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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201708



Pending Home Sales Index decreased 0.8% in July
Posted: August 31, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending homes sales stumbled in July for the fourth time in five months as only the West saw an increase in contract activity, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, decreased 0.8 percent to 109.1 in July from a downwardly revised 110.0 in June. After last month’s decline, the index is now 1.3 percent below a year ago and has fallen on an annual basis ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index remained stable at 58.9 in August
Posted: August 31, 2017 at 09:45 AM (Thursday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer remained stable at July’s level of 58.9, the joint-lowest level since April.

While marking the eighteenth consecutive above-50 reading, this month’s unchanged result follows July’s sharp decline that snapped a run of five straight monthly increases in sentiment. Apart from Employment, all other components of the Barometer were above their respective ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending increased 0.3%
Posted: August 31, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $65.6 billion (0.4 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $39.6 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $44.7 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 1,000 to 236,000
Posted: August 31, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 236,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 234,000 to 235,000. The 4-week moving average was 236,750, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Challenger Layoffs increased to 33,825 jobs in August
Posted: August 31, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced plans to cut payrolls by 33,825 in August, a 19.4 percent increase from the 28,307 recorded cuts announced in July, according to a report released Thursday by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

The August job-cut total is 5 percent higher than the same month last year, when 32,188 cuts were recorded. This month’s total marks the first increase in job cuts in the past five months of this year. Job cuts have declined each month of this year following the ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand decreased 125,900 to 4,479,800 in August
Posted: August 30, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies decreased 125,900 to 4,479,800 in August, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series,released today. The July Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.52 unemployed for each advertised vacancy, with a total of 2.4 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The number ...


2Q2017 GDP preliminary estimate increased 3.0%
Posted: August 30, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.2 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.6 percent. With this second estimate for the second quarter, the general picture ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 237,000 jobs in August
Posted: August 30, 2017 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 237,000 jobs from July to August according to the August ADP National Employment Report®.

“In August, the goods-producing sector saw the best performance in months with solid increases in both construction and manufacturing,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Additionally, the trade industry pulled ahead to lead job ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 30, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 25, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


Consumer Confidence improved further in August to 122.9
Posted: August 29, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in July, improved further in August. The Index now stands at 122.9 (1985=100), up from 120.0 in July. The Present Situation Index increased from 145.4 to 151.2, while the Expectations Index rose marginally from 103.0 last month ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.9% in June
Posted: August 29, 2017 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for June 2017 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.8% annual gain in June, up from 5.7% the previous month. The 10-City Composite posted a 4.9% annual increase, down from 5.0% the previous ...


Paychex-IHS Small Business Jobs Index decreased to 99.96 in August
Posted: August 29, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch shows a slowdown in small business job growth for the sixth consecutive month in August, while hourly earnings continue to gain momentum. The Small Business Jobs Index stands at 99.96, but the monthly decline in August was minimal at only 0.02 percent. Small business wages continue to ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands Again in August
Posted: August 28, 2017 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, edged down to 20.3, indicating output grew but at a slightly slower pace than ...


July New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 6.8%, Ex-Trans up 0.5%
Posted: August 25, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased $16.7 billion or 6.8 percent to $229.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down three of the last four months, followed a 6.4 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded at a faster pace in August
Posted: August 24, 2017 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in August, and expectations for future activity also remained solid. Price indexes rose across the board, especially the expectations index for finished goods prices.

The month-over-month composite index was 16 in July, up from 10 in July and 11 in June. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Factory activity increased solidly at durable ...


Existing-Home Sales slipped 1.3% in July
Posted: August 24, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Listings in July typically went under contract in under 30 days for the fourth consecutive month because of high buyer demand, but existing-home sales ultimately pulled back as large declines in the Northeast and Midwest outweighed sales increases in the South and West, according to the National Association ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 2,000 to 234,000
Posted: August 24, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 234,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 232,000. The 4-week moving average was 237,750, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


New Home Sales in July at annual rate of 571,000
Posted: August 23, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in July 2017 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 571,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 9.4 percent (±12.9 percent)* below the revised June rate of 630,000 and is 8.9 percent (±15.4 percent)* below ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 23, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 18, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 0.3 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index unchanged at a reading of 14
Posted: August 22, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Reports on Fifth District manufacturing activity were largely unchanged in August, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index remained at 14 in August, with an increase in the employment index offsetting a decrease in the shipments index and a very slight decline in the new orders metric. ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Indicators continued to expand in August
Posted: August 22, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Respondents to the August Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggested that business activity continued to expand. The firm-level general activity index rose to its highest reading in four months, and the indexes for new orders and sales also improved. However, the indexes for full-time and part-time employment fell. The indicators ...


Chicago Fed National Activity points to growth near historical trend in July
Posted: August 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to –0.01 in July from +0.16 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from June, and three of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in July. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved down to –0.05 ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary August Results at 97.6
Posted: August 18, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence rose in the first half of August to its highest level since January due to a more positive outlook for the overall economy as well as more favorable personal financial prospects. The two component indices moved in opposite directions, with the Current Conditions Index falling slightly from its decade peak, and the ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.3% in July
Posted: August 17, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for theU.S. increased 0.3 percent in July to 128.3 (2010 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in June, and a 0.3 percent increase in May.

