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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202205


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity expanded at a fairly robust pace in May 2022
Posted: May 31, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

Texas factory activity expanded at a fairly robust pace in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose from 10.8 to 18.8, signaling an acceleration in growth ...


Consumer Confidence decreased slightly in May 2022 to 106.4
Posted: May 31, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased slightly in May, following a small increase in April. The Index now stands at 106.4 (1985=100), down from 108.6 in April (after an upward revision). The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—declined to 149.6 from 152.9 ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index recovered to 60.3 in May 2022
Posted: May 31, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, recovered to 60.3 in May, following last month’s dip to 56.4. Inventories saw a fresh near 50-year high. All main indicators increased except for supplier deliveries, which hit the lowest since November 2020. Production jumped 10 points in May, 0.4 points above the 12-month average. Firms ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 2.6% in March 2022
Posted: May 31, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for March 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 20.6% annual gain in March, up from 20.0% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 19.5%, up from 18.7% in ...


Paychex-IHS Markit Small Business Jobs Index slightly lower 101.14 in May 2022
Posted: May 31, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Workers at U.S. small businesses saw the 12th consecutive month of increasing hourly earnings gains, while the pace of job growth slowed in May. These insights are according to the latest Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch. The May report shows average hourly earnings stand at $30.31, up by 5.19 percent from a year ago. The ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence fell in May 2022 to 58.4
Posted: May 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

After voicing more positive views in April, consumer sentiment fell 10.4% in May, reverting to levels comparable to two months ago, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Most of this decline was concentrated in expectations for the economy, with the year-ahead outlook dropping 25.8% and the five-year outlook falling 14.3%, said U-M economist Joanne Hsu, director of the surveys. ...


Personal Income Increased 0.4%, Spending Increased 0.9% in April 2022
Posted: May 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $89.3 billion (0.4 percent) in April, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $48.3 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $152.3 billion (0.9 percent). p>Real DPI increased less than ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity eased slightly in April 2022
Posted: May 26, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity slowed slightly but remained strong, and expectations for future activity also eased slightly from recent historical highs (Chart 1, Tables 1 & 2). Raw materials price indexes modestly declined from last month and remained similar to year-ago levels. Finished goods price indexes eased modestly from ...


Pending Home Sales Index fell 3.9% in April 2022
Posted: May 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales slipped in April, as contract activity decreased for the sixth consecutive month, the National Association of Realtors® reported. Only the Midwest region saw signings increase month-over-month, while the other three major regions reported declines. Each of the four regions registered a drop in year-over-year ...


1Q2022 GDP preliminary estimate decreased 1.5%
Posted: May 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the first quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 6.9 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 8,000 to 210,000
Posted: May 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 210,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 218,000. The 4-week moving average was 206,750, an increase of 7,250 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


April 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 0.4%, Ex-Trans up 0.3%
Posted: May 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in April increased $1.2 billion or 0.4 percent to $265.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up six of the last seven months, followed a 0.6 percent March increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 25, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 20, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


New Home Sales in April 2022 at annual rate of 591,000
Posted: May 24, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in April 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 591,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 16.6 percent (±10.4 percent) below the revised March rate of 709,000 and is 26.9 percent ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity declined to -9 in May 2022
Posted: May 24, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Many Fifth District manufacturing firms reported declines in activity in May, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell from 14 in April to −9 in May, as two of the three components of the index turned negative: the indexes for shipments and volume of new orders ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest continued expansion in May 2022
Posted: May 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing business activity expanded this month, according to the firms responding to the May Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues all declined for the second consecutive month but remained positive. The employment indexes continue to suggest ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests economic growth increased in April 2022
Posted: May 23, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.47 in April from +0.36 in March. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in April, and three categories improved from March. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, ticked down to +0.48 in April from +0.49 ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.3% in April 2022
Posted: May 19, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for the U.S. decreased by 0.3 percent in March to 119.2 (2016 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in March. The LEI is now up 0.9 percent over the six-month period from October 2021 to April 2022.

“The US LEI declined in April largely due to weak consumer expectations and a drop in residential building permits,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “Overall, the US LEI was essentially flat in recent months which is in ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 2.4% in April 2022
Posted: May 19, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales recorded a third straight month of declines, slipping slightly in April, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Month-over-month sales were split amongst the four major U.S. regions, with two areas posting gains and the other two experiencing waning in April. Year-over-year sales struggled, as each of the ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity declined in May 2022
Posted: May 19, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to expand overall this month, according to the firms responding to the May Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current general activity index declined, while the indicators for new orders and shipments rose. The employment index decreased, and the price indexes remained elevated ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 21,000 to 218,000
Posted: May 19, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, an increase of 21,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 6,000 from 203,000 to 197,000. The 4-week moving average was 199,500, an increase of 8,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


April 2022 Housing Starts Decreased 0.2%, Permits down 3.2%
Posted: May 18, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,819,000. This is 3.2 percent below the revised March rate of 1,879,000, but is 3.1 percent above the April 2021 rate of 1,765,000. Single family authorizations in April were at a rate of 1,110,000; this is ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 18, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 11.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 13, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 11.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 11 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 10 ...


