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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201205



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Skidded to 52.7
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the May Chicago Business Barometer decreased for a third consecutive month to its lowest level since September 2009. The short term trend of the Chicago Business Barometer, and all seven Business Activity indexes, declined in May. Among the Business Activity measures, only the Supplier Delivery ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.3%
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 19, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.3% following -0.2 percent decrease in the prior week, falling for three consecutive weeks. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales have been falling for four weeks since May started. For car and truck production, a drop in auto production occurred in the late ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims Increase 10,000 to 383,000
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 383,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 373,000. The 4-week moving average was 374,500, an increase of 3,750 from the previous week's revised average ...


1Q2012 GDP preliminary estimate up 1.9%
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012 (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 133,000
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 08:15 AM (Thursday)

Private-sector employment increased by 133,000 from April to May on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report® released today. The ADP National Employment Report, created by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP®), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is derived from actual payroll data ...


Challenger Layoffs Increase 53% in May
Posted: May 31, 2012 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

In May, the nation’s employers announced plans to cut 61,887 workers from their payrolls, the most since last September when layoffs totaled 115,730, according to the latest job-cut report released Thursday by global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

The May job-cut total was up 53 percent from the 40,559 planned layoffs announced in April. It was 67 percent higher May 2011, when employers announced job cuts totaling 37,135. This marks the fourth year-over-year increase in monthly job cuts in 2012. ...


Pending Home Sales Index declined 5.5%
Posted: May 30, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales retrenched in April following three consecutive monthly gains, but are notably higher than a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, declined 5.5 percent to 95.5 from a downwardly revised 101.1 in March but is 14.4 percent above April 2011 when it was 83.5. The data reflects contracts but not closings. ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 0.5% in May 26 Wk
Posted: May 30, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell 0.5% from the prior week, the fifth consecutive decline and and 6th drop in the last 7 weeks, while increasing 2.9% over the prior-year period during the week ending May 26th. Michael Niemira, ICSC’s vice president of research and chief economist, ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 30, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 25, 2012. This week’s results do not include an adjustment for early closings on Friday before the Memorial ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Continued to Increase
Posted: May 29, 2012 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, held steady at 5.5, suggesting growth continued at about the same pace as ...


Consumer Confidence fell further in May
Posted: May 29, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined slightly in April, fell further in May. The Index now stands at 64.9 (1985=100), down from 68.7 in April. The Expectations Index declined to 77.6 from 80.4, while the Present Situation Index decreased to 45.9 from 51.2 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices fell by 0.1%
Posted: May 29, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through March 2012, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that all three headline composites ended the first quarter of 2012 at new post-crisis lows. The national composite fell by 2.0% in the first quarter of 2012 and was down 1.9% versus the first ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index Increased 2.4%
Posted: May 29, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 2.4% in April, to a seasonally adjusted level of 94.2 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was down 0.3% in March. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) increased 0.6% in April. Regional output rose 12.0% in April from a year earlier, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose to 79.3
Posted: May 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence improved in each of the past nine monthly surveys, rising to its highest level since October 2007. More favorable job and wage prospects were the main factors behind the improved outlook. Record numbers of consumers mentioned that they heard of favorable employment trends despite the jobs slowdown recently reported by the ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity rebounded in May
Posted: May 24, 2012 at 11:30 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity rebounded in May, and producers were more optimistic than in previous months. The majority of producers reported stable or increasing capital spending plans in the next six to twelve months, with very few anticipating a decrease. Most price indexes moderated, although more producers than in ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.2%
Posted: May 24, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 12, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.2% following -0.4 percent decrease in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales have remained weak since May started, however, improvements of production sectors somewhat contributed to offset the weakness. As for the production sector, truck ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 0.2%, Ex-Trans down 0.6%
Posted: May 24, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in April increased $0.3 billion or 0.2 percent to $215.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 3.7 percent March decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.2 ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 2,000 to 370,000
Posted: May 24, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 370,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 372,000. The 4-week moving average was 370,000, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


New Home Sales in April at annual rate of 343,000
Posted: May 23, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in April 2012 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 343,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 3.3 percent (±12.3%) above the revised March rate of 332,000 and is 9.9 percent (±14.7%) above the April ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 23, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 18, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 5.6 ...


April Mass Layoffs total 1,388 actions, 135,600 workers
Posted: May 22, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,388 mass layoff actions in April involving 135,600 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. Mass layoff events in April increased by ...


Existing-Home Sales increased 3.4% in April
Posted: May 22, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales rose in April and remain above a year ago, while home prices continued to rise, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The improvements in sales and prices were broad based across all regions.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 3.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.62 million in April from a downwardly revised 4.47 million in March, and are ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index down 10 to 4
Posted: May 22, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region expanded in May for the sixth consecutive month but at a more moderate pace than a month ago, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. Looking at the main components of activity, shipments held steady and employment grew at a faster rate, while new orders grew at a rate well below ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 1.7% in May 19 Wk
Posted: May 22, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell 1.7% from the prior week, the fourth consecutive decline and biggest drop in more than three months, while increasing 3.8% over the prior-year period during the week ending May 19th. The ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey suggested that consumers shopped ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose in April
Posted: May 21, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.11 in April from –0.44 in March. Of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index, only the production and income category and sales, orders, and inventories category improved from March and made a positive ...


