Research >> Economics

Category: Research - Topic: Economics - FOMC


FOMC target funds rate raised to 4.50% - 4.75%
Posted: February 1, 2023 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation has eased somewhat but remains elevated.

Russia's war against Ukraine is causing tremendous human and economic hardship and is contributing to elevated global uncertainty. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks. ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to increase but at a slower pace in January 2023
Posted: January 30, 2023 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase but at a slower pace in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, came in at 16.6, an eight-month low but a reading still indicative of above-average ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity was mostly flat in January 2023
Posted: January 26, 2023 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity was mostly flat, and expectations for future activity moderated slightly. Monthly survey price indexes saw minimal growth in January. Price indexes remained above year-ago levels for most firms, and many firms expected some slowing in price gains over the next ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests little change in economic growth in December 2022
Posted: January 26, 2023 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) edged up to –0.49 in December from –0.51 in November. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made negative contributions in December, but two categories improved from November. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.33 in December ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell noticeably to -11 in January 2022
Posted: January 24, 2023 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing firms reported some deterioration in business conditions in January, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell noticeably into negative territory, decreasing from 1 in December to −11 in January. Each of its three component indexes: ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity expanded in January 2023
Posted: January 24, 2023 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region expanded this month, according to the firms responding to the January Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, new orders, and full-time employment all rose this month. The firms continued to report overall increases in both prices paid ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity continued to decline in January 2023
Posted: January 19, 2023 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to decline overall, according to the firms responding to the January Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments rose from last month, but the former two remained negative. The employment index rebounded. The firms reported ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity was relatively unchanged
Posted: January 18, 2023 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Overall economic activity was relatively unchanged since the previous report. Five Districts reported slight or modest increases in overall activity, six noted no change or slight declines, and one cited a significant decline. On balance, contacts generally expected little growth in the months ahead. Consumer spending increased slightly, with ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions contracted sharply in January 2022
Posted: January 17, 2023 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity contracted sharply in New York State, according to firms responding to the January 2023 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell twenty-two points to -32.9. New orders and shipments declined substantially. Delivery times held steady, and inventories edged higher. Employment ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity climbed to 1 in December 2022
Posted: December 28, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Some Fifth District manufacturing firms reported modest improvements in December, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index climbed into positive territory, increasing from −9 in November to 1 in December. Each of its three component indexes — shipments, new orders ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity growth resumed in December 2022
Posted: December 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Growth in Texas factory activity resumed in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose nine points to 9.7, suggestive of a pickup in ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Declined at a Slightly Faster Pace in December 2022
Posted: December 22, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined at a slightly faster pace than last month, while expectations for future activity were mostly flat or slightly positive. The monthly index of raw materials prices continued to slow in December, but materials prices were still higher than a year ago at most firms and expected to rise moderately in ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity remained weak in December 2022
Posted: December 20, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region remained weak this month, according to the firms responding to the December Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The index for general activity at the firm level turned positive but remained low. The new orders and sales/revenues indexes were negative, and the full-time employment index declined to ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined in December 2022
Posted: December 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Business activity declined in New York State, according to firms responding to the December 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell sixteen points to -11.2. New orders moved slightly lower, while shipments edged higher. Delivery times and inventories were little changed. Labor market ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity continued to decline in December 2022
Posted: December 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to decline overall in December, according to the firms responding to this month's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicators for current activity were all negative. The firms on balance also reported a decline in employment. The future indicators improved, suggesting that ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 4.25% - 4.50%
