Research >> Economics

Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201103



Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Accelerated Rapidly
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity accelerated rapidly in March, posting a record high for the second straight month. Expectations moderated slightly from last month, but still remained solid. Price indexes for raw materials reached historically high levels, and more firms indicated plans to pass cost increases on to customers.
...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Pulled Back Slightly
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER pulled back slightly from its upward trend, indicating expanding economic activity for the eighteenth consecutive month.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID resumed its upward trend;
ORDER BACKLOGS reached its highest point since February 1974;
EMPLOYMENT grew to ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 0.1%
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in February, down following three consecutive monthly increases, decreased $0.4 billion or 0.1 percent to $446.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 3.3 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.1 percent.

Shipments, up six consecutive ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.2%
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 19, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.2 percent, weighed down by declines in auto production, and lumber and steel production. The latest reading from the barometer could be reflecting the possible impact to U.S. factory activity from the Japan earthquake, which has resulted in supply disruptions ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity slowed
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New York City business activity expanded at the slowest pace in three months, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index cooled to a still elevated level of 66.4 in March, down from February’s nine-month high of 77.5. Historically, readings above the 70 mark ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 6,000 to 388,000
Posted: March 31, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 388,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 394,000. The 4-week moving average was 394,250, a increase of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average of 391,000.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 201,000
Posted: March 30, 2011 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private-sector employment increased by 201,000 from February to March on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report® released today. The ADP National Employment Report, created by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP®), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is derived from actual payroll data ...


Challenger Layoffs Decline 18% in March
Posted: March 30, 2011 at 07:30 AM (Wednesday)

While government-sector job cuts rose to their highest level in 12 months, the pace of downsizing declined in March as employers announced plans to reduce payrolls by 41,528 jobs during the month, down 18 percent from 50,702 job cuts announced in February.

The report on March job-cut announcements released Wednesday by global ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 30, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 7.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 25, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, Mortgage applications decreased 7.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted ...


Consumer Confidence Declined in March
Posted: March 29, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in February, declined in March. The Index now stands at 63.4 (1985=100), down from 72.0 in February. The Present Situation Index improved to 36.9 from 33.8. The Expectations Index decreased to 81.1 from 97.5 last month.

The sharp decline in confidence was prompted by a ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show further deceleration
Posted: March 29, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through January 2011, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show further deceleration in the annual growth rates in 13 of the 20 MSAs and the 10- and 20-City Composites compared to the December 2010 report. The 10-City Composite was down 2.0% and the ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.2% in Mar 26 Wk
Posted: March 29, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Though the calendar reads that the "Spring has sprung," Ol' Man Winter just does not want to release his hold on winter putting the demand for seasonal goods at bay. However, consumer-staple sales at grocery and drug stores strengthened and helped to lift overall sales by 0.2 percent for the week ending March 26, according to the ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Strengthens Further
Posted: March 28, 2011 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose sharply to 24, its highest level in nearly a year.

Most other indicators of current activity also moved further into positive ...


Pending Home Sales rose 2.1%
Posted: March 28, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales increased in February but with notable regional variations, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator, rose 2.1 percent to 90.8, based on contracts signed in February, from 88.9 in January. The index is 8.2 percent below 98.9 recorded in February 2010. ...


Personal Income increased 0.3%, Spending up 0.7%
Posted: March 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $38.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $36.0 billion, or 0.3 percent, in February, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $69.1 billion, or 0.7 percent. In January, personal income increased $147.4 billion, or 1.2 percent, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Declined Sharply
Posted: March 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence declined sharply in March due to rising gas and food prices. While further declines may well occur in the months ahead, consumers have not adopted the same deep pessimism that was prevalent a few years ago. Nonetheless, the March drop was record setting; it was the 10th largest monthly change ever recorded. Most of the ...


4Q2010 GDP final estimate up 3.1%
Posted: March 25, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.1%
Posted: March 24, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 12, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer gave up just -0.1 percent after a jump of +0.7 percent in the prior week. The latest reading from the barometer does not reflect any possible impact to U.S. factory activity from the Japan earthquake, but spillover effects could begin showing up as early as next week’s ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 0.9%, ex-trans down 0.6%
Posted: March 24, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in February decreased $1.9 billion or 0.9 percent to $200.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down four of the last five months, followed a 3.6 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 5,000 to 382,000
Posted: March 24, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 382,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 387,000. The 4-week moving average was 385,250, a decrease of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average of 386,750.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate ...


New Home Sales in February at annual rate of 250,000
Posted: March 23, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in February 2011 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 250,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 16.9 percent (±19 1%) below the revised January rate of 301 000 and is 28.0 percent (±14 8%) below the ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 23, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 2.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 18, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell 5 to 20
Posted: March 22, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded for the sixth straight month, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. Looking at the main components of activity, shipments and new orders grew more slowly, while employment growth held steady. Other indicators varied slightly but suggested continued solid activity. ...


February Mass Layoffs total 1,421 actions, 130,818 workers
Posted: March 22, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,421 mass layoff actions in February involving 130,818 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. The number of mass layoff events in ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased 0.1% in Mar 19 Wk
Posted: March 22, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Despite a slight decline in weekly sales this past week, sales momentum remains favorable for retailers as they march through March. Overall, for the week ending March 19, weekly retail sales dipped slightly by 0.1 percent, according to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. On a year-over-year basis, retail sales continue to ...


