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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202203


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index increased to 62.9 in March 2022
Posted: March 31, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Business Barometer™, produced with MNI, recovered to 62.9 in March, after last month’s dip to 56.3. Inventories reached levels not seen since 1973.All main indicators increased, with Inventories and New Orders seeing the largest boost. Only prices paid declined in March. Production improved to 60.0, still below the 12- month average ...


Personal Income Increased 0.5%, Spending Increased 0.2% in February 2022
Posted: March 31, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Personal income increased $101.5 billion (0.5 percent) in February, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $76.1 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.9 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 14,000 to 202,000
Posted: March 31, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 26, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 202,000, an increase of 14,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 187,000 to 188,000. The 4-week moving average was 208,500, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 21,387 Job Cuts in March 2022
Posted: March 31, 2022 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 21,387 cuts in March, up 40.3% from the 15,245 cuts announced in February. It is the highest monthly total since October 2021, when 22,822 cuts were announced, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, ...


4Q2021 GDP final estimate increased 6.9%
Posted: March 30, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.3 percent.

The "third" estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 7.0 percent. The downward revision primarily reflected downward revisions ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 455,000 jobs in March 2022
Posted: March 30, 2022 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 455,000 jobs from February to March according to the March ADP® National Employment ReportTM. The February total of jobs added was revised from 475,000 to 486,000.

“Job growth was broad-based across sectors in March, contributing to the nearly 1.5 million jobs added for the first quarter in 2022,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “Businesses are hiring, specifically among the service providers which had the most ground to ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 30, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 25, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 15 ...


Job Openings increased to 11.3 million in February 2022
Posted: March 29, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 11.3 million on the last business day of February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires edged up to 6.7 million while total separations were little changed at 6.1 million. Within separations, the quits rate was little changed at 2.9 percent and the layoffs and discharges ...


Consumer Confidence increased slightly in March 2022 to 107.2
Posted: March 29, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased slightly in March, after a decrease in February. The Index now stands at 107.2 (1985=100), up from 105.7 in February. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—improved to 153.0 from 143.0 last month. However, the ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 1.1% in January 2022
Posted: March 29, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for January 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 19.2% annual gain in January, up from 18.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 17.5%, up from 17.1% in ...


Paychex-IHS Markit Small Business Jobs Index little changed 101.29 in March 2022
Posted: March 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Hourly earnings growth continued to advance for the tenth consecutive month for workers of U.S. small businesses, according to the latest Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch. The report also showed that national small business job growth remained near its recent record high, moderating 0.03 percent in March. The national ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity increased at solid pace in March 2022
Posted: March 28, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity continued to increase at solid pace in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, held mostly steady at 13.2, indicative of slightly above-average ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence dipped in March 2022 to 59.4
Posted: March 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment declined in March due to falling inflation-adjusted incomes, which was recently accelerated by rising fuel prices, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The year-ahead expected inflation rate rose to its highest level since 1981 and expected gas prices posted their largest monthly upward surge in decades. Personal finances were expected to worsen in the year ahead by the largest proportion since the surveys started in the ...


Pending Home Sales Index fell 4.1% in February 2022
Posted: March 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Pending home sales slipped in February, marking four consecutive months of transaction decreases, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Three of the four major U.S. regions saw contract signings fall month-over-month, with the Northeast being the only area that reported an increase. All four regions registered a decline ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Grew at a Record Pace in March 2022
Posted: March 24, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity reported record high growth and expectations for future activity remained solid. The monthly index of raw materials prices increased modestly in March and inched down compared to a year ago. Finished goods price indexes saw slight growth from a month ago and were above year-ago levels for most ...


4Q2021 Current Account Deficit Decreased
Posted: March 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, narrowed by $2.0 billion, or 0.9 percent, to $217.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021, according to statistics released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis ...


February 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods decreased 2.2%, Ex-Trans down 0.6%
Posted: March 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in February decreased $6.0 billion or 2.2 percent to $271.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following four consecutive monthly increases, followed a 1.6 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Excluding ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 28,000 to 187,000
Posted: March 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 187,000, a decrease of 28,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since September 6, 1969 when it was 182,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 214,000 to 215,000. The 4-week ...


New Home Sales in February 2022 at annual rate of 772,000
Posted: March 23, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in February 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 772,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.0 percent (±11.9 percent)* below the revised January rate of 788,000 and is 6.2 percent ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 23, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 8.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 18, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 14 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity increased to 13 in March 2022
Posted: March 22, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity improved in March, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index increased from 1 in February to 13 in March, with increases in all three of the component indexes — shipments, volume of new orders, and number of employees. Notably, ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity expanded in March 2022
Posted: March 22, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region expanded this month, according to the firms responding to the March Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, new orders, and full-time employment all increased this month. The prices paid and prices received indexes edged down but ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests a slight decrease in economic growth in February 2022
Posted: March 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to +0.51 in February from +0.59 in January. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in February, but two categories deteriorated from January. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, ticked down to +0.35 ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased by 0.3% in February 2022
Posted: March 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased by 0.3 percent in February to 119.9 (2016 = 100), following a 0.5 percent decrease in January and a 0.8 percent increase in December.

