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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201804



Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Rebounds Strongly in April
Posted: April 30, 2018 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity rose markedly in April after posting slower growth in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, increased 11 points to 25.3.

Other indexes of manufacturing activity also rose sharply in April. The new orders and growth rate of orders indexes jumped to their highest readings this year, 27.9 and 18.9, respectively. The capacity utilization index climbed eight points to 18.7, and the shipments index ...


Pending Home Sales Index inched up 0.4% in March
Posted: April 30, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales inched higher for the second consecutive month in March, but unrelenting inventory constraints once again kept overall activity below year ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, inched up 0.4 percent to 107.6 in March from a downwardly revised 107.2 in February. Even with last month's increase in activity, the index declined on an annualized basis (3.0 percent) ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose 0.2 points to 57.6 in April
Posted: April 30, 2018 at 09:45 AM (Monday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose 0.2 points to 57.6 in April, up from 57.4 in March, snapping a three-month downward trend.

Business activity continued to rise at a solid pace in April, with growth in firms’ operations up for the first time this year, albeit marginally. Three of the five Barometer components fell on the month, with only Production and Supplier Deliveries finding room to grow. ...


Personal Income increased 0.3%, Spending increased 0.4%
Posted: April 30, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $47.8 billion (0.3 percent) in March according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $39.8 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $61.7 billion ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in April to 98.8
Posted: April 27, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Although the Consumer Sentiment Index fell slightly in April, it has remained at very favorable levels since the start of 2018. Consumers remain confident that inflation and unemployment will remain low during the year ahead and wages will continue to slowly improve, according to the University of Michigan Surveys ...


1Q2018 GDP advance estimate increased 2.3%
Posted: April 27, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the first quarter of 2018 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.9 percent.

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from nonresidential fixed investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, private inventory investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending. ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.8% in 1Q2018
Posted: April 27, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.8 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in March 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.9 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded more rapidly in April
Posted: April 26, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity expanded more rapidly in April, with the composite index matching its highest level in survey history, and optimism remained high for future activity. Selling price indexes increased further, while raw material price indexes remained at ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 24,000 to 209,000
Posted: April 26, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 209,000, a decrease of 24,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since December 6, 1969 when it was 202,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 232,000 to 233,000. The 4-week moving ...


March New Orders for Durable Goods increased 2.6%, Ex-Trans unch%
Posted: April 26, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in March increased $6.4 billion or 2.6 percent to $254.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up four of the last five months, followed a 3.5 percent February increase. Excluding transportation, new orders were virtually unchanged. Excluding defense, new ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 25, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 20, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 0.3 ...


Existing-Home Sales Increased 1.1% in March
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales grew for the second consecutive month in March, but lagging inventory levels and affordability constraints kept sales activity below year ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 1.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.60 million in March from 5.54 million in February. Despite last month's increase, ...


New Home Sales in March at annual rate of 694,000
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single-family houses in March 2018 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 694,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 4.0 percent (±18.6 percent)* above the revised February rate of 667,000 and is 8.8 percent ...


Consumer Confidence Increased in April to 128.7
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased in April, following a decline in March. The Index now stands at 128.7 (1985=100), up from 127.0 in March. The Present Situation Index increased from 158.1 to 159.6, while the Expectations Index improved from 106.2 last month to 108.1 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index dropped sharply from 15 to −3 in April
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Results of the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed suggest that Fifth District manufacturing activity slowed in April. The composite index dropped sharply from 15 in March to −3 in April, its first negative reading since September 2016. The index was weighed down by a contraction in shipments and new orders; however, its third ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.04% in February
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for February 2018 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 6.3% annual gain in February, up from 6.1% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 6.5%, up from 6.0% in the ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Suggest Continued Moderated Improvement in Growth in April
Posted: April 24, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the April Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggested continued but moderated improvement in regional nonmanufacturing activity. The firm-level general activity index edged down, and the indicators for new orders, sales/revenues, and full-time employment remained positive but decreased from last month’s readings. The ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Points to a Moderation in Economic Growth in March
Posted: April 23, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The CFNAI Diffusion Index, which is also a three-month moving average, edged down to +0.18 in March from +0.20 in February. Forty-four of the 85 individual indicators made positive contributions to the CFNAI in March, while 41 made negative contributions. Twenty-five indicators improved from February to March, while 59 indicators deteriorated ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.3% in March
Posted: April 19, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for theU.S. increased 0.3 percent in March to 109.0 (2016 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in February, and a 0.8 percent increase in January.

“The U.S. LEI increased in March, and while the monthly gain is slower than in previous months, its six-month growth rate increased further and points to continued solid growth in the U.S. economy for the rest of the year,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 232,000
Posted: April 19, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 232,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 233,000. The 4-week moving average was 231,250, an increase of 1,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 230,000. Claims taking procedures in Puerto Rico and in the ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity Suggest Continued Growth in April
Posted: April 19, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Results from the April Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued growth for the region’s manufacturing sector. Although the survey’s indexes for general activity and employment improved slightly, the indexes for new orders and shipments moderated. The firms also reported higher prices for both inputs and their own manufactured ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace
Posted: April 18, 2018 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts in March and early April. Outlooks remained positive, but contacts in various sectors including manufacturing, agriculture, and transportation expressed concern about the newly imposed and/or proposed tariffs. Consumer spending rose in ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 18, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 13, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4 ...


Industrial Production rose 0.5%
Capacity Utilization up to 78.0%

Posted: April 17, 2018 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production rose 0.5 percent in March after increasing 1.0 percent in February; the index advanced 4.5 percent at an annual rate for the first quarter as a whole. After having climbed 1.5 percent in February, manufacturing production edged up 0.1 percent in March. Mining output rose 1.0 percent, mostly as a result of gains in oil and ...


