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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 200912



New York Purchasing Managers business activity expands again
Posted: December 31, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The year began with a 12-month losing streak for New York City business activity, but it ends with a five-month winning streak, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index came in at 59.7 in December, expanding for a fifth consecutive month, albeit at a slower ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 1.3%
Posted: December 31, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 19, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer jumped by +1.3 percent following an unchanged reading in the prior week. Motor vehicle and lumber production surged during the week and inflation-adjusted chain store sales remained strong. Overall business activity accelerated greatly in the latest week with ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 22,000 to 432,000
Posted: December 31, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Dec. 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 432,000, a decrease of 22,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 454,000. The 4-week moving average was 460,250, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity moderated
Posted: December 30, 2009 at 12:57 PM (Wednesday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity moderated somewhat in December, and producers were slightly less optimistic about the months ahead, with few planning major capital expenditures. Price indexes remained mostly stable.

The net percentage of firms reporting month-over-month increases in production in December was 10, down from 17 in November, but up from 6 in October. Production growth slowed at both durable and non-durable goods plants. Most other month-over-month indicators also ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Expansion Continues
Posted: December 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER signaled economic expansion for the third consecutive month:

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRODUCTION, NEW ORDERS, and ORDER BACKLOGS expanded;
EMPLOYMENT improved;
PRICES PAID strengthened;
BUYING POLICY: Lead-times increased. ...


Consumer Confidence Increases Again in December
Posted: December 29, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in November, rose again in December. The Index now stands at 52.9 (1985=100), up from 50.6 in November. The Expectations Index increased to 75.6 from 70.3 last month. The Present Situation Index, however, declined to 18.8 from 21.2 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Still Improving
Posted: December 29, 2009 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through October 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the annual rate of decline of the 10-City and 20-City Composites improved compared to last month’s reading. This marks approximately nine months of improved readings in these ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 0.4% in Dec 26 Wk
Posted: December 29, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 0.4% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis.

The increase came as shoppers completed their last-minute holiday season shopping, which had been delayed due to the prior week's winter storms in the Southeast and Northeast. ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 1.2%
Posted: December 28, 2009 at 12:00 PM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.2% in November, to a seasonally adjusted level of 84.2 (2002 = 100). Revised data show the index rose 0.8% in October to 83.2. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) was up by 1.1% in November. Regional output in November declined 10.0% ...


Texas Manufacturing Holds Steady and Outlook Improves Further
Posted: December 28, 2009 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity was flat in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key indicator of state manufacturing conditions, came in close to zero in December, suggesting output held steady after growing in November for the first time since ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.6%
Posted: December 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 12, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was unchanged following a big +0.6 percent increase in the prior week. In its 3rd and final revision, the BEA reported that real GDP advanced +2.2 percent in Q3 2009 as the U.S. economy entered recovery. With only two weeks of reporting left in 2009, the business ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 28,000 to 452,000
Posted: December 24, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Dec. 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 452,000, a decrease of 28,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 480,000. The 4-week moving average was 465,250, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average of ...


New orders for durable goods increased 0.2%, ex-trans up 2.0%
Posted: December 24, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in November increased $0.3 billion or 0.2 percent to $166.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the second monthly increase in the last three months. This followed a 0.6 percent October decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 2.0 percent. Excluding defense, new ...


New Home Sales in November at annual rate of 355,000
Posted: December 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new one-family houses in November 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 355,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.3 percent (±11.0%) below the revised October rate of 400,000 and is 9.0 percent (±15.3%)* below the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Improved
Posted: December 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Confidence improved in December mainly due to widespread price discounting by merchants attempting to spark holiday sales as well as somewhat more positive expectations for economic growth and employment. More consumers cited the availability of deep price discounts on a wide range of household goods than ever before in the sixtyyear history ...


Personal Income increased 0.4%, Spending up 0.5%
Posted: December 23, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Personal income increased $49.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $54.1 billion, or 0.5 percent, in November, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $47.9 billion, or 0.5 percent. In October, personal income increased $33.6 billion, or 0.3 percent, ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 23, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 18, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume decreased 10.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.9 percent ...


Existing-Home Sales Rose Again
Posted: December 22, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales rose again in November as first-time buyers rushed to close sales before the original November 30 deadline for the recently extended and expanded tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 7.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 6.54 million units in November from 6.09 million in October, and are 44.1 percent higher than the 4.54 million-unit pace in November ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey activity drops to -4
Posted: December 22, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In December, the seasonally adjusted composite index of manufacturing activity — our broadest measure of manufacturing — moved down to −4 from November's reading of 1. Among the index's components, shipments dropped 12 points to −6, and new orders lost seven points to finish at −4. However, the jobs index gained seven points to end ...


November Mass Layoffs total 1,797 actions, 165,346 workers
Posted: December 22, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,797 mass layoff actions in November that resulted in the separation of 165,346 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. The number of mass ...


3Q2009 GDP final estimate 2.2%
Posted: December 22, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the third quarter of 2009, (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 0.6% in Dec 19 Wk
Posted: December 22, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs on Tuesday released the following seasonally adjusted weekly data on U.S. chain store retail sales.

WEEK ENDING INDEX 1977=100 YEAR/YEAR CHANGE WEEKLY CHANGE (percent) (percent)
Dec 19 488.1 0.4 0.6
Dec 12 485.1 2.4 0.4
Dec 5 483.4 2.6 -1.3
Nov 28 489.6 3.1 -0.1 ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved in November
Posted: December 21, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to –0.32 in November, up sharply from –1.02 in October. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index improved, although only the production and income category made a ...


