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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201808



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in August to 96.2
Posted: August 31, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has remained virtually unchanged despite more positive news about growth in the U.S. economy, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Rather than more favorable assessments, consumers held slightly more negative views about the current state of the economy, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Indeed, the Current Conditions Index fell to its lowest level since November 2016. ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index down 1.9 points to 63.6 in August
Posted: August 31, 2018 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer slipped to a three-month low of 63.6 in August, down 1.9 points from July’s 65.5.

Firms’ operations continued to grow at a healthy pace in August, despite decelerating for the first time in five months. A softening in Supplier Deliveries, Order Backlogs and Employment offset gains in Production and New Orders, driving the decline in the Barometer. ...


Personal Income increased 0.3%, Spending increased 0.4%
Posted: August 30, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $54.8 billion (0.3 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $52.5 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $49.3 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 3,000 to 213,000
Posted: August 30, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 213,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 210,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,250, a decrease of 1,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 213,750. This is the lowest level for this average since December ...


Pending Home Sales Index decreased 0.7% in July
Posted: August 29, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales stepped back in July and have now fallen on an annual basis for seven straight months, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, decreased 0.7 percent to 106.2 in July from 107.0 in June. With last month’s decline, contract signings are now down 2.3 percent year-over-year. ...


2Q2018 GDP preliminary estimate increased 4.2%
Posted: August 29, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.2 percent in the second quarter of 2018 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 4.1 percent. With this second estimate for the second quarter, the general picture ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 29, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 24, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased three percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased ...


Consumer Confidence Increased in August to 133.4
Posted: August 28, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased in August, following a modest increase in July. The Index now stands at 133.4 (1985=100), up from 127.9 in July. The Present Situation Index improved from 166.1 to 172.2, while the Expectations Index increased from 102.4 last month to 107.6 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index from 20 to 24 in August
Posted: August 28, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity expanded in August, according to results of the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index rose from 20 in July to 24 in August, as all three components (shipments, new orders, and employment) increased. Respondents remained optimistic in August, expecting growth ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 1.1% in June
Posted: August 28, 2018 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for June 2018 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 6.2% annual gain in June, down from 6.4% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 6.0%, down from 6.2% in the ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Maintained Strong Momentum in August
Posted: August 27, 2018 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity maintained its strong momentum in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, held steady at 29.3.

Other indexes of manufacturing activity also indicated continued solid expansion in August. The new orders index changed little at 23.9, while the growth rate of orders index moved up three points to 19.9. The capacity utilization index was unchanged at 25.2, and the ...


Chicago Fed National Activity points to a moderation in economic growth in July
Posted: August 27, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by slower growth in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.13 in July from +0.48 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from June, but three of the four categories made positive contributions to the index in July. The index’s ...


July New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 1.7%, Ex-Trans up 0.2%
Posted: August 24, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased $4.3 billion or 1.7 percent to $246.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down three of the last four months, followed a 0.7 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent. Excluding defense, new orders ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded at a slightly slower pace in August
Posted: August 23, 2018 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity expanded at a slightly slower pace in August, with the composite index dropping back to around the rates of growth that prevailed in late 2017 and early 2018. Expectations for future growth remained solid, despite continued concerns about trade and tariffs. Price indexes ...


New Home Sales in July at annual rate of 627,000
Posted: August 23, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single-family houses in July 2018 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 627,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 1.7 percent (±14.7 percent)* below the revised June rate of 638,000, but is 12.8 percent ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 2,000 to 210,000
Posted: August 23, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 210,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 212,000. The 4-week moving average was 213,750, a decrease of 1,750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Existing-Home Sales Decreased 0.7% in July
Posted: August 22, 2018 at 11:27 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales subsided for the fourth straight month in July to their slowest pace in over two years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The West was the only major region with an increase in sales last month.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, decreased 0.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.34 million in July from 5.38 million in June. With last month’s decline, sales ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 22, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 17, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased three percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Activity Suggest Continued to Expand in August
Posted: August 21, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional nonmanufacturing activity continued to expand in August. The firm-level index of general activity, new orders, and sales/revenues remained positive, and the firms continued to report overall increases in employment. Both price indicators remain elevated. ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.6% in July
Posted: August 17, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for theU.S. increased 0.6 percent in July to 110.7 (2016 = 100), following a 0.5 percent increase in June, and a 0.1 percent increase in May.

“The U.S. LEI increased in July, suggesting the US economy will continue expanding at a solid pace for the remainder of this year,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “The strengths among the components of the ...


July Housing Starts increased 0.9%, Permits up 1.5%
Posted: August 16, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,311,000. This is 1.5 percent (±1.3 percent) above the revised June rate of 1,292,000 and is 4.2 percent (±1.7 percent) above the July 2017 rate of 1,258,000. Single-family authorizations in July were at a rate ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity Still Positive but Weakened in August
Posted: August 16, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Growth in regional manufacturing activity slowed in August, according to results from this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. All the broad indicators remained positive but fell from their readings in July. The survey’s respondents continued to indicate price increases for purchased inputs and their own manufactured products, but ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 2,000 to 212,000
Posted: August 16, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 212,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 213,000 to 214,000. The 4-week moving average was 215,500, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2018
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2018. The sum total in June of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $114.5 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $142.4 billion, and net ...