Posted: December 14, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity was about flat or up slightly
Posted: November 30, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity was about flat or up slightly since the previous report, down from the modest average pace of growth in the prior Beige Book period. Five Districts reported slight or modest gains in activity, and the rest experienced either no change or slight-to-modest declines. Interest rates and inflation continued to weigh on activity, ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity growth abated in November 2022
Posted: November 28, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity abated in November, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell five points to near zero, suggesting little change in output ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity edged up to -9 in November 2022
Posted: November 22, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Some Fifth District manufacturing firms reported softening conditions in November, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index remained negative but edged up from −10 in October to −9 in November. Of its three component indexes, the indexes for shipments and ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest weakened nonmanufacturing activity in November 2022
Posted: November 22, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the November Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest weakened nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The index for general activity at the firm level fell into negative territory, and the index for new orders remained negative. The index for sales/revenues declined sharply but remained positive. The full-time ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests slower economic growth in October 2022
Posted: November 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.05 in October from +0.17 in September. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made negative contributions in October, and three categories deteriorated from September. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved down to +0.09 ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined again in November 2022
Posted: November 17, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined at a similar pace compared to last month, while expectations for future activity were mostly flat or slightly positive. The monthly index of raw materials prices continued to slow in November and decreased compared to a year ago. Finished goods price indexes increased slightly from a month ago ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity continued to decline in November 2022
Posted: November 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to decline, according to the firms responding to the November Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The general activity index declined further, the new orders index remained negative, and the shipments index remained positive but low. The employment index declined but continued to suggest ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions edged slightly higher in November 2022
Posted: November 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity edged slightly higher in New York State, according to firms responding to the November 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed fourteen points to 4.5. New orders decreased slightly, while shipments expanded modestly. Delivery times were little changed, and inventories ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters Predict Lower Growth and Higher Unemployment Rate
Posted: November 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 38 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict the economy will expand at an annual rate of 1.0 percent this quarter, down from the prediction of 1.2 percent in the last survey. Over the next three ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 3.75% - 4.00%
Posted: November 2, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity growth continued in October 2022
Posted: October 31, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity continued in October, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, edged down three points to 6.0, suggesting a slight deceleration in ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined slightly in October 2022
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined slightly, and expectations for future activity also decreased. The monthly index of raw materials prices slowed in October and continued to decrease compared to a year ago. Finished goods price indexes decreased slightly from a month ago and compared to year-ago levels. Expectations for future ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell to -10 in October 2022
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Many Fifth District manufacturing firms reported weaker conditions in October, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell from 0 in September to −10 in October, dipping below its August level. Two of its three component indexes deteriorated notably: the indexes ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest continued expansion in October 2022
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region continued to expand overall, according to the firms responding to the October Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicator for general activity at the firm level decreased but remained positive, and the index for sales/revenues increased. However, the index for new orders ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests steady economic growth in September 2022
Posted: October 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) was unchanged at +0.10 in September. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in September, but two categories deteriorated from August. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved up to +0.17 in September from +0.04 ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity continued to decline in October 2022
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to decline overall this month, according to the firms responding to the October Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity and new orders remained negative, and the shipments index was little changed at a low but positive reading. The firms continued to ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded modestly
Posted: October 19, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

