Research >> Economics

Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201607



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dropped in July to 90.0
Posted: July 29, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumers were a bit less optimistic in July than one month or one year ago, although consumer confidence remains at a reasonable high level. The recent decline was due to rising concerns about prospects for the economy, that were mainly expressed by upper income households. Uncertainties surrounding global economic prospects and the ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell 1 point to 55.8 in July
Posted: July 29, 2016 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell 1 point to 55.8 in July from the 1½-year high of 56.8 in June, led by a fall in New Orders. Smaller declines were seen in Production and Order Backlogs, which offset a strong increase in the Employment component.

The Barometer’s three-month average, though, which provides a better picture of the underlying trend in economic activity, rose to 54.0 from 52.2 in Q2, the highest since February 2015. ...


2Q2016 GDP advance estimate increased 1.2%
Posted: July 29, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 1.2 percent in the second quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 0.8 percent (revised).

The Bureau emphasized that the second-quarter advance estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency . The "second" estimate for the second quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.6% in 2Q2016
Posted: July 29, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in June 2016, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.6 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined modestly in July
Posted: July 28, 2016 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined modestly after last month’s rebound. Expectations for future activity continued to increase, and the price indexes were mixed.

The month-over-month composite index was -6 in July, down from 2 in June and -5 in May. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. Non-durable goods producing plants reported a ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 14,000 to 266,000
Posted: July 28, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 266,000, an increase of 14,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 253,000 to 252,000. The 4-week moving average was 256,500, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


FOMC target funds rate reaffirmed at 1/4 to 1/2%
Posted: July 27, 2016 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that the labor market strengthened and that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate rate. Job gains were strong in June following weak growth in May. On balance, payrolls and other labor market indicators point to some increase in labor utilization ...


Pending Home Sales Index inched 0.2% in June
Posted: July 27, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales were mostly unmoved in June, but did creep slightly higher as supply and affordability constraints prevented a bigger boost in activity from mortgage rates that lingered near all-time lows through most of the month, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Increases in the Northeast and Midwest were offset by ...


June New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 4.0%, Ex-Trans down 0.5%
Posted: July 27, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in June decreased $9.3 billion or 4.0 percent to $219.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down two consecutive months, followed a 2.8 percent May decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 27, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 11.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 22, 2016.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 11.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 11 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 15 ...


New Home Sales in June at annual rate of 592,000
Posted: July 26, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in June 2016 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 592,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 3.5 percent (±23.9%)* above the revised May rate of 572,000 and is 25.4 percent (±27.9%)* above the June ...


Consumer Confidence was relatively unchanged in July to 97.3
Posted: July 26, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in June, was relatively unchanged in July. The Index now stands at 97.3 (1985=100), compared to 97.4 in June. The Present Situation Index increased from 116.6 to 118.3, while the Expectations Index edged down to 83.3 from 84.6 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index climbed 20 points to a reading of 10
Posted: July 26, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity improved in July, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.* New orders and shipments increased this month, while backlogs flattened. Employment rose modestly, while firms continue to report wage increases. Prices of raw materials and finished goods rose at a slower pace ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices gained 1.0% in May
Posted: July 26, 2016 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for May 2016 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 5.0% annual gain in May, the same as the prior month. The 10-City Composite posted a 4.4% annual increase, down from 4.7% the previous ...


Philadelphia NonManufacturing Activity Continues Moderate Growth
Posted: July 26, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity continued to expand in July, according to firms responding to this month’s Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey’s broadest index of general activity for firms edged slightly higher this month. Firms reported improved growth in new orders and sales/revenues. Employment indexes suggest continued expansion in ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Held Steady in July
Posted: July 25, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity held steady in July, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, came in near zero after two months of negative readings, suggesting output stopped falling ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.3% in June
Posted: July 21, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in June to 123.7 (2010 = 100), following a 0.2 percent decline in May, and a 0.5 percent increase in April.

