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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - NFIB OPTIMISM INDEX



NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 0.6 points to 102.4 in October
Posted: November 12, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The small business half of the economy continued its remarkable economic streak, posting a 0.6 point gain in October’s Optimism Index. The 102.4 reading was buoyed by eight of the 10 Index components advancing, as talk of a recession waned in October. The Uncertainty Index declined 4 points but remains historically high heading into an ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.3 points to 101.8 in September
Posted: October 8, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The small business Optimism Index maintained a historically solid reading, but took a dip in September, falling 1.3 points to 101.8. September’s figure falls within the top 20% of all readings in the Index’s 46-year history. The survey shows no sign of a recession and indicated continued job creation, capital spending, and inventory ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.6 points to 103.1 in August
Posted: September 10, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.6 points to 103.1, remaining within the top 15 percent of readings. Overall, August was a good month for small business. However, optimism slipped because fewer owners said they expect better business conditions and real sales volumes in the coming months. Job creation accelerated, positive ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.4 points to 104.7 in July
Posted: August 13, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Optimism among small business owners bounced back in July as expectations for business conditions, real sales, and expansion made solid gains. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.4 points to 104.7, with seven of 10 components advancing, two falling, and one remaining unchanged. The Uncertainty Index fell 10 points, reversing a surge ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.5 points to 105.0 in May
Posted: June 11, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism eclipsed pre-shutdown levels, increasing 1.5 points to 105.0 in May. Six components in the Small Business Optimism Index improved, three were unchanged, and one dipped. Capital spending plans increased along with actual outlays. Small business owners’ expectations for sales, business conditions, and expansion all rose, ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.7 points to 103.5 in April
Posted: May 14, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Optimism among small business owners continued its steady climb in April, with the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increasing 1.7 points to 103.5. Sales improved in April, the inventory soft spot seen in last month’s report rebounded, and profit trends posted a very solid advance. Job creation plans gained, hiring remained strong, ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points to 101.8 in March
Posted: April 9, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points to 101.8 in March, a historically strong level and an indication that small businesses continue to power the economy after being briefly shaken by January’s government shutdown. Overall, the Index anticipates solid growth, keeping the economy at “full employment” with no signs of ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.5 points to 101.7 in February
Posted: March 12, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index improved modestly in February, increasing 0.5 points to 101.7. Views about future business conditions and the current period as a good time to expand improved as did plans to make capital outlays. Earnings trends weakened, as a million laid off workers and others affected by the shutdown cut back on ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index slipped 3.2 points to 101.2 in January
Posted: February 12, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index slipped 3.2 points in January, as owners continued hiring and investing, but expressed rising concern about future economic growth. The 101.2 reading, the lowest since the weeks leading up to the 2016 elections, remains well above the historical average of 98, but indicates uncertainty among small ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down 0.4 points to 104.4 in December
Posted: January 8, 2019 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index remained basically unchanged in December, drifting down 0.4 points to 104.4, according to the report released today. Unfilled jobs and the lack of qualified applicants continue to be a primary driver, with job openings setting a record high and job creation plans strengthening. Reports of higher ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index declined 2.6 points to 104.8 in November
Posted: December 11, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism posted a modest decline in November with a reading of 104.8, while continuing its exceptionally strong two-year trend, according to the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index. Slightly more than half of the decline was attributable to Expected Business Conditions and Expected Real Sales. Increases in compensation tied a ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index slipped 0.5 points to 107.4 in October
Posted: November 13, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business optimism continued its two-year streak of record highs, according to the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index October reading of 107.4. Overall, small businesses continue to support the three percent-plus growth of the economy and add significant numbers of new workers to the employment pool. Owners believe the current period is ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dipped 0.9 points to 107.9 in September
Posted: October 9, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index continued its historic 23-month positive trend, with a reading of 107.9 in September, the third highest reading in the survey’s 45-year history. In the small business half of the economy, 2018 has produced 45-year record high measures of job openings, hiring plans, actual job creation, compensation ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index soared 1.6 points to 108.8 in August
Posted: September 11, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index soared to 108.8 in August, a new record in the survey’s 45-year history, topping the July 1983 highwater mark of 108. The record-breaking figure is driven by small business owners executing on the plans they’ve put in place due to dramatic changes in the nation’s ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points to 107.9 in July
Posted: August 14, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index marked its second highest level in the survey’s 45-year history at 107.9, rising to within 0.1 point of the July 1983 record-high of 108. The July 2018 report also set new records in terms of owners reporting job creation plans and those with job openings. A seasonally-adjusted net 23 percent are planning ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dipped 0.6 points to 107.2 in June
Posted: July 10, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index posted its sixth highest reading in survey history for the month of June, at 107.2, down 0.6 from May. Since December 2016, the Index has averaged an unprecedented 105.4, well above the 45-year average of 98 and rivaling the all-time high of 108.0 in ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.0 points to 107.8 in May