Business Inventories up 0.1% in June
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for June, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,452.2 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.1 percent) from May 2018 and was up 8.2 percent (±1.2 percent) from ...


Builder Confidence edged down to 67 in August
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes edged down one point to a solid 67 reading in August on the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index.

“The good news is that builders continue to report strong demand for new housing, fueled by steady job and income growth along with rising household formations,” said NAHB chairman Randy Noel. “However, they are increasingly focused on growing affordability concerns, ...


Industrial Production edged up 0.1%
Capacity Utilization unch at 78.1%

Posted: August 15, 2018 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent in July after rising at an average pace of 0.5 percent over the previous five months. Manufacturing production increased 0.3 percent, the output of utilities moved down 0.5 percent, and, after posting five consecutive months of growth, the index for mining declined 0.3 percent. At 108.0 percent of ...


2Q2018 Productivity Growth Increased 2.9%
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.9 percent during the second quarter of 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 4.8 percent and hours worked increased 1.9 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the second quarter of 2017 to ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July Increase 0.5%, Ex-Auto up 0.6%
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July 2018, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $507.5 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.4 percent) from the previous month, and 6.4 percent (±0.5 percent) above July 2017. Total sales for the May 2018 through ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded strongly in August
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity remained robust in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2018 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed three points to 25.6. New orders and shipments grew strongly, and firms reported an increase in unfilled orders. Delivery times continued to lengthen, ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 15, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 10, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index remained ...


U.S. Import Price Index Unch% in July
Posted: August 14, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Prices for U.S. imports recorded no change in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after edging down 0.1 percent in June. Falling nonfuel prices in July offset higher fuel prices. U.S. export prices decreased 0.5 percent in July following a 0.2-percent increase in June. The July decline was driven by a drop in ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points to 107.9 in July
Posted: August 14, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index marked its second highest level in the survey’s 45-year history at 107.9, rising to within 0.1 point of the July 1983 record-high of 108. The July 2018 report also set new records in terms of owners reporting job creation plans and those with job openings. A seasonally-adjusted net 23 percent are planning ...


Forecasters See Steady Outlook for Growth with Stronger Labor Markets
Posted: August 10, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next three years is mostly unchanged from that of three months ago, according to 38 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.0 percent this quarter and 2.8 percent next quarter, unchanged from the estimates ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in July, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: August 10, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.9 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings were unchanged% in July
Posted: August 10, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees were unchanged from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings combined with a 0.2-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in June
Posted: August 9, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

June 2018 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $506.7 billion, down 0.1 percent (±0.4 percent)* from the revised May level, but were up 10.2 percent (±3.3 percent) from the June 2017 level. The April ...


Producer Price Index was unchanged% in July, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: August 9, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.3 percent in June and 0.5 percent in May. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 3.3 percent for the 12 months ended in ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 6,000 to 213,000
Posted: August 9, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 213,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 218,000 to 219,000. The 4-week moving average was 214,250, a decrease of 500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 8, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 3.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 3, 2018.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier to its lowest level since January 2016. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 3.00%
Posted: August 7, 2018 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4-1/2 percent during the second quarter. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5 percent. In June, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of ...


Job Openings edged up to 6.7 million in June
Posted: August 7, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.7 million on the last business day of June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.5 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.3 percent and the layoffs and ...


Employment Trends Index increased in July to 109.89
Posted: August 6, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in July, after increasing in June. The index now stands at 109.89, up from 108.72 (a downward revision) in June. The change represents a 5.4 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The growth in the Employment Trends Index remains strong, supported by positive contributions from all of its components,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “We expect economic activity to remain strong in the coming months, and the ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dipped to 55.7% in July
Posted: August 3, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in July for the 102nd consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 55.7 percent, which is 3.4 percentage points lower than the June reading of 59.1 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. There was a notable decrease in the Business Activity Index, which fell to 56.5 ...


July Employment increased by 157,000
Unemployment Rate edged down to 3.9%

Posted: August 3, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 157,000 in July, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in professional and business services, in manufacturing, and in health care and ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in June 2018
Posted: August 3, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $46.3 billion in June from $43.2 billion in May (revised), as exports decreased and imports increased. June exports were $213.8 billion, $1.5 billion less than May exports. June imports were $260.2 billion, $1.6 billion more than ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.7% in June
Posted: August 2, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in June, up four of the last five months, increased $3.3 billion or 0.7 percent to $501.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.4 percent May increase. Shipments, up thirteen of the last fourteen months, increased $4.9 billion or 1.0 percent to $501.4 billion. This followed a ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 1,000 to 218,000
Posted: August 2, 2018 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 217,000. The 4-week moving average was 214,500, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Challenger Layoffs Decreased to 27,122 in July
Posted: August 2, 2018 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

The pace of downsizing fell to the lowest level of the year in July, as U.S.-based employers announced plans to cut 27,122 workers from payrolls during the month, according to a report released Thursday by global outplacement and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 1.75% - 2.00%
Posted: August 1, 2018 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Household spending and business fixed investment ...



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