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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - FOMC


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity climbed higher in February
Posted: February 25, 2021 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity climbed higher in February compared to a month ago and a year ago, and expectations for future activity increased. Prices paid for raw materials continued to increase, reaching the second highest pace of growth in survey history. Prices for finished goods also grew more from a month ago and a year ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index held steady at 14 in February 2021
Posted: February 23, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Fifth District manufacturing activity continued to improve in February, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index held steady from January to February, at 14, as all three component indexes — shipments, new orders, and employment — remained firmly positive. The index for vendor lead time, which hit ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey indicated improved conditions in February 2021
Posted: February 23, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Firms responding to the February Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated improved conditions in business activity. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders all posted increases for the month, with the former two indexes rising into low positive territory. Additionally, the survey's indexes ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands at a Faster Pace in February
Posted: February 22, 2021 at 11:22 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded at a markedly faster pace in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, surged 15 points to 19.9, indicating a sharp acceleration in ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests economic growth increased in January
Posted: February 22, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in personal consumption-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.66 in January from +0.41 in December. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in January, but three categories decreased from December. The index’s ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to grow in February
Posted: February 18, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to firms responding to the February Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments declined from January's readings but remained elevated. Additionally, employment increases were more widespread this month. ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew modestly in February 2021
Posted: February 16, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity grew modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the February 2021 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed nine points to 12.1, its highest level in several months. New orders increased, and shipments edged higher. Delivery times lengthened, and inventories ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters see Stronger Economic Rebound with Lower Unemployment
Posted: February 12, 2021 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy over the next three years looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 3.2 percent this quarter, unchanged from the prediction in the last survey. However, over ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity increased at a faster pace in January
Posted: January 28, 2021 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity increased at a faster pace in January compared to a month ago and was similar to year ago levels. Expectations for future activity rose further. Prices paid for raw materials continued to rise rapidly, to the highest reading since 2011. Prices for finished goods also expanded from a month ago and a year ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: January 27, 2021 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. The pace of the recovery in economic activity and employment has moderated in recent months, with weakness concentrated in the sectors most adversely ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell from 19 to 14 in January 2021
Posted: January 26, 2021 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Fifth District manufacturing sector showed signs of growth in January, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index fell from 19 in December to 14 in January but remained in expansionary territory, as did all three of its component indexes — shipments, new orders, and ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Further Weakening in Activity in January
Posted: January 26, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the January Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest further weakening in nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues both declined and posted negative readings. Although the indexes for new orders and full-time employment increased, readings for both ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands at a Slower Pace in January
Posted: January 25, 2021 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in January, albeit at a markedly slower pace, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell from 26.8 to 4.6, indicating a sharp deceleration in ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index points to an uptick in economic growth in December
Posted: January 25, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.52 in December from +0.31 in November. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in December, but three categories decreased from November. The index’s ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to grow in January
Posted: January 21, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to firms responding to the January Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments increased notably this month and remained positive for the eighth consecutive month. The survey's future indexes remained ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions were little changed in January 2021
Posted: January 15, 2021 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity was little changed in New York State, according to firms responding to the January 2021 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index held steady at 3.5. New orders and shipments edged higher. Unfilled orders continued to move lower, and delivery times continued to lengthen somewhat. ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity increased modestly
Posted: January 13, 2021 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Most Federal Reserve Districts reported that economic activity increased modestly since the previous Beige Book period, although conditions remained varied: two Districts reported little or no change in activity, while two others noted a decline. Reports on consumer spending were mixed. Some Districts noted declines in retail sales and demand ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands at a Faster Pace in December
Posted: December 28, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Expansion in Texas factory activity picked up in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rebounded from 7.2 to 25.5, indicating an acceleration in ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 15 to 19 in December 2020
Posted: December 22, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity showed signs of improvement in December, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index rose from 15 in November to 19 in December, buoyed by increases in the indexes for new orders and employment, while the third component — the shipments index — ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity moderation continued in December
Posted: December 22, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Firms responding to the December Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated a continued moderation in business activity. The survey's current indicator for general activity at the firm level held steady at a low but positive reading. However, the indexes for new orders and sales/revenues remained negative, and the full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Slower, but Still Slightly Above-Average Growth in November
Posted: December 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by slower growth in employment- and production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.27 in November from +1.01 in October. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in November, but all four categories decreased from October. The ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded further in December
Posted: December 17, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity expanded further in December. Manufacturing activity was still below year ago levels, but expectations for future activity were positive. Prices paid for raw materials and finished goods rose further from a month ago and a year ago. District firms expected prices for both raw materials and finished goods ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity showed less widespread growth in December
Posted: December 17, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, but growth was, according to firms responding to the December Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the seventh consecutive month but fell notably from their readings in November. ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: December 16, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have continued to recover but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and earlier ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions edged slightly higher in December 2020
Posted: December 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity edged slightly higher in New York State, according to firms responding to the December 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index was little changed at 4.9. New orders increased marginally, and shipments were modestly higher. Inventories continued to move lower, and delivery times ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded at a modest or moderate pace
Posted: December 2, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Most Federal Reserve Districts have characterized economic expansion as modest or moderate since the prior Beige Book period. However, four Districts described little or no growth, and five narratives noted that activity remained below pre-pandemic levels for at least some sectors. Moreover, Philadelphia and three of the four Midwestern ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expansion Moderates in November
Posted: November 30, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in November for the sixth consecutive month, though at a markedly slower pace, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell from 25.5 to 7.2, indicating a deceleration in ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell from 29 to 15 in November 2020
Posted: November 24, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Reports from Fifth District manufacturers were broadly positive in November, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite fell from 29 in October to 15 in November, but remained firmly in expansionary territory, as all three component indexes — shipments, new orders, and employment — had positive readings. ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity moderated in November
Posted: November 24, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Firms responding to the November Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicated a moderation in business activity. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders all posted declines for the month, with the latter two indexes reaching negative territory. However, the survey's indexes for full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Economic Growth Increased in October
Posted: November 23, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.83 in October from +0.32 in September. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in October, and three of the four categories increased from September. The ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to grow modestly in November
Posted: November 19, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to grow modestly in November. Manufacturing activity remained below year ago levels, but expectations for future activity remained solid. Prices paid for raw materials and finished goods continued to expand compared to a month ago and a year ago. District firms expected prices for both raw ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to grow in November
Posted: November 19, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to firms responding to the November Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the sixth consecutive month but fell from their readings in October. However, employment increases ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters see Slower Near-Term Growth
Posted: November 16, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for real GDP growth in the next few quarters looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 37 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 4.0 percent this quarter, lower than the prediction of 5.8 percent from the previous ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded slightly in November 2020
Posted: November 16, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity expanded in New York State, though only slightly, according to firms responding to the November 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell four points to 6.3, pointing to a slower pace of growth than in October. There was a small increase in new orders, and shipments were ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: November 5, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Thursday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have continued to recover but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and earlier ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from 21 to 29 in October
Posted: October 27, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity strengthened in October, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index rose from 21 in September to 29 in October, its highest reading on record, buoyed by increases in the shipments and new orders indexes, while the third component — the employment index — was unchanged. ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands for Fifth Straight Month in October
Posted: October 26, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in October for the fifth month in a row following a record contraction due to the COVID-19 pandemic, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose three points to 25.5, indicating a ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests Slower and Slightly Above-Average Growth in September
Posted: October 26, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by some further moderation in the growth of production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.27 in September from +1.11 in August. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in September, but three of the four ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity rose again in October
Posted: October 22, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity rose again in October but remained lower than a year ago, while expectations for future activity continued to expand. Prices paid for raw materials grew at a faster pace and prices received for finished goods inched up from a month ago. District firms expected prices for both raw materials and finished ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continued to increase at a slight to modest pace
Posted: October 21, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity continued to increase across all Districts, with the pace of growth characterized as slight to modest in most Districts. Changes in activity varied greatly by sector. Manufacturing activity generally increased at a moderate pace. Residential housing markets continued to experience steady demand for new and existing homes, ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued improving in October
Posted: October 20, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and sales/revenues remained positive, and the survey's index for full-time employment increased. Respondents expect ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity picked up in October
Posted: October 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region picked up this month, according to firms responding to the October Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments all showed notable improvement. Most future indexes increased and continue to reflect optimism among firms about growth ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions expanded modestly in October 2020
Posted: October 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Business activity expanded modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell seven points to 10.5, pointing to a slower pace of growth than in September. New orders and shipments continued to increase, while unfilled orders ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Picks Up Steam in September
Posted: September 28, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

