Research >> Economics

Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201703



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence edged upward in March to 96.9
Posted: March 31, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The continued strength in consumer senti-ment has been due to optimistic views on three critical components: higher incomes and wealth, more favorable job prospects, and low inflation expectations. All of these factors, however, have been influenced by partisanship. Democrats expect an imminent recession, higher unem-ployment, lower income ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index up by 0.3 points to 57.7 in March
Posted: March 31, 2017 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer was broadly stable at 57.7 in March, following a hefty rise of 7.1 points in February to 57.4.

Following a strong February, firms remained upbeat this month, with the increase led by four of the five components of the Barometer, as only Employment receded. March’s positive outturn left the Q1 calendar quarter average at 55.1, the highest level since Q4 2014. ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending decreased 0.1%
Posted: March 31, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $57.7 billion (0.4 percent) in February according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $44.6 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $7.4 billion ...


4Q2016 GDP final estimate increased 2.1%, 2016 GDP up 1.6%
Posted: March 30, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter of 2016, real GDP increased 3.5 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 1.9 percent. With this third estimate for the fourth quarter, the general picture of ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 3,000 to 258,000
Posted: March 30, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 258,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 261,000. The 4-week moving average was 254,250, an increase of 7,750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Pending Home Sales Index jumped 5.5% in February
Posted: March 29, 2017 at 10:06 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales rebounded sharply in February to their highest level in nearly a year and second-highest level in over a decade, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions saw a notable hike in contract activity last month.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, jumped 5.5 percent to 112.3 in February from 106.4 in January. Last month's index reading is 2.6 percent above a year ago, is the highest since last April (113.6) and the second highest ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 29, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 24, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


Consumer Confidence improved sharply in March to 125.6
Posted: March 28, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in February, improved sharply in March. The Index now stands at 125.6 (1985=100), up from 116.1 in February. The Present Situation Index rose from 134.4 to 143.1 and the Expectations Index increased from 103.9 last month ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index gained 5 points to a reading of 22
Posted: March 28, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturers in the Fifth District were generally upbeat in March, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The index for shipments and new orders both rose and employment gains were more common. This improvement led to a composite index for manufacturing that rose from 17 in February to 22 in March — the ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.2% in January
Posted: March 28, 2017 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for January 2017 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.9% annual gain in January, up from 5.7% last month and setting a 31-month high. The 10-City Composite posted a 5.1% annual increase, up ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Increased in March
Posted: March 27, 2017 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased for the ninth consecutive month in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose two points to 18.6, suggesting output growth picked up pace ...


February New Orders for Durable Goods increased 1.7%, Ex-Trans up 0.4%
Posted: March 24, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in February increased $3.9 billion or 1.7 percent to $235.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two consecutive months, followed a 2.3 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.4 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity strengthened further in March
Posted: March 23, 2017 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity strengthened further in March, and many indexes of expectations for future activity were at or near record highs. Most price indexes increased moderately.

The month-over-month composite index was 20 in March, its highest reading since March 2011, up from 14 in February and 9 in March. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. ...


New Home Sales in February at annual rate of 592,000
Posted: March 23, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales of new single-family houses in February 2017 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 592,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.1 percent (±17.3 percent) above the revised January rate of 558,000 and is 12.8 percent (±18.0 percent) ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 15,000 to 258,000
Posted: March 23, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 258,000, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 241,000 to 243,000. The 4-week moving average was 240,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Existing-Home Sales slid 3.7% in February
Posted: March 22, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

After starting the year at the fastest pace in almost a decade, existing-home sales slid in February but remained above year ago levels both nationally and in all major regions, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, retreated 3.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in February from 5.69 million in January. Despite last month's ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 22, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 17, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


4Q2016 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: March 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit decreased to $112.4 billion (preliminary) in the fourth quarter of 2016 from $116.0 billion (revised) in the third quarter of 2016, according to statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The deficit decreased to 2.4 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.5 percent in ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Indicators continued to grow in March
Posted: March 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The March Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated that business activity continued to expand in the region. The survey’s indicators for firm-level general activity, new orders, and sales/revenues fell from last month’s readings but remained positive. The indexes for employment improved, with respondents reporting overall increases ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Growth increased in February
Posted: March 20, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, improved to +0.25 in February from +0.07 in January, reaching its highest level since December 2014. February’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was somewhat above its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.6% in February
Posted: March 17, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.6 percent in February to 126.2 (2010 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in January, and a 0.6 percent increase in December.

“After six consecutive monthly gains, the U.S. LEI is at its highest level in over a decade. Widespread gains across a majority of the leading indicators points to an improving economic outlook for 2017, although GDP growth is likely to remain moderate,” said Ataman ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary March Results at 97.6
Posted: March 17, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The overall level of consumer sentiment remained quite favorable in early March due to renewed strength in current economic conditions as well as the extraordinary influence of partisanship on economic prospects. The Current Economic Conditions component reached its highest level since 2000, largely due to improved personal finances. While ...


Industrial Production unchanged%
Capacity Utilization fell to 75.4%

Posted: March 17, 2017 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production was unchanged in February following a 0.1 percent decrease in January. In February, manufacturing output moved up 0.5 percent for its sixth consecutive monthly increase. Mining output jumped 2.7 percent, but the index for utilities fell 5.7 percent, as continued unseasonably warm weather further reduced demand for heating. ...


