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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - MICH CONSUMER CONFIDENCE



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary November Results flat at 95.7
Posted: November 8, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The early November reading on consumer sentiment was nearly identical to last month's and the average 2019 level (95.6). Consumers did voice a slightly more positive outlook for the economy, which was offset by a slightly less favorable outlook for their own personal finances. Spontaneous negative references to tariffs were still mentioned ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in October to 95.6
Posted: October 25, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained at very favorable levels during October, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The October level was nearly identical to the average during the first 10 months of 2019 (95.6) and only marginally below the average level since the start of 2017 (97.0). The recent focus of consumers has been on income and job growth, while largely ignoring other news, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary October Results rebound to 96.0
Posted: October 11, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Sentiment rebounded in early October as consumers anticipated larger income gains and lower inflation during the year ahead. As a result, real income expectations rose to their most favorable level in two decades (see the chart). Stronger finances and lower interest rates helped to modestly bolster buying plans. These favorable trends did ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in September to 93.8
Posted: September 27, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment improved in September from its depressed August reading due to more favorable income trends, especially among middle income households, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The overall trends in confidence remain favorable, but have begun to slowly erode, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. The Sentiment Index for the 3rd quarter of 2019 (93.8) was only slightly below the averages for the first half of 2019 (96.5) as ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary August Results rebound to 92.0
Posted: September 13, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment posted a small rebound from the sharp August decline, marking the third lowest level since Trump's election. While the uptick was across both current and expected economic conditions, the early September rebound was not widespread across age or income subgroups as it only fell among consumers under age 45 and among ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence decreased in August to 89.8
Posted: August 30, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Sentiment Index posted its largest monthly decline in August 2019 (-8.6 points) since December 2012 (-9.8 points), according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The 2012 plunge reflected widespread fears among consumers that they would be pushed off the “fiscal cliff” due to rising taxes and falling government spending, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary August Results declined to 92.1
Posted: August 16, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined in early August to its lowest level since the start of the year. The early August losses spanned all Index components. Although the Expectations Index recorded more than twice the decline in August as the Current Conditions Index (-8.2 versus -3.3), the Current Conditions Index fell to its lowest level since late ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in July to 98.4
Posted: August 2, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has been remarkably stable since the start of 2017, despite ongoing trade uncertainties, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The resilience displayed has been primarily due to a renewed sense of personal financial optimism, said economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Indeed, recent surveys have recorded the most favorable personal financial expectations since May 2003. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary July Results slightly higher to 98.4
Posted: July 19, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained largely unchanged in early July from June, remaining at quite favorable levels since the start of 2017. Moreover, the variations in Sentiment Index have been remarkably small, ranging from 91.2 to 101.4 in the past 30 months. Perhaps the most interesting change in the July survey was in inflation expectations, with ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence moved lower in June to 98.2
Posted: June 28, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

June’s small overall decline in consumer confidence was entirely due to households with incomes in the top third of the distribution, who more frequently mentioned the negative impact of tariffs—cited by 45%, up from 30% last month, according to the University of Michigan Surveys ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary June Results dipped to 97.9
Posted: June 14, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

