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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201505



University of Michigan Consumer Confidence down in May to 90.7
Posted: May 29, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer optimism retreated in May as consumers adopted more modest prospects for a rebound following the economy’s dismal 1st quarter performance. The decline was widespread among all age and income subgroups as well as across all parts of the country. Despite the May decline, the Sentiment Index has averaged 94.6 during the first five months ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell 6.1 points to 46.2 in May
Posted: May 29, 2015 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business Barometer fell sharply back into contraction in May, reversing all of April’s gain and casting doubt on the strength of the widely expected bounceback in the US economy in the second quarter.

The Barometer fell 6.1 points to 46.2 in May from 52.3 in April. All five components of the Barometer weakened with three dropping by more than 10% and all of them now below the 50 breakeven mark. ...


1Q2015 GDP preliminary estimate decreased 0.7%
Posted: May 29, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- decreased at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the first quarter of 2015, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased ...


Pending Home Sales Index increased 3.4% in April
Posted: May 28, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales rose in April for the fourth straight month and reached their highest level in nine years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Led by the Northeast and Midwest, all four major regions saw increases in April.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, increased 3.4 percent to 112.4 in April from a slight upward revision of 108.7 in March and is now 14.0 percent above April 2014 (98.6) — the largest annual increase since September 2012 ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.1%
Posted: May 28, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 16 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer picked up by 0.1 percent to 98.6. This week’s barometer was driven by production indexes. Auto and truck production rose by 4.8 and 6.3 percent, respectively. Along similar lines, steel production and electric output increased by 2.0 and 2.4 percent respectively. As to ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 70,000 to 282,000
Posted: May 28, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 282,000, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 274,000 to 275,000. The 4-week moving average was 271,500, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 27, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 22, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Declined again in May
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

Texas factory activity declined again in May, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell to -13.5, its lowest reading in six years.

Other measures of current manufacturing activity reflected continued contraction in May. The new orders index held steady at -14.1, and the growth rate of orders index held steady at -15.2, marking the fifth and seventh negative reading in a row for these indexes. The ...


New Home Sales in April at annual rate of 517,000
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in April 2015 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 517,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.8 percent (±15.8%) above the revised March rate of 484,000 and is 26.1 percent (±15.4%) above the April ...


Consumer Confidence increased moderately in May to 95.4
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in April, increased moderately in May. The Index now stands at 95.4 (1985=100), up from 94.3 in April. The Present Situation Index increased from 105.1 last month to 108.1 in May. The Expectations Index edged down to 86.9 from 87.1 ...


Philadelphia Nonmanufacturing Activity improved in May
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The pace of regional nonmanufacturing activity improved in May, according to firms responding to this month's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity and sales rose, while the indicator for new orders fell. Employment indicators were mixed, but future activity indicators were strong, as ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index gained 4 points to a reading of 1
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity flattened in May, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Shipments and the volume of new orders leveled off, while the backlog of orders declined further compared to last month. Hiring edged up, while the average workweek increased slightly. However, average wage growth accelerated ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 0.8% in March
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for March 2015 show that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months.

Year-over-Year
Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw year-over-year increases in March. The 10-City Composite gained 4.7% year-over-year, while the 20-City Composite gained 5.0% year-over-year. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, covering all nine ...


April New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 0.5%, Ex-Trans up 0.5%
Posted: May 26, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in April decreased $1.2 billion or 0.5 percent to $235.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down two of the last three months, followed a 5.1 percent March increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.2 ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.1% in April, Ex Fd & Engy rose 0.3%
Posted: May 22, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in April on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index declined 0.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 percent in April and led to the slight increase in the seasonally adjusted all items index. The index for shelter rose, as did the indexes for medical care, household furnishings and operations, used cars and trucks, and ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings unchanged% in April
Posted: May 22, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees were unchanged from March to April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from a 0.1-percent increase in average hourly earnings being offset by a 0.1-percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined more sharply in May
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined more sharply in May than in previous months and producers’ expectations also fell, with both reaching their lowest levels since mid-2009. However, most price indexes increased slightly, reversing a recent trend of decline. In a special question about hiring plans, the majority of firms indicated ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.7% in April
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index®(LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.7 percent in April to 122.3 (2010 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in March, and a 0.2 percent decline in February.

