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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201508


Texas Manufacturing Activity Essentially Flat, but Outlooks Deteriorate
Posted: August 31, 2015 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity was essentially flat in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, climbed to near zero (-0.8), suggesting output held steady after five months ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index down 0.3 points to 54.4 in August
Posted: August 31, 2015 at 09:45 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Business Barometer held on to most of July’s gain, falling just a fraction to 54.4 in August from 54.7 in July. While below the highs seen towards the end of last year, it’s still consistent with a bounceback in activity in the third quarter following recent ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence down in August to 91.9
Posted: August 28, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence declined in late August mainly due to the recent volatility in stock prices. The overall decline was quite small, occurring very late in the month, as well as being offset by still quite favorable job and income prospects. To be sure, when data become available in mid September, much more will be known about ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending increased 0.3%
Posted: August 28, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $67.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $61.5 billion, or 0.5 percent, in July, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $37.4 billion, or 0.3 percent. In June, personal income increased $59.4 billion, or 0.4 percent, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity continued to decline moderately in August
Posted: August 27, 2015 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to decline moderately in August, similar to the pace of the previous few months. Producers cited weak oil and gas activity and the stronger dollar as key reasons for the continued decrease in activity. Most price indexes fell from the previous survey, with an actual decline in monthly ...


Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.5% in July
Posted: August 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales were mostly unchanged in July, but rose modestly for the sixth time in seven months, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index,* a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, marginally increased 0.5 percent to 110.9 in July from an upwardly revised 110.4 in June and is now 7.4 percent above July 2014 (103.3). The index has increased year-over-year for 11 ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.4%
Posted: August 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 15 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.4 percent to 99.1. This week’s barometer was dragged down by weak performances in both consumption and production indexes. Chain store sales and MBA’s purchase index plunged by 1.8 and 1.1 percent, respectively. As to the production side, electric output declined ...


2Q2015 GDP preliminary estimate increased 3.7%
Posted: August 27, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation's economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 3.7 percent in the second quarter of 2015, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 6,000 to 271,000
Posted: August 27, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 271,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 277,000. The 4-week moving average was 272,500, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 271,500. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


July New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 2.0%, Ex-Trans up 0.6%
Posted: August 26, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in July increased $4.6 billion or 2.0 percent to $241.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two consecutive months, followed a 4.1 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.0 ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 26, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 21, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 1 ...


New Home Sales in July at annual rate of 507,000
Posted: August 25, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in July 2015 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 507,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 5.4 percent (±14.8%)* above the revised June rate of 481,000 and is 25.8 percent (±22.6%) above the July ...


Consumer Confidence rebounded in August to 101.5
Posted: August 25, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in July, rebounded in August. The Index now stands at 101.5 (1985=100), up from 91.0 in July. The Present Situation Index increased from 104.0 last month to 115.1 in August, while the Expectations Index improved to 92.5 from 82.3 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index dropped 13 points to a reading of 0
Posted: August 25, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity slowed in August, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments and order backlogs decreased, while new orders flattened this month. Manufacturing hiring softened this month; however, average wages continued to increase at a moderate pace. Prices of raw materials ...


Philadelphia Nonmanufacturing Activity remained subdued in August
Posted: August 25, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to this month's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional nonmanufacturing activity improved somewhat but remained subdued in August. The current activity indexes improved from last month but remain below levels from the first half of the year. Firms also reported increases in new orders, sales, and ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 0.1% in June
Posted: August 25, 2015 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for June 2015 show that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

Year-over-Year
The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a slightly higher year-over-year gain with a 4.5% annual increase in June 2015 versus a 4.4% increase in May 2015. The 10-City Composite had marginally ...


Chicago Fed National Activity picked up in July
Posted: August 24, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, edged up to a neutral reading in July from –0.08 in June. July’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was at its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests limited inflationary pressure from economic activity over the ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index declined 0.2% in July
Posted: August 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.2 percent in July to 123.3 (2010 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in June, and a 0.6 percent increase in May.

The U.S. LEI fell slightly in July, after four months of strong gains. Despite a sharp drop in housing permits, the U.S. LEI is still pointing to moderate economic growth through the remainder of the year. Current conditions, measured by the coincident economic index, have ...


Existing-Home Sales increased 2.0% in July
Posted: August 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales steadily increased for the third consecutive month in July, while stubbornly low inventory levels and rising prices are likely to blame for sales to first-time buyers falling to their lowest share since January, according to the National Association ...


Philadelphia August Outlook Suggest Modest Growth
Posted: August 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region increased in August, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indicators for general activity are holding fairly steady and suggest modest growth. While firms reported increased shipments compared with the prior month, the current indicators for new orders ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.1%
Posted: August 20, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 8 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased by 0.1 percent to 99.5. This week’s barometer was mainly driven by weak performances in production indexes. Auto production and electric output dropped by 5.4 and 2.8 percent, respectively; while steel production fell by 0.3 percent. Also, lumber production declined ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 4,000 to 277,000
Posted: August 20, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 277,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 274,000 to 273,000. The 4-week moving average was 271,500, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.1% in July, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.1%
Posted: August 19, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 0.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The indexes for food, energy, and all items less food and energy all rose slightly in July. The food index rose 0.2 percent as all six major grocery store food group indexes increased. The energy index rose 0.1 percent as an increase in the gasoline index more than offset ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.1% in July
Posted: August 19, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased by 0.1 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.2-percent increase in average hourly earnings being partially offset by a 0.1-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 19, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 3.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 14, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 3.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 7 ...


