from the revised March level, but were down 2.6 percent (+/-1.2%) ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 4,000 to 264,000
Posted: June 9, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 264,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 267,000 to 268,000. The 4-week moving average was 269,500, a decrease of 7,500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Job Openings little changed again at 5.8 million in April
Posted: June 8, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 5.8 million on the last business day of April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires edged down to 5.1 million while separations were little changed at 5.0 million. Within separations, the quits rate was 2.0 percent, and the layoffs and discharges rate was 1.1 percent. ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 8, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 9.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 3, 2016. This week's results include an adjustment to account for the Memorial ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 4.50%
Posted: June 7, 2016 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4-1/2 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5-1/2 percent.

...


1Q2016 Productivity Growth Decreased 0.6%
Posted: June 7, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 0.6-percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2016, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 0.9 percent and hours worked increased 1.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the first ...


Employment Trends Index declined in May to 126.81
Posted: June 6, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased in May, after rebounding in April. The index now stands at 126.81, down from an upwardly revised 128.53 in April. The change represents a modest 0.7 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The Employment Trends Index decreased in May. Its continued weakness suggests that job growth will remain modest in the coming months,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “Despite softening in the ETI, its recent decline is not ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slower growth at 52.9% in May
Posted: June 3, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in May for the 76th consecutive month, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 52.9 percent in May, 2.8 percentage points lower than the April reading of 55.7 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 55.1 percent, 3.7 ...


New orders for manufactured goods Increased 1.9% in April
Posted: June 3, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New orders for manufactured goods in April, up three of the last four months, increased $8.7 billion or 1.9 percent to $460.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.7 percent March increase.

Shipments, up two consecutive months, increased $2.2 billion or 0.5 percent to $456.8 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent March increase. Unfilled orders, up three of the last four months, increased $6.6 billion or 0.6 percent to $1,137.3 billion. This followed a virtually ...


May Employment increased by 38,000
Unemployment Rate fell to 4.7%

Posted: June 3, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The unemployment rate declined by 0.3 percentage point to 4.7 percent in May, and nonfarm payroll employment changed little (+38,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in health care. Mining continued to lose jobs, and employment in information decreased due to ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in April 2016
Posted: June 3, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $37.4 billion in April from $35.5 billion in March (revised), as imports increased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $37.4 billion in April, up $1.9 billion from $35.5 billion in March, revised. April exports were $182.8 billion, $2.6 ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity fell to 37.2 in May
Posted: June 2, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New York City business activity contracted at the fastest pace in seven years, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York.

New York Metro
Current Business Conditions fell nearly 20 points to 37.2 in May, the weakest reading since April 2009 during the Great Recession. The Six-Month Outlook stabilized in May at 53.6 after falling to a seven-year low in April. ...



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