“The U.S. LEI picked up in June, reversing its May decline,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. “Improvements in initial claims for unemployment insurance, building permits, and financial indicators were the ...


Existing-Home Sales climbed 1.1% in June
Posted: July 21, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Boosted by a greater share of sales to first-time buyers not seen in nearly four years, existing-home sales maintained their upward trajectory in June and increased for the fourth consecutive month, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Only the Northeast saw a decline in closings in June, and sales to investors fell to their ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 254,000
Posted: July 21, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 253,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 254,000. The 4-week moving average was 257,750, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 259,000. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Reported Indicators fell slightly in July
Posted: July 21, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region fell slightly in July, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Although the indicator for current general activity turned negative, indicators for new orders and shipments were positive. Employment was flat at the reporting firms this month. Firms reported ...


Chicago Fed National Activity picked up in June
Posted: July 21, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased to –0.12 in June from –0.39 in May. June’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was slightly below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over the ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 20, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 15, 2016. The prior week's results included an adjustment for the July ...


June Housing Starts up 4.8%, Permits up 1.5%
Posted: July 19, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,153,000. This is 1.5 percent (±1.3%) above the revised May rate of 1,136,000, but is 13.6 percent (±0.6%) below the June 2015 estimate of 1,334,000. Single-family authorizations in June were at a rate of ...


Treasury International Capital Data for May 2016
Posted: July 18, 2016 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for May 2016. The sum total in May of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $11.0 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $14.9 billion, and ...


Builder Confidence fell one point to 59 in July
Posted: July 18, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in July fell one point to 59 from a June reading of 60 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today.

“For the past six months, builder confidence has remained in a relatively narrow positive range that is consistent with the ongoing gradual housing recovery that is underway,” said NAHB Chairman Ed Brady, a home builder and developer from Bloomington, Ill. “However, we are ...


Business Inventories up 0.2% in May
Posted: July 15, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for May, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,291.8 billion, up 0.2 percent (±0.2%)* from April 2016, but was down 1.4 percent (±0.4%) from ...


Industrial Production increased 0.6%
Capacity Utilization increased to 75.4%

Posted: July 15, 2016 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production increased 0.6 percent in June after declining 0.3 percent in May. For the second quarter as a whole, industrial production fell at an annual rate of 1.0 percent, its third consecutive quarterly decline. Manufacturing output moved up 0.4 percent in June, a gain largely due to an increase in motor vehicle assemblies. The ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in June, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: July 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 1.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

For the second consecutive month, increases in the indexes for energy and all items less food and energy more than offset a decline in the food index to result in the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The food index fell 0.1 percent, with the food at home index ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.2% in June
Posted: July 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.2 percent from May to June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.1-percent increase in average hourly earnings being offset by a 0.2-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


U.S. Retail Sales for June Increase 0.6%, Ex-Auto up 0.7%
Posted: July 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $457.0 billion, an increase of 0.6 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 2.7 percent (±0.7%) above June 2015. Total sales ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Flattened in July
Posted: July 15, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The July 2016 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity flattened out for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index fell five points to 0.6. The new orders index and the shipments index both fell to levels not far from zero—a sign that orders and shipments were little changed. Labor ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.5% in June, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: July 14, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.4 percent in May and 0.2 percent in April. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index advanced 0.3 percent for the 12 months ended in June, the largest 12-month ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Unchanged at 254,000
Posted: July 14, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 254,000, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised level of 254,000. The 4-week moving average was 259,000, a decrease of 5,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 264,750. There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims. ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity shows continued modest economic growth
Posted: July 13, 2016 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that economic activity continued to expand at a modest pace across most regions from mid-May through the end of June. Business contacts in Cleveland reported a steady level of activity, while Minneapolis reported that activity increased at a moderate pace. Labor market conditions ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.2% in June
Posted: July 13, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices rose 0.2 percent in June, after rising 1.4 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The June advance was driven by higher fuel prices which more than offset a decline in nonfuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports also increased in June, rising 0.8 percent following advances of 1.2 percent in May and ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 13, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 7.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 8, 2016. This week's results included an adjustment for the Fourth of ...


