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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201504



Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose 6.0 points to 52.3 in April
Posted: April 30, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Business Barometer made a positive start to the second quarter, rising by 6.0 points to 52.3 in April, the highest since January, and further distancing itself from February’s 5½-year low.

The Barometer was supported by gains in four of its five components including a double digit gain in New Orders that reversed around two-thirds of February’s sharp drop. Order Backlogs also rose strongly but remained below the 50 breakeven line, a reflection of the recent ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.2%
Posted: April 30, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 18 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by 0.2 percent to 98.8. This week’s barometer was mainly driven by weak performances in most production indexes, particularly steel production, which reported the largest weekly drop (-3.8 percent) in a year. Lumber production as well declined by 2.2 percent. Although ...


Personal Income increased less than 0.1%, Spending increased 0.4%
Posted: April 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $6.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $53.4 billion, or 0.4 percent. In February, personal income increased $66.4 billion, ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.7% in 1Q2015
Posted: April 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.7 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending March 2015, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.7 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 34,000 to 262,000
Posted: April 30, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 262,000, a decrease of 34,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 15, 2000 when it was 259,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 295,000 to 296,000. The 4-week moving ...


FOMC target funds rate reaffirmed at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: April 29, 2015 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March suggests that economic growth slowed during the winter months, in part reflecting transitory factors. The pace of job gains moderated, and the unemployment rate remained steady. A range of labor market indicators suggests that underutilization of labor resources was ...


Pending Home Sales Index rose 1.1% in March
Posted: April 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales in March continued their recent momentum, rising for the third straight month and remaining at their highest level since June 2013, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, climbed 1.1 percent to 108.6 in March from an upward revision of 107.4 in February and is now 11.1 percent above March 2014 (97.7). The index has now increased year-over-year for seven ...


1Q2015 GDP advance estimate increased 0.2%
Posted: April 29, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 29, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 24, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index gained 5 points to a reading of -3
Posted: April 28, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity remained soft in April, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments, order backlogs, and the volume of new orders declined, although at a slower pace compared to last month. Manufacturing employment grew mildly, while the average workweek increased and wages ...


Consumer Confidence declined in April to 95.2
Posted: April 28, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in March, declined in April. The Index now stands at 95.2 (1985=100), down from 101.4 in March. The Present Situation Index decreased from 109.5 last month to 106.8 in April. The Expectations Index declined from 96.0 last month to 87.5 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 0.1% in February
Posted: April 28, 2015 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released for February 2015 show that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

Year-over-Year
Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw larger year-over-year increases in February compared to January. The 10-City Composite gained 4.8% year-over-year, up from 4.3% in January. The 20-City Composite gained 5.0% year-over-year, compared to a 4.5% ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Weakens Again
Posted: April 27, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity declined in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, posted a second negative reading in a row, coming in at -4.7.

Other measures of current manufacturing activity also reflected continued contraction in April. The new orders index edged up but remained negative at -14. The growth rate of orders index held steady at -15.5, posting its sixth consecutive negative reading. The capacity ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 4.0%, Ex-Trans Down 0.2%
Posted: April 24, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in March increased $9.3 billion or 4.0 percent to $240.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 1.4 percent February decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.2 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined further in April
Posted: April 23, 2015 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined further in April, while producers’ expectations improved slightly from last month. Most price indexes continued to decrease, particularly for future raw materials. In a special question about the impact of the stronger dollar, many firms said that although it has put downward pressure on input ...


New Home Sales in March at annual rate of 481,0000
Posted: April 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales of new single-family houses in March 2015 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 481,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 11.4 percent (±18.6%) below the revised February rate of 543,000, but is 19.4 percent (±21.8%)* above the ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.2%
Posted: April 23, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 11 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.2 percent to 99.0, the highest level since the beginning of the year. This week’s barometer was mainly fuelled by strong performances in consumption indexes. Chain store sales increased by 0.9 percent, extending the positive trend for three weeks in a row. ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 1,000 to 295,000
Posted: April 23, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 295,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 294,000. The 4-week moving average was 284,500, an increase of 1,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 282,750. There were no special factors impacting this week's ...


Existing-Home Sales increased 6.1% in March
Posted: April 22, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales jumped in March to their highest annual rate in 18 months, while unsold inventory showed needed improvement, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Led by the Midwest, all major regions experienced strong sales gains in March and are above their year-over-year ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 22, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 17, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 1 ...


Philadelphia Nonmanufacturing Activity Continues to Expand in April
Posted: April 21, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to this month's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest that expansion in local nonmanufacturing sectors continued in April. The survey's indicators for general activity remained high, and indicators for new orders and sales or revenues improved on last month's readings. Responding firms continue to be optimistic about ...


Chicago Fed National Activity somewhat below historical trend in March
Posted: April 20, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.27 in March from –0.12 in February. March’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was somewhat below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.2%
Posted: April 17, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in March to 121.4 (2010 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in February, and a 0.2 percent increase in January.

