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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 200911



Texas Manufacturing Expands After Prolonged Decline
Posted: November 30, 2009 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity showed its first signs of growth in more than a year, according to business executives responding to November’s Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key indicator of state manufacturing conditions, turned positive for the first time since July 2008. Other key indexes of current ...


New York Purchasing Managers business activity expands further
Posted: November 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The New York City recovery appears to be transitioning to a new phase ­and for the better. Sustained gains in business activity and future optimism have led to higher purchasing volumes and higher staffing, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management- New ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Expanded
Posted: November 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER expanded for the second consecutive month:

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID firmed;
PRODUCTION expansion slowed while NEW ORDERS continued to expand;
EMPLOYMENT rate of contraction slowed;
BUYING POLICY: M.R.O. Supplies lead-time dropped sharply. ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 0.5%
Posted: November 28, 2009 at 12:00 PM (Saturday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 0.5% in October, to a seasonally adjusted level of 82.9 (2002 = 100). Revised data show the index rose 0.7% in September to 82.5. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) was down by 0.1% in October. Regional output in October declined 13.6% ...


New Home Sales in October at annual rate of 430,000
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new one-family houses in October 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 430,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.2 percent (±17.6%) above the revised September rate of 405,000 and is 5.1 percent (±14.9%) above the October ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Suffered a Setback
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Consumer confidence suffered a small setback in November as consumers reported continued reversals in their personal financial situation. The grim financial realities faced by consumers rose to the worst levels ever recorded in more than sixty year history of the survey. Consumers’ assessments of their finances have been the grimmest since ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.2%
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

For the week ending November 14, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose +0.2 percent. In the final quarter-to-date the barometer is poised to post its first quarterly increase in nearly two years. Although economic activity in November has slowed compared to October, the U.S. economy continues to hold on to recovery and suggests a ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims drop 35,000 to 466,000
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

In the week ending Nov. 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 466,000, a decrease of 35,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 501,000. The 4-week moving average was 496,500, a decrease of 16,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Personal Income increased 0.2%, Spending up 0.7%
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Personal income increased $30.1 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $45.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, in October, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $68.3 billion, or 0.7 percent. In September, personal income increased $20.7 billion, or 0.2 percent, ...


New orders for durable goods decreased 0.6%, ex-trans down 1.3%
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in October decreased $1.0 billion or 0.6 percent to $166.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the second monthly decrease in the last three months. This followed a 2.0 percent September increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 1.3 percent. Excluding defense, ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 25, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 20, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5.8 percent ...


Consumer Confidence increased slightly in November
Posted: November 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in October, increased slightly in November. The Index now stands at 49.5 (1985=100), up from 48.7 in October. The Present Situation Index was virtually unchanged at 21.0 versus 21.1 last month. The Expectations Index increased to 68.5 from 67.0 ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey activity drops to 1
Posted: November 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In November, the seasonally adjusted composite index of manufacturing activity — our broadest measure of manufacturing — moved down to 1 from October's reading of 7. Among the index's components, shipments dropped five points to 6, new orders lost four points to finish at 3, and the jobs index fell 11 points to end ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Continues to Improve
Posted: November 24, 2009 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through September 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index improved in the third quarter of 2009, posting its second consecutive quarterly increase and further improvement in its annual rate ...


3Q2009 GDP preliminary estimate 2.8%
Posted: November 24, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter of 2009, (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales dipped 0.1% in Nov 21 Wk
Posted: November 24, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index was unchanged in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, the reading climbed 3.3%, with an easy comparison allowing the figure to post its biggest increase since ...


Existing-Home Sales Record Another Big Gain
Posted: November 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Driven by the first-time buyer tax credit, existing-home sales showed another big gain in October with a strong uptrend established over the past seven months, while inventories continue to decline, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – surged 10.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.10 million units in October from a downwardly revised pace of 5.54 million in September, and are 23.5 percent above the 4.94 ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index leveled off in October
Posted: November 23, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index was –1.08 in October, down very slightly from –1.01 in September. A decline in the contribution of production and income indicators offset small improvements in the other three broad categories of indicators that make up the index.