Business Inventories up 2.0% in March 2022
Posted: May 17, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for March, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,832.1 billion, up 1.8 percent (±0.2 percent) from February 2022 and was up 14.1 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


NAHB Builder Confidence fell 8 points to 69 in May 2022
Posted: May 17, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In a sign that the housing market is now slowing, builder confidence took a steep drop in May as growing affordability challenges in the form of rapidly rising interest rates, double-digit price increases for material costs and ongoing home price appreciation are taking a toll on ...


April 2022 Industrial Production increased 1.1%, Capacity Utilization increased to 79.0%
Posted: May 17, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

In April, total industrial production increased 1.1 percent—the fourth consecutive month of gains of 0.8 percent or greater—and manufacturing output rose 0.8 percent. The index for utilities moved up 2.4 percent, and the index for mining advanced 1.6 percent. At 105.6 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in April was ...


U.S. Retail Sales for April 2022 increase 0.9%, Ex-Auto up 0.6%
Posted: May 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $677.7 billion, an increase of 0.9 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 8.2 percent (±0.7 percent) above April 2021. Total sales for the February ...


Treasury International Capital Data for March 2022
Posted: May 16, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for March 2022. The sum total in March of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $149.2 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $172.4 billion, and net ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined in May 2022
Posted: May 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

After growing strongly last month, business activity declined in New York State, according to firms responding to the May 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index dropped thirty-six points to -11.6. New orders declined, and shipments fell at the fastest pace since early in the pandemic. Delivery ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters See Slower Growth
Posted: May 13, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for the U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 34 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The forecasters predict real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the current quarter, down 1.9 percentage points from the prediction of 4.2 percent in the last survey. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary May Results dropped to 59.1
Posted: May 13, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined by 9.4% from April, reversing gains realized that month. These declines were broad based--for current economic conditions as well as consumer expectations, and visible across income, age, education, geography, and political affiliation--continuing the general downward trend in sentiment over the past year. ...


U.S. Import Price Index unchanged% in April 2022
Posted: May 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices were unchanged in April, after increasing 2.9 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Higher nonfuel prices in April offset lower fuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 0.6 percent in April following a 4.1-percent increase the previous ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.5% in April 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 0.6%
Posted: May 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.6 percent in March and 1.1 percent in February. On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 11.0 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 1,000 to 203,000
Posted: May 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 203,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 200,000 to 202,000. The 4-week moving average was 192,750, an increase of 4,250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in April 2022 to 179.7
Posted: May 11, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in April and now stands at 179.7 (July 2018=100), up from 175.4 in March. The 2.5 percent increase between March and April follows a 1.8 percent increase between February and March. Overall, the Index is up 27.7 percent from a ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% in April 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.6%
Posted: May 11, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in April on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.2 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.3 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.1% in April 2022
Posted: May 11, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.1 percent from March to April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.3 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.3 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 11, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 2.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 6, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index unchanged at 93.2 in April 2022
Posted: May 10, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index was unchanged in April, remaining at 93.2 and the fourth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased one point to a net negative 50%, the lowest level recorded in the ...


Wholesale Inventories up 2.3% in March 2022
Posted: May 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

March 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $686.2 billion, up 1.7 percent (±0.5 percent) from the revised February level and were up 22.1 percent (±1.1 percent) from the revised March 2021 level. ...


Employment Trends Index decreased slightly in April 2022 to 120.18
Posted: May 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased slightly in April to 120.18, down from 120.78 in March 2022 (an upward revision). “The Employment Trends Index saw little change in April, signaling continued steady job growth in the months ahead. Indeed, a relatively flat ETI indicates that the labor market is still expanding, ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 14.00% in March 2022
Posted: May 6, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 9.7 percent during the first quarter. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 21.4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 6.1 percent. In March, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of ...


April 2022 Employment rose by 428,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 3.6%

Posted: May 6, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 428,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, in manufacturing, and in transportation ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 19,000 to 200,000
Posted: May 5, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 200,000, an increase of 19,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 180,000 to 181,000. The 4-week moving average was 188,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


1Q2022 Productivity Growth decreased 7.5%
Posted: May 5, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 7.5 percent in the first quarter of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output decreased 2.4 percent and hours worked increased 5.5 percent. This is the largest decline in quarterly productivity since the third quarter of 1947, when the measure decreased 11.7 ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 24,286 Job Cuts in April 2022
Posted: May 5, 2022 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 24,286 cuts in April, a 14% increase from the 21,387 announced in March and up 6% from the 22,913 cuts announced in April 2021. It is the first time this year job cuts were higher than the corresponding month a year earlier, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 0.75% - 1.00%, reducing holdings in June
Posted: May 4, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Although overall economic activity edged down in the first quarter, household spending and business fixed investment remained strong. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined substantially. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index slipped to 57.1% in April 2022
Posted: May 4, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in April for the 23rd month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 57.1 percent — say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “In April, the Services PMI® registered 57.1 percent, 1.2 percentage points lower than March’s reading of 58.3 ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in March 2022
Posted: May 4, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $109.8 billion in March from $89.8 billion in February (revised), as imports increased more than exports. The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $109.8 billion in March from $89.8 billion in February (revised), as imports increased ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 455,000 jobs in April 2022
Posted: May 4, 2022 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 247,000 jobs from March to April according to the April ADP® National Employment Report. The March total of jobs added was revised from 455,000 to 479,000.

“In April, the labor market recovery showed signs of slowing as the economy approaches full employment,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “While hiring demand remains strong, labor supply shortages caused job gains to soften for both goods producers and services ...



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