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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201309



Texas Manufacturing Activity Expanded in September
Posted: September 30, 2013 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in September, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose from 7.3 to 11.5, suggesting output increased at a slightly faster pace than ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index up 2.7 points to 55.7
Posted: September 30, 2013 at 09:45 AM (Monday)

- Production, New Orders and Supplier Deliveries support Barometer
- Employment down for third consecutive month

Led by gains in Production, New Orders and Supplier Deliveries, the Chicago Business Barometer TM gained 2.7 points in September to 55.7. ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 1.5%
Posted: September 30, 2013 at 08:54 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.5% in August, to a seasonally adjusted level of 96.7 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was down 0.7% in July. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) moved up 0.7% in August. Regional output rose 4.0% in August from a year earlier, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dropped to 77.5
Posted: September 27, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Confidence fell in September as consumers were more likely to anticipate a slower pace of economic growth, fewer job opportunities, and less favorable personal financial prospects. While few consumers expected a federal shutdown, complaints about the economic policies of the government have risen. Indeed, spontaneous negative references to ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending increased 0.3%
Posted: September 27, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $57.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $56.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, in August, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.5 billion, or 0.3 percent. In July, personal income increased $21.2 billion, or 0.2 percent, ...


Pending Home Sales Index declined 1.6%
Posted: September 26, 2013 at 10:02 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales slowed in August, with tight inventory conditions, higher interest rates, rising home prices and continuing restrictive mortgage credit impacting the market, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, eased 1.6 percent to 107.7 in August from a downwardly revised 109.4 in July, but remains 5.8 percent above August 2012 when it was 101.8; the data reflect contracts but not closings. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.3%
Posted: September 26, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 14th 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.3 percent to 97.5, the first time in four weeks. Weaknesses in both production and consumption indexes dragged this week’s barometer. Chain store sales decreased by 1.7 percent, cancelling out a pickup in the prior week while railroad freight increased by ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 5,000 to 305,000
Posted: September 26, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 305,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 310,000. The 4-week moving average was 308,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


2Q2013 GDP final estimate increased 2.5%
Posted: September 26, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in the second quarter of 2013 (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


New Home Sales in August at annual rate of 421,000
Posted: September 25, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in August 2013 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 421,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 7.9 percent (±14.6%) above the revised July rate of 390,000 and is 12.6 percent (±15.3%) above the August ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 0.1%, Ex-Trans Down 0.1%
Posted: September 25, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in August increased $0.3 billion or 0.1 percent to $224.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up four of the last five months, followed an 8.1 percent July decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.5 ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 25, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 5.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 20, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 5.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 5 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 5 ...


Consumer Confidence decreased in September to 79.7
Posted: September 24, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased slightly in August, decreased in September. The Index now stands at 79.7 (1985=100), down from 81.8 in August. The Present Situation Index grew to 73.2 from 70.9. The Expectations Index fell to 84.1 from 89.0 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index fell 14 to 0
Posted: September 24, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity was little changed in September, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments, capacity utilization, and vendor lead time flattened, while the volume of new orders slowed. The backlog of new orders remained in decline. Finished goods inventories and raw ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices rose 1.9%
Posted: September 24, 2013 at 09:09 AM (Tuesday)

Data through July 2013, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed increases of 1.9% and 1.8% from June for the 10- and 20-City Composites. For at least four months in a row, all 20 cities showed monthly gains. Phoenix posted 22 consecutive months of ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales declined 1.0% in Sept 21 Wk
Posted: September 24, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC-GS sales index declined by 1.0% sequentially from the prior week, which extended its decline for a second consecutive week. Moreover, sales grew at a sluggish 1.6% pace compared with the same week of the prior year - which was its softest performance since matching its June 22 gain. The year-over-year weakness was across the ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Picked up in August
Posted: September 23, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.14 in August from –0.43 in July. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from July, and three of the four categories made positive contributions to the index in August.

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased to –0.18 in August from –0.24 in July, marking its sixth consecutive reading below zero. August’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was below its historical trend. The economic growth ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.7%
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.7 percent in August to 96.6 (2004 = 100), following a 0.5 percent increase in July, and no change in June.

After a brief pause, the U.S. LEI rose sharply in July and August, resuming its upward trend. If the LEI’s six-month growth rate, which has nearly doubled, continues in the coming months, economic growth should gradually strengthen through the end of the year. Despite ...


Existing-Home Sales Spiked 6.5% in August
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales increased in August and reached the highest level in six-and-a-half years, while the median price shows nine consecutive months of double-digit year-over-year increases, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in August from 5.39 million in July, and are 13.2 percent higher than the ...


Philadelphia Fed September Outlook Suggest Expansion
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity picked up in September, according to firms responding to this month’s Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s broadest indicators for general activity, new orders, shipments, and employment were all positive and higher than in August. The survey's indicators of future activity were significantly higher, suggesting ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.3%
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending September 7th 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.3 percent to 97.8 following a 0.1 percent increase in the prior week. Positive contributions to the barometer from both production and consumption indexes were seen this week. A 3.4 percent decrease in railroad freight carloadings was more than offset by ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 15,000 to 309,000
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 309,000, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 294,000. The 4-week moving average was 314,750, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


2Q2013 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: September 19, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—decreased to $98.9 billion (preliminary) in the second quarter from $104.9 billion (revised) in the first quarter. The decrease in the current-account deficit was accounted for by a decrease in the deficit on ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: September 18, 2013 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate at 0 - 1/4%, policy unchanged and QE continues
Posted: September 18, 2013 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace. Some indicators of labor market conditions have shown further improvement in recent months, but the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, and ...