March Housing Starts increased 1.9%, Permits up 2.5%
Posted: April 17, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,354,000. This is 2.5 percent (±1.4 percent) above the revised February rate of 1,321,000 and is 7.5 percent (±1.4 percent) above the March 2017 rate of 1,260,000. Single-family authorizations in March were at a ...


Treasury International Capital Data for February 2018
Posted: April 16, 2018 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for February 2018. The sum total in February of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $44.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $26.9 billion, ...


Business Inventories up 0.6% in February
Posted: April 16, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for February, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,430.4 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.2 percent) from January 2018 and was up 5.8 percent (±0.3 percent) from ...


Builder Confidence slips 1 point to 69 in April
Posted: April 16, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes edged down one point to a level of 69 in April on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) but remains on firm ground.

“Strong demand for housing is keeping builders optimistic about future market conditions,” said NAHB Chairman Randy Noel, a custom home builder from LaPlace, La. “However, builders are facing supply-side constraints, such as a lack of buildable lots and increasing ...


U.S. Retail Sales for March Increase 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.2%
Posted: April 16, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for March 2018, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $494.6 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 4.5 percent (±0.5 percent) above March 2017. Total sales for the January ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Grow at a Somewhat Slower Pace in April
Posted: April 16, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity grew at a solid clip in New York State, according to firms responding to the April 2018 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index, at 15.8, remained firmly in positive territory, although its seven-point decline from its March level pointed to a somewhat slower pace of growth. ...


Job Openings decreased to 6.1 million in February
Posted: April 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.5 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.2 percent and the layoffs and ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary April Results at 97.8
Posted: April 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in early April, largely reversing the gains recorded in the prior two months. The small decline was widely shared by all age and income subgroups and across all regions of the country. Importantly, confidence still remains relatively high, despite the recent losses that were mainly due to concerns about the ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 9,000 to 233,000
Posted: April 12, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 233,000, a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 242,000. The 4-week moving average was 230,000, an increase of 1,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 228,250. Claims taking procedures in Puerto Rico and in the ...


U.S. Import Price Index unch% in March
Posted: April 12, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices recorded no change in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 0.3 percent rise in February. Higher nonfuel prices offset declining prices for imported fuel in March. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.3 percent in March, after rising 0.2 percent the ...


Consumer Price Index decreased 0.1% in March, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: April 11, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.1 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.4 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.4% in March
Posted: April 11, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.4 percent from February to March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings combined with a 0.1-percent decrease in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 11, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 6, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.0% in February
Posted: April 10, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

February 2018 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $495.9 billion, up 1.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the revised January level and were up 6.8 percent (±0.7 percent) from the February 2017 level. ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.3% in March, ex Fd & Engy up 0.4%
Posted: April 10, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.3 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.2 percent in February and 0.4 percent in January. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 3.0 percent for the 12 months ended ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased 2.9 points to 104.7 in March
Posted: April 10, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The small business optimism index reached its 16th consecutive month in the top five percent of 45 years of survey readings, according to the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends survey, released today. The 104.7 March reading, down from 107.6 in February, remains among the highest in survey history and for the first time since 1982, taxes ...


Employment Trends Index Increased in March to 107.72
Posted: April 9, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in March, after increasing in February. The index now stands at 107.72, up from 107.31 (a downward revision) in February. The change represents a 5.5 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The ETI continued its upward trend in March, suggesting that job growth will remain robust in the coming months,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “We interpret Friday’s disappointing job numbers as noise in an otherwise ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 3.25%
Posted: April 6, 2018 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In February, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3-1/4 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 1/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 4-1/2 percent.

...


March Employment rose by 103,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 4.1%

Posted: April 6, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment edged up by 103,000 in March, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in manufacturing, health care, and mining.

Household Survey Data
In March, the unemployment rate was 4.1 percent for the sixth consecutive month, and the number of unemployed persons, at 6.6 million, changed little. ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in February 2018
Posted: April 5, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $57.6 billion in February from $56.7 billion in January (revised), as imports increased more than exports. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $57.6 billion in February, up $0.9 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 24,000 to 242,000
Posted: April 5, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 242,000, an increase of 24,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 215,000 to 218,000. The 4-week moving average was 228,250, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Challenger Layoffs Increased to 60,357 in March
Posted: April 5, 2018 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

Job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers surged in March to 60,357, a 71 percent increase from the 35,369 cuts announced in February. Last month’s total is the highest monthly total since April 2016, when 64,141 job cuts were announced, according to a report released Thursday by global outplacement and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 1.2% in February
Posted: April 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured goods in February, up six of the last seven months, increased $6.0 billion or 1.2 percent to $498.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.3 percent January decrease. Shipments, up fourteen of the last fifteen months, increased $1.0 billion or 0.2 percent to $500.5 billion. This followed a ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand increased 102,100 to 4,819,700 in March
Posted: April 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies increased 102,100 to 4,819,700 in March, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series,released today. The February Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.42 unemployed for each advertised vacancy, with a total of 2.0 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slowed to 58.8% in March
Posted: April 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in March for the 98th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 58.8 percent, which is 0.7 percentage point lower than the February reading of 59.5 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slightly slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 60.6 ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 241,000 jobs in March
Posted: April 4, 2018 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 241,000 jobs from February to March according to the March ADP National Employment Report®.

“We saw impressive momentum in the first quarter of 2018 with more jobs added per month on average than in 2017,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Midsized businesses added nearly half of all jobs this month, the best growth ...



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Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works.

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The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission was created to examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States.

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