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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201312



Consumer Confidence rebounded in December to 72.0
Posted: December 31, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had decreased in November, rebounded in December. The Index now stands at 78.1 (1985=100), up from 72.0 in November. The Present Situation Index increased to 76.2 from 73.5. The Expectations Index increased to 79.4 from 71.1 last ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index down 3.9 to 59.1 in December
Posted: December 31, 2013 at 09:45 AM (Tuesday)

- Strong Expansion but at Slower Rate

The December Chicago Business Barometer softened to 59.1 from 63.0 in November, the second consecutive monthly decline following October’s surge to 65.9, the highest since March 2011. ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices up 0.2%
Posted: December 31, 2013 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through October 2013, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that the 10-City and 20-City Composites posted year-over-year gains of 13.6%. This is their highest gain since February 2006 and marks the seventeenth consecutive month that both ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 1.0% in Dec 28 Wk
Posted: December 31, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. chain-store sales rose 3 percent year on year for the week that ended on December 28, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. Week-to-week comparable-store sales improved 1 percent as consumers finished up their Christmas ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Slows but Outlook Improves in December
Posted: December 30, 2013 at 10:41 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased for the eighth month in a row in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell from 16.9 to 7.1, indicating output grew at a slower pace than ...


Pending Home Sales Index inched up 0.2%
Posted: December 30, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales stabilized in November with a slight gain, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Monthly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, inched up 0.2 percent to 101.7 in November from a downwardly revised 101.5 in October, but is 1.6 percent below November 2012 when it was 103.3. The data reflect contracts but not ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer surged by 1.6%
Posted: December 26, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 14 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer surged by 1.6 percent to 99.1 after two consecutive weeks’ drop, reaching the highest level since July 2008. However, the barometer could be distorted by seasonal adjustment, which is volatile around the holiday season. As to the indexes, most of them increased ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 42,000 to 338,000
Posted: December 26, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending December 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 338,000, a decrease of 42,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 380,000. The 4-week moving average was 348,000, an increase of 4,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


New Home Sales in November at annual rate of 464,000
Posted: December 24, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in November 2013 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 464,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.This is 2.1 percent (±21.3%) below the revised October rate of 474,000, but is 16.6 percent (±29.4%) above the ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index maintains a reading of 13
Posted: December 24, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity continued to grow at a slightly slower pace in December, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments and the volume of new orders grew at a slightly slower rate compared to last month. Manufacturing employment picked up this month, while wages and average work ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 3.5%, Ex-Trans Up 1.2%
Posted: December 24, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in November increased $8.2 billion or 3.5 percent to $241.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up three of the last four months, followed a 0.7 percent October decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.2 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 1.4% in Dec 21 Wk
Posted: December 24, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

As the 2013 holiday shopping season draws to a close consumers really began wrapping up their holiday shopping purchases this past week. As a result retailers enjoyed another week of positive sales results as weekly sales rose by a solid 1.4% for the week ending December 21, 2013, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 24, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 20, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence increased to 82.5
Posted: December 23, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Consumer confidence rebounded among households with incomes less than $75,000 in December; higher income households reported the same sized gains in the November survey. By mid December, no additional gains were reported by either group. While the end of the government shutdown did ease concerns about the economy, it did not generate any ...


Personal Income increased 0.2%, Spending increased 0.5%
Posted: December 23, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $30.1 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $16.2 billion, or 0.1 percent in November according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $63.0 billion, or 0.5 percent. In October, personal income decreased $11.7 billion, or 0.1 percent, ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Shows Growth Picked Up in November
Posted: December 23, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by gains in employment- and production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed
National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.60 in November from –0.07 in
October. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from October, and three of the four categories made positive contributions to the index ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Fell Slightly
Posted: December 20, 2013 at 11:00 AM (Friday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity fell slightly in December, but producers’ expectations for future activity improved modestly. Some contacts cited poor weather, and continued fiscal and regulatory uncertainty as reasons for the December slowdown. Slightly over half of all respondents noted labor shortages, with nearly one third ...


3Q2013 GDP final estimate increased 4.1%
Posted: December 20, 2013 at 08:41 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the third quarter of 2013 (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3%
Posted: December 19, 2013 at 10:54 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 7 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3 percent for the second week in a row to 97.5. This week’s barometer was dragged by production indexes, where electric output dropped significantly by 14.1 percent following a sharp rise of 11.7 percent in the prior week. Truck production also decreased by ...


Philadelphia Fed December Outlook Suggest Modest Expansion
Posted: December 19, 2013 at 10:53 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing growth in the region continued in December at a pace similar to that of November, according to firms responding to this month’s Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s broadest indicators for general activity, new orders, shipments, and employment were positive, signifying growth, and readings improved slightly in each category ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 4.3% in November
Posted: December 19, 2013 at 10:50 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales fell in November, although median prices continue to show strong year-over-year growth, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dropped 4.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.90 million in November from 5.12 million in October, and are 1.2 percent below the ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.8%
Posted: December 19, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.8 percent in November to 98.3 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in October, and a 1.0 percent increase in September.

The LEI continues on a broad-based upward trend, suggesting gradually strengthening economic conditions through early 2014. Improving labor markets and new orders in manufacturing, combined with strong financial indicators, drove November’s gain. However, consumers’ outlook ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 10,000 to 379,000
Posted: December 19, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending December 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 379,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's figure of 369,000. The 4-week moving average was 343,500, an increase of 13,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Federal Open Market Committee Press Conference
Posted: December 18, 2013 at 02:30 PM (Wednesday)

FOMC target funds rate at 0 - 1/4%, policy unchanged, QE Taper by $10 bil
Posted: December 18, 2013 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in October indicates that economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace. Labor market conditions have shown further improvement; the unemployment rate has declined but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, while the recovery in the ...


