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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201709


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence slightly lower in September to 95.1
Posted: September 29, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in September due to the expected impact of the hurricanes on the economy and on gas prices. Importantly, the impact was quite small and has already begun to fade, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

In the past year, there has been a long list of issues that could have derailed consumer confidence, including the unprecedented partisan divide, North Korea, Charlottesville, as well as the hurricanes, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose to 65.2 in September
Posted: September 29, 2017 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose to 65.2 in September, up from 58.9 in August, hitting the highest level in three months and the second highest level in more than three years.

Optimism among firms about business conditions was bolstered in September after August’s flat showing, with each of the Barometer’s sub-components strengthening. A marked rise in Order Backlogs, up to a 29-year high, was among the month’s highlights. September’s survey ...


Personal Income increased 0.2%, Spending increased 0.1%
Posted: September 29, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $28.6 billion (0.2 percent) in August according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $14.9 billion (0.1 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $18.0 billion ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expand solidly in September
Posted: September 28, 2017 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to expand solidly in September, and expectations for future activity also remained positive. Most price indexes increased modestly, with the exception of future selling prices which eased slightly.

The month-over-month composite index was 17 in September, up from 16 in August and 10 in July. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Factory activity increased solidly at ...


2Q2017 GDP final estimate increased 3.1%
Posted: September 28, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.1 percent in the second quarter of 2017, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.2 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.0 percent. With this third estimate for the second quarter, private inventory ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 12,000 to 272,000
Posted: September 28, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 272,000, an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 259,000 to 260,000. The 4-week moving average was 277,750, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Pending Home Sales Index retreated 2.6% in August
Posted: September 27, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales sank in August for the fifth time in six months, and slower activity in the areas hit hard by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma will likely pull existing sales for the year below the pace set in 2016, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, retreated 2.6 percent to 106.3 in August from 109.1 in July. The index is now at its lowest reading since January 2016 (106.1), is 2.6 percent below a year ago, and has fallen on an annual ...


August New Orders for Durable Goods increased 1.7%, Ex-Trans up 0.2%
Posted: September 27, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased $3.9 billion or 1.7 percent to $232.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 6.8 percent July decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 27, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 22, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


New Home Sales in August at annual rate of 560,000
Posted: September 26, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in August 2017 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 560,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 3.4 percent (±13.0 percent)* below the revised July rate of 580,000 and is 1.2 percent (±18.5 percent)* below ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 14 to 19
Posted: September 26, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Reports on Fifth District manufacturing activity improved in September, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

The composite manufacturing index rose from 14 to 19, supported by a sizable increase in the index for shipments — which, at a reading of 22, is the highest it has been since December 2010 — and a smaller rise in the index for new orders. The third component of the ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.7% in July
Posted: September 26, 2017 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for July 2017 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.9% annual gain in July, up from 5.8% the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 5.2%, up from 4.9% the previous ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Indicators continued to expand in September
Posted: September 26, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Respondents to the September Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey reported that business activity continued to expand in the region. Although the index for firm-level general activity fell somewhat, it remains in positive territory, and the survey’s indicators for new orders, sales/revenues, and full-time employment increased. Fewer ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Holds Steady in September
Posted: September 25, 2017 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, edged down to 19.5 from 20.3 in August, indicating output grew at about the same pace as ...


Chicago Fed National Activity points to slower economic growth in August
Posted: September 25, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to –0.31 in August from +0.03 in July. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from July, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in August. The index’s ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.4% in August
Posted: September 21, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent in August to 128.8 (2010 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in July, and a 0.6 percent increase in June.

“The August gain is consistent with continuing growth in the U.S. economy for the second half of the year, which may even see a moderate pick up,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “While the economic impact of ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 23,000 to 259,000
Posted: September 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 259,000, a decrease of 23,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 2,000 from 284,000 to 282,000. The 4-week moving average was 268,750, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity growth broadens in September
Posted: September 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing firms reported an improvement in regional manufacturing conditions in September. The survey’s current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments increased this month and suggest a broadening of growth. Price pressures also picked up, according to the reporting firms. The survey’s future indicators suggest ...


FOMC target funds rate remain at 1.00% - 1.25%, announced balance sheet normalization program
Posted: September 20, 2017 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately so far this year. Job gains have remained solid in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Household spending has been expanding at a ...


Existing-Home Sales stumbled 1.7% in August
Posted: September 20, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales stumbled in August for the fourth time in five months as strained supply levels continue to subdue overall activity, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales gains in the Northeast and Midwest were outpaced by declines in the South ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 20, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 9.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 15, 2017. Last week's results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


2Q2017 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: September 19, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $123.1 billion (preliminary) in the second quarter of 2017 from $113.5 billion (revised) in the first quarter of 2017, according to statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The deficit increased to 2.6 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.4 percent in ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.6% in August
Posted: September 19, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. import prices increased 0.6 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following declines in the previous 3 months. The price index for U.S. exports also advanced 0.6 percent in August, after increasing 0.5 percent in July.

Hurricane Harvey: Hurricane Harvey did not impact the collection of the import and export price index data for August because the reference period for the data is the first week of the month. ...


August Housing Starts down 0.8%, Permits up 5.7%
Posted: September 19, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,300,000. This is 5.7 percent (±2.0 percent) above the revised July rate of 1,230,000 and is 8.3 percent (±1.6 percent) above the August 2016 rate of 1,200,000. Single-family authorizations in August were at a ...


Treasury International Capital Data for July 2017
Posted: September 18, 2017 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2017. The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $7.3 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $6.0 billion, and ...


Builder Confidence fell 3 points to 64 in September
Posted: September 18, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell three points to a level of 64 in September from a downwardly revised August reading of 67 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).