Although the leading economic index still points to a moderate expansion in economic activity, its slowing growth rate over recent months suggests weaker growth may be ahead. Building permits was the weakest component this month, but average working hours and manufacturing ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in March, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.2%
Posted: April 17, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index declined 0.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in the energy and shelter indexes more than offset a decline in the food index and were the main factors in the rise of the seasonally adjusted all items index. The energy index rose 1.1 percent as advances in the gasoline and fuel oil indexes outweighed declines ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.1% in March
Posted: April 17, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.1 percent from February to March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.3-percent increase in average hourly earnings being partially offset by a 0.2-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Philadelphia Fed March Outlook Continues to Suggest Slight Growth
Posted: April 16, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region increased modestly in April, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Indicators for general activity and new orders were positive but remained at low readings. Firms reported overall declines in shipments this month, but employment and work hours increased at ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased slightly by 0.1%
Posted: April 16, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 4 2015, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased slightly by 0.1 percent to 98.8, extending the positive trend for three straight weeks as strong performances in consumption indexes were more than enough to offset the losses in some production indexes. Chain store sales rose by 1.0 percent following a 3.4 ...


March Housing Starts up 2.0%, Permits down 5.7%
Posted: April 16, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,039,000. This is 5.7 percent (±2.0%) below the revised February rate of 1,102,000, but is 2.9 percent (±0.9%) above the March 2014 estimate of 1,010,000. Single-family authorizations in March were at a rate ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 12,000 to 294,000
Posted: April 16, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 294,000, an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 281,000 to 282,000. The 4-week moving average was 282,750, an increase of 250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Treasury International Capital Data for February 2015
Posted: April 15, 2015 at 04:00 PM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for February 2015. The sum total in February of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $4.1 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $7.2 billion, ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity continued to expand across most regions
Posted: April 15, 2015 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that the economy continued to expand across most regions from mid-February through the end of March. Activity in the Richmond, Chicago, Minneapolis, Dallas, and San Francisco Districts grew at a moderate pace, while New York, Philadelphia, and St. Louis cited modest growth. Boston ...


Builder Confidence Rose 4 Points in April to 56
Posted: April 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in April rose four points to a level of 56 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today.

As the spring buying season gets underway, home builders are confident that current low interest rates and continued job growth will draw consumers to the market. ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.6%
Capacity Utilization decreased to 78.4%

Posted: April 15, 2015 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production decreased 0.6 percent in March after increasing 0.1 percent in February. For the first quarter of 2015 as a whole, industrial production declined at an annual rate of 1.0 percent, the first quarterly decrease since the second quarter of 2009. The decline last quarter resulted from a drop in oil and gas well drilling ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Show Growth Paused
Posted: April 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The April 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity was flat for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index turned slightly negative for the first time since December, falling eight points to -1.2. The new orders index, negative for a second consecutive month, dropped four points ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 15, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 10, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in February
Posted: April 14, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for February, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,313.1 billion, virtually unchanged (±0.2%)* from January 2015, but were down 1.2 percent (±0.4%) from ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.2% in March, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: April 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved down 0.5 percent in February and 0.8 percent in January. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand decreased 0.8 percent for the 12 months ended ...


U.S. Retail Sales for March increase 0.9%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: April 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for March, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $441.4 billion, an increase of 0.9 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, and 1.3 percent (±0.9%) above March 2014. Total ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.8 points to 95.2
Posted: April 14, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.8 points to 95.2, declining in sympathy with the rather weak stream of reports on the economy. Bad weather was certainly depressing, for both shoppers and the construction industry. All 10 Index components declined, contributing to the 31 point decline in net positive responses. The only good news is ...


U.S. Import Price Index fell 0.3% in March
Posted: April 10, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices fell 0.3 percent in March following a 0.2-percent upturn the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In March, lower nonfuel prices more than offset a rise in fuel prices. The price index for U.S. exports rose in March, ticking up 0.1 percent, after declining 0.2 percent ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.3% in February
Posted: April 9, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that February 2015 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $444.2 billion, down 0.2 percent (+/-0.5%) from the revised January level and were down 1.5 percent ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by 0.4%
Posted: April 9, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 28 2015, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer rose by a solid 0.4 percent to 98.7. This week’s barometer was chiefly driven by strong performances in consumption indexes, in which chain store sales picked up by a sharp 3.4 percent due to improving consumer demand at wholesale clubs, electronics stores, and ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 14,000 to 281,000
Posted: April 9, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 281,000, an increase of 14,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 268,000 to 267,000. The 4-week moving average was 282,250, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week's revised average. This ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 8, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 3, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 5.50%
Posted: April 7, 2015 at 03:00 PM (Tuesday)

In February, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5-1/2 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 5 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 9-1/2 percent.

...


Job Openings were 5.1 million in February
Posted: April 7, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 5.1 million job openings on the last business day of February, little changed from 5.0 million in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires were little changed at 4.9 million in February and separations were little changed at 4.7 million. Within separations, the quits rate was 1.9 percent and the layoffs ...


Employment Trends Index declined slightly in March to 127.65
Posted: April 6, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) declined slightly in March. The index now stands at 127.65, down from 127.77 in February. However, that still represents a 5.6 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

The growth in the Employment Trends Index slowed down in the first quarter of 2015. The combination of the disappointing March employment report and the recent weakness in the ETI suggests that the likelihood of a slowdown in employment has increased. Even so, it is ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index grew slower at 56.5%
Posted: April 6, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in March for the 62nd consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

TThe NMI® registered 56.5 percent in March, 0.4 percentage point lower than the February reading of 56.9 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 57.5 percent, which is 1.9 ...


March Employment increased by 126,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 5.5%

Posted: April 3, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 126,000 in March, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade, while mining ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.2%
Posted: April 2, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in February, up following six consecutive monthly decreases, increased $0.8 billion or 0.2 percent to $468.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.7 percent January decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased ...



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