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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201206



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Stabilized at 52.9
Posted: June 29, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the June Chicago Business Barometer stabilized just above May's 33 month low. The short-term trend of the Chicago Business Barometer fell for the third month. The three-month moving average of each Business Activity index, except Employment, fell in ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence drops to 73.2
Posted: June 29, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence posted a sizable loss in June, with most of the overall decline in how consumers viewed future prospects for the national economy. Perhaps of greater importance was that the entire June decline was among households with incomes above $75,000. Higher income households were not only less optimistic about economic prospects ...


Personal Income increased 0.2%, Spending decreased 0.1%
Posted: June 29, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $25.4 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $18.5 billion, or 0.2 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $4.7 billion, or less than 0.1 percent. In April, personal income increased $29.4 billion, or 0.2 percent, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Slowed
Posted: June 28, 2012 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity slowed in June, and expectations eased as producers grew more uncertain. Many respondents reported concerns about economic conditions in Europe, though only a few noted sizeable direct negative impacts. Price indexes fell, but most remained above zero, indicating continued increases but at a ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.1%
Posted: June 28, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 16, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased slightly by -0.1 percent from the previous week. A sharp decline in Railroad Freight Carloadings mainly contributed to the drop in the barometer as well as Truck production. Steel production showed a declining trend for five consecutive weeks. Meanwhile, ...


1Q2012 GDP Final estimate up 1.9%
Posted: June 28, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012 (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 6,000 to 386,000
Posted: June 28, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 386,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 392,000. The 4-week moving average was 386,750, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average ...


Pending Home Sales Index rose 5.9%
Posted: June 27, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales bounced back in May, matching the highest level in the past two years, and are well above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Both monthly and annual gains were seen in every region.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 5.9 percent to 101.1 in May from 95.5 in April and is 13.3 percent above May 2011 when it was 89.2. The data reflect contracts but not closings. ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index Decreased 1.0%
Posted: June 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) decreased 1.0% in May, to a seasonally adjusted level of 93.4 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was up 2.5% in April. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) decreased 0.4% in May. Regional output rose 10.5% in May from a year earlier, ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 1.1%, Ex-Trans up 0.4%
Posted: June 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in May increased $2.3 billion or 1.1 percent to $217.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, followed a 0.2 percent April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.4 percent. Excluding defense, new orders ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 27, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 7.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 22, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 7.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index also decreased 7.1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index down 7 to -3
Posted: June 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region softened in June, following six months of moderate expansion, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. Looking at the main components of activity, shipments edged into negative territory as growth in new orders experienced notable declines and employment grew at a rate well below ...


Consumer Confidence fell further in June to 62
Posted: June 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in May, fell further in June. The Index now stands at 62.0 (1985=100), down from 64.4 in May. The Expectations Index declined to 72.3 from 77.3. The Present Situation Index, however, increased to 46.6 from 44.9 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increased 1.3%
Posted: June 26, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through April 2012, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that on average home prices increased 1.3% in the month of April for both the 10- and 20-City Composites. This comes after seven consecutive months of falling home prices as measured by both ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 2.0% in Jun 23 Wk
Posted: June 26, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales rose 2.0% rom the prior week, the best gain since the last week of March, while increasing 2.7% over the prior-year period during the week ending June 23rd, the weakest performance in 14 weeks. According to the ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey, business ...


New Home Sales in May at annual rate of 369,000
Posted: June 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Sales of new single-family houses in May 2012 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 369,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 7.6 percent (±12.2%) above the revised April rate of 343,000 and is 19.8 percent (±15.2%) above the May ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Surged in June
Posted: June 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity surged in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose from 5.5 to 15.5, posting its strongest reading in 15 months.

Other measures of current manufacturing conditions also indicated strengthening activity in June. The new orders index rose to 7.9, following three readings around zero, suggesting demand finally grew after staying flat since February. Similarly, the shipments index ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index slower in May
Posted: June 25, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to –0.45 in May from +0.08 in April. Of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index, three deteriorated from the previous month and two made negative contributions to the index ...


Philadelphia Fed June Outlook Suggest Decreases in Activity
Posted: June 21, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Firms responding to the June Business Outlook Survey indicated weaker business conditions this month. The survey’s indicators for general activity, new orders, shipments, and average work hours were all negative this month, suggesting overall declines in business. Input price pressures were less in evidence this month, with more firms ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.3%
Posted: June 21, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in May to 95.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decline in April, and a 0.2 percent increase in March.

The LEI rose in May, reversing the slight decline in April. Weakness in the average workweek in manufacturing, stock prices and consumer expectations kept the LEI from rising further. Its six-month growth rate remains in expansionary territory and well above its growth at ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer unchanged%
Posted: June 21, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 9, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer remained unchanged from the last week. Continuous declines were seen in Chain Store Sales and Steel production over seven weeks and four weeks, respectively. Electric Output decreased by -6.4 percent as well as Auto production which showed a slight drop by -1.1 percent. ...


Existing-Home Sales declined 1.5% in May
Posted: June 21, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Limited supplies of housing inventory held back existing-home sales in May, but sales maintained a strong lead over year-ago levels and home prices are on a sustained uptrend in all regions, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, declined 1.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.55 million in May from 4.62 million in April, but are 9.6 percent above the 4.15 ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 2,000 to 387,000
Posted: June 21, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 387,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 389,000. The 4-week moving average was 386,250, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: June 20, 2012 at 02:15 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate remain at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: June 20, 2012 at 12:30 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately this year. However, growth in employment has slowed in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated. Business fixed investment has continued to advance. Household spending appears to be rising at a ...