Posted: June 12, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index increased in May to the second highest level in the NFIB survey’s 45-year history. The index rose to 107.8, a three-point gain, with small businesses reporting high numbers in several key areas including compensation, profits, and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points to 104.8 in April
Posted: May 8, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index sustained record-high levels increasing to 104.8 in April, driven by reports of improved profits, the highest in the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends Survey’s 45-year history. Additionally, the number of small businesses reporting poor sales fell to a near record low. April is the 17th consecutive month ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased 2.9 points to 104.7 in March
Posted: April 10, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The small business optimism index reached its 16th consecutive month in the top five percent of 45 years of survey readings, according to the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends survey, released today. The 104.7 March reading, down from 107.6 in February, remains among the highest in survey history and for the first time since 1982, taxes ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.7 points to 107.6 in February
Posted: March 13, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Small business owners are showing unprecedented confidence in the economy as the optimism index continues at record high numbers, rising to 107.6 in February, according to the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends Survey, released today. The historically high numbers include a jump in small business owners increasing capital outlays and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index jumped 2 points to 106.9 in January
Posted: February 13, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 2.0 points in January, rising to 106.9, again one of the strongest readings in the 45-year history of the NFIB surveys. The highest reading of 108.0 was reached in July 1983 and the lowest reading of 79.7 occurred in April 1980. Six of the 10 Index components posted a gain, two declined, and two ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index lost 2.6 points to 104.9 in December
Posted: January 9, 2018 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism lost 2.6 points in December, falling to 104.9, still one of the strongest readings in the 45-year history of the NFIB surveys. The highest reading of 108.0 was reached in July 1983, only slightly above November’s 107.5. The lowest reading of 79.7 occurred in April 1980. Two of the 10 Index components posted ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 3.7 points to 107.5 in November
Posted: December 12, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

OPTIMISM INDEX
The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 3.7 points to 107.5 in November, the second highest reading in the 44-year history of the NFIB surveys (108.0 in July 1983). Eight of the 10 Index components posted a gain and two declined, as Job Openings fell from its record high level and Capital Spending Plans declined 1 point. ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 0.8 points to 103.8 in October
Posted: November 14, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 0.8 points to 103.8 in October, maintaining a streak of robust readings. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, 5 declined and one was unchanged. Labor market indicators point to continued good jobs reports, as reports of actual employment gains for October posted solid numbers and reports of ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.3 points to 103.0 in September
Posted: October 10, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 2.3 points to 103.0 in September, a significant decline from August. Three of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six declined and one was unchanged. Two of our largest states, Florida and Texas, were devastated by hurricanes in the survey period; however, the response rate in those states was ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose rose 0.1 points to 105.3 in August
Posted: September 12, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 0.1 points to 105.3 in August, basically unchanged from July. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain and five declined. The Index peaked for this recovery at 105.9 in January, just 0.6 points above the August reading. It is unlikely that progress in Washington D.C. is the source of continued ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.6 in July to 105.2
Posted: August 8, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 1.6 points to 105.2, preserving the surge in optimism that started the day after the election. Seven of the 10 Index components posted a gain, two declined, and one was unchanged. Since the recession, the Index peaked at 105.9 in January, just 0.7 points above the July reading. Main Street was buoyed ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.9 in June to 103.6
Posted: July 11, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.9 points to 103.6, but sustained the surge in optimism that started the day after the election. The Index peaked at 105.9 in January and has dropped 2.3 points to date, no doubt in part due to the mess in Washington, D.C. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, five declined, and one ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index flat in May to 104.5
Posted: June 13, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The May Index continues the remarkable surge in small business optimism that started the day after the election. Small-business confidence shot up to near record levels last November and still hasn’t come down. The Index for May matched its strong performance in April of 104.5. The Index has been at a historically high level for six ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.2 in April to 104.5
Posted: May 9, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.2 points to 104.5, sustaining the remarkable surge in optimism that started the day after the election. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain, three declined, and two were unchanged. The Index has posted historically record high readings for six months, a performance eclipsed only in 1983. ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index slipped 0.6 in March to 104.7
Posted: April 11, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.6 points to 104.7, sustaining the remarkable surge in optimism that started November 9, 2016, the day after the election. Three of the 10 Index components posted a gain, five declined, all by just a few points, and two were unchanged. It is encouraging that the Index has held at historically high ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.6 in February to 105.3
Posted: March 14, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.6 points to 105.3, sustaining the remarkable surge in optimism that started November 9, 2016, the day after the election. Three of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six declined, all by just a few points, and one was unchanged. It is encouraging that the Index has held at 105 for three months ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.1 in January to 105.9
Posted: February 14, 2017 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 0.1 points to 105.9, the highest reading since December 2004, sustaining the remarkable surge in optimism that started post-election. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain and 5 declined, but all by just a few points. After the stunning increases seen after the election, all of the Index ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 7.4 points in December to 105.8