April’s sharp increase in the LEI seems to have helped stabilize its slowing trend, suggesting the paltry economic growth in the first quarter may be temporary. However, the growth of the LEI does not support a significant strengthening in the economic outlook at this time. ...


Existing-Home Sales declined 3.3% in April
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Despite properties typically selling faster than at any time since July 2013, existing–home sales slowed in April but remained above an annual sales pace of five million for the second straight month, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions except for the Midwest experienced sales declines ...


Philadelphia Fed March Outlook Continues to Suggest Slight Growth
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region increased modestly in May, according to firms responding to this month’s Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments were positive but remain at low readings. Employment increased at the reporting firms, but the employment index moderated compared ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.2%
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 9 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.3 percent to 98.5. This week’s barometer was driven by weak performance in chain stores sales, which slipped by 1.7 percent. Along similar lines, steel production and railroad freight car loadings fell by 2.5 and 2.1 percent, respectively. On the other hand, ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 10,000 to 274,000
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 274,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 264,000. The 4-week moving average was 266,250, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 271,750. This is the lowest level for this average since April 15, ...


Chicago Fed National Activity increased slightly in April
Posted: May 21, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased slightly to –0.23 in April from –0.27 in March. April’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was somewhat below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 20, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 15, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 0.3 ...


April Housing Starts up 20.2%, Permits up 10.1%
Posted: May 19, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,143,000. This is 10.1 percent (±2.2%) above the revised March rate of 1,038,000 and is 6.4 percent (±2.1%) above the April 2014 estimate of Single-family authorizations in April were at a rate of 666,000; this ...


Builder Confidence Falls 2 Points in May to 54
Posted: May 18, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes in May dropped two points to a level of 54 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. It is a nine-point increase from the May 2014 reading of 45.

Despite this month’s slight dip, builder confidence in the new home market remains above the 50-point benchmark. Overall, the second quarter of 2015 is shaping up to be very solid. ...


Treasury International Capital Data for March 2015
Posted: May 15, 2015 at 04:00 PM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for March 2015. The sum total in March of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC outflow of $100.9 billion. Of this, net foreign private outflows were $90.5 billion, and ...


Forecasters See Stronger Quarterly Growth This Year Accompanied by Lower Unemployment
Posted: May 15, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The outlook for growth over the next three quarters looks stronger now than it did three months ago, according to 42 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Growth this quarter will be 3.3 percent at an annual rate, up from the previous estimate of 3.0 percent. Third-quarter growth will be 2.9 percent, an upward ...


Industrial Production decreased 0.3%
Capacity Utilization decreased to 78.2%

Posted: May 15, 2015 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production decreased 0.3 percent in April for its fifth consecutive monthly loss. Manufacturing output was unchanged in April after recording an upwardly revised gain of 0.3 percent in March. In April, the index for mining moved down 0.8 percent, its fourth consecutive monthly decrease; a sharp fall in oil and gas well drilling has ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Show A Slight Expansion
Posted: May 15, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The May 2015 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business conditions improved slightly for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index climbed four points to 3.1. The new orders index rose ten points to 3.9, and the shipments index was little changed at 14.9. Labor market indicators pointed to a ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.2%
Posted: May 14, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 2 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by 0.2 percent to 98.8. This week’s barometer was largely dragged down by weak performance in chain stores sales, which slipped by 1.0 percent after posting a gain of 0.8 percent in the previous week. Along similar lines, coal production and electric output fell by 5.8 ...


Producer Price Index fell 0.4% in April, ex Fd & Engy down 0.1%
Posted: May 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.4 percent in April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.2 percent in March and decreased 0.5 percent in February. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand declined 1.3 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 1,000 to 264,000
Posted: May 14, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 264,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 265,000. The 4-week moving average was 271,750, a decrease of 7,750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 279,500. This is the lowest level for this average since April 22, ...