Job Openings decreased to 5.5 million in May
Posted: July 12, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings decreased to 5.5 million on the last business day of May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and separations were both little changed at 5.0 million. Within separations, the quits rate was 2.0 percent and the layoffs and discharges rate was 1.2 percent. This release includes estimates of the ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in May
Posted: July 12, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that May 2016 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $435.5 billion, up 0.5 percent (+/-0.5%) from the revised April level, but were down 2.5 percent (+/-1.1%) ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 0.7 points in June to 94.5
Posted: July 12, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism increased 0.7 points to 94.5, still well below the 40 year average of 98, but the third monthly gain in a row, although the gains are very small. Four of the 10 Index components posted a gain, three declined and three were unchanged. The outlook for business conditions six months out continued to ...


Employment Trends Index increased in June to 128.13
Posted: July 11, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in June, after declining in May. The index now stands at 128.13, up from 126.42 (a downward revision) in May. The change represents a 1.8 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

“The Employment Trends Index has been moving sideways in the first half of 2016, suggesting only moderate job growth in the coming months,” said Gad Levanon, Chief Economist, North America, at The Conference Board. “In such an uncertain political and economic environment, ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 6.25%
Posted: July 8, 2016 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In May, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6-1/4 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 3 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/4 percent.

...


June Employment increased by 287,000
Unemployment Rate rose to 4.9%

Posted: July 8, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 287,000 in June, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care and social assistance, and financial activities. Employment also increased in information, mostly reflecting the return ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 16,000 to 254,000
Posted: July 7, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 254,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 268,000 to 270,000. The 4-week moving average was 264,750, a decrease of 2,500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 172,000 jobs in June
Posted: July 7, 2016 at 08:15 AM (Thursday)

Private sector employment increased by 172,000 jobs from May to June according to the June ADP National Employment Report®.

Payrolls for businesses with 49 or fewer employees increased by 95,000 jobs in June, up from 84,000 in May. Employment at companies with 50-499 employees increased by 52,000 jobs, down from last month’s 60,000. Employment at large companies – those with 500 or more ...


Challenger Layoffs rose to 38,536 in June
Posted: July 7, 2016 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

Employers announced plans to cut payrolls by 38,536 jobs in June, an increase from May, but still well below the 12-month average and indicative of a positive employment environment, according to the report released Thursday by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
The June job-cut total is 28 percent higher than ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index higher growth at 56.5% in June
Posted: July 6, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in June for the 77th consecutive month, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The NMI® registered 56.5 percent in June, 3.6 percentage points higher than the May reading of 52.9 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a faster rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 59.5 percent, 4.4 ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand decreased 226,700 to 4,657,500 in June
Posted: July 6, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies decreased 226,700 to 4,657,500 in June, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series,released today. The May Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.52 unemployed for each advertised vacancy with a total of 2.6 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The number ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in May 2016
Posted: July 6, 2016 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $41.1 billion in May from $37.4 billion in April (revised), as imports increased and exports decreased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $41.1 billion in May, up $3.8 billion from $37.4 billion in April, revised. May exports were $182.4 billion, $0.3 ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 6, 2016 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 14.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 1, 2016.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 14 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 21 ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 1.0% in May
Posted: July 5, 2016 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured goods in May, down following two consecutive monthly increases, decreased $4.6 billion or 1.0 percent to $455.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.8 percent April increase.

Shipments, up three consecutive months, increased $0.2 billion or virtually unchanged to $456.5 billion. This followed a 0.4 percent April increase. Unfilled orders, up four of the last five months, increased $1.7 billion or 0.2 percent to $1,138.9 billion. This followed a ...



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