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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - FOMC


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expansion Moderates in October
Posted: November 30, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in November for the sixth consecutive month, though at a markedly slower pace, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell from 25.5 to 7.2, indicating a deceleration in ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell from 29 to 15 in November 2020
Posted: November 24, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Reports from Fifth District manufacturers were broadly positive in November, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite fell from 29 in October to 15 in November, but remained firmly in expansionary territory, as all three component indexes — shipments, new orders, and employment — had positive readings. ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity moderated in November
Posted: November 24, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Firms responding to the November Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated a moderation in business activity. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders all posted declines for the month, with the latter two indexes reaching negative territory. However, the survey's indexes for full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Economic Growth Increased in October
Posted: November 23, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.83 in October from +0.32 in September. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in October, and three of the four categories increased from September. The ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to grow modestly in November
Posted: November 19, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to grow modestly in November. Manufacturing activity remained below year ago levels, but expectations for future activity remained solid. Prices paid for raw materials and finished goods continued to expand compared to a month ago and a year ago. District firms expected prices for both raw ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to grow in November
Posted: November 19, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to firms responding to the November Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the sixth consecutive month but fell from their readings in October. However, employment increases ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters see Slower Near-Term Growth
Posted: November 16, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for real GDP growth in the next few quarters looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 37 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 4.0 percent this quarter, lower than the prediction of 5.8 percent from the previous ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded slightly in November 2020
Posted: November 16, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity expanded in New York State, though only slightly, according to firms responding to the November 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell four points to 6.3, pointing to a slower pace of growth than in October. There was a small increase in new orders, and shipments were ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: November 5, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Thursday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have continued to recover but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and earlier ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 21 to 29 in October
Posted: October 27, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity strengthened in October, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index rose from 21 in September to 29 in October, its highest reading on record, buoyed by increases in the shipments and new orders indexes, while the third component — the employment index — was unchanged. ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands for Fifth Straight Month in October
Posted: October 26, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in October for the fifth month in a row following a record contraction due to the COVID-19 pandemic, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose three points to 25.5, indicating a ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Slower and Slightly Above-Average Growth in September
Posted: October 26, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by some further moderation in the growth of production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.27 in September from +1.11 in August. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in September, but three of the four ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity rose again in October
Posted: October 22, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity rose again in October but remained lower than a year ago, while expectations for future activity continued to expand. Prices paid for raw materials grew at a faster pace and prices received for finished goods inched up from a month ago. District firms expected prices for both raw materials and finished ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continued to increase at a slight to modest pace
Posted: October 21, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity continued to increase across all Districts, with the pace of growth characterized as slight to modest in most Districts. Changes in activity varied greatly by sector. Manufacturing activity generally increased at a moderate pace. Residential housing markets continued to experience steady demand for new and existing homes, ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued improving in October
Posted: October 20, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and sales/revenues remained positive, and the survey's index for full-time employment increased. Respondents expect ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity picked up in October
Posted: October 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region picked up this month, according to firms responding to the October Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments all showed notable improvement. Most future indexes increased and continue to reflect optimism among firms about growth ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded modestly in October 2020
Posted: October 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Business activity expanded modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell seven points to 10.5, pointing to a slower pace of growth than in September. New orders and shipments continued to increase, while unfilled orders ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Picks Up Steam in September
Posted: September 28, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on the impacts of COVID-19. Results for these questions from the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey have been released together. Read the special ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Increased at a Slower Pace in September
Posted: September 24, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity increased at a slower pace in September and remained lower than a year ago, while expectations for future activity were positive. Prices paid for raw materials and finished goods rose further. District firms expected prices for both raw materials and finished goods to grow in the next ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index climbed from 18 to 21 in September
Posted: September 22, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the Fifth District improved in September, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index climbed from 18 in August to 21 in September, buoyed by increases in the indicators for new orders and employment. The third component index — shipments — decreased but remained positive, ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued improving in September
Posted: September 22, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing firms reported continued signs of improvement in regional nonmanufacturing activity this month, according to results from the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The index for general activity at the firm level edged up, sales/revenues remained stable, and new orders edged down. The survey's indexes for full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests slower, but still well-above-average growth in August
Posted: September 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by some further moderation in the growth of production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.79 in August from +2.54 in July. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in August, but all four categories decreased from July. The ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook reported continued to expand in September
Posted: September 17, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the September Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the fourth consecutive month. The employment index improved in September and remained ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: September 16, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have picked up in recent months but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded at a solid clip in September 2020
Posted: September 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity expanded at a solid clip in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed thirteen points to 17.0. New orders increased modestly, and shipments grew significantly. Unfilled orders continued to decline. Inventories ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity increased, but still remained well below pre-pandemic
Posted: September 2, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity increased among most Districts, but gains were generally modest and activity remained well below levels prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Manufacturing rose in most Districts, which coincided with increased activity at ports and among transportation and distribution firms. Consumer spending continued to pick up, sparked by ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded in August
Posted: August 31, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in August for the third month in a row following a record contraction in the spring after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, came in at 13.1, down ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Rose Moderately in August
Posted: August 27, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity rose moderately from July but remained below year-ago levels, while expectations for future activity expanded further (Chart 1, Tables 1 & 2). Prices paid for raw materials increased and prices received for finished goods were slightly positive. District firms expected prices for both finished goods and ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 10 to 18 in August
Posted: August 25, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the Fifth District continued to strengthen in August, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index rose from 10 in July to 18 in August, as all three components — shipments, new orders, and employment — increased. The index for local business conditions also rose, and many firms ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity improvement continued in August
Posted: August 25, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Firms responding to the August Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated continued improvement in business activity. The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues showed positive readings for the third consecutive month, coinciding with the phased reopening of the service economy in the region. Additionally, ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests slower, but still well-above-average growth in July
Posted: August 24, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by some moderation in the growth of production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +1.18 in July from +5.33 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, but all four categories decreased from June. ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook reported continued to expand in August
Posted: August 20, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the August Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the third consecutive month but fell from their readings in July. The employment index ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions fell in August 2020
Posted: August 17, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity edged slightly higher in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell fourteen points to 3.7, signaling a slower pace of growth than in July. New orders were little changed, and shipments increased modestly. Unfilled ...


