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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201002



New York Purchasing Managers Business activity is strengthening
Posted: February 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New York City business activity is strengthening and broadening, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index rose to 77.0 in February, the best level in more than three years, from 72.6 ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Expansion Continues
Posted: February 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER accelerated for the fifth consecutive month, a trend not seen since 2002. The three-month moving average of each index was positive, indicating breadth of the advance.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID accelerated;
ORDER BACKLOGS marked a third month of expansion;
INVENTORIES continued contraction, while SUPPLIER DELIVERIES slowed;
EMPLOYMENT’s rate of acceleration was tempered. ...


Existing-Home Sales dropped 7.2%
Posted: February 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Existing-home sales fell in January but are above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – dropped 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 5.05 million units in January from a revised 5.44 million in December, but ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence remained unchanged
Posted: February 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Confidence has remained largely unchanged during the past three months at much improved levels compared with a year ago. The halt in improvement has been due to the widespread recognition among consumers that job and income prospects will remain grim throughout the year ahead. Although the survey revealed no significant additional declines ...


4Q2009 GDP preliminary estimate up 5.9%
Posted: February 26, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter) according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity continued to strengthen
Posted: February 25, 2010 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to strengthen in February. Production increased further, and producers’ expectations for future activity, including for hiring, were positive overall. Raw materials price indexes remained elevated, but finished goods prices were generally unchanged, although a rising share of firms plan to ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer down by 0.1%
Posted: February 25, 2010 at 10:51 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 13, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer edged down by -0.1 percent. The barometer was actually quite resilient in the latest week given the fact that record-breaking snowstorms in the Northeast and South led to a hefty drop in home buying activity and inflation-adjusted chain store sales. Seventy percent of ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 22,000 to 496,000
Posted: February 25, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 496,000, an increase of 22,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 474,000. The 4-week moving average was 473,750, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


New orders for durable goods increased 3.0%, ex-trans Down 0.6%
Posted: February 25, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in January increased $5.2 billion or 3.0 percent to $175.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the second consecutive monthly increase and followed a 1.9 percent December increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


New Home Sales in January at annual rate of 309,000
Posted: February 24, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in January 2010 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 309,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.2 percent (±14.0%)* below the revised December rate of 348,000 and is 6.1 percent (±15.1%)* below the ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 24, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 19, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 7.3 percent ...


Consumer Confidence Declines Sharply in February
Posted: February 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in January, declined sharply in February. The Index now stands at 46.0 (1985=100), down from 56.5 in January. The Present Situation Index decreased to 19.4 from 25.2. The Expectations Index declined to 63.8 from 77.3 ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey activity moved up to 2
Posted: February 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In February, the seasonally adjusted composite index of manufacturing activity — our broadest measure of manufacturing — turned positive, moving up to 2 from January's reading of −2. Among the index's components, shipments picked up two points to 0, and new orders gained eight points to finish at 9. However, the jobs index slipped two points ...


January Mass Layoffs total 1,761 actions, 182,261 workers
Posted: February 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,761 mass layoff actions in January that resulted in the separation of 182,261 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. Both mass layoff ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show Rocky Road to Recovery
Posted: February 23, 2010 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through December 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index fell in the fourth quarter of 2009 but has improved in its annual rate of return, as compared to what was reported in the ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rise 2.3% in Feb 20 Wk
Posted: February 23, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales rose for the week ending Feb 20th. The ICSC-Goldman Sachs (ICSC-GS) chain store sales index for the week ending February 20 rose by a hefty 2.3% on a week-over-week basis and increased by 0.9% on a year-over-year basis. ICSC Research expects same-store sales ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Expands at a Slower Pace
Posted: February 22, 2010 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to expand in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key indicator of state manufacturing conditions, edged downward from its January reading but remained positive, suggesting slower growth ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased sharply in January
Posted: February 22, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index in January was slightly positive for the second time in the past three months. From June 2007 through October 2009, the index had been consistently negative. The index increased to +0.02 in January from –0.58 in December, with all ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales jumped 1.7% in Dec 181 Wk
Posted: February 21, 2010 at 08:21 AM (Sunday)

With the last full week of holiday shopping before us, consumers rushed to finish their holiday shopping this past week which ended with “Super Saturday” — December 18 — one of the busiest shopping days of the year. As a result, for the week ending December 18, weekly retail sales rose sharply by 1.7 percent, according to the ICSC-Goldman ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.2% in January, ex Fd & Engy fell 0.1%
Posted: February 19, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the January Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the index increased 2.6 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index was due to a rise in the energy ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings unch% in January
Posted: February 19, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings was unchanged from December 2009 to January 2010, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.2 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was offset by a 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings for ...


Federal Reserve Increases Discount Rate from 0.50% to 0.75%
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 04:30 PM (Thursday)

The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced that in light of continued improvement in financial market conditions it had unanimously approved several modifications to the terms of its discount window lending programs.

Like the closure of a number of extraordinary credit programs earlier this month, these changes are intended as a further normalization of the Federal Reserve's lending facilities. The modifications are not expected to lead to tighter financial conditions for households and ...


Philadelphia Fed Feb Outlook Continues to Improve
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing conditions continue to improve in the region, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, shipments, and employment all remained positive this month and increased from their readings in January. Firms reported a notable pickup in new orders this month. Overall, ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.3%
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in January, following a 1.2 percent gain in December, and a 1.1 percent rise in November.

