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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202109


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index slipped to 64.7 in September
Posted: September 30, 2021 at 09:45 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, slipped to 64.7 in September, the lowest level since February.

Among the main five indicators, Order Backlogs saw the largest decline, followed by Supplier Deliveries and New Orders. Only Employment increased through the month. ...


2Q2021 GDP final estimate increased 6.7%
Posted: September 30, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 6.7 percent in the second quarter of 2021 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 6.3 percent. The "third" estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 11,000 to 362,000
Posted: September 30, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 362,000, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 351,000. The 4-week moving average was 340,000, an increase of 4,250 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Pending Home Sales Index increased 8.1% in August
Posted: September 29, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales rebounded in August, recording significant gains after two prior months of declines, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Each of the four major U.S. regions mounted month-over-month growth in contract activity. However, those same territories reported decreases in transactions year-over-year, with the ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 29, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 24, 2021.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 1 ...


Consumer Confidence declined in September 2021 to 109.3
Posted: September 28, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined again in September, following decreases in both July and August. The Index now stands at 109.3 (1985=100), down from 115.2 in August. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—fell to 143.4 from 148.9 last month. ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index declined to -3 in September 2021
Posted: September 28, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity softened slightly in September, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index declined from 9 in August to −3 in September. The indexes for shipments and new orders fell below 0 for the first time since May 2020, but the third component index — employment ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 1.6% in July 2021
Posted: September 28, 2021 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for July 2021 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 19.7% annual gain in July, up from 18.7% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 19.1%, up from 18.5% in the ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to increase in September 2021
Posted: September 27, 2021 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose three points to 24.2. The reading was well above average and indicative of solid ...


August 2021 New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 1.8%, Ex-Trans up 0.2%
Posted: September 27, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased $4.6 billion or 1.8 percent to $263.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up fifteen of the last sixteen months, followed a 0.5 percent July increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent. Excluding defense, new ...


New Home Sales in August 2021 at annual rate of 740,000
Posted: September 24, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in August 2021 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 740,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 1.5 percent (±15.1 percent)* above the revised July rate of 729,000, but is 24.3 percent ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity moderated slightly but remained solid in September 2021
Posted: September 23, 2021 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity growth moderated slightly but remained solid, and expectations for future production increased further. The index of prices paid for raw materials continued to increase at record levels in September compared to a month ago and a year ago. Price indexes for finished goods also remained very high. ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.9% in August 2021
Posted: September 23, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for theU.S. increased by 0.9 percent in August to 117.1 (2016 = 100), following a 0.8 percent increase in July and a 0.6 percent increase in June.

“The U.S. LEI rose sharply in August and remains on a rapidly rising trajectory,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “While the Delta variant—alongside rising inflation fears—could create headwinds for labor markets and the ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Slower, but Still Above-Average Growth in August
Posted: September 23, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.53 in July from –0.01 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, and three categories improved from June. The index’s three-month moving ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 16,000 to 351,000
Posted: September 23, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 351,000, an increase of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 332,000 to 335,000. The 4-week moving average was 335,750, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Existing-Home Sales decreased 2.0% in August 2021
Posted: September 22, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales retreated in August, breaking two straight months of increases, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Each of the four major U.S. regions experienced declines on both a month-over-month and a year-over-year perspective.

Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 2.0% from July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.88 million in August. Year-over-year, sales dropped 1.5% from a year ago (5.97 million in ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 22, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 17, 2021. The previous week's results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest continued growth in September 2021
Posted: September 21, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the September Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued growth in business activity in the region. However, the indicators for firm-level general activity, new orders, and sales/revenues all declined from last month. The survey's indexes for full-time and part-time employment rose. Overall, the respondents ...


August Housing Starts Increased 3.9%, Permits up 6.0%
Posted: September 21, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,728,000. This is 6.0 percent (±1.4 percent) above the revised July rate of 1,630,000 and is 13.5 percent (±1.8 percent) above the August 2020 rate of 1,522,000. Single‐family authorizations in August were at a ...


2Q2021 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: September 21, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. current account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, widened by $0.9 billion, or 0.5 percent, to $190.3 billion in the second quarter of 2021, according to statistics from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). ...


NAHB Builder Confidence inched up 1 point to 76 in September 2021
Posted: September 20, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence inched up in September on lower lumber prices and strong housing demand, even as the housing sector continues to grapple with building material supply chain issues and labor challenges. Ending a three-month decline, builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes edged up one point to 76 in ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary September Results rose to 71.0
Posted: September 17, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The steep August falloff in consumer sentiment ended in early September, but the small gain still meant that consumers expected the least favorable economic prospects in more than a decade. Just two components posted additional declines: buying attitudes for household durables fell again in early September to a low reached only once before ...


Treasury International Capital Data for July 2021
Posted: September 16, 2021 at 04:00 PM (Thursday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2021. The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $126.0 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $127.7 billion, and net ...


Business Inventories up 0.5% in July 2021
Posted: September 16, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for July, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,652.2 billion, up 0.5 percent (±0.1 percent) from June 2021 and was up 16.3 percent (±0.6 percent) from ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 20,000 to 332,000
Posted: September 16, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 332,000, an increase of 20,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 310,000 to 312,000. The 4-week moving average was 335,750, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's revised average. This ...