Job Openings was little changed at 5.6 million in January
Posted: March 16, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

he number of job openings was little changed at 5.6 million on the last business day of January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.4 million and 5.3 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was little changed at 2.2 percent and the layoffs ...


February Housing Starts up 3.0%, Permits down 6.2%
Posted: March 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,213,000. This is 6.2 percent (±1.8 percent) below the revised January rate of 1,293,000, but is 4.4 percent (±1.3 percent) above the February 2016 rate of 1,162,000. Single-family authorizations in February ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to expand in March
Posted: March 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Results from the March Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional manufacturing activity continued to expand. The diffusion index for general activity fell from its high reading in February, but the survey’s other broad indicators for new orders, shipments, and employment all improved or were steady this month. Price ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 2,000 to 241,000
Posted: March 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 241,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 243,000. The 4-week moving average was 237,250, an increase of 750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Treasury International Capital Data for January 2017
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for January 2017. The sum total in January of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $110.4 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $144.1 billion, ...


FOMC target funds range raised to 3/4 - 1.0%
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in February indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has continued to expand at a moderate pace. Job gains remained solid and the unemployment rate was little changed in recent months. Household spending has continued to rise ...


Builder Confidence jumped 6 points to 71 in March
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes jumped six points to a level of 71 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest reading since June 2005.

“Builders are buoyed by President Trump’s actions on regulatory reform, particularly his recent executive order to rescind or revise the waters of the U.S. rule that impacts permitting,” said NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald, a home builder and developer from Kerrville, ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in January
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced the following new manufacturing and trade statistics for January 2017. The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for January, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,359.3 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2 percent)* from ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.1% in February, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The February increase was the smallest 1-month rise in the seasonally adjusted all items index since July 2016. The gasoline index declined, partially offsetting increases in several indexes, including food, shelter, and recreation. The energy index fell 1.0 percent, with ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.1% in February
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.1 percent from January to February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.2-percent increase in average hourly earnings combined with a 0.1-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions continued to expand in March
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity continued to grow at a solid clip in New York State, according to firms responding to the March 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index edged down two points to 16.4. The new orders index climbed to 21.3, its highest level in several years, pointing to a substantial increase ...


U.S. Retail Sales for February Increase 0.1%, Ex-Auto up 0.2%
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2017, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $474.0 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 5.7 percent (±0.9 percent) above February 2016. Total sales for the ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 15, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 10, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4 ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.3% in February, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: March 14, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.3 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.6 percent in January and 0.2 percent in December. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index climbed 2.2 percent for the 12 months ended February ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.6 in February to 105.3
Posted: March 14, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.6 points to 105.3, sustaining the remarkable surge in optimism that started November 9, 2016, the day after the election. Three of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six declined, all by just a few points, and one was unchanged. It is encouraging that the Index has held at 105 for three months ...


Employment Trends Index increased in February to 131.39
Posted: March 13, 2017 at 10:53 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in February, after decreasing slightly in January. The index now stands at 131.39, up from 129.91 (a downward revision) in January. The change represents a 3.1 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The Employment Trends Index increased sharply in February, with positive contributions from each of its eight components, providing more evidence that job growth is accelerating,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “It seems that ...


February Employment increased by 235,000
Unemployment Rate dipped to 4.7%

Posted: March 10, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 235,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment gains occurred in construction, private educational services, manufacturing, health care, ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2% in February
Posted: March 9, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Prices for U.S. imports advanced 0.2 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by higher nonfuel import prices which more than offset lower fuel prices. The February rise in import prices followed a 0.6-percent increase the previous month. U.S. export prices rose 0.3 percent in February, after advancing ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 20,000 to 243,000
Posted: March 9, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 243,000, an increase of 20,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 223,000. The 4-week moving average was 236,500, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Challenger Layoffs drop to 36,957 jobs in February
Posted: March 9, 2017 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

The shortest month of the year saw a decline in layoff announcements, as US-employers announced plans to cut 36,957 jobs in February, 19 percent fewer than the 45,934 cuts announced in January, according to the latest report from global outplacement and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.2% in January
Posted: March 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

January 2017 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $463.6 billion, down 0.1 percent (±0.5 percent) from the revised December level, but were up 8.4 percent (±0.9 percent) from the January 2016 level. ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand decreased 360,200 to 4,537,600 in February
Posted: March 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies decreased 360,200 to 4,537,600 in February, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series,released today. The January Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.56 unemployed for each advertised vacancy, with a total of 2.7 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. ...


4Q2016 Productivity Growth Increased 1.3%
Posted: March 8, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 1.3-percent annual rate during the fourth quarter of 2016, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.4 percent and hours worked increased 1.0 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 298,000 jobs in February
Posted: March 8, 2017 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 298,000 jobs from January to February according to the February ADP National Employment Report®.

“February proved to be an incredibly strong month for employment with increases we have not seen in years,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Gains were driven by a surge in the goods sector, while we also saw the information ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 8, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 3, 2017. The previous week's results included an adjustment for the President's ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 2.75%
Posted: March 7, 2017 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

In January, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2-3/4 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 4-1/2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5-1/2 percent.

...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in January 2017
Posted: March 7, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $48.5 billion in January from $44.3 billion in December (revised), as imports increased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $48.5 billion in January, up $4.2 billion from $44.3 billion in December, revised. January exports were $192.1 ...



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