“The recent hurricanes have intensified our members’ concerns about the availability of labor and the cost of building materials,” said NAHB Chairman Granger MacDonald, a home builder and developer from Kerrville, Texas. “Once the rebuilding process is underway, I expect ...


Business Inventories up 0.2% in July
Posted: September 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for July, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,358.8 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.1 percent) from June 2017 and was up 4.9 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary September Results at 95.3
Posted: September 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence edged downward in early September due to concerns over the outlook for the national economy. Consumers' assessments of current economic conditions improved, however, with the Current Conditions Index reaching the highest level since November of 2000. The two hurricanes had a greater impact on expected economic ...


Industrial Production declined 0.9%
Capacity Utilization decreased at 76.1%

Posted: September 15, 2017 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production declined 0.9 percent in August following six consecutive monthly gains. Hurricane Harvey, which hit the Gulf Coast of Texas in late August, is estimated to have reduced the rate of change in total output by roughly 3/4 percentage point. The index for manufacturing decreased 0.3 percent; storm-related effects appear to ...


U.S. Retail Sales for August Decrease 0.2%, Ex-Auto up 0.2%
Posted: September 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August 2017, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $474.8 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 3.2 percent (±0.7 percent) above August 2016. Total sales for the June 2017 ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions continued to grow strongly in September
Posted: September 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity continued to grow strongly in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index held steady at 24.4. The new orders index rose four points to 24.9 and the shipments index climbed four points to 16.2, pointing to ongoing solid ...


Consumer Price Index 0.4% in August, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: September 14, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 1.9 percent.

Increases in the indexes for gasoline and shelter accounted for nearly all of the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index. The energy index rose 2.8 percent in August as the gasoline index increased 6.3 percent. The shelter index rose 0.5 percent in August with ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.3% in August
Posted: September 14, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.3 percent from July to August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.1-percent increase in average hourly earnings being more than offset by a 0.4-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 14,000 to 284,000
Posted: September 14, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 284,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 298,000. The 4-week moving average was 263,250, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 250,250. This is the highest level for this average since ...


Producer Price Index advanced 0.2% in August, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: September 13, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.2 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices edged down 0.1 percent in July and moved up 0.1 percent in June. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 2.4 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 13, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 9.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 8, 2017. This week's results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Job Openings little changed at 6.2 million in July
Posted: September 12, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.2 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.5 million and 5.3 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were little changed ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose rose 0.1 points to 105.3 in August
Posted: September 12, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 0.1 points to 105.3 in August, basically unchanged from July. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain and five declined. The Index peaked for this recovery at 105.9 in January, just 0.6 points above the August reading. It is unlikely that progress in Washington D.C. is the source of continued ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 6.00%
Posted: September 8, 2017 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In July, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 3-1/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index increased in August to 134.62
Posted: September 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in August, after increasing in July. The index now stands at 134.62, up from 133.60 (a downward revision) in July. The change represents a 5.6 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The rapid growth in the Employment Trends Index continued in August, suggesting solid job growth in the months ahead,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “While Friday’s job numbers were slightly disappointing, the ETI does not ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.6% in July
Posted: September 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

July 2017 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $465.1 billion, down 0.1 percent (±0.2 percent)* from the revised June level, but were up 5.9 percent (±1.1 percent) from the July 2016 level. The May ...


2Q2017 Productivity Growth increased 1.5%
Posted: September 7, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 1.5 percent during the second quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 4.0 percent and hours worked increased 2.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the second quarter of 2016 to ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 62,000 to 298,000
Posted: September 7, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Hurricane Harvey impacted this week's initial claims.. In the week ending September 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 298,000, an increase of 62,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 236,000. This is the highest level for initial claims since April 18, 2015 when it was 298,000. The 4-week moving average ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continues to expand at a modest or moderate pace
Posted: September 6, 2017 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity expanded at a modest to moderate pace across all twelve Federal Reserve Districts in July and August. Consumer spending increased in most Districts, with gains reported for nonauto retail sales and tourism, but mixed results for vehicle sales. Capital spending also increased in several Districts. Manufacturing activity ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 55.3% in August
Posted: September 6, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in August for the 92nd consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 55.3 percent, which is 1.4 percentage points higher than the July reading of 53.9 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a faster rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 57.5 percent, 1.6 ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in July 2017
Posted: September 6, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $43.7 billion in July from $43.5 billion in June (revised), as exports decreased more than imports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.7 billion in July, up $0.1 billion from $43.5 billion in June, revised. July exports were $194.4 billion, $0.6 ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 6, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 1, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 5 ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 3.3% in July
Posted: September 5, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured goods in July, down three of the last four months, decreased $15.8 billion or 3.3 percent to $466.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 3.2 percent June increase. Shipments, up seven of the last eight months, increased $1.6 billion or 0.3 percent to $474.3 billion. This followed a 0.1 ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity dropped to 56.6 in August
Posted: September 5, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New York City purchasing managers reported decreased current business conditions while indicating a significant increase in employment and moderate improvement to the six-month outlook, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York.

New York Metro
Current Business Conditions came in at 56.6 in August, down from 62.8 in July, a seven-month high. The Six-Month Outlook increased to 60.5 in August, ending what had been four consecutive months of decreases. The six-month outlook has been a reliable ...


Construction Spending decreased 1.3% in July
Posted: September 1, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Construction spending during July 2017 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,211.5 billion, 0.6 percent (±1.5 percent) below the revised June estimate of $1,219.2 billion. The July figure is 1.8 percent (±1.8 percent) above the July 2016 estimate of $1,189.8 billion. During the first 7 months of this year, construction ...



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