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.91 in October from –0.67 in September, declining for the first time in 2009. October’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity remained below its historical trend. With regard to ...


October Mass Layoffs total 2,127 actions, 217,182 workers
Posted: November 20, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Employers took 2,127 mass layoff actions in October that resulted in the separation of 217,182 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. The number of mass ...


Philadelphia Fed Nov Outlook Suggest Activity Is Picking Up
Posted: November 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Activity in the region's manufacturing sector is picking up, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, and shipments all improved this month. The overall level of employment was mostly steady this month, and the average work hours index was positive for the first time in more ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.3%
Posted: November 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in October, following a 1.0 percent gain in September, and a 0.4 percent rise in August.

After half a year of consecutive increases, the month-to-month growth of the LEI is stabilizing and the gains continue to be broad-based. Meanwhile, the coincident economic index has been essentially flat since June, after declining since November 2007. The composite ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.1%
Posted: November 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending November 7, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose +0.1 percent and was revised slightly upward to a decline of -0.1 percent in the prior week (originally reported as -0.2%). Though only half the barometer’s components made positive contributions in the latest week, two key indicators of consumer and business activity ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims unchanged at 505,000
Posted: November 19, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Nov. 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 505,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure of 505,000. The 4-week moving average was 514,000, a decrease of 6,500 from the previous week's revised average of 520,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 4.3 percent for the week ending Nov. 7, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 4.3 percent. ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.3% in October, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: November 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.3 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The index has decreased 0.2 percent over the last 12 months on a not seasonally adjusted basis.

The seasonally adjusted all items increase largely reflected advances in the indexes for energy and for new and used motor vehicles. The energy index rose for the fifth time in the last six months, advancing 1.5 percent as the indexes for gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, ...


Oct Housing starts down 10.6%, Permits down 4.0%
Posted: November 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 552,000. This is 4.0 percent (±1.9%) below the revised September rate of 575,000 and is 24.3 percent (±1.9%) below the October 2008 estimate of 729,000. Single-family authorizations in October were at a rate ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.1% in October
Posted: November 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings fell 0.1 percent from September to October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.3 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) slightly offset a 0.3 percent increase in average hourly earnings for production and ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 18, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 13, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume decreased 2.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3.3 percent ...


Builder Confidence Unchanged in November
Posted: November 17, 2009 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)

In a survey in which most responses were received prior to congressional action to keep an important home buyer incentive alive, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes remained unchanged at a low level this November, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported today. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing ...


Industrial production increased 0.1%
Capacity Utilization up to 70.7%

Posted: November 17, 2009 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production increased 0.1 percent in October after having averaged monthly gains of about 0.9 percent over the previous three months. Manufacturing production moved down 0.1 percent and the output of mines decreased 0.2 percent, but the index for utilities rose 1.6 percent. At 98.6 percent of its 2002 average, total industrial ...


Producer Price Index up 0.3% in October, ex Fd & Engy down 0.6%
Posted: November 17, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods advanced 0.3 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase followed a 0.6-percent decline in September and a 1.7-percent rise in August. In October, at the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales dipped 0.1% in Nov 14 Wk
Posted: November 17, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index dipped 0.1% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, the reading climbed 2.4%, lower than the prior ...


Forecasters See the Expansion Continuing
Posted: November 16, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The U.S. economy will grow over each of the next five quarters, according to 41 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters see real GDP growing at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter. On an annual-average over annual-average basis, forecasters see real GDP falling 2.5 percent in 2009 before ...


Business Inventories down 0.4% in September
Posted: November 16, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for September, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $988.0 billion, down 0.3 percent (±0.3%)* from August 2009 and down 13.1 percent (±0.6%) from September ...


