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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201711



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index eased to 63.9 in November
Posted: November 30, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer eased to 63.9 in November, down from 66.2 in October, to stand at the lowest level in three months. Despite receding from October’s six-and-a-half year high, optimism among businesses recorded the fourth highest outturn this year. The Barometer has expanded for 21 straight months and is poised to see out 2017 ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending increased 0.3%
Posted: November 30, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $65.1 billion (0.4 percent) in October according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $66.1 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.4 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 238,000
Posted: November 30, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending November 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 239,000 to 240,000. The 4-week moving average was 242,250, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continued to increase at a modest to moderate pace
Posted: November 29, 2017 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity continued to increase at a modest to moderate pace in October and mid-November, according to anecdotal reports from contacts across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. There was a slight improvement in the outlook among contacts in reporting Districts. Pre-holiday reports of consumer spending on retail and autos were mixed ...


Pending Home Sales Index rose 3.5% in October
Posted: November 29, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales rebounded strongly in October following three straight months of diminishing activity, but still continued their recent slide of falling behind year ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions except for the West saw an increase in contract signings ...


3Q2017 GDP preliminary estimate increased 3.3%
Posted: November 29, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in the third quarter of 2017, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 3.0 percent. With this second estimate for the third quarter, the general picture of ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 29, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 3.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 24, 2017. This week's results include an adjustment for the ...


Consumer Confidence increased further in November to 129.5
Posted: November 28, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had improved in October, increased further in November. The Index now stands at 129.5 (1985=100), up from 126.2 in October. The Present Situation Index increased from 152.0 to 153.9, while the Expectations Index rose from 109.0 last month ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index jumped from 12 to 30
Posted: November 28, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing firms reported robust growth in November, according to the latest survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index jumped from 12 to 30, the highest it has been since 1993. This rise was bolstered by strengthening conditions across all three components of the index. While indicators of current wages and ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.4% in September
Posted: November 28, 2017 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for September 2017 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 6.2% annual gain in September, up from 5.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 5.7%, up from 5.2% the ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Slows but Remains Solid in November
Posted: November 27, 2017 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in November, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell 10 points from its October reading but remained elevated ...


New Home Sales in October at annual rate of 685,000
Posted: November 27, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single-family houses in October 2017 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.2 percent (±18.0 percent)* above the revised September rate of 645,000 and is 18.7 ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in November to 98.5
Posted: November 22, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Consumer sentiment was slightly below last month's decade high, but has remained in the narrow positive range it has traveled since the start of the year, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

What has recently changed is the degree of certainty with which consumers now hold their economic expectations, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Inflation expectations have shown the smallest dispersion on record, and increased certainty about ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 13,000 to 239,000
Posted: November 22, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

In the week ending November 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 239,000, a decrease of 13,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 249,000 to 252,000. The 4-week moving average was 239,750, an increase of 1,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


October New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 1.2%, Ex-Trans up 0.4%
Posted: November 22, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in October decreased $2.8 billion or 1.2 percent to $236.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following two consecutive monthly increases, followed a 2.2 percent September increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.4 percent. Excluding ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 22, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 17, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 5 ...


Existing-Home Sales increased 2.0% in October
Posted: November 21, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales increased in October to their strongest pace since earlier this summer, but continual supply shortages led to fewer closings on an annual basis for the second straight month, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in October from a downwardly revised 5.37 million in September. After ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Points to a Pickup in Economic Growth in October
Posted: November 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The CFNAI Diffusion Index, which is also a three-month moving average, moved up to +0.19 in October from –0.05 in September. Fifty-six of the 85 individual indicators made positive contributions to the CFNAI in October, while 29 made negative contributions. Forty-three indicators improved from September to October, while 42 ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity continued to expand in November
Posted: November 21, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Respondents to this month’s Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey reported that regional nonmanufacturing activity continued to expand, but with a slowing in the pace of growth. The indexes for current firm-level activity and sales/revenues fell but remained positive, while the index for new orders rose. The index for full-time employment ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 1.2% in October
Posted: November 20, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for the U.S. increased 1.2 percent in October to 130.4 (2010 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in September, and a 0.4 percent increase in August.

“The US LEI increased sharply in October, as the impact of the hurricanes dissipated,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “The growth of the LEI, coupled with widespread strengths among its components, suggests ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity slowed slightly but remained solid in November
Posted: November 17, 2017 at 11:00 AM (Friday)

The pace of growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity slowed slightly but remained solid, and optimism remained high for future activity. Raw materials price indexes increased modestly, while most indexes for selling prices were little changed.

The month-over-month composite index was 16 in November, down from 23 in October and 17 in September (Tables 1 & 2, Chart 1). The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Factory ...


October Housing Starts up 13.7%, Permits up 5.9%
Posted: November 17, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,297,000. This is 5.9 percent (±1.4 percent) above the revised September rate of 1,225,000 and is 0.9 percent (±1.6 percent) above the October 2016 rate of 1,285,000. Single-family authorizations in October were ...


Builder Confidence Rose 2 points to 68 in November
Posted: November 16, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose two points to a level of 70 in November on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This was the highest report since March, and the second highest on record since July ...