Treasury International Capital Data for October 2013
Posted: December 18, 2013 at 09:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for October 2013. The sum total in October of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $194.9 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $185.1 billion, ...


November Housing Starts up 22.7%, Permits down 3.1%
Posted: December 18, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,007,000. This is 3.1 percent (±1.1%) below the revised October rate of 1,039,000, but is 7.9 percent (±1.6%) above the November 2012 estimate of 933,000. Single-family authorizations in November were at a rate ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 18, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 13, 2013.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


Builder Confidence Rose 4 points in December to 58
Posted: December 17, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes improved four points to a 58 reading on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for December, released today. This gain reflected improvement in all three index components – current sales conditions, sales expectations and traffic ...


3Q2013 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: December 17, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—decreased to $94.8 billion (preliminary) in the third quarter from $96.6 billion (revised) in the second quarter. The deficit decreased to 2.2 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.3 percent ...


Consumer Price Index was unchanged% in November, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: December 17, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The energy index declined in November, offsetting increases in other indexes ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.2% in November
Posted: December 17, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.2 percent from October to November, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase stems from a 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings combined with an unchanged Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 4.8% in Dec 14 Wk
Posted: December 17, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The sequential weekly sales pace soared over the past week and has been very choppy on a week-over-week basis for several weeks. The ICSC-Goldman Sachs (ICSC-GS) chain store sales index for the week ending December 14th leaped by 4.8% from the prior week's seasonally-adjusted level and improved modestly to a 2.0% pace on a year-over-year ...


Industrial Production increased 1.1%
Capacity Utilization increased to 79.0%

Posted: December 16, 2013 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

Industrial production increased 1.1 percent in November after having edged up 0.1 percent in October; output was previously reported to have declined 0.1 percent in October. The gain in November was the largest since November 2012, when production rose 1.3 percent. Manufacturing output increased 0.6 percent in November for its fourth ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Change Little
Posted: December 16, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The December 2013 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that manufacturing conditions were flat for New York manufacturers. The general business conditions index rose three points but, at 1.0, indicated that activity changed little over the month. The new orders index inched up, but remained negative at -3.5, while the shipments index ...


3Q2013 Productivity Growth Increased 3.0%
Posted: December 16, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 3.0 percent annual rate during the third quarter of 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The increase in productivity reflects increases of 4.7 percent in output and 1.7 percent in hours worked. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally ...


Producer Price Index declined 0.1% in November, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: December 13, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods edged down 0.1 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods decreased 0.2 percent in October and 0.1 percent in September. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods declined ...


Business Inventories up 0.7% in October
Posted: December 12, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for October, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,307.3 billion, up 0.5 percent (±0.2) from September 2013, and were up 3.9 percent (±1.1) from ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3%
Posted: December 12, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending November 30 2013, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.3 percent following 0.3 percent gain in the previous week. Consumption indexes showed negative contributions across the board including 2.6 percent decline in chain store sales and 2.4 percent decline in railroad freight carloadings. MBA’s purchase index ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 68,000 to 368,000
Posted: December 12, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending December 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 368,000, an increase of 68,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 300,000. The 4-week moving average was 328,750, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


U.S. Retail Sales for November up 0.7%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: December 12, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $432.3 billion, an increase of 0.7 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 4.7 percent (±0.7%) above November 2012. ...


U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.6% in November
Posted: December 12, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices declined 0.6 percent for the second consecutive month in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after rising the previous 3 months. The decrease in each of the past 2 months was led by falling fuel prices. U.S. export prices rose 0.1 percent in November following a 0.6 percent decline ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 11, 2013 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 1.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 6, 2013. The previous week’s results included an adjustment for the ...


Job Openings were 3.9 million in October
Posted: December 10, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.9 million job openings on the last business day of October, little changed from September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.3 percent) and separations rate (3.1 percent) were also little changed in October. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, ...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.4% in October
Posted: December 10, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that October 2013 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $435.3 billion, up 1.0 percent (+/-0.5%) from the revised September level and were up 6.4 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 1.5% in Dec 7 Wk
Posted: December 10, 2013 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. chain-store sales rose 1.5 percent year on year for the week that ended on December 7, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs. However, in a more telling sign of shifting consumer spending trends, week-to-week comparable-store sales slipped 1.6 percent, even with a shortened Christmas ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased by 0.9 points to 92.5
Posted: December 10, 2013 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

Owner sentiment increased by 0.9 points to 92.5, a dismal reading as has been the case since the recovery started. Over half of the improvement was accounted for by the labor market components which is certainly good news, lifting them closer to normal levels. Expected business conditions though deteriorated further - lots of dismal views of ...


Employment Trends Index increased in November to 115.21
Posted: December 9, 2013 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in November. The index now stands at 115.21, up from 113.64 (a downward revision) in October. The ETI figure for November is 5.3 percent higher than a year ago.

Largely a reflection of the 16-day government shutdown, October’s apparent decline in the Employment Trends Index was more than reversed by the large November increase. Despite disappointing consumer-demand growth in recent quarters, the ETI is still signaling solid ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 7.00%
Posted: December 6, 2013 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In October, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 7 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 6 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent.

...


Personal Income decreased 0.1%, Spending increased 0.3%
Posted: December 6, 2013 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income decreased $10.8 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $23.6 billion, or 0.2 percent, in October, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $32.7 billion, or 0.3 percent. In September, personal income increased $64.3 billion, or 0.5 percent, ...



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