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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - FOMC



Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Accelerated in January
Posted: January 27, 2020 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity accelerated in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose seven points to 10.5, suggesting stronger output growth than ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity was nearly flat in January
Posted: January 23, 2020 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity was nearly flat in January while expectations for future activity expanded. The month-over-month prices for raw materials increased, while prices for finished products declined from a month ago. District firms continued to expect higher prices in the next ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index points to slower economic growth in December
Posted: January 22, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.35 in December from +0.41 in November. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from November, and three of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in December. The ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity continued to expand in January
Posted: January 21, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the January Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion in nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues all rose. However, the index for full-time employment decreased. The firms continued to report overall increases in the ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity Improved in January
Posted: January 16, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region increased this month, according to results from the January Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s indicators for current activity, new orders, shipments, and employment were all positive and increased from their readings in December. The survey’s future activity indexes remained at relatively ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continues to expand modestly
Posted: January 15, 2020 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity generally continued to expand modestly in the final six weeks of 2019. The Dallas and Richmond Districts noted above-average growth, while Philadelphia, St. Louis, and Kansas City reported sub-par growth. Consumer spending grew at a modest to moderate pace, with a number of Districts noting some pickup from the prior ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew to a small degree in January
Posted: January 15, 2020 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Business activity grew to a small degree in New York State, according to firms responding to the January 2020 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index was little changed at 4.8. New orders and shipments edged higher. Delivery times were somewhat shorter, and inventories held steady. Employment continued ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expands Modestly in December
Posted: December 30, 2019 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity resumed in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rebounded to 3.6 after dipping into negative territory ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell from -1 to −5 in December
Posted: December 24, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity slowed in December, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index fell from −1 in November to −5 in December, weighed down by decreases in the already negative indexes for shipments and new orders, while the third component — employment — increased ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity moderated in December
Posted: December 24, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the December Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest a moderation of nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues all fell but remained positive. The index for full-time employment remained stable. The firms continued to report overall increases ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index points to a rebound in economic growth in November
Posted: December 23, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.56 in November from –0.76 in October. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from October, and two of the four categories made positive contributions to the index in November. The index’s ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity decreased further in December
Posted: December 20, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Friday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity decreased further in December while expectations for future activity remained positive. The month-over-month prices for raw materials increased, while prices for finished products eased slightly from a month ago. District firms expected higher prices in the next ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity was flat in December
Posted: December 19, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region was flat this month, according to results from the December Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicator for current activity dropped to a reading near zero this month, although indicators for new orders, shipments, and employment remained at higher positive readings. The survey’s ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions were little changed in December
Posted: December 16, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity was little changed in New York State, according to firms responding to the December 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index held steady at 3.5. New orders were also little changed, while shipments grew modestly. Delivery times were somewhat shorter, and inventories held ...


FOMC target funds rate maintained at 1.50% - 1.75%
Posted: December 11, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in October indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending has been rising at a strong ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continues to expand modestly
Posted: November 27, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity expanded modestly from October through mid-November, similar to the pace of growth seen over the prior reporting period. Most Districts reported stable to moderately growing consumer spending, and increases in auto sales and tourism were seen across several Districts. In manufacturing, more Districts reported an expansion in ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell from 8 to −1 in November
Posted: November 26, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity softened in November, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index fell from 8 in October to −1 in November, weighed down by negative readings for shipments and new orders, while the third component — employment — declined but remained positive. Manufacturing firms ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity Continued Expansion in November
Posted: November 26, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the November Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion in nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues both increased, while the new orders index ticked downward. The index for full-time employment rose. The firms continued to report ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Contracted Slightly in November
Posted: November 25, 2019 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity contracted slightly in November, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, dipped into negative territory for the first time since mid-2016, falling seven points ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to Further Slower Economic Growth in October
Posted: November 25, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.71 in October from –0.45 in September. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from September, and all four categories made negative contributions to the index in October. The index’s ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to decline modestly in November
Posted: November 22, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Friday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to decline modestly in November, however expectations for future activity rebounded moderately (Chart 1). The month-over-month price indexes for raw materials and finished products both increased and District firms expected prices to increase over the next ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to grow in November
Posted: November 21, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to results from the November Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s broad indicators remained positive, although their movements were mixed this month: The indicator for general activity increased, but the new orders, shipments, and employment indicators decreased ...


Forecasters See Lower Near-Term Growth
Posted: November 15, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy for the next four quarters looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.7 percent this quarter, down from 2.0 percent in the last survey, 1.9 percent next quarter, and 1.7 percent in ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions were little changed in November
Posted: November 15, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity was little changed in New York State, according to firms responding to the November 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index came in at 2.9, roughly in line with its level in October. New orders increased slightly, and shipments grew modestly. Delivery times were somewhat shorter ...