Forecasters See Higher Growth in the Quarter
Posted: August 14, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy in the current quarter looks brighter now than it did three months ago, according to 35 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 19.1 percent this quarter, much stronger than the prediction of 10.6 percent from the ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: July 29, 2020 at 02:02 PM (Wednesday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The coronavirus outbreak is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Following sharp declines, economic activity and employment have picked up somewhat in recent months but remain well below their levels at the beginning ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 0 to 10 in July
Posted: July 28, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing in the Fifth District showed signs of recovery in July, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index rose from 0 in June to 10 in July, its first positive reading since March, buoyed by increases in all three components. The indexes for shipments and new orders suggested expansion, while the ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Recovery Continues in July
Posted: July 27, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in July following a record contraction in the spring, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, inched up from 13.6 to 16.1, suggesting a slight pickup in the pace of ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Continued to Grow Slightly in July
Posted: July 23, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to grow slightly after decreasing sharply in the spring, but still remained well below year-ago levels. Expectations for future activity continued to improve slightly. District firms continued to expect prices for both finished goods and raw materials to expand in the next ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests economic growth increased further in June
Posted: July 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Led by improvements in production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +4.11 in June from +3.50 in May. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in June, and two of the four categories increased from May. The ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity shows signs of improvement in July
Posted: July 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing firms reported signs of improvement in regional nonmanufacturing activity this month, according to results from the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues showed positive readings for the second consecutive month after a string of negative readings in ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook continued to expand in July
Posted: July 16, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the July Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments showed positive readings for the second consecutive month, coinciding with the phased reopening of the economy in ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity increased, but remained well below pre-pandemic
Posted: July 15, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity increased in almost all Districts, but remained well below where it was prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Consumer spending picked up as many nonessential businesses were allowed to reopen. Retail sales rose in all Districts, led by a rebound in vehicle sales and sustained growth in the food and beverage and home ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions rose in July 2020
Posted: July 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity increased in New York State for the first time in several months, according to firms responding to the July 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index rose to 17.2, its first positive reading since February. New orders and shipments also increased, and unfilled orders were ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity rebounded strongly in June
Posted: June 29, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity rebounded strongly in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, climbed from -28.0 to 13.6, indicating moderate expansion in output following three months of record or ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Grew Slightly in June
Posted: June 25, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity grew slightly after sharply decreasing the past three months, but remained well below year-ago levels. Expectations for future activity rebounded moderately. Month-over-month price indexes increased in June after dropping sharply in previous months. District firms expected prices for both finished goods ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from −27 to 0 in June
Posted: June 23, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing held fairly steady in June, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index rose from −27 in May to 0 in June, as shipments were relatively flat, more firms reported increases in new orders, and firms generally reported continued declines in employment. The index for local ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued weakness in June
Posted: June 23, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing firms reported continued weakness in regional nonmanufacturing activity this month, according to results from the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Most of the survey’s current indicators improved from readings last month: The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues showed positive readings ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Economic Growth Increased Substantially in May
Posted: June 22, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +2.61 in May from –17.89 in April. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in May, and all four categories increased from April. The index’s three-month ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook reported signs of improvement in June
Posted: June 18, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing conditions in the region showed signs of improvement this month, according to firms responding to the June Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments returned to positive territory, coinciding with the gradual reopening of the economy in our region and ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions steadied in June 2020
Posted: June 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity steadied in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. After breaching record lows in April and May, the headline general business conditions index climbed forty-eight points to -0.2. New orders were unchanged from last month and shipments inched higher. Delivery times ...



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