In early June, consumer sentiment reversed the May gain due to tariffs as well as slowing gains in employment. Some of the decline was due to expected tariffs on Mexican imports, which may be reversed in late June, but most of the concern was with the 25% tariffs on nearly half of all Chinese imports. Consumers responded by lowering ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence moved higher in May to 100.0
Posted: May 31, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Although consumer sentiment remained at very favorable levels, confidence significantly eroded in the last two weeks of May. The late-month decline was due to unfavorable references to tariffs, spontaneously mentioned by 35% of all consumers in the last two weeks of May, up from 16% in the first half of May and 15% in April and equal to the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary May Results surged to 102.4
Posted: May 17, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Index of Consumer Sentiment surged in early May to its highest level in fifteen years. All of the May gain was in the Expectations Index, which also rose to its highest level since 2004, while the Current Conditions Index was virtually unchanged and well below the cyclical peak set in March 2018. Consumers viewed prospects for the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence moved sideways in April to 97.2
Posted: April 26, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Index of Consumer Sentiment has moved sideways, recording only small monthly variations since Trump first entered office. The Sentiment Index has averaged 97.2 in the past 28 months, identical to the April 2019 reading. Moreover, the Sentiment Index has remained between 94.0 and 100.0 for 22 of the past 28 months. The last time ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in March to 98.4
Posted: March 29, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The March gain in the Consumer Sentiment Index was entirely due to households with incomes in the bottom two-thirds of the income distribution, whereas the February gain was concentrated among upper income households, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary March Results at 97.8
Posted: March 15, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The early March gain in sentiment was entirely due to households with incomes in the bottom two-thirds of the distribution, whose sentiment rose to 97.4 from 90.0 in February. Sentiment fell among households with incomes in the top third to 98.5 in early March from 101.7 in February. The difference that accounted for the divergence was ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased in February to 93.8
Posted: March 1, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The February bounce back in consumer sentiment following the end of the Federal shutdown was relatively small, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Aside from January’s depressed level due to the shutdown, sentiment was only lower in one month since President Trump’s election, but barely, at 93.4 in July 2017. While the overall level of confidence remains slightly below the 2018 average, it is still quite positive, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary February Results at 95.5
Posted: February 15, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The early February gains reflect the end of the partial government shutdown as well as a more fundamental shift in consumer expectations due to the Fed's pause in raising interest rates. The lingering impact of the shutdown was responsible for some of the negative economic evaluations, and, at the time that these interviews were ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence down in January to 91.2
Posted: February 1, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment fell in January to its lowest level since Donald Trump was elected, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The decline was due to consumers’ assessments about how the partial government shutdown had impacted economic conditions. The temporary end of the shutdown had only a small positive impact since the basic issues have not been resolved, only postponed, said U-M economist ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary January Results at 90.7
Posted: January 18, 2019 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined in early January to its lowest level since Trump was elected. The decline was primarily focused on prospects for the domestic economy, with the year-ahead outlook for the national economy judged the worst since mid 2014. The loss was due to a host of issues including the partial government shutdown, the impact ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence up in December to 98.3
Posted: December 21, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained at the same favorable levels in the December survey as it has recorded throughout the year, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The Sentiment Index averaged 98.4 in 2018, the best year since 107.6 in 2000. Over the past half century, the Sentiment Index was higher in only two other time periods: 1964-65 and 1997-2000. These periods correspond to the two longest prior expansions since the mid-1800s. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary December Results at 97.5
Posted: December 7, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was unchanged from last month's reading and has remained at very favorable levels since the start of 2017. In the two years from January 2017 to December 2018, the Sentiment Index was consistently above 90.0, averaging 97.5, identical to the early December reading. The last time the Sentiment Index was consistently above ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence down in November to 97.5
Posted: November 21, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Consumer sentiment has remained largely unchanged at very favorable levels during 2018, with the November reading nearly at the center of the 11-month range from 95.7 to 101.4, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Although the data recorded a within-month decline of 2.8 index points following the election, the drop was related more to income than political party, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary November Results at 98.3
Posted: November 9, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained virtually unchanged in early November from its October reading. Importantly, interviewing went through Wednesday night so there was only a one-day overlap after the mid-term election results were known by consumers. Those few cases held expectations that were identical with the data collected earlier in the month, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in October to 98.5
Posted: October 26, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained at very favorable levels, according to the latest University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The Sentiment Index has been higher thus far in 2018 (98.5) than in any prior year since 2000, which was the last year of the longest expansion since the mid-1800s, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary October Results at 99.0
Posted: October 12, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in early October, although it remained at quite favorable levels and just above the average reading during 2018 (98.5). The small decline was due to less favorable assessments by consumers of their personal finances. Unfortunately, the downward revisions in the rate of growth in household incomes were accompanied ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose in September to 100.1
Posted: September 28, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained at very favorable levels in September, with the index topping 100 for only the third time since January 2004, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Most of the September gain was among households with incomes in the bottom third, whose index value of 96.3 was the highest since November 2000, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary September Results at 100.8
Posted: September 14, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment posted a robust rise in early September, reaching 100.8, the second highest level since 2004-only behind the March 2018 reading of 101.4. Importantly, the gains were widespread across all major socioeconomic subgroups. The Expectations Index reached its highest level since July 2004, largely due to more favorable prospects ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in August to 96.2
Posted: August 31, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has remained virtually unchanged despite more positive news about growth in the U.S. economy, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Rather than more favorable assessments, consumers held slightly more negative views about the current state of the economy, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Indeed, the Current Conditions Index fell to its lowest level since November 2016. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in July to 97.9
Posted: July 27, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was virtually unchanged from last month, and was nearly identical with the average since the start of 2017, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Despite the expectation of higher inflation and higher interest rates during the year ahead, consumers have kept their confidence at high levels due to favorable job and income prospects, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary July Results at 97.1
Posted: July 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in early July but remained nearly equal to the average in the prior twelve months (97.7) and since the start of 2017 (97.4). The continuing strength has been due to favorable job and income prospects, with consumers under age 45 anticipating the largest income gains since July 2000. So far, the strength in jobs ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence up in June to 98.2
Posted: June 29, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has been virtually unchanged for the past three months and has shown only small and insignificant variations during the past 18 months, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The persistent strength has been due to favorable assessments of jobs and incomes, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary June Results at 99.3
Posted: June 15, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment rose slightly in early June due to consumers' more favorable assessments of their current financial situation and more favorable views of current buying conditions for household durables. The Expectations Index, in contrast, declined to its lowest level since the start of the year due to less favorable prospects for the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence slipped in May to 98.0
Posted: May 25, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped by less than an index-point from last month, remaining at the same favorable levels for the past 18 months, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Since President Trump’s election, the Sentiment Index has meandered in a tight eight-point range from 93.4 to 101.4, with the small month-to-month variations indicating no emerging trend, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary May Results at 98.8
Posted: May 11, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment remained unchanged in early May from the April survey. The Expectations Index gained 1.1 points and the Current Conditions Index fell 1.6 points--both were statistically insignificant changes. What is likely to capture attention, however, are the small uptick in near term inflation expectations, the downward slippage in ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in April to 98.8
Posted: April 27, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Although the Consumer Sentiment Index fell slightly in April, it has remained at very favorable levels since the start of 2018. Consumers remain confident that inflation and unemployment will remain low during the year ahead and wages will continue to slowly improve, according to the University of Michigan Surveys ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary April Results at 97.8
Posted: April 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in early April, largely reversing the gains recorded in the prior two months. The small decline was widely shared by all age and income subgroups and across all regions of the country. Importantly, confidence still remains relatively high, despite the recent losses that were mainly due to concerns about the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence gained in March to 101.4
Posted: March 29, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Sentiment Index reached the highest level since 2004, and the Current Conditions Index set a new peak, dating back to the mid-1940s, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Importantly, all of the March gain was among households with incomes in the bottom third; those in the middle third were unchanged, while the Index fell among households with incomes in the top third, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary March Results at 102.2
Posted: March 16, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment rose in early March to its highest level since 2004 due to a new all-time record favorable assessment of current economic conditions. All of the gain in the Sentiment Index was among households with incomes in the bottom third (+15.7), while the economic assessments of those with incomes in the top third posted a ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence jumped in February to 99.7
Posted: March 2, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has remained at very favorable levels for more than a year. In the February survey, it was just below the October 2017 peak of 100.7, the highest level since 2004, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Expected gains in incomes, jobs and after-tax pay dominated concerns about rising interest rates and volatile stock prices, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary February Results at 99.9
Posted: February 16, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment rose in early February to its second highest level since 2004 despite lower and much more volatile stock prices. Even among households in the top third of the income distribution, the Sentiment Index rose to 112.8, the highest level since the prior peak of 114.2 was repeatedly recorded in 2007, 2004, and 2000. Stock ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in January to 95.7
Posted: February 2, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has remained largely unchanged for more than a year at very favorable levels, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The January Sentiment figure was just 0.2 Index-points below December's, and just 1.1 points below the 2017 average of 96.8—which was the highest yearly average since 2000, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary January Results at 94.4
Posted: January 19, 2018 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