For this month’s survey, Texas business executives were asked supplemental questions on the impacts of COVID-19. Results for these questions from the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey have been released together. Read the special ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Increased at a Slower Pace in September
Posted: September 24, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity increased at a slower pace in September and remained lower than a year ago, while expectations for future activity were positive. Prices paid for raw materials and finished goods rose further. District firms expected prices for both raw materials and finished goods to grow in the next ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index climbed from 18 to 21 in September
Posted: September 22, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the Fifth District improved in September, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index climbed from 18 in August to 21 in September, buoyed by increases in the indicators for new orders and employment. The third component index — shipments — decreased but remained positive, ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued improving in September
Posted: September 22, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing firms reported continued signs of improvement in regional nonmanufacturing activity this month, according to results from the Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The index for general activity at the firm level edged up, sales/revenues remained stable, and new orders edged down. The survey's indexes for full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests slower, but still well-above-average growth in August
Posted: September 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by some further moderation in the growth of production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.79 in August from +2.54 in July. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in August, but all four categories decreased from July. The ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook reported continued to expand in September
Posted: September 17, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to firms responding to the September Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments remained positive for the fourth consecutive month. The employment index improved in September and remained ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 0.00% - 0.25%
Posted: September 16, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum employment and price stability goals.

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing tremendous human and economic hardship across the United States and around the world. Economic activity and employment have picked up in recent months but remain well below their levels at the beginning of the year. Weaker demand and ...



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