Philadelphia Fed May Outlook Suggest Slowing
Posted: May 17, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Firms responding to the May Business Outlook Survey indicated that manufacturing growth fell back from the pace of recent months. The survey’s broad indicators for general activity fell into negative territory for the first time in eight months. Indicators for new orders and employment also suggested slight declines from April. Input ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index declined 0.1%
Posted: May 17, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.1 percent in April to 95.5 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in March, and a 0.7 percent increase in February.

The LEI declined slightly in April. Falling housing permits, rising initial claims for unemployment insurance and subdued consumer expectations offset small gains in the remaining components. The LEI’s six-month growth rate fell slightly, but remains in expansionary ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.4%
Posted: May 17, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 5, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.4% following +0.1 percent increase in the prior week. Decline in inflation-adjusted chain store sales and railroad freight car-loadings contributed to the drop of the week. As for the production sector, auto production and electric output made a rebound but was ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims unchanged to 370,000
Posted: May 17, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 370,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure of 370,000. The 4-week moving average was 375,000, a decrease of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average of 379,750.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.6 percent for the week ending May 5, unchanged from the prior week's revised rate. ...


Industrial Production increased 1.1%
Capacity Utilization moved up to 79.2%

Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production increased 1.1 percent in April. Output is now reported to have fallen 0.6 percent in March and to have moved up 0.4 percent in February; previously, industrial production was estimated to have been unchanged in both months. Manufacturing output increased 0.6 percent in April after having decreased 0.5 percent in ...


April Housing Starts up 2.6%, Permits down 7.0%
Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 715,000. This is 7.0 percent (±1.0%) below the revised March rate of 769,000, but is 23.7 percent (±1.9%) above the revised April 2011 estimate of 578,000. Single-family authorizations in April were at a rate ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 16, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 9.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 11, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


Business Inventories up 0.7% in March
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for March, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,241.0 billion, up 0.6 percent (±0.2%) from February 2012 and up 5.8 percent (±0.5%) from ...


Builder Confidence gained in May
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes gained five points in May from a downwardly revised reading in the previous month to reach a level of 29 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This is the index’s strongest reading since May ...


Treasury International Capital Data for March 2012
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for March 2012. The sum total in March of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $49.9 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $57.7 billion, and ...


Consumer Price Index unch% in April, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in April on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.3 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The energy index, which had risen in each of the three previous months, declined in April on a seasonally adjusted basis and offset increases in the other major indexes. The gasoline index fell 2.6 percent in April and accounted for most of the decline in energy, though the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings unch% in April
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees was unchanged from March to April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This stems from no change in both the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and average hourly earnings.

Real average weekly earnings was unchanged over the month, as a result of no change in both the real average hourly earnings and the average workweek. Since reaching a peak in October 2010, real average weekly earnings have fallen 1.2 percent. ...


U.S. Retail Sales for April up 0.1%, Ex-Auto up 0.1%
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $408.0 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 6.4 percent (±0.7%) above April 2011. Total sales ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Expand at a Moderate Pace
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The May Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that manufacturing activity expanded in New York State at a moderate pace. The general business conditions index rose eleven points to 17.1. The new orders index inched up to 8.3, and the shipments index shot up eighteen points to 24.1. The indexes for both prices paid and prices received ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales declined by 0.8% in May 12 Wk
Posted: May 15, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell 0.8% from the prior week, the third consecutive decline and fourth drop in the past five weeks, while increasing 4.5% over the prior-year period during the week ending May 12th. “Despite the sales incentive with Mother’s Day on Sunday, weekly sales ...


Forecasters Outlook for Growth Holds Steady
Posted: May 11, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy is little changed from that of three months ago, according to 39 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.4 percent this quarter, up slightly from the previous estimate of 2.3 percent. Over the next three ...


Producer Price Index fell 0.2% in April, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: May 11, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods fell 0.2 percent in April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods were unchanged in March and increased 0.4 percent in February. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods decreased 0.5 percent ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was flat
Posted: May 10, 2012 at 10:16 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 27, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was flat following +0.4 percent increase in the prior week. A slight decline in inflation-adjusted chain store sales was offset by modest increase in railroad freight car-loadings for the week. As for the production sector, result was mixed with drop in auto production ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in March 2012
Posted: May 10, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $51.8 billion in March from $45.4 billion (revised) in February, as imports increased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total March exports of $186.8 billion and imports of $238.6 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $51.8 billion, up from $45.4 billion in ...


U.S. Import Price Index Declined 0.5% in April
Posted: May 10, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices declined 0.5 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, following a 1.5 percent increase in March. The April decrease was driven by lower fuel prices which more than offset a small increase in nonfuel prices. The price index for overall exports rose 0.4 percent in April after a 0.8 percent increase ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 1,000 to 367,000
Posted: May 10, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 367,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 368,000. The 4-week moving average was 379,000, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.3% in March
Posted: May 9, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that March 2012 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $411.1 billion, up 0.5 percent (+/-0.7)* from the revised February level and were up 6.5 percent (+/-1.2%) ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 9, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 1.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 4, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 2.0 percent compared with the previous week. Increases to the seasonally ...


Job Openings were 3.7 million in March
Posted: May 8, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.7 million job openings on the last business day of March, little changed from February but up significantly from a year earlier, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.3 percent) and separations rate (3.1 percent) were unchanged in March. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales declined by 0.8% in May 5 Wk
Posted: May 8, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell 0.8% from the prior week, while increasing 3.3% over the prior-year period during the week ending May 5th. The fiscal month of May started on a soft note as there were few catalysts for spending in the past week. As a result , the ICSC‐GS consumer ...



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