Business Inventories up 0.1% in March
Posted: May 13, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for March, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,309.7 billion, up 0.4 percent (±0.2%) from February 2015, but was down 2.1 percent (±0.5%) from ...


U.S. Import Price Index declined 0.3% in April
Posted: May 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices declined 0.3 percent in April, after decreasing 0.2 percent in March and 0.4 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Falling nonfuel prices in April more than offset higher fuel prices. Prices for U.S. exports fell 0.7 percent in April following a 0.1-percent rise the ...


U.S. Retail Sales for April virtually unchanged%, Ex-Auto up 0.1%
Posted: May 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $436.8 billion, virtually unchanged (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 0.9 percent (±0.9%) above April 2014. Total sales for ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 13, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 3.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 8, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 6 ...


Job Openings were 5.0 million in March
Posted: May 12, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 5.0 million job openings on the last business day of March, little changed from 5.1 million in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires were little changed at 5.1 million in March and separations were little changed at 5.0 million. Within separations, the quits rate was 2.0 percent and the layoffs ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.7 points to 96.9
Posted: May 12, 2015 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Small Business Optimism Index increased 1.7 points from March to 96.9, this in spite of a quarter of virtually no economic growth. Unfortunately, the Index remained below the January reading. Nine of the 10 Index components gained or were unchanged, only real sales expectations were weaker. But this still leaves the Index below its ...


Employment Trends Index Ticks Up in April to 128.22
Posted: May 11, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in April. The index now stands at 128.22, up from 127.15 (a downward revision) in March. The change represents a 5.8 percent gain in the ETI compared to a year ago.

April’s increase in the ETI was driven by positive contributions from seven of the eight components. In order from the largest positive contributor to the smallest, these were: Percentage of Firms with Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now, Ratio of Involuntarily Part-time ...


April Employment increased by 223,000
Unemployment Rate dipped to 5.4%

Posted: May 8, 2015 at 02:52 PM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, and construction. Mining employment continued ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in March
Posted: May 8, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that March 2015 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $441.6 billion, down 0.2 percent (+/-0.7)* from the revised February level and were down 4.0 percent ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 7.50%
Posted: May 7, 2015 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5-1/2 percent during the first quarter. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 1/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent. In March, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer bounced back by 0.2%
Posted: May 7, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending April 25 2015, the BTMU U.S. Business Barometer bounced back by 0.2 percent to 99.0. This week’s recovery was chiefly driven by strong performance in chain store sales, which, fuelled by strong business gains at office-supply stores, posted a robust gain of 0.8 percent. As to the production side, gains in some indexes ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase 3,000 to 265,000
Posted: May 7, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 262,000. The 4-week moving average was 279,500, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 283,750. This is the lowest level for this average since May 6, 2000 ...


Challenger Layoffs Surge to 61,582 in April
Posted: May 7, 2015 at 08:00 AM (Thursday)

Falling oil prices contributed to a 68 percent surge in job cuts last month, as US-based employers announced workforce reductions totaling 61,582 in April, up from 36,594 in March, according to the latest report on monthly layoffs released Thursday by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & ...


Help Wanted OnLine Labor Demand decreased 104,500 to 5,361,900 in April
Posted: May 6, 2015 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Online advertised vacancies decreased 104,500 to 5,361,900 in April, according to The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Data Series, released today. The March Supply/Demand rate stands at 1.57 unemployed for each advertised vacancy, with a total of 3.1 million more unemployed workers than the number of advertised vacancies. The number ...


1Q2015 Productivity Growth Decreased 1.9%
Posted: May 6, 2015 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 1.9 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2015, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output declined 0.2 percent and hours worked increased 1.7 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) The decline ...


ADP National Employment Report increased by 169,000 in April
Posted: May 6, 2015 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 169,000 jobs from March to April according to the April ADP National Employment Report®. Broadly distributed to the public each month, free of charge, the ADP National Employment Report is produced by ADP®, a leading global provider of Human Capital Management (HCM) solutions, in collaboration with ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: May 6, 2015 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 1, 2015.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 ...



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