U.S. Retail Sales for October up 1.4%, Ex-Auto up 0.2%
Posted: November 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $347.5 billion, an increase of 1.4 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 1.7 percent (±0.5%) below October 2008. ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey conditions improve at slower pace
Posted: November 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers improved in November, but at a somewhat slower pace than in October. The general business conditions index fell 11 points, to 23.5. The indexes for new orders and shipments posted similar declines. Pricing pressures eased, with the prices paid index ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increases in September 2009
Posted: November 13, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Nation's international trade deficit increased to $36.5 billion in September from $30.8 billion (revised) in August, as imports increased more than exports.

Goods and Services
Exports increased to $132.0 billion in September from $128.3 billion in August. Goods were $90.3 billion in September, up from $86.8 billion in August, and services were $41.6 billion in September, up from $41.5 billion in August. ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.7% in October
Posted: November 13, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.7 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by a 1.8 percent increase in fuel prices. The rise followed a 0.2 percent increase in September. U.S. export prices advanced 0.3 percent in October after decreasing 0.2 percent the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.2%
Posted: November 12, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending October 31, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.2 percent, with 90 percent of the barometer’s components losing ground. For the month of October, the barometer was up +0.3 percent and has increase for four consecutive months. This performance indicates a strong start to the fourth quarter and ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims drop 12,000 to 502,000
Posted: November 12, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Nov. 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 502,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 514,000. The 4-week moving average was 519,750, a decrease of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: November 12, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Thursday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 6, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 2.8 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales dipped 0.1% in Nov 7 Wk
Posted: November 10, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index dipped 0.1% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, the reading climbed 2.9% amid eaiser sales ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 7.25%
Posted: November 6, 2009 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 6 percent in the third quarter of 2009. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 10 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-3/4 percent. In September, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.9% in September
Posted: November 6, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that September 2009 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $320.2 billion, up 0.7 percent (+/-1.1%) from the revised August level, but were down 15.2 percent ...


October Employment declined by 190,000
Unemployment rate rose to 10.2%

Posted: November 6, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The unemployment rate rose from 9.8 to 10.2 percent in October, and nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline (-190,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The largest job losses over the month were in construction, manufacturing, and retail trade.

In October, the number of unemployed persons increased by 558,000 to 15.7 million. The unemployment rate rose by 0.4 percentage point to 10.2 percent, the highest rate since April 1983. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3%
Posted: November 5, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending October 24, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer gave up the prior week’s gain, falling -0.3 percent, its first drop in five weeks. A decline in mortgage applications, which has persisted for three consecutive weeks, contributed to the barometer’s decline in the latest week. Home buying activity appears to have slowed ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims drop 20,000 to 512,000
Posted: November 5, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Oct. 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 512,000, a decrease of 20,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 532,000. The 4-week moving average was 523,750, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


3Q Productivity Growth was 9.5%
Posted: November 5, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 9.5 percent annual rate during the third quarter of 2009, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This was the largest gain in productivity since the third quarter of 2003, when it rose 9.7 percent. Output increased 4.0 percent and hours worked decreased 5.0 percent in the ...


FOMC target funds rate remains at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: November 4, 2009 at 02:15 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up. Conditions in financial markets were roughly unchanged, on balance, over the intermeeting period. Activity in the housing sector has increased over recent months. Household spending appears to be expanding ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slips to 50.6%
Posted: November 4, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector expanded in October for the second consecutive month, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The Non-Manufacturing Index registered 50.6 percent in October, 0.3 percentage point lower than the 50.9 percent registered in September, indicating growth in the non-manufacturing sector for the second consecutive month, but at a slightly slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing ...


ADP National Employment Report decreased 203,000
Posted: November 4, 2009 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

According to today’s ADP National Employment Report®, private sector employment decreased by 203,000 in October. The ADP National Employment Report, created by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP®), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is derived from actual payroll data and measures the change in total nonfarm private employment ...



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