Posted: January 10, 2017 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 7.4 points to 105.8, the highest reading since December 2004. Seven of the 10 Index components posted a gain, 2 declined and 1 was unchanged. Expectations for real sales gains and outlook for business conditions accounted for 73 percent of the gain. The percent of owners viewing the current period as ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 3.5 points in November to 98.4
Posted: December 13, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 3.5 points to 98.4, a substantial gain to just above the 42-year average of 98. Eight of the 10 Index components posted a gain, one declined and one was unchanged. Expectations for real sales gains and outlook for business conditions accounted for 69 percent of the gain. The two employment components ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.8 points in October to 94.9
Posted: November 8, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 0.8 points to 94.9, still in the 94 range that has bound it for the past five months and well below the 42 year average of 98. It has been a below average recovery. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain, 3 declined and 2 were unchanged. The fourth quarter though looks to be weaker with ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.3 points in September to 94.1
Posted: October 11, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.3 points to 94.1, another monthly decline, and four points below the 40 year average of 98. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six declined. There was a huge improvement in the outlook for business conditions, but rising only to a net 0 percent expecting improvement. Offsetting that gain ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.2 points in August to 94.4
Posted: September 13, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.2 points to 94.4, still well below the 40 year average of 98. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain, four declined and one was unchanged. GDP growth in the last three quarters has averaged 1 percent, not a recession but only matching the growth in the population. Hard to figure how the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.1 points in July to 94.6
Posted: August 9, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 0.1 points to 94.6, still well below the 40 year average of 98. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, four declined and two were unchanged. GDP growth in the last three quarters has averaged 1 percent, not a recession but only matching the growth in the population. The outlook for ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.7 points in June to 94.5
Posted: July 12, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 0.7 points to 94.5, still well below the 40 year average of 98, but the third monthly gain in a row, although the gains are very small. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, three declined and three were unchanged. The outlook for business conditions six months out continued to ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.2 points in May to 93.8
Posted: June 14, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 0.2 points to 93.8, positive but don’t start writing home about it. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, four declined and two were unchanged. The entire gain in the Index was accounted for by a 5 point gain in Expected Business Conditions which remains 9 percentage points below last ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1 point in April to 93.6
Posted: May 10, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 1.0 points after months of (small) declines, rising to 93.6. Five of the 10 Index components posted a gain, four were unchanged and one posted a small decline. Owners remain very pessimistic about the economy. It was a relief though to see the Index turn up, ending a long string of declines. ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.3 points to 92.6
Posted: April 12, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 0.3 points from February, falling to 92.6. Statistically, no change. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six posted small declines, the biggest gain was in Expected Business Conditions, a 4 point improvement to a still very negative number. For a broader perspective, the Index has ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.0 points to 92.9
Posted: March 8, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 1 point from January, falling to 92.9. None of the 10 Index components posted a gain, six posted small declines, and four were unchanged. Overall, a “ho hum” outcome, confirming that the small business sector is not headed up with any strength, just treading water waiting for a good reason to invest in ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.3 points to 93.9
Posted: February 9, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism fell 1.3 points from December, falling to 93.9. Neither the tumultuous stock market nor the Federal Reserve’s rate hike left much of a mark on small business owners beyond a frown in the Index represented by a further weakening of expectations for business conditions and expected real sales volumes. Those ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.4 points to 95.2
Posted: January 12, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism rose 0.4 points in December, increasing to 95.2. The Index is stuck in a “below average” rut, characterizing the performance of the small business sector. Historically accounting for about half of private GDP, below average growth for small businesses has not been offset by strong growth in large ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 1.3 points to 94.8
Posted: December 8, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism was fell 1.3 points in November, dropping the Index to 94.8, this after three months of no change of any significance. Clearly the small business sector has no expansion energy. Still well below the 42 year average, the Index continues to signal a “plodding” economy, responding to population growth and ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index unchanged at 96.1
Posted: November 10, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism was unchanged in October, posting no change after a rise of only 0.2 points in September and a gain of only 0.5 points in August. So the Index remains stuck at a below average reading of 96.1. Although the labor market components posted minor declines, they held at historically strong levels but this ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.2 points to 96.1
Posted: October 13, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism was basically unchanged in September, rising only 0.2 points, this after an August gain of only 0.5 points. So the Index remains stuck at a below average reading of 96.1. Owners didn’t seem to be overly concerned about the antics of the stock market, as optimism did not fall. However financial markets did ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.5 points to 95.9
Posted: September 8, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism went nowhere in August, so the good news is it did not fall. Two Index components, job openings and earnings trends both posted a solid 4 point gain, but there was not much action in the remaining components. Five components posted gains, 3 fell and 2 were unchanged. The Index reading of 95.9 was again ...



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