Industrial Production rose 0.9%
Capacity Utilization increased to 77.0%

Posted: November 16, 2017 at 09:15 AM (Thursday)

Industrial production rose 0.9 percent in October, and manufacturing increased 1.3 percent. The index for utilities rose 2.0 percent, but mining output fell 1.3 percent, as Hurricane Nate caused a sharp but short-lived decline in oil and gas drilling and extraction. Even so, industrial activity was boosted in October by a return to ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.2% in October
Posted: November 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices advanced 0.2 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after increasing 0.8 percent in September. U.S. export prices recorded no change in October, after increasing 0.7 percent in September.

Imports
All Imports: Import prices increased 0.2 percent in October, after rising 0.8 percent in September. The price index for all imports rose 1.6 percent over the past 3 months. Higher prices for fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the overall rise in import prices ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity growth continued to expand in November
Posted: November 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Regional manufacturing activity continued to expand in November, according to results from this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity and shipments fell from their October readings but remained positive, while the survey’s index for new orders rose. The employment index fell but remained elevated. ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 10,000 to 249,000
Posted: November 16, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending November 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 249,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 239,000. The 4-week moving average was 237,750, an increase of 6,500 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Treasury International Capital Data for September 2017
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for September 2017. The sum total in September of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $51.3 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $17.3 ...


Business Inventories unch% in September
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for September, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,389.7 billion, up 1.4 percent (±0.2 percent) from August 2017 and was up 6.4 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


Consumer Price Index 0.1% in October, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.0 percent.

The shelter index increased 0.3 percent and was the main factor in the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The energy index fell, as a decline in the gasoline index outweighed increases in other energy component indexes. The food index was unchanged over the month. ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.1% in October
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.1 percent from September to October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from no change in average hourly earnings combined with a 0.1-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


U.S. Retail Sales for October Increase 0.2%, Ex-Auto up 0.1%
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October 2017, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $486.6 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 4.6 percent (±0.7 percent) above October 2016. Total sales for the August ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions continued to grow strongly in November
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity continued to grow strongly in New York State, according to firms responding to the November 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. Though the headline general business conditions index fell eleven points from the multiyear high it reached last month, it remained firmly in positive territory at 19.4. The new orders index ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 15, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 10, 2017. This week's results do not include an adjustment for the Veterans' ...


Producer Price Index advanced 0.4% in October, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: November 14, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.4 percent in September and 0.2 percent in August. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 2.8 percent for the 12 months ended in October, the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 0.8 points to 103.8 in October
Posted: November 14, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 0.8 points to 103.8 in October, maintaining a streak of robust readings. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, 5 declined and one was unchanged. Labor market indicators point to continued good jobs reports, as reports of actual employment gains for October posted solid numbers and reports of ...


Forecasters See Stronger Outlook for Growth over the Next Two Quarters
Posted: November 13, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next two quarters looks slightly stronger overall than that of three months ago, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.6 percent this quarter and 2.4 percent next quarter, marking ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary November Results at 97.8
Posted: November 10, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined slightly in early November due to widespread losses across current and expected economic conditions. The losses were quite small as the Sentiment Index remained at its second highest level since January. Overall, the Sentiment Index has remained trendless since the start of the year, varying by less that ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.3% in September
Posted: November 9, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

September 2017 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $480.5 billion, up 1.3 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised August level and were up 8.5 percent (±1.2 percent) from the September 2016 level. ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 10,000 to 239,000
Posted: November 9, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending November 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 239,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 229,000. The 4-week moving average was 231,250, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 232,500. This is the lowest level for this average since March ...


Purchase Apps flat, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 8, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications remained unchanged from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 3, 2017.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, remained unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 1 percent ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 6.75%
Posted: November 7, 2017 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5-1/2 percent during the third quarter. Both revolving and nonrevolving credit increased at similar annual rates. In September, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 6-3/4 percent.

...


Job Openings little changed at 6.1 million in September
Posted: November 7, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.3 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were ...


Employment Trends Index increased sharply in October to 135.57
Posted: November 6, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased sharply in October, after declining in September and August. The index now stands at 135.57, up from 132.86 (an upward revision) in September. The change represents a 5.4 percent gain in the ETI compared to a ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 60.1% in October
Posted: November 3, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in October for the 94th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 60.1 percent, which is 0.3 percentage point higher than the September reading of 59.8 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slightly faster rate. This is the highest NMI® reading since the index’s debut in 2008. ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 1.4% in September
Posted: November 3, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New orders for manufactured goods in September, up three of the last four months, increased $6.5 billion or 1.4 percent to $478.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.2 percent August increase. Shipments, up nine of the last ten months, increased $3.9 billion or 0.8 percent to $480.4 billion. This followed a ...


October Employment rose by 261,000
Unemployment Rate dipped to 4.1%

Posted: November 3, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 261,000 in October, and the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment in food services and drinking places increased sharply, mostly offsetting a decline in September that largely reflected the impact of Hurricanes Irma and Harvey. ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in September 2017
Posted: November 3, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $43.5 billion in September from $42.8 billion in August (revised), as imports increased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.5 billion in September, up $0.7 billion from $42.8 billion in August, revised. September exports were $196.8 ...


3Q2017 Productivity Growth increased 3.0%
Posted: November 2, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 3.0 percent during the third quarter of 2017, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 3.8 percent and hours worked increased 0.8 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the third quarter of 2016 to ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 5,000 to 229,000
Posted: November 2, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 233,000 to 234,000. The 4-week moving average was 232,500, a decrease of 7,250 from the previous week's revised average. This is ...



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