Philadelphia Fed Dec Outlook Suggest Growth
Posted: December 17, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Activity in the region's manufacturing sector is expanding, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, and shipments all remained positive this month. Indicative of improvement, the overall level of employment and average work hours among reporting firms increased this ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.3%
Posted: December 17, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.9 percent in November, following a 0.3 percent gain in October, and a 1.2 percent rise in September.

The Conference Board LEI has been on an uptrend for more than half a year and it is now slightly higher than its latest peak in July 2007. Improving financial conditions, labor market indicators, and housing permits have helped the LEI continue its gains in November. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.6%
Posted: December 17, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 5, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer jumped +0.6 percent building upon a +0.1 percent increase in the prior week. In the final quarter of 2009 the barometer is on track to post its first quarter-on-quarter growth since Q1 2008 and its strongest quarter of growth since mid-2005. In the latest week, motor ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 7,000 to 480,000
Posted: December 17, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Dec. 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 480,000, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 473,000. The 4-week moving average was 467,500, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week's revised average of ...


FOMC target funds rate remains at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 02:15 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up and that the deterioration in the labor market is abating. The housing sector has shown some signs of improvement over recent months. Household spending appears to be expanding at a moderate rate, though it ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.4% in November, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months the index increased 1.8 percent before seasonal adjustment, the first positive 12-month change since February 2009.

The seasonally adjusted increase ...


Nov Housing starts up 8.9%, Permits up 6.0%
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 584,000. This is 6.0 percent (±1.6%) above the revised October rate of 551,000, but is 7.3 percent (±1.8%) below the November 2008 estimate of 630,000. Single-family authorizations in November were at a rate ...


3Q09 Current Account Deficit increased
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—increased to $108.0 billion (preliminary) in the third quarter of 2009 from $98.0 billion (revised) in the second quarter. The increase was more than accounted for by an increase in the deficit on goods. A ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.5% in November
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings fell 0.5 percent from October to November, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.5 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) more than offset a 0.1 percent increase in average hourly earnings for production and ...


Mortgage Applications Increase Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 16, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 11, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.3 percent ...


Builder Confidence Edges Down in December
Posted: December 15, 2009 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes receded one point to 16 in December as continued weakness in the economy and job markets weighed on consumers’ potential home buying plans, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released ...


Industrial production increased 0.8%
Capacity Utilization up to 71.3%

Posted: December 15, 2009 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production increased 0.8 percent in November after having been unchanged in October. Manufacturing production advanced 1.1 percent, with broad-based gains among both durables and nondurables. The output of mines climbed 2.1 percent, but the index for utilities fell 1.8 percent, primarily as a result of lower output of ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey conditions leveled off
Posted: December 15, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers leveled off in December, following four months of improvement. The general business conditions index fell 21 points, to 2.6. The indexes for new orders and shipments posted somewhat more moderate declines but also moved close to zero. Input prices picked ...


Producer Price Index up 1.8% in November, ex Fd & Engy up 0.5%
Posted: December 15, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 1.8 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase followed a 0.3-percent advance in October and a 0.6-percent decrease in September. In November, at the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 0.4% in Dec 12 Wk
Posted: December 15, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 0.4% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, the reading rose 2.4%.

The jump came as consumers started to make their final shopping push for the 2009 holiday season, and Hanukkah came earlier this year than last. "But with consumers still behind last year's holiday-gift buying completion rate, the industry is poised to have a bigger ...


Business Inventories up 0.2% in October
Posted: December 11, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for October, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,004.0 billion, up 1.1 percent (±0.3%) from September 2009, but down 8.2 percent (±0.5%) from October ...


U.S. Retail Sales for November up 1.3%, Ex-Auto up 1.2%
Posted: December 11, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $352.1 billion, an increase of 1.3 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 1.9 percent (±0.5%) above November 2008. ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 1.7% in November
Posted: December 11, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Import Price Index advanced 1.7 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, led by a 7.3 percent rise in fuel prices. The increase followed a 0.8 percent advance in October. U.S. export prices rose 0.8 percent in November after a 0.2 percent increase the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.1%
Posted: December 10, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending November 28, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased +0.1 percent after falling -0.4 percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales were very disappointing, especially given the fact that part of the Black Friday holiday shopping weekend was captured in this report. But customer surveys so far ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreases in October 2009
Posted: December 10, 2009 at 09:01 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit decreased to $32.9 billion in October from $35.7 billion (revised) in September, as exports increased more than imports.

Goods and Services
Exports increased to $136.8 billion in October from $133.4 billion in September. Goods were $93.5 billion in October, up from $90.3 billion in September, and services were $43.3 billion in October, up from $43.1 billion in September. ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 17,000 to 474,000
Posted: December 10, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Dec. 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 474,000, an increase of 17,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 457,000. The 4-week moving average was 473,750, a decrease of 7,750 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.3% in October
Posted: December 9, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that October 2009 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $326.2 billion, up 1.2 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised September level, but were down 9.6 percent ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: December 9, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 4, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 54.0 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales dropped 1.3% in Dec 5 Wk
Posted: December 8, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index fell 1.3% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, the reading rose 2.6%.

The weekly decline came following the annual post-Thanksgiving shopping surge. Amid that lull, ICSC chief economist Michael P. Niemira said shoppers remain "well behind on their holiday-gift buying completion pace." ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 1.75%
Posted: December 7, 2009 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/4 percent in the third quarter of 2009. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 7-1/4 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 1 percent. In October, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.6%
Posted: December 4, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

New orders for manufactured goods in October, up six of the last seven months, increased $2.1 billion or 0.6 percent to $360.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.6 percent September increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased ...


November Employment declined by 11,000
Unemployment rate dropped to 10.0%

Posted: December 4, 2009 at 08:24 AM (Friday)

The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while ...



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