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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201108



New orders for manufactured goods Increased 2.4%
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured goods in July, up two of the last three months, increased $10.5 billion or 2.4 percent to $453.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.4 percent June decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Slipped
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER slipped to a 21-month low in August. The Report was characterized by sizable declines in PRODUCTION and ORDER BACKLOGS. Still, the Business Barometer posted its 23rd month of expansion.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRODUCTION posted the second large decline of the year;
ORDER BACKLOGS fell below neutral for the second time this year;
PRICES PAID declined modestly for the 5th time in the last 8 months. ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity contracted
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New York City business activity contracted for the first time since June 2009, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISMNY). The Current Business Conditions index fell below the breakeven expansion/contraction line to 47.8 in August from 57.2 ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 91,000
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private-sector employment increased by 91,000 from July to August on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the latest ADP National Employment Report® released today. The ADP National Employment Report, created by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP®), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is derived from actual payroll data ...


Challenger Layoffs Decrease 23.0% in August
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 07:30 AM (Wednesday)

United States-based employers announced plans to trim 51,114 workers from the payrolls in August, a 23 percent decline from July, when the number of job cuts hit a 16-month high of 66,414, according to the report released Wednesday by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 31, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 9.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 26, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 9.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 12.2 ...


Consumer Confidence Plummeted in August
Posted: August 30, 2011 at 02:24 PM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had improved slightly in July, plummeted in August. The Index now stands at 44.5 (1985=100), down from 59.2 in July. The Present Situation Index decreased to 33.3 from 35.7. The Expectations Index decreased to 51.9 from 74.9 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Were Up In May
Posted: August 30, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through June 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index increased by 3.6% in the second quarter of 2011, after having fallen 4.1% in the first quarter of 2011. With the second quarter’s data, the National Index ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.1% in Aug 27 Wk
Posted: August 30, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% compared to the prior week, the first gain in five weeks, while growing 3.0% over the prior-year period during the week ending Aug 27th. According to the ICSC-GS channel-checking survey, consumers were active shoppers in the East at grocery ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Largely Unchanged
Posted: August 29, 2011 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity was largely unchanged in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, remained positive but fell from 10.8 to 1.1, suggesting growth stalled ...


Pending Home Sales slipped 1.3%
Posted: August 29, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Pending home sales declined in July but remain well above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All regions show monthly declines except for the West, which continues to show the highest level of sales contract activity.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, slipped 1.3 percent to 89.7 in July from 90.9 in June but is 14.4 percent above the 78.4 index in July 2010. The data reflects contracts but not closings. ...


Personal Income increased 0.3%, Spending up 0.8%
Posted: August 29, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $42.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $32.5 billion, or 0.3 percent, in July, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $88.4 billion, or 0.8 percent. In June, personal income increased $27.7 billion, or 0.2 percent, ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 0.5%
Posted: August 29, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 0.5% in July, to a seasonally adjusted level of 84.8 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index increased 0.3% in June. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) increased 0.6% in July. Regional output in July rose 6.2% from a year earlier, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Plunged to 55.7
Posted: August 26, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence plunged in August as consumers became increasingly convinced that a renewed recession was likely to occur. The majority of households reported worsened finances, expected no income gains, and were more likely to anticipate a rising unemployment rate during the year ahead. Consumers have shifted from being optimistic about ...


2Q2011 GDP preliminary estimate up 1.0%
Posted: August 26, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.0 percent in the second quarter of 2011, (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Expanded Modestly
Posted: August 25, 2011 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to expand modestly in August. Producers were slightly less optimistic about future months, but were still positive overall. Price indexes eased from the previous month, but firms on net still planned to raise selling prices heading forward. The month-over-month composite index was 3 in ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.3%
Posted: August 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 13, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was down -0.3 percent after flat readings for two consecutive weeks. Households in twelve states could take advantage of the 2011 sales tax holiday during the week ending August 13, 2011, yet inflation-adjusted chain store sales decreased by -1.5 percent. A nosedive in ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 5,000 to 417,000
Posted: August 25, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 417,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 412,000. The 4-week moving average was 407,500, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 24, 2011 at 11:36 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 19, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2.9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 1.7 ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 4.0%, Ex-Trans up 0.7%
Posted: August 24, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in July increased $7.7 billion or 4.0 percent to $201.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 1.3 percent June decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 4.8 ...


New Home Sales in July at annual rate of 298,000
Posted: August 23, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in July 2011 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 298,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 0.7 percent (±12.9%) below the revised June rate of 300,000, but is 6.8 percent (±13.5%)* above the July ...


July Mass Layoffs total 1,579 actions, 145,000 workers
Posted: August 23, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,579 mass layoff actions in July involving 145,000 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. The number of mass layoff events in ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity down 9 to -10
Posted: August 23, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region pulled back in August after stalling in July, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. The index of overall activity was pushed lower as growth in new orders and shipments declined further into negative territory. Employment remained in positive territory but grew at a pace below ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased 1.0% in Aug 20 Wk
Posted: August 23, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store fell 1.0% compared to the prior week, the fourth consecutive decline, while growing 3.0% over the prior-year period during the week ending Aug 20th, which matched the weakest growth since late June. ICSC said sales continued to be mixed by store type and by region ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved in July
Posted: August 22, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to –0.06 in July from –0.38 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index improved in July; only the sales, orders, and inventories category deteriorated ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 0.8% in July
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 01:40 PM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales declined in July from an upwardly revised June pace but are notably higher than a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Monthly gains in the Northeast and Midwest were offset by declines in the West and South.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 3.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.67 million in July from 4.84 million in June, but are 21.0 percent above the 3.86 million ...