U.S. Retail Sales for August 2021 increase 0.7%, Ex-Auto up 1.8%
Posted: September 16, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August 2021, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $618.7 billion, an increase of 0.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 15.1 percent (±0.7 percent) above August 2020. Total sales for the June ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to expand in September 2021
Posted: September 16, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to the firms responding to the September Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity and shipments improved, but the new orders and employment indexes softened somewhat. Both price indexes remained elevated. The survey's ...


Industrial Production increased 0.4%
Capacity Utilization increased to 76.4%

Posted: September 15, 2021 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production increased 0.4 percent in August after moving up 0.8 percent in July. Late-month shutdowns related to Hurricane Ida held down the gain in industrial production by an estimated 0.3 percentage point. Although the hurricane forced plant closures for petrochemicals, plastic resins, and petroleum refining, overall ...


U.S. Import Price Index decreased 0.3% in August 2021
Posted: September 15, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices declined 0.3 percent in August following increases of 0.4 percent in July and 1.1 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The August downturn was led by lower fuel and nonfuel prices. In contrast, prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.4 percent in August, after increasing 1.1 percent in ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew at a swift pace in September 2021
Posted: September 15, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity grew at a swift pace in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2021 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed sixteen points to 34.3. New orders, shipments, and unfilled orders all increased substantially. The delivery times index reached a record high. ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 15, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 10, 2021. This week's results include an adjustment for the Labor ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% in August, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: September 14, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.5 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.3 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.4% in August 2021
Posted: September 14, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.4 percent from July to August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.6 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.3 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased to 100.1 in August
Posted: September 14, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased in August to 100.1, up 0.4 points from July. Five of the 10 Index components improved, four declined, and one was unchanged. The NFIB Uncertainty Index decreased seven points to 69, the lowest level since January 2016.

“As the economy moves into the fourth quarter, small business owners are losing confidence in the strength of future business conditions,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “The biggest problems facing small employers right now is finding enough labor to meet their ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.6% in July 2021
Posted: September 10, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

July 2021 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $601.3 billion, up 2.0 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised June level and were up 23.7 percent (±1.6 percent) from the revised July 2020 level. The ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.7% in August, ex Fd & Engy up 0.6%
Posted: September 10, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.7 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 1.0 percent in July, the same as in June. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 8.3 percent for the 12 months ended in August, the largest advance ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 35,000 to 310,000
Posted: September 9, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 310,000, a decrease of 35,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since March 14, 2020 when it was 256,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 5,000 from 340,000 to 345,000. The 4-week ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 4.7% in July
Posted: September 8, 2021 at 03:00 PM (Wednesday)

In July, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.7 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 6.7 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent.

...


Beige Book: Economic Activity downshifted slightly to a moderate pace
Posted: September 8, 2021 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic growth downshifted slightly to a moderate pace in early July through August. The stronger sectors of the economy of late included manufacturing, transportation, nonfinancial services, and residential real estate. The deceleration in economic activity was largely attributable to a pullback in dining out, travel, and tourism in ...


Job Openings reached a series high of 10.9 million in July
Posted: September 8, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings increased to a series high of 10.9 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.7 million and 5.8 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.7 percent while the layoffs and ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index fell in August 2021 to 154.0
Posted: September 8, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®-Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index fell in August and now stands at 154.0 (July 2018=100), down from 156.2 in July. The 1.4 percent decrease between July and August follows a 2.0 percent increase between June and July. Overall, the Index is up 57.0 percent from a ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 8, 2021 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 3, 2021.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


Employment Trends Index increased in August 2021 to 110.3
Posted: September 7, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased for the sixth consecutive month in August, though the rate of increase has fallen. The index now stands at 110.37, up from 109.89 in July.

“The growth rate of the Employment Trends Index slowed in the past two months, reflecting the Delta variant’s impact on economic activity, especially in in-person services,” said Gad Levanon, Head of The Conference Board Labor Markets Institute. “We continue to monitor two ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dipped to 61.7% in August
Posted: September 3, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in August for the 15th month in a row, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “The Services PMI® registered 61.7 percent, 2.4 percentage points lower than the all-time high reading of 64.1 ...


August Employment rose by 235,000
Unemployment Rate declined to 5.2%

Posted: September 3, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 235,000 in August, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. So far this year, monthly job growth has averaged 586,000. In August, notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, transportation ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 0.1% in July 2021
Posted: September 2, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Summary
New orders for manufactured goods in July, up fourteen of the last fifteen months, increased $1.9 billion or 0.4 percent to $508.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.5 percent June increase. Shipments, also up fourteen of the last fifteen months, increased $7.8 billion or 1.6 percent to $508.5 billion. ...


2Q2021 Productivity Growth increased 2.1%
Posted: September 2, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.1 percent in the second quarter of 2021, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 8.1 percent and hours worked increased 6.0 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the second quarter of 2020 to ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in July 2021
Posted: September 2, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $70.1 billion in July from $73.2 billion in June (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $70.1 billion in July, down $3.2 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 14,000 to 340,000
Posted: September 2, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 340,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since March 14, 2020 when it was 256,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 353,000 to 354,000. The 4-week moving ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 15,723 Job Cuts in August 2021
Posted: September 2, 2021 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 15,723 job cuts in August, down 17% from the 18,942 cuts announced in July. Last month's total is the lowest since in June 1997, when 15,091 job cuts were announced, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. ...



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