August Housing Starts up 0.9%, Permits down 3.8%
Posted: September 18, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 918,000. This is 3.8 percent (±1.3%) below the revised July rate of 954,000, but is 11.0 percent (±1.8%) above the August 2012 estimate of 827,000. Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 18, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 11.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 13, 2013. The previous week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Builder Confidence eased 1 point in September to 58
Posted: September 17, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Following four consecutive months of improvement, builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes held unchanged in September with a reading of 58 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today.

While builder confidence is holding at the highest level in nearly eight years, many are reporting some hesitancy on the part of buyers due to the sharp increase in interest rates. Home buyers are adjusting to the fact that, while mortgage rates are still quite favorable on ...


Treasury International Capital Data for July 2013
Posted: September 17, 2013 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2013. The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $56.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $59.3 billion, and ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.1% in August, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: September 17, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in the indexes for shelter and medical care contributed to the increase in the seasonally adjusted all items index; they also accounted for most of the 0.1 percent increase in the index for all items less food and energy. Within all items less food and energy, the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.1% in August
Posted: September 17, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.1 percent from July to August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase stems from a 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings being partially offset by a 0.1 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales declined 1.6% in Sept 14 Wk
Posted: September 17, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. chain-store sales rose 3.2 percent year on year for the week that ended on September 14, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. However, weekly comparable-store sales declined 1.6 percent as consumers held back on spending, ...


Industrial Production advanced 0.4%
Capacity Utilization increased to 77.8%

Posted: September 16, 2013 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

Industrial production advanced 0.4 percent in August after having been unchanged in July; the gains in August were broadly based. Following a decrease in July of 0.4 percent, which was steeper than previously reported, manufacturing production rose 0.7 percent in August. The output of mines moved up 0.3 percent, its fifth consecutive ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Improvement Continues
Posted: September 16, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The September 2013 Empire State Manufacturing Survey suggests that conditions for New York manufacturers improved modestly for the fourth straight month. The general business conditions index edged down two points but, at 6.3, remained in positive territory. The new orders index inched up two points to 2.4, while the shipments index jumped ...


Business Inventories up 0.4% in July
Posted: September 13, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Sales. The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for July, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,293.6 billion, up 0.6 percent (±0.2) from June 2013, and were up 4.6 percent (±1.1) from ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.3% in August, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: September 13, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.3 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods were unchanged in July and increased 0.8 percent in June. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods were unchanged in August, ...


U.S. Retail Sales for August up 0.2%, Ex-Auto up 0.1%
Posted: September 13, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $426.6 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 4.7 percent (±0.7%) above August 2012. Total ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer ticked up slightly by 0.1%
Posted: September 12, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 31st 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer ticked up slightly by 0.1 percent following a 0.2 percent increase in the prior week. A rise in production indexes driven by a large climb in electric output offset a drop in consumption indexes. Chain store sales was the only index which contributed negatively to ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 31,000 to 292,000 **
Posted: September 12, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending September 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 292,000, a decrease of 31,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 323,000. The 4-week moving average was 321,250, a decrease of 7,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


U.S. Import Price Index were unchanged% in August
Posted: September 12, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Prices for U.S. imports were unchanged in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after ticking up 0.1 percent in July. In August, higher fuel prices were offset by declining nonfuel prices. U.S. export prices fell 0.5 percent in August following a 0.1 percent decrease the ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in July
Posted: September 11, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that July 2013 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $426.1 billion, up 0.1 percent (+/-0.4%)* from the revised June level and were up 5.7 percent (+/-3.0%) from ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: September 11, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 13.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 6, 2013. This week’s results included an adjustment for the Labor ...


Job Openings were 3.7 million in July
Posted: September 10, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.7 million job openings on the last business day of July, little changed from June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.2 percent) and separations rate (3.0 percent) also were little changed in July. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose by 1.5% in Sept 7 Wk
Posted: September 10, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Consumers seemed to have shaken off their summer sales slump and got back into the swing of things as weekly sales bounced back this past week. Overall for the week ending September 7, 2013 weekly sales rose by 1.5%, according to on the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. On ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.1 points to 94.0
Posted: September 10, 2013 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

Owner optimism went nowhere in August as the Index fell 0.1 points, statistically no change. As “calm” as the Index appears, there was turmoil in the details. Job creation plans jumped 7 points to levels not seen since 2007. Yet, last month firms shed the largest number of employees in months. Capital spending and inventory investment ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 4.75%
Posted: September 9, 2013 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 4-1/2 percent in July. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 2-1/2 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index edged up in August to 113.54
Posted: September 9, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in August. The index now stands at 113.54, up from 112.80 (an upward revision) in July. The ETI figure for August is 4.5 percent higher than a year ago.

The growth of the Employment Trends Index (ETI) in recent months suggests that employment is likely to moderately expand through the fall. The rapid job growth in the first half of 2013 was faster than we had expected given weak economic activity and only moderate ...


August Employment increased by 169,000
Unemployment Rate edged down to 7.3%

Posted: September 6, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 169,000 in August, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 7.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in retail trade and health care but declined in information.

Both the number of unemployed persons, at 11.3 million, and the unemployment rate, at 7.3 percent, changed little in August. The jobless rate is down from 8.1 percent a year ago. ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 2.4%
Posted: September 5, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in July, down following three consecutive monthly increases, decreased $12.0 billion or 2.4 percent to $485.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.6 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.2 ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index grew at 58.6%
Posted: September 5, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in August for the 44th consecutive month, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The NMI™ registered 58.6 percent in August, 2.6 percentage points higher than the 56 percent registered in July. This indicates continued growth at a faster rate in the non-manufacturing sector. This month's NMI™ is the highest reading for the index since its inception in ...



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