This month's release incorporates benchmark revisions that resulted from revisions in the underlying data for manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials and manufacturers' new orders for non-defense capital goods. As a result, the standardization factors of ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was unch%
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 6, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was unchanged following a jump of +0.6 percent in the prior week. On the consumer side a drop in home buying activity countered strong increases in inflation-adjusted chain store sales and box office receipts. On the production side an increase in steel and electric ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 31,000 to 473,000
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 473,000, an increase of 31,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 442,000. The 4-week moving average was 467,500, a decrease of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Producer Price Index up 1.4% in January, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: February 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 1.4 percent in January, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase followed a 0.4-percent advance in December and a 1.5-percent rise in November. In January, at the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.4% in January
Posted: February 17, 2010 at 09:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Import Price Index advanced 1.4 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as fuel and nonfuel prices each increased. The rise in overall imports followed a 0.2 percent uptick in December. Export prices rose 0.8 percent in January after advancing 0.6 percent in December and 0.8 percent ...


Industrial production increased 0.9%
Capacity Utilization up to 72.6%

Posted: February 17, 2010 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production increased 0.9 percent in January following a gain of 0.7 percent in December. Manufacturing production rose 1.0 percent in January, with increases for most of its major components, while the indexes for both utilities and mining advanced 0.7 percent. At 101.1 percent of its 2002 average, output in January was 0.9 ...


Jan Housing starts up 2.8%, Permits down 4.9%
Posted: February 17, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in January were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 621,000. This is 4.9 percent (±2.2%) below the revised December rate of 653,000, but is 16.9 percent (±4.0%) above the January 2009 estimate of 531,000. Single-family authorizations in January were at a rate ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 1.6% in Feb 13 Wk
Posted: February 17, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell for the week ending Feb 13th. Storms Take Toll on Weekly Spending: The ICSC-Goldman Sachs (ICSC-GS) chain store sales index for the week ending February 13 declined by a hefty 1.6% on a week-over-week basis and fell by 0.7% on a ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 17, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 12, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.5 percent ...


Builder Confidence Improves in February
Posted: February 16, 2010 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose two points to 17 in February as favorable home buying conditions and signs of healing in the job market helped boost the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), ...


Treasury International Capital Data for December 2010
Posted: February 16, 2010 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for December 2009. Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $63.3 billion.

Net foreign purchases of long-term U.S. securities were $82.2 billion. Of this, net purchases by private foreign investors were $62.6 billion, and net purchases by foreign official institutions were $19.6 billion. U.S. residents purchased a net $18.9 billion of long-term ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Continue to Pick Up
Posted: February 16, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers improved at a healthy pace in February. The general business conditions index climbed 9 points, to 24.9. The new orders index fell, though it remained positive, and the shipments index inched downward as well. The inventories index rose sharply, to 0.0, ...


Business Inventories down 0.2% in December
Posted: February 12, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for December, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,040.4 billion, up 0.9 percent (±0.3%) from November 2009 and up 4.7 percent (±0.5%) from ...


Forecasters Expect Continued Growth
Posted: February 12, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy will grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent over each of the next five quarters, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters see stronger growth over the next three quarters than they projected in the survey of three months ago, but some of that upward revision will come at ...


U.S. Retail Sales for January up 0.5%, Ex-Auto up 0.6%
Posted: February 12, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $355.8 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 4.7 percent (±0.5%) above January 2009. Total ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.6%
Posted: February 11, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 30, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose +0.6 percent following a drop of -0.4 percent in the prior week. Ninety percent of the barometer’s components were up in the latest week with only a decline in box office receipts weighing. The popular movie, Avatar, appears to be leaving a vacuum as its ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 43,000 to 440,000
Posted: February 11, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 440,000, a decrease of 43,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 483,000. The 4-week moving average was 468,500, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increases in December 2009
Posted: February 10, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total December exports of $142.7 billion and imports of $182.9 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $40.2 billion, up from $36.4 billion in November, revised. December exports were $4.6 billion more than ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 10, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 5, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 0.6 percent ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.8% in December
Posted: February 9, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that December 2009 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $341.2 billion, up 0.8 percent (+/-0.9%) from the revised November level and were up 5.7 percent ...


Job Openings were 2.5 million in December
Posted: February 9, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 2.5 million job openings on the last business day of December 2009, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The job openings rate was little changed over the month at 1.9 percent. The job openings rate has held relatively steady since March 2009. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and the separations rate (3.2 percent) ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales up 1.4% in Feb 6 Wk
Posted: February 9, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales were a mixed bag for the week ending Feb 6th, as sales increased 1.4% week-over-week and rose 1.8% from the year-ago period. The one-week later shift in the calendar for the Super Bowl (February 7, 2010 vs. Feburary 1, 2009) and the blizzard threat ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index up to 89.3
Posted: February 9, 2010 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 1.3 points, rising to 89.3 (1986=100), 8.3 points higher than the survey’s second lowest reading reached in March 2009 (the lowest reading was 80.1 in 1980:2). Optimism has clearly stalled in spite of the improvements in the economy in the second half of 2009. Small business owners entered 2010 the ...


Employment Trends Index rose in January to 93.2
Posted: February 8, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI)™ rose in January for the fifth consecutive month. The index now stands at 93.2, up 1 percent from December's 92.3, but still down 0.7 percent compared to January 2009.

The continued rise in the ETI makes us more optimistic that job growth will resume in the first quarter of 2010. The improvement is widespread across all eight components. In particular, Friday's large decline in the number of involuntary part-time workers was the first ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 0.75%
Posted: February 5, 2010 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 4-3/4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 13 percent, and nonrevolving credit was unchanged on net. In December, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 3/4 percent.

...


January Employment declined by 20,000
Unemployment rate drops to 9.7%

Posted: February 5, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The unemployment rate fell from 10.0 to 9.7 percent in January, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-20,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction and in transportation and warehousing, while temporary help services and retail trade ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 1.0%
Posted: February 4, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in December, up eight of the last nine months, increased $3.7 billion or 1.0 percent to $370.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.0 percent November increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased ...



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