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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201806



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence up in June to 98.2
Posted: June 29, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has been virtually unchanged for the past three months and has shown only small and insignificant variations during the past 18 months, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The persistent strength has been due to favorable assessments of jobs and incomes, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose 1.4 points to 64.1 in June
Posted: June 29, 2018 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose 1.4 points to 64.1 in June, up from 62.7 in May, hitting the highest level since January. Business activity expanded at a faster pace in June, with firms’ operations up for a third consecutive month. Four of the five Barometer components strengthened on the month, leaving the Barometer up 0.8% on ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending increased 0.2%
Posted: June 29, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $60.0 billion (0.4 percent) in May according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $63.2 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $27.8 billion ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded at a rapid pace in June
Posted: June 28, 2018 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to expand at a rapid pace in June, with the composite index similar to May’s record-high reading. Expectations for future growth increased moderately, and many firms reported difficulties finding qualified workers. Price indexes remained at ...


1Q2018 GDP final estimate increased 2.0%
Posted: June 28, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.0 percent in the first quarter of 2018, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.9 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.2 percent. With this third estimate for the first quarter, the general picture of ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 9,000 to 227,000
Posted: June 28, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 227,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 218,000. The 4-week moving average was 222,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


May New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 0.6%, Ex-Trans down 0.3%
Posted: June 27, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in May decreased $1.4 billion or 0.6 percent to $248.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down two consecutive months, followed a 1.0 percent April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 27, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.9% from last week's increase, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 22, 2018.

On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 6% from the previous week. ...


Consumer Confidence Decreased in June to 126.4
Posted: June 26, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased in June, following an increase in May. The Index now stands at 126.4 (1985=100), down from 128.8 in May. The Present Situation Index was relatively flat, 161.1 versus 161.2 last month, while the Expectations Index declined from 107.2 last month to 103.2 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 16 to 20 in June
Posted: June 26, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing continued to expand in June, according to results of the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite manufacturing index rose from 16 in May to 20 in June, buoyed by an increase in all three components (shipments, new orders, and employment). Firms also saw an increase in backlog of orders, as the ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 1.0% in April
Posted: June 26, 2018 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for April 2018 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 6.4% annual gain in April, down from 6.5% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 6.2%, down from 6.4% in ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Suggest Continued Expansion in June
Posted: June 26, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Results from the June Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicate continued expansion of nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The firm-level index of general activity and new orders remained elevated, while the full-time employment index rose notably. The firms continued to report overall increases in prices of both their own goods ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Continues to Expand, Outlook Improves in June
Posted: June 25, 2018 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

The expansion in Texas factory activity continued in June, albeit at a slower pace than in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, declined 12 points to 23.3, signaling a deceleration in ...


New Home Sales in May at annual rate of 689,000
Posted: June 25, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single-family houses in May 2018 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 689,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.7 percent (±14.1 percent)* above the revised April rate of 646,000 and is 14.1 percent ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Points to Slower Economic Growth in May
Posted: June 25, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.15 in May from +0.42 in April. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from April, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in May. The index’s three-month ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.2% in May
Posted: June 21, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for theU.S. increased 0.2 percent in May to 109.5 (2016 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in April, and a 0.4 percent increase in March.

“While May’s increase in the U.S. LEI was slower than in recent months, the improvements in a majority of its components offset the declines in leading indicators of labor markets and residential construction,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity Suggest Continuing Growth in June
Posted: June 21, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Results from the June Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion of the region’s manufacturing sector. All the broad indicators remained positive, although the indicators for general activity and new orders fell notably. The firms continued to report higher prices for purchased inputs and their own manufactured ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 3,000 to 218,000
Posted: June 21, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 218,000 to 221,000. The 4-week moving average was 221,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Existing-Home Sales Decreased 0.4% in May
Posted: June 20, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales fell back for the second straight month in May, as only the Northeast region saw an uptick in activity, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, decreased 0.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.43 million in May from downwardly revised 5.45 million in April. With last ...


1Q2018 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 20, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $124.1 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2018 from $116.1 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to statistics released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The deficit was 2.5 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarter, up from ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 20, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 5.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 15, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 5.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 6 ...


May Housing Starts increased 5.0%, Permits down 4.6%
Posted: June 19, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,301,000. This is 4.6 percent (±1.4 percent) below the revised April rate of 1,364,000, but is 8.0 percent (±1.3 percent) above the May 2017 rate of 1,205,000. Single-family authorizations in May were at a rate ...


Builder Confidence fell 2 points to 68 in June
Posted: June 18, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell two points to 68 in June on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). The decline was due in large part to sharply elevated lumber prices, although sentiment remains on ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2018
Posted: June 15, 2018 at 04:00 PM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for April 2018. The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $138.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $163.5 billion, and net ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary June Results at 99.3
Posted: June 15, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment rose slightly in early June due to consumers' more favorable assessments of their current financial situation and more favorable views of current buying conditions for household durables. The Expectations Index, in contrast, declined to its lowest level since the start of the year due to less favorable prospects for the ...