Philadelphia Fed August Outlook Show Declines
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Responses to the Business Outlook Survey this month suggest that regional manufacturing activity has dipped significantly. The survey’s broad indicators for activity, shipments, and new orders all declined sharply from last month. Firms indicated that employment and average work hours are lower this month. Price indexes continued to show a ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.5%
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.5 percent in July to 115.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in June, and a 0.7 percent increase in May. The largest positive contributions came from money supply, the interest rate spread, and average weekly initial claims for unemployment ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.1%
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending August 6, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was down -0.1 percent after a flat reading in the prior week. Six out of 10 components of the barometer fell in the latest week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales declined two weeks in a row, even though the 2011 sales tax holiday kicked in for 11 states during the ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.5% in July, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.6 percent before seasonal adjustment. The gasoline index rebounded from previous declines and rose sharply in ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 9,000 to 408,000
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 408,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 399,000. The 4-week moving average was 402,500, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.1% in July
Posted: August 18, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees fell 0.1 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.4 percent increase in average hourly earnings was more than offset by a 0.5 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.2% in July, ex Fd & Engy up 0.4%
Posted: August 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.2 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This advance followed a 0.4-percent decrease in June and a 0.2-percent rise in May. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 0.2 percent in ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 17, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 12, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3.6 percent compared with the previous week and was 13.5 percent lower than a ...


Industrial Production up 0.9%
Capacity Utilization climbed to 77.5%

Posted: August 16, 2011 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production advanced 0.9 percent in July. Although the index was revised down in April, primarily as a result of a downward revision to the output of utilities, stronger manufacturing output led to upward revisions to production in both May and June. Manufacturing output rose 0.6 percent in July, as the index for motor vehicles and ...


July Housing starts down 1.5%, Permits down 3.2%
Posted: August 16, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 597,000. This is 3.2 percent (±1.2%) below the revised June rate of 617,000, but is 3.8 percent (±2.2%) above the July 2010 estimate of 575,000. Single-family authorizations in July were at a rate of 404,000; this ...


U.S. Import Price Index increased 0.3% in July
Posted: August 16, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

U.S. import prices increased 0.3 percent in July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after declining 0.6 percent the previous month. Rising prices for both fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the overall increase. In contrast, U.S. export prices fell 0.4 percent in July, the first decrease since the index declined 0.2 ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased 1.5% in Aug 13 Wk
Posted: August 16, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store fell 1.5% compared to the prior week, the third consecutive decline and the steepest drop in 3 months, while growing 3.5% over the prior-year period during the week ending Aug 13th. ICSC said recent stock market volatility and weakness negatively affected 47% of ...


Builder Confidence Unchanged in August
Posted: August 15, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes held unchanged at a low level of 15 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for August, released today.

Builders continue to confront the same major challenges they have seen over the past year, including competition from the large inventory of distressed homes on the market, inaccurate appraisal values, and issues with their buyers not being able to sell an existing home or ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2011
Posted: August 15, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2011. Foreign residents decreased their holdings of long-term U.S. securities in June — net sales were $11.5 billion. Net sales by private foreign investors were $23.0 billion, and net purchases by foreign official institutions were $11.5 ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Continue to Deteriorate
Posted: August 15, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The August Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to worsen. The general business conditions index fell four points to -7.7, its third consecutive negative reading. The new orders index also remained below zero, at -7.8, while the shipments index was positive at 3.0. The unfilled orders ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in June
Posted: August 12, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for May, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,187.8 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.2%) from May 2011 and up 12.4 percent (±0.4%) from ...


Forecasters Predict Slower Growth
Posted: August 12, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Growth in the U.S. economy is predicted to be slower in the short run compared to the forecast of three months ago, according to 37 panelists surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Our panelists expect real GDP to grow at an annual rate of 2.2 percent this quarter, down from the previous estimate of 3.4 percent. On an ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July up 0.5%, Ex-Auto up 0.5%
Posted: August 12, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $390.4 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 8.5 percent (±0.7%) above July 2010. Total sales ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer unchanged%
Posted: August 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending July 30, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was flat after a drop of -0.8 percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales decreased following five straight weeks of gains. Box office receipts also fell as the last episode of Harry Potter slipped off the top, while mortgage application volume turned ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 7,000 to 395,000
Posted: August 11, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 395,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 402,000. The 4-week moving average was 405,000, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in June 2011
Posted: August 11, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $53.1 billion in June from $50.8 billion (revised) in May, as exports decreased more than imports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total June exports of $170.9 billion and imports of $223.9 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $53.1 billion, up from $50.8 billion in ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.6% in June
Posted: August 10, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that June 2011 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $395.8 billion, up 0.6 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised May level and were up 15.4 percent (+/-1.1%) from ...


Job Openings were 3.1 million in June
Posted: August 10, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

There were 3.1 million job openings on the last business day of June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and separations rate (3.1 percent) were again little changed over the month. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the total ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's jumped in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 10, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 21.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 5, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 21.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 20.9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased ...



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