National economic activity expanded modestly on net since the previous report; however, conditions varied across industries and Districts. Four Districts noted flat activity and two cited declines, with slowing or weak demand attributed to higher interest rates, inflation, and supply disruptions. Retail spending was relatively flat, ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined modestly in October 2022
Posted: October 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity declined modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell eight points to -9.1. New orders, unfilled orders, and shipments were all little changed from last month. Delivery times held steady, and inventories ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity rose to 0 in September 2022
Posted: September 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Many Fifth District manufacturing firms reported little change in activity in September, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index rose from −8 in August to 0 in September, matching its July level. Two of its three component indexes improved notably: the indexes for ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity picked up in September 2022
Posted: September 26, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity picked up in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose eight points to 9.3, a reading suggestive of stronger ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests economic growth moderated in August 2022
Posted: September 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to a neutral value in August from +0.29 in July. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in August, but three categories deteriorated from July. The index’s three-month ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to decelerate in September 2022
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to decelerate in September, but growth remained slightly positive. Expectations for future activity remained moderate. Monthly survey price indexes saw slight growth from the previous month. Price indexes were still above year-ago levels for most firms, and most firms expected further price ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 3.00% - 3.25%
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest mostly steady activity in September 2022
Posted: September 20, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region expanded this month, according to the firms responding to the September Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders increased this month, with the former two returning to positive territory. The index for full-time ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity declined overall in September 2022
Posted: September 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region declined overall in September, according to the firms responding to this month's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indicator for current activity returned to negative territory, the new orders index remained negative, and the shipments index also declined but remained positive. The firms ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions held steady in September 2022
Posted: September 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Business activity held steady in New York State, according to firms responding to the September 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed thirty points to -1.5. New orders edged higher, and shipments increased sharply. Delivery times held steady, and inventories expanded. Labor market ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity was unchanged, on balance
Posted: September 7, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity was unchanged, on balance, since early July, with five Districts reporting slight to modest growth in activity and five others reporting slight to modest softening. Most Districts reported steady consumer spending as households continued to trade down and to shift spending away from discretionary goods and toward food and ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity abated in August 2022
Posted: August 29, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity abated in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, ticked down to 1.2, a reading suggestive of very little change ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity slowed considerably in August 2022
Posted: August 25, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity growth slowed considerably in August but remained slightly positive. Expectations for future activity eased somewhat but were still solid overall. Monthly survey price indexes fell to their lowest levels in over a year. Both price indexes saw a significant easing in growth from a month and year ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest mostly steady activity in August 2022
Posted: August 23, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing business activity was mostly steady on balance this month, according to the firms responding to the August Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The index for general activity at the firm level fell to zero, and the indexes for new orders and sales/revenues dipped into negative territory. The full-time employment ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests a pickup in economic growth in July 2022
Posted: August 22, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.27 in July from –0.25 in June. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, and all four categories improved from June. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity held mostly steady in August 2022
Posted: August 18, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity held mostly steady on balance, according to the firms responding to the August Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Most of the survey's indicators rose from last month. Although the general activity index turned positive, it was low, and the new orders index remained negative. The employment index increased, while ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined sharply in August 2022
Posted: August 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity declined sharply in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index plummeted forty-two points to -31.3. New orders and shipments plunged, and unfilled orders declined. Delivery times held steady for the first time in nearly ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters See Weaker Growth
Posted: August 12, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 35 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.4 percent this quarter, down from the prediction of 2.5 percent in the last survey. Over the next three quarters, the panelists also ...