Industrial Production edged down 0.1%
Capacity Utilization dipped to 77.9%

Posted: June 15, 2018 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in May after rising 0.9 percent in April. Manufacturing production fell 0.7 percent in May, largely because truck assemblies were disrupted by a major fire at a parts supplier. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, factory output moved down 0.2 percent. The index for mining rose 1.8 percent, its ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded at an even faster pace in June
Posted: June 15, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity continued to grow strongly in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2018 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed five points to 25.0, indicating a faster pace of growth than in May. Both the new orders index and the shipments index showed ongoing solid ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in April
Posted: June 14, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,425.9 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.1 percent) from March 2018 and was up 6.7 percent (±1.1 percent) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index Increased 0.6% in May
Posted: June 14, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Rising fuel and nonfuel prices contributed to the advances in both months. U.S. export prices rose 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month in ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May Increase 0.8%, Ex-Auto up 0.8%
Posted: June 14, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2018, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $502.0 billion, an increase of 0.8 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 5.9 percent (±0.5 percent) above May 2017. Total sales for the March 2018 through ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 4,000 to 218,000
Posted: June 14, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 222,000. The 4-week moving average was 224,250, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


FOMC target funds rate increased to 1.75% - 2.00%
Posted: June 13, 2018 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined. Recent data suggest that growth of household spending ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 13, 2018 at 09:57 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 8, 2018. Last week's results included an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.5% in May, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: June 13, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.5 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.1 percent in April and 0.3 percent in March. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved up 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended in May, the largest 12-month ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in May, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: June 12, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.8 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings 0.1% in May
Posted: June 12, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.1 percent from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings being offset by a 0.2-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.0 points to 107.8 in May
Posted: June 12, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index increased in May to the second highest level in the NFIB survey’s 45-year history. The index rose to 107.8, a three-point gain, with small businesses reporting high numbers in several key areas including compensation, profits, and ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in April
Posted: June 8, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

April 2018 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $493.3 billion, up 0.8 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised March level and were up 7.8 percent (±3.3 percent) from the April 2017 level. The ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 3.00%
Posted: June 7, 2018 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

In April, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 2-1/2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 3 percent.

...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 222,000
Posted: June 7, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 222,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 221,000 to 223,000. The 4-week moving average was 225,500, an increase of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in April 2018
Posted: June 6, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $46.2 billion in April from $47.2 billion in March (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $46.2 billion in April, down $1.0 billion ...


1Q2018 Productivity Growth Increased 0.4%
Posted: June 6, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 0.4 percent during the first quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.7 percent and hours worked increased 2.3 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the first quarter of 2017 to ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 6, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 1, 2018. This week's results included an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 7 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4 ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 58.6% in May
Posted: June 5, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in May for the 100th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 58.6 percent, which is 1.8 percentage points higher than the April reading of 56.8 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a faster rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 61.3 percent, 2.2 ...


Job Openings increased to 6.7 million in April
Posted: June 5, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.7 million on the last business day of April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.6 million and 5.4 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.3 percent and the layoffs and ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 0.8% in April
Posted: June 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

New orders for manufactured goods in April, down following two consecutive monthly increases, decreased $4.0 billion or 0.8 percent to $494.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.7 percent March increase. Shipments, up eleven of the last twelve months, increased $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $492.8 ...


Employment Trends Index Decreased in May to 107.69
Posted: June 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased in May, after five consecutive monthly gains. The index now stands at 107.69, down from 108.00 (a downward revision) in April. The change represents a 3.9 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The decline in the Employment Trends Index in May is probably a reversion to trend after the very rapid increases in recent months,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “With the economy growing well above trend, we expect solid job ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity Dropped to 56.4 in May
Posted: June 4, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

In May, New York City purchasing managers reported the lowest level of Current Revenues on record, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York.

New York Metro
Current Business Conditions were at 56.4 in May, down from 64.3 in April. The Six-Month Outlook rose to a four-month high of 66.9 in May, up from 58.4 in April. The six-month outlook has been a reliable short-run guide for current business conditions over ...


May Manufacturing ISM increased to 58.7
Posted: June 1, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in May, and the overall economy grew for the 109th consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The May PMI® registered 58.7 percent, an increase of 1.4 percentage points from the April reading of 57.3 percent. The New Orders Index registered 63.7 percent, an increase of 2.5 percentage points from the April reading of 61.2 percent. The Production Index registered 61.5 ...


Construction Spending increased 1.8% in April
Posted: June 1, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Total Construction
Construction spending during April 2018 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,310.4 billion, 1.8 percent (±1.0 percent) above the revised March estimate of $1,286.8 billion. The April figure is 7.6 percent (±1.5 percent) above the April 2017 estimate of $1,217.7 billion. During the first four months of ...



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