Existing-Home Sales declined 9.6% in February
Posted: March 21, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Existing-home sales fell in February following three straight monthly increases, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 9.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.88 million in February from ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index slowed in February
Posted: March 21, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index ticked down to –0.04 in February from –0.01 in January. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index made positive contributions in February, but for the second consecutive month they were offset by continued weakness in the consumption and housing category.

The ...


Philadelphia Fed March Outlook Indicators Show Growth Picked Up
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Results from the Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional manufacturing activity continued to show improvement in March. The survey's broadest indicators either improved from their readings in February or remained at relatively high levels. Increases in input prices continue to be widespread, and more firms have been reporting increases ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.8%
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.8 percent in February to 113.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in January, and a 1.0 percent increase in December.

With February’s large gain, the U.S. LEI returned to the strengthening upward trend that began last September. The LEI is pointing to ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased 0.7%
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 5, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rebounded by +0.7 percent following a drop of -0.5 percent in the prior week. Nine of the barometer’s 10 components improved in the latest week with the exception of railcar loadings, which is a measure of business shipments. More than half of the barometer’s increase ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.1%
Capacity Utilization down to 76.3%

Posted: March 17, 2011 at 09:15 AM (Thursday)

Industrial production declined 0.1 percent in February after having risen 0.3 percent in January; output in January was previously estimated to have edged down 0.1 percent. Manufacturing output increased 0.4 percent in February, and the gain in January was revised up to 0.9 percent. Outside of manufacturing, the output of mines rose 0.8 percent ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.5% in February, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Though the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.5% in February
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees fell 0.5 percent from January to February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decrease stemmed from a 0.5 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), while average hourly earnings remained unchanged.

Real average ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 1.1%
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.1% in January, to a seasonally adjusted level of 84.1 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index increased 0.7% in December to 83.2. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) rose 0.3% in January. Regional output in January rose 9.2% from a ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 16,000 to 385,000
Posted: March 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 385,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 401,000. The 4-week moving average was 386,250, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average of 393,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate ...


4Q10 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: March 16, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—decreased to $113.3 billion (preliminary) in the fourth quarter of 2010, from $125.5 billion (revised) in the third quarter of 2010. The decrease was more than accounted for by a decrease in the deficit on goods; ...


February Housing starts down 22.5%, Permits drop 8.2%
Posted: March 16, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 517,000. This is 8.2 percent (±3.3%) below the revised January rate of 563,000 and is 20.5 percent (±3.5%) below the February 2010 estimate of 650,000. Single-family authorizations in February were at a rate ...


Producer Price Index up 1.6% in February, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: March 16, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods increased 1.6 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 0.8 percent in January and 0.9 percent in December, and marks the largest increase in finished goods prices since a 1.9-percent advance in June 2009. At the ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 16, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 11, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week ...


FOMC target funds maintained rate at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 02:15 PM (Tuesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economic recovery is on a firmer footing, and overall conditions in the labor market appear to be improving gradually. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in ...


Builder Confidence Improved Slightly in March
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

After four consecutive months hovering at the same low level, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes improved by a single point in March, rising to 17 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest level the HMI has reached since May 2010, when the ...


Treasury International Capital Data for January 2011
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for December 2010. Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $65.9 billion.

Net foreign purchases of long-term U.S. securities were $76.8 billion. Of this, net purchases by private foreign investors were $66.3 billion, and net purchases ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Continue to Improve
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to improve in March. The general business conditions index inched up 2 points, to 17.5. The new orders and shipments indexes fell but remained above zero, while the unfilled orders index rose above zero for the first time in a year. Price ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.4% in February
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. import prices rose 1.4 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a similar 1.3 percent advance in January. The price index for U.S. exports increased 1.2 percent in February after rising 1.3 percent the previous month. Higher agricultural and nonagricultural export prices each contributed to ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.1% in Mar 12 Wk
Posted: March 15, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Weekly retail sales for March continue to roar like a lion as retail sales increased for the second consecutive week. Overall, for the week ending March 12, weekly retail sales rose by 0.1 percent, according to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. In addition, on a year-over-year basis, retail sales continued to increase and ...


Business Inventories up 0.9% in January
Posted: March 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for January, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,177.8 billion, up 2.0 percent (±0.3%) from December 2010 and up 10.8 percent (±0.5%) from January ...


Job Openings were 2.8 million in January
Posted: March 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

There were 2.8 million job openings on the last business day of January 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The job openings rate (2.1 percent), hires rate (2.8 percent), and total separations rate (2.7 percent) were little changed over the month. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, ...


U.S. Retail Sales for February up 1.0%, Ex-Auto up 0.7%
Posted: March 11, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $387.1 billion, an increase of 1.0 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 8.9 percent (±0.7%) above February 2010. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.5%
Posted: March 10, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 26, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer fell -0.5 percent following an upward revised jump of +0.8 percent in the prior week. After whizzing along in November and December, the barometer fell sharply in January – presumably due to severe weather disruptions – but unfortunately continued its slide in ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in January 2011
Posted: March 10, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $46.3 billion in January from $40.3 billion (revised) in December, as imports increased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total January exports of $167.7 ...



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