Tags - Research
ADP EMPLOYMENT
BEIGE BOOK
BUSINESS BAROMETER
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
CASE-SHILLER
CHALLENGER LAYOFFS
CHICAGO FED MIDWEST MFG
CHICAGO FED NATL ACTIVITY
CHICAGO PMI
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
CONSUMER CREDIT
CPI
CURRENT ACCOUNT
DURABLE GOODS
EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX
EMPLOYMENT TRENDS INDEX
EXISTING HOME SALES
FACTORY ORDERS
FOMC STMT
FOMC
GDP
HELP WANTED HWOL
HOUSING STARTS
ICSC CHAIN STORE
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
ISM MFG
ISM NON-MFG
JOB OPENINGS
JOBLESS CLAIMS
KANSAS CITY FED MFG
LEADING INDEX
MASS LAYOFFS
MICH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
MORTGAGE APPS
NAHB INDEX
NAPM-NY
NBER
NEW HOME SALES
NEW YORK FED MFG
NFIB OPTIMISM INDEX
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT
PAYCHEX-IHS SMALL JOBS
PENDING HOME SALES
PERSONAL INCOME
PHILA FED FORECASTERS
PHILA FED MFG
PHILA FED NON-MFG
PPI
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
REAL HOURLY EARNINGS
RETAIL SALES
RICHMOND FED MFG
TEXAS FED MFG
TREASURY INTL CAPITAL
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
Archives
Feb 2023
Jan 2023
Dec 2022
Nov 2022
Oct 2022
Sep 2022
Aug 2022
Jul 2022
Jun 2022
May 2022
Apr 2022
Mar 2022
Feb 2022
Jan 2022
Dec 2021
Nov 2021
Oct 2021
Sep 2021
Aug 2021
Jul 2021
Jun 2021
May 2021
Apr 2021
Mar 2021
Feb 2021
Jan 2021
Dec 2020
Nov 2020
Oct 2020
Sep 2020
Aug 2020
Jul 2020
Jun 2020
May 2020
Apr 2020
Mar 2020
Feb 2020
Jan 2020
Dec 2019
Nov 2019
Oct 2019
Sep 2019
Aug 2019
Jul 2019
Jun 2019
May 2019
Apr 2019
Mar 2019
Feb 2019
Jan 2019
Dec 2018
Nov 2018
Oct 2018
Sep 2018
Aug 2018
Jul 2018
Jun 2018
May 2018
Apr 2018
Mar 2018
Feb 2018
Jan 2018
Dec 2017
Nov 2017
Oct 2017
Sep 2017
Aug 2017
Jul 2017
Jun 2017
May 2017
Apr 2017
Mar 2017
Feb 2017
Jan 2017
Dec 2016
Nov 2016
Oct 2016
Sep 2016
Aug 2016
Jul 2016
Jun 2016
May 2016
Apr 2016
Mar 2016
Feb 2016
Jan 2016
Dec 2015
Nov 2015
Oct 2015
Sep 2015
Aug 2015
Jul 2015
Jun 2015
May 2015
Apr 2015
Mar 2015
Feb 2015
Jan 2015
Dec 2014
Nov 2014
Oct 2014
Sep 2014
Aug 2014
Jul 2014
Jun 2014
May 2014
Apr 2014
Mar 2014
Feb 2014
Jan 2014
Dec 2013
Nov 2013
Oct 2013
Sep 2013
Aug 2013
Jul 2013
Jun 2013
May 2013
Apr 2013
Mar 2013
Feb 2013
Jan 2013
Dec 2012
Nov 2012
Oct 2012
Sep 2012
Aug 2012
Jul 2012
Jun 2012
May 2012
Apr 2012
Mar 2012
Feb 2012
Jan 2012
Dec 2011
Nov 2011
Oct 2011
Sep 2011
Aug 2011
Jul 2011
Jun 2011
May 2011
Apr 2011
Mar 2011
Feb 2011
Jan 2011
Dec 2010
Nov 2010
Oct 2010
Sep 2010
Aug 2010
Jul 2010
Jun 2010
May 2010
Apr 2010
Mar 2010
Feb 2010
Jan 2010
Dec 2009
Nov 2009
Oct 2009
Sep 2009
Aug 2009
Jul 2009
Jun 2009
May 2009
Apr 2009
Mar 2009
Feb 2009
Jan 2009
Dec 2008
Nov 2008
Oct 2008
Sep 2008
Aug 2008






National Association for Business Economics
NABE

Founded in 1920, the National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works.

CFA Institute

Quick Links
Barron's Online
Bloomberg
CNBC
CNBC TV Live
CNet Investor
Financial Times (UK)
Forbes
Kudlow Podcast
MSNBC TV Live
NBC News
NY Times
The Economist
TheStreet.com
Wall St Journal
Dismal Scientist
Dr. Ed Yardeni
FRED Graph
Lawrence Kudlow
GDPNow
NABE
ABC News
CNNfn
Institutional Investor
MarketWatch
Cash Prices - WSJ.com
Dollar Index
Dr. Jeremy Siegel
Market Map
NY RBOB Gas
PriceStats
Rig Count
Shadow Fed - SOMC
The Billion Prices Project
BankStocks.com
Dow Jones Indices
Morningstar
SP Indices
Mt Washington Observatory
Weather.com
Yahoo!!