“The U.S. LEI improved in July, suggesting the U.S. economy may experience further improvements in economic activity in the second half of the year,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “The large negative ...


Industrial Production increased 0.2%
Capacity Utilization unchanged at 76.7%

Posted: August 17, 2017 at 09:15 AM (Thursday)

Industrial production rose 0.2 percent in July following an increase of 0.4 percent in June. In July, manufacturing output edged down 0.1 percent; the production of motor vehicles and parts fell substantially, but that decrease was mostly offset by a net gain of 0.2 percent for other manufacturing industries. Following a six-month string ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 12,000 to 232,000
Posted: August 17, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 232,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 244,000. The 4-week moving average was 240,500, a decrease of 500 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to advance in August
Posted: August 17, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing conditions in the region continued to advance in August, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The diffusion index for general activity fell slightly but continued to reflect growth. There was a notable improvement in the new orders and shipments indexes, and overall employment ...


July Housing Starts down 4.8%, Permits down 4.1%
Posted: August 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,223,000. This is 4.1 percent (±0.9 percent) below the revised June rate of 1,275,000, but is 4.1 percent (±1.8 percent) above the July 2016 rate of 1,175,000. Single-family authorizations in July were at a rate ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 16, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 11, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 2 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2017
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2017. The sum total in June of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $7.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $9.6 billion, and ...


Business Inventories up 0.5% in June
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for June, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,356.8 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.2 percent) from May 2017 and was up 4.3 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


Builder Confidence rose 4 points to 68 in August
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose four points in August to a level of 68 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).

“Our members are encouraged by rising demand in the new-home market,” said NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald, a home builder and developer from Kerrville, Texas. “This is due to ongoing job and economic growth, attractive mortgage rates, and growing consumer confidence.” ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July Increase 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.5%
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July 2017, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $478.9 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (± 0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 4.2 percent (± 0.9 percent) above July 2016. Total sales for the May 2017 ...


U.S. Import Price Index edged up 0.1% in July
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Prices for U.S. imports edged up 0.1 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by higher fuel prices which more than offset lower prices for nonfuel imports. The July increase in import prices followed declines in each of the 2 previous months. U.S. export prices advanced 0.4 percent in July, after decreasing ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew strongly in August
Posted: August 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity grew strongly in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed fifteen points to 25.2, its highest level in nearly three years. The new orders index rose seven points to 20.6 and the shipments index edged up to ...


Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Growth and Lower Unemployment
Posted: August 11, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years looks slightly weaker overall than that of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.3 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Consumer Price Index 0.1% in July, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.1%
Posted: August 11, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 1.7 percent.

The indexes for shelter, medical care, and food all rose in July, leading to the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index. The energy index declined slightly in July, with its major component indexes mixed. The index for natural gas declined, while the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.2% in July
Posted: August 11, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.2 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings being partially offset by a 0.1-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 3,000 to 244,000
Posted: August 10, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 244,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 240,000 to 241,000. The 4-week moving average was 241,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Producer Price Index decreased 0.1% in July, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: August 10, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand declined 0.1 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices inched up 0.1 percent in June and were unchanged in May. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 1.9 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.7% in June
Posted: August 9, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

June 2017 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $465.8 billion, up 0.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from the revised May level and were up 5.5 percent (±0.9 percent) from the June 2016 level. The April 2017 ...


2Q2017 Productivity Growth increased 0.9%
Posted: August 9, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.9 percent during the second quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.4 percent and hours worked increased 2.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the second quarter of 2016 to ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 9, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 4, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 5 ...


Job Openings increased to 6.2 million in June
Posted: August 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings increased to 6.2 million on the last business day of June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.4 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were little changed at 2.1 ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.6 in July to 105.2
Posted: August 8, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 1.6 points to 105.2, preserving the surge in optimism that started the day after the election. Seven of the 10 Index components posted a gain, two declined, and one was unchanged. Since the recession, the Index peaked at 105.9 in January, just 0.7 points above the July reading. Main Street was buoyed ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 4.50%
Posted: August 7, 2017 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4-1/2 percent during the second quarter. Both revolving and nonrevolving credit increased at similar annual rates. In June, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 4 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index increased in July to 133.77
Posted: August 7, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in July, after decreasing slightly in June. The index now stands at 133.77, up from 132.42 (a downward revision) in June. The change represents a 4.8 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“Those who have been following The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index are not surprised by the strong employment growth in June and July,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “In July, the rapid improvement in the index ...


July Employment increased by 209,000
Unemployment Rate at 4.3%

Posted: August 4, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in food services and drinking places, professional and business services, and ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in June 2017
Posted: August 4, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $43.6 billion in June from $46.4 billion in May (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.6 billion in June, down $2.7 billion from $46.4 billion in May, revised. June exports were $194.4 billion, $2.4 ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 3.0% in June
Posted: August 3, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in June, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, increased $14.0 billion or 3.0 percent to $481.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.3 percent May decrease. Shipments, down following two consecutive monthly increases, decreased $0.9 billion or 0.2 percent to $471.5 ...



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