While the preliminary January reading for the Sentiment Index was largely unchanged from last month (-1.5%), consumers evaluated current economic conditions less favorably (-4.6%). This small decrease in current conditions produced a small overall decline. Importantly, the survey recorded persistent strength in personal finances and buying ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence down in December to 95.9
Posted: December 22, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence continued to slowly sink in December, with most of the decline among lower income households, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The extent of the decline was minor, with the December figure just below the average for 2017 (95.9 versus 96.8), said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Indeed, the average in 2017 was the highest since 2000, and only the long expansions of the 1960s ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary December Results at 96.8
Posted: December 8, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment has remained quite favorable although it continued to slowly recede in early December from its October cyclical peak. Most of the recent decline was concentrated in the long-term prospects for the economy, while consumers thought current economic conditions have continued to improve. Importantly, the largest decline in ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in November to 98.5
Posted: November 22, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Consumer sentiment was slightly below last month's decade high, but has remained in the narrow positive range it has traveled since the start of the year, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

What has recently changed is the degree of certainty with which consumers now hold their economic expectations, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. Inflation expectations have shown the smallest dispersion on record, and increased certainty about ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary November Results at 97.8
Posted: November 10, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined slightly in early November due to widespread losses across current and expected economic conditions. The losses were quite small as the Sentiment Index remained at its second highest level since January. Overall, the Sentiment Index has remained trendless since the start of the year, varying by less that ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence surged in October to 100.7
Posted: October 27, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment surged in October, reaching its highest level since the start of 2004, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This was only the second time that the Sentiment Index was above 100.0 since the end of the record 1990s expansion. The October gain was due to the most favorable assessments of the financial situation of consumers since 2000, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary October Results at 101.1
Posted: October 13, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment surged in early October, reaching its highest level since the start of 2004. The October gain was broadly shared, occurring among all age and income subgroups and across all partisan viewpoints. The data indicate a robust outlook for consumer spending that extends the current expansion to at least mid 2018, which would mark ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence slightly lower in September to 95.1
Posted: September 29, 2017 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment slipped in September due to the expected impact of the hurricanes on the economy and on gas prices. Importantly, the impact was quite small and has already begun to fade, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

In the past year, there has been a long list of issues that could have derailed consumer confidence, including the unprecedented partisan divide, North Korea, Charlottesville, as well as the hurricanes, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...



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