May Mass Layoffs total 1,380 actions, 130,191 workers
Posted: June 20, 2012 at 10:19 AM (Wednesday)

Employers took 1,380 mass layoff actions in May involving 130,191 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. Mass layoff events in May decreased by 8 ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 20, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 15, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased more than 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index ...


Job Openings were 3.4 million in April
Posted: June 19, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.4 million job openings on the last business day of April, down from 3.7 million in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and separations rate (3.1 percent) were essentially unchanged in April. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, ...


May Housing Starts down 4.8%, Permits up 7.9%
Posted: June 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 780,000. This is 7.9 percent (±1.0%) above the revised April rate of 723,000 and is 25.0 percent (±1.5%) above the May 2011 estimate of 624,000. Single-family authorizations in May were at a rate of 494,000; this is ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales were flat% in Jun 16 Wk
Posted: June 19, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales were flat from the prior week, while increasing 3.6% over the prior-year period during the week ending June 16th, the strongest performance in 4 weeks. “With a fair amount of economic uncertainty in the U.S. and globally, consumer sales have been more ...


Builder Confidence gained one point in June
Posted: June 18, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes gained one point in June from a slightly revised level in the previous month to rest at 29 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This is the highest level the index has attained since May ...


Industrial Production edged down 0.1%
Capacity Utilization declined to 79%

Posted: June 15, 2012 at 09:55 AM (Friday)

Industrial production edged down 0.1 percent in May after having gained 1.0 percent in April. A decrease of 0.4 percent for manufacturing production in May partially reversed a large increase in April. Outside of manufacturing, the output of mines advanced 0.9 percent in May, while the output of utilities rose 0.8 percent. At 97.3 percent of ...


Treasury International Capital Data for April 2012
Posted: June 15, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for April 2012. The sum total in April of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $20.5 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $23.7 billion, and ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Expands Slightly
Posted: June 15, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The June Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that manufacturing activity expanded slightly over the month. The general business conditions index fell fifteen points, but remained positive at 2.3. The new orders index declined six points to 2.2, and the shipments index fell a steep nineteen points to 4.8. Price indexes were markedly ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.1%
Posted: June 14, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 2, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased modestly by -0.1 percent. The decrease mainly reflected a sharp drop in Truck production, down by -13.1 percent. Declining Steel production also contributed to the drop in the week. Auto production slowed down to +0.3 percent from last week’s +1.8 percent. Chain ...


Consumer Price Index down 0.3% in May, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: June 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.3 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The gasoline index declined 6.8 percent in May, leading to a sharp decrease in ...


1Q12 Current Account Deficit Increased
Posted: June 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—increased to $137.3 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter, from $118.7 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter. Most of the increase in the current-account deficit was accounted for by a decrease in the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.3% in May
Posted: June 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.3 percent from April to May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The increase stems from a 0.1 percent gain in average hourly earnings and a 0.3 percent decline in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 6,000 to 386,000
Posted: June 14, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 386,000, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 380,000. The 4-week moving average was 382,000, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Business Inventories up 0.4% in April
Posted: June 13, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,249.6 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2%) from March 2012 and up 5.4 percent (±0.4%) from ...


Producer Price Index fell 1.0% in May, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: June 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods fell 1.0 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods moved down 0.2 percent in April and were unchanged in March. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods decreased 0.8 percent ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May down 0.2%, Ex-Auto down 0.4%
Posted: June 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $404.6 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 5.3 percent (±0.7%) above May 2011. Total sales for ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 13, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 18.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 8, 2012. Last week’s results included an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 18.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier to the highest level since May 2009. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased over 30 percent compared with the previous ...


U.S. Import Price Index Decreased 1.0% in May
Posted: June 12, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. import prices decreased 1.0 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after no change the previous month. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices each contributed to the May decrease in overall import prices. U.S. export prices also declined in May, falling 0.4 percent after a 0.4 percent increase ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 0.7% in Jun 9 Wk
Posted: June 12, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell 0.7% from the prior week, the seventh decline in the past 9 weeks, while increasing 2.9% over the prior-year period during the week ending June 9th. The ICSC‐GS consumer tracking survey suggested that consumer traffic was a bit stronger in the past ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down 0.1 point to 94.4
Posted: June 12, 2012 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Optimism Index was basically unchanged in May at 94.4, down 0.1 points. A reading of 94.4 is historically low and consistent with the sub-par performance of GDP and employment growth. The individual indicators were mixed, with expected sales in a three month decline. However, some employment components improved and profit trends ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.6% in April
Posted: June 8, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that April 2012 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $415.0 billion, up 1.1 percent (+/-0.5) from the revised March level and were up 6.8 percent (+/-0.9%) from ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in April 2012
Posted: June 8, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $50.1 billion in April from $52.6 billion in March (revised), as imports decreased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total April exports of $182.9 billion and imports of $233.0 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $50.1 billion, down from $52.6 billion ...


Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3.00%
Posted: June 7, 2012 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3 percent in April. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 4-3/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7 percent.

...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.1%
Posted: June 7, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 26, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by +0.1% after declining for three consecutive weeks. Truck production bounced back remarkably from a slower growth for the last week. Together with Electric Output and Bituminous and Lignite production, these increases resulted in the slight rise of barometer. ...



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