FOMC target funds rate lowered to 1.50% - 1.75%
Posted: October 30, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending has been rising at a ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Continued to Expand in October
Posted: October 28, 2019 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in October, albeit at a markedly slower pace, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell nine points to 4.5, suggesting a moderation in output growth ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to Slower Economic Growth in September
Posted: October 28, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.45 in September from +0.15 in August. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from August, and all four categories made negative contributions to the index in September. The index’s ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity eased slightly in October
Posted: October 24, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity eased slightly in October, and expectations for future activity inched lower but remained slightly positive (Chart 1). The month-over-month price index for raw materials declined at a slower rate, while the price index for finished products expanded slightly. District firms expected prices to increase over ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from −9 to 8 in October
Posted: October 22, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity strengthened in October, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index rose from −9 in September to 8 in October, as all three components — shipments, new orders, and employment — increased. Manufacturing firms also reported an increase in backlog of ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity Continued Expansion in October
Posted: October 22, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the October Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion of nonmanufacturing activity in the region. Although the index for general activity at the firm level fell, the indexes for sales/revenues and new orders both rose. The index for full-time employment decreased. The firms continued to report ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to grow in October
Posted: October 17, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to results from the October Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicators remained positive, although their movements were mixed this month: The general activity and shipments indicators decreased from their readings last month, but the indicators for ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded at a slight to modest pace
Posted: October 16, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. economy expanded at a slight to modest pace since the prior report as business activity varied across the country. Reports from Districts representing states in the southern and western U.S. generally were more upbeat than Districts representing the Midwest and Great Plains. Household spending was solid on balance: nonauto retail ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew slightly in October
Posted: October 15, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity grew slightly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index edged up two points to 4.0. There was only a small increase in new orders, but shipments picked up. Delivery times decreased slightly, while inventories were ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Continued to Expand in September
Posted: September 30, 2019 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell four points to 13.9, suggesting output growth continued but at a slightly slower pace than ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity edged down in September
Posted: September 26, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity edged down in September, and expectations for future activity moderated but remained positive. The month-over-month price index for raw materials continued to fall, while the price index for finished products inched higher. Firms continued to expect prices to rise over the next 6 months, but at a ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index dropped from 1 to −9 in September
Posted: September 24, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity softened in September, according to the most recent survey from the Richmond Fed. The composite index dropped from 1 in August to −9 in September, as both shipments and new orders fell. However, the third component, employment, rose. Firms also reported a drop in backlog of orders and weakening local ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity Continued Growth in September
Posted: September 24, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the September Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest an expansion of nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The index for general activity at the firm level and the index for sales/revenues both moderated slightly, while the new orders index held steady. The index for full-time employment remained stable. The ...


Chicago Fed National Activity points to a pickup in economic growth in August
Posted: September 23, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.10 in August from –0.41 in July. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from July, but three of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in August. The index’s three-month ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to expand in September
Posted: September 19, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand this month, according to results from the September Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicators remained positive, although their movements were mixed: The indexes for general activity and new orders fell, while the indexes for shipments and employment increased. ...


FOMC target funds rate lowered to 1.75% - 2.00%
Posted: September 18, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending has been rising at a strong ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions were little changed in September
Posted: September 16, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity was little changed in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index edged down three points to 2.0. New orders were marginally higher than last month, and shipments grew modestly. Delivery times were steady, and ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded at a modest pace
Posted: September 4, 2019 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

On balance, reports from Federal Reserve Districts suggested that the economy expanded at a modest pace through the end of August. Although concerns regarding tariffs and trade policy uncertainty continued, the majority of businesses remained optimistic about the near-term outlook. Reports on consumer spending were mixed, although auto sales ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index rose from −12 to 1 in August
Posted: August 27, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity was moderate in August, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite index rose from −12 in July to 1 in August, buoyed by increases in the indexes for shipments and new orders. However, the third component, employment, fell. Firms reported increasing ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity Expansion Picks Up Pace in August
Posted: August 26, 2019 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded at a faster clip in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, shot up nine points to 17.9, its highest reading in nearly ...


Chicago Fed National Activity points to slower economic growth in July
Posted: August 26, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to –0.36 in July from +0.03 in June. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from June, and all four categories made negative contributions to the index in July. The index’s three-month moving average, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined in August
Posted: August 22, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined in August, while expectations for future activity edged higher (Chart 1). The month-over-month price indexes for raw materials and finished products decreased, turning negative for the first time since 2016. Firms continued to expect prices to rise over the next 6 ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey Suggest Activity Continued to Grow in August
Posted: August 20, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the August Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion in nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level and sales/revenues both increased, while the new orders index fell. The index for full-time employment ticked upward. Survey responses indicated ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Activity continued to grow in August
Posted: August 15, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to results from the August Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicators remained positive, although their movements were mixed this month: The general activity, shipments, and employment indicators decreased from their readings last month, but the ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions grew modestly in August
Posted: August 15, 2019 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Business activity increased modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index was little changed at 4.8. New orders increased after declining for the prior two months, and shipments continued to expand. Unfilled orders fell, delivery ...


Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Near-Term Growth
Posted: August 9, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy for the next three quarters looks slightly weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 35 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.8 percent this quarter, 2.0 percent next quarter, and 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2020, ...



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