July Housing Starts up 0.2%, Permits down 16.3%
Posted: August 18, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly announced the following new residential construction statistics for July 2015:

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,119,000. This is 16.3 percent (±1.1%) below the revised June rate of 1,337,000, but is 7.5 percent (±1.4%) above the July 2014 estimate of ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2015
Posted: August 17, 2015 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2015. The sum total in June of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $110.3 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $66.9 billion, and ...


Builder Confidence rose one point in August to 61
Posted: August 17, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in August rose one point to a level of 61 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest reading since November 2005.

The fact the builder confidence has been in the low 60s for three straight months shows that single-family housing is making slow but steady progress. However, we continue to hear that builders face difficulties accessing land and labor. ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Declined in August
Posted: August 17, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The August 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity declined for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index tumbled nineteen points to -14.9, its lowest level since 2009. The new orders and shipments indexes also fell sharply, to -15.7 and -13.8 respectively, pointing to a marked ...


Forecasters See Slightly Slower Growth as the Unemployment Outlook Holds Steady
Posted: August 14, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth in the U.S. economy over the next four years looks slightly lower from that of three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel expects real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.7 percent this quarter and 2.8 percent next quarter. On an annual-average ...


Industrial Production increased 0.6%
Capacity Utilization increased to 78.0%

Posted: August 14, 2015 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production increased 0.6 percent in July after moving up 0.1 percent in June. In July, manufacturing output advanced 0.8 percent primarily because of an increase in motor vehicle assemblies. The output of motor vehicles and parts jumped 10.6 percent, and production elsewhere in manufacturing edged up 0.1 percent. The index for ...


Producer Price Index advanced 0.2% in July, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: August 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.2 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.4 percent in June and 0.5 percent in May. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index moved down 0.8 percent for the 12 months ended in July, the sixth straight ...


Business Inventories up 0.8% in June
Posted: August 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for June, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,325.5 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2%) from May 2015, but was down 2.5 percent (±0.4%) from ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.2%
Posted: August 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 1 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by 0.2 percent to 99.6. This week’s barometer was mainly driven by robust performances in some production indexes. For instance, auto production picked up by 5.6 percent following a sharp drop of 12.6 percent in the previous week; while truck production bounced back ...


U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.9% in July
Posted: August 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S. import prices declined 0.9 percent in July, after recording no change the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Both fuel prices and nonfuel prices contributed to the July decrease. The price index for U.S. exports fell 0.2 percent in July following a 0.3-percent drop ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July increase 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: August 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $446.5 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and up 2.4 percent (±0.7%) above July 2014. Total ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 5,000 to 274,000
Posted: August 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 274,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 270,000 to 269,000. The 4-week moving average was 266,250, a decrease of 1,750 from the previous week's revised average. This ...


Job Openings was little changed at 5.2 million in June
Posted: August 12, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 5.2 million on the last business day of June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The number of hires and separations were little changed at 5.2 and 4.9 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate remained at 1.9 percent for the third month in a row and the layoffs ...


Purchase Apps flat, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 12, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 7, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 3 ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.9% in June
Posted: August 11, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that June 2015 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $449.9 billion, up 0.1 percent (+/-0.7)* from the revised May level, but were down 3.8 percent (+/-1.2%) from ...


2Q2015 Productivity Growth Increased 1.3%
Posted: August 11, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 1.3 percent annual rate during the second quarter of 2015, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.8 percent and hours worked increased 1.5 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.3 points to 95.4
Posted: August 11, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index rose 1.3 points to 95.4. After giving up over 4 points in June, the Index clawed back 1.3 points in July, a familiar theme now, which has produced the most grudging gains in the Index’s history – and still not above the 42 year average of 98. Expectations for business conditions and real sales gains accounted ...


Employment Trends Index Increased in July to 127.89
Posted: August 10, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in July for a second consecutive month. The index now stands at 127.89, up from 127.57 in June. The change represents a 4.4 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

““The growth in the Employment Trends Index slowed down in the past 3-6 months, suggesting that we may see somewhat slower job growth in the months ahead,” said Gad Levanon, Managing Director of Macroeconomic and Labor Market Research at The Conference Board. “Still, with ...


July Employment increased by 215,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 5.3%

Posted: August 7, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 215,000 in July, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in retail trade, health care, professional and technical services, and ...


BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.1%
Posted: August 6, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending July 25 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.1 percent to 99.4. This week’s barometer was largely driven by weak performances in production indexes. Auto and truck production, for instance, dropped by 12.6 and 1.5 percent, respectively; while coal and steel production fell by 1.3 and 0.8 percent, ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 3,000 to 270,000
Posted: August 6, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 1, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 270,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 267,000. The 4-week moving average was 268,250, a decrease of 6,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 274,750. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Challenger Layoffs rocketed to 105,696 in July
Posted: August 6, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

Monthly job cuts rocketed to the highest level in nearly four years, as U.S. employers announced plans to shed 105,696 workers from their payrolls in July, according to the report Thursday from global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

The July total is 136 percent greater than the 44,842 job cuts recorded in June. It is 125 percent higher than the same month a year ago, when planned workforce reductions totaled 46,887. The last time more than 100,000 job cuts were announced in a single month was ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand rose 83,700 to 5,384,400 in July
Posted: August 5, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies rose 83,700 to 5,384,400 in July, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series,released today. The June Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.57 unemployed for each advertised vacancy with a total of 3.0 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The number ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index grew faster at 60.3% in July
Posted: August 5, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in July for the 66th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 60.3 percent in July, 4.3 percentage points higher than the June reading of 56 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a faster rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 64.9 percent, which is ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in June 2015
Posted: August 5, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $43.8 billion in June from $40.9 billion in May (revised), as exports decreased and imports increased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.8 billion in June, up $2.9 billion from $40.9 billion in May, revised. June exports were $188.6 billion, $0.1 ...



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