“The US LEI rose slightly in February, partially reversing January’s decline,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “However, the latest results do not reflect the full impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which could ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 7.2% in February 2022
Posted: March 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Existing-home sales dipped in February, continuing a seesawing pattern of gains and declines over the last few months, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Each of the four major U.S. regions saw sales fall on a month-over-month basis in February. Sales activity year-over-year was also down overall, though the South experienced ...


February 2022 Industrial Production increased 0.5%, Capacity Utilization increased to 77.6%
Posted: March 17, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Thursday)

Total industrial production rose 0.5 percent in February to a level that is 103.6 percent of its 2017 average. Manufacturing output increased 1.2 percent after having been little changed in each of the previous two months. In February, the index for utilities declined 2.7 percent, and the output of mines edged up ...


February 2022 Housing Starts Increased 6.8%, Permits down 1.9%
Posted: March 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,859,000. This is 1.9 percent below the revised January rate of 1,895,000, but is 7.7 percent above the February 2021 rate of 1,726,000. Single‐family authorizations in February were at a rate of 1,207,000; ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 18,000 to 214,000
Posted: March 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claimswas 214,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 227,000 to 229,000. The 4-week moving average was 223,000, a decrease of 8,750 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity continued to grow in March 2022
Posted: March 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to the firms responding to the March Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity, shipments, and new orders all rose after declining last month. The employment index and both price indexes climbed higher and remain elevated. The ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 0.25% - 0.50%
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. Job gains have been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined substantially. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader ...


Business Inventories up 1.1% in January 2022
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for January, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,784.8 billion, up 3.7 percent (±0.3 percent) from December 2021 and was up 15.5 percent (±0.6 percent) from ...


NAHB Builder Confidence decreased 2 points to 79 in March 2022
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Ongoing lumber and building material supply-side constraints and rising construction costs and expectations of higher interest rates continue to negatively affect builder sentiment even as buyer demand remains relatively solid.

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes moved two points lower to 79 in March from a downwardly revised reading in February, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the fourth ...


U.S. Import Price Index advanced 1.4% in February 2022
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

U.S. import prices rose 1.4 percent in February, after advancing 1.9 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Higher fuel and nonfuel prices drove the increases in both months. Prices for U.S. exports advanced 3.0 percent in February following a 2.8-percent rise the previous ...


U.S. Retail Sales for February 2022 increase 0.3%, Ex-Auto up 0.2%
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $658.1 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 17.6 percent (±0.9 percent) above February 2021. Total sales for the ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 16, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 11, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for January 2022
Posted: March 15, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for January 2022. The sum total in January of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $294.2 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $270.8 billion, and ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.8% in February 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: March 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.8 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.2 percent in January and 0.4 percent in December 2021. On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 10.0 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined in March 2022
Posted: March 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Business activity declined in New York State for the first time since early in the pandemic, according to firms responding to the March 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell fifteen points to -11.8, its lowest level since May 2020. New orders and shipments declined modestly, while ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary March Results declined to 59.7
Posted: March 11, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer Sentiment continued to decline due to falling inflation-adjusted incomes, recently accelerated by rising fuel prices as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The year-ahead expected inflation rate rose to its highest level since 1981, and expected gas prices posted their largest monthly upward surge in decades. Personal ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.8% in February 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.5%
Posted: March 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.6 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.9 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.8% in February 2022
Posted: March 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.8 percent from January to February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from essentially no change in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.8 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 11,000 to 227,000
Posted: March 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 227,000, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 215,000 to 216,000. The 4-week moving average was 231,250, an increase of 500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Job Openings increased to 11.3 million in February 2022
Posted: March 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 11.3 million on the last business day of January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.5 million and 6.1 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate decreased to 2.8 percent. The layoffs and discharges rate was ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in February 2022 to 171.2
Posted: March 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in February and now stands at 171.2 (July 2018=100), up from 164.9 in January. The 3.8 percent increase between January and February follows a 0.7 percent decrease between December and January. Overall, the Index is up 49.5 percent from a ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 9, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 8.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 4, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 9 ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.8% in January 2022
Posted: March 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

January 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $663.9 billion, up 4.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the revised December level and were up 22.4 percent (±1.6 percent) from the revised January 2021 ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in January 2022
Posted: March 8, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $89.7 billion in January from $82.0 billion in December (revised), as exports decreased and imports increased. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $89.7 billion in January, up $7.7 ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 95.7 in February 2022
Posted: March 8, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

In February, the NFIB Optimism Index decreased by 1.4 points to 95.7, the second consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Twenty-six percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, a four-point increase since December and the highest reading since the third quarter ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 1.90% in January 2022
Posted: March 7, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Monday)

In January, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.9 percent. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent.

...


Employment Trends Index rose in February 2022 to 119.18
Posted: March 7, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) rose in February and now stands at 119.18, up from 118.15 in January 2022 (an upward revision).

“The Employment Trends Index increased again in February, suggesting that robust job growth lies ahead,” said Frank Steemers, Senior Economist at The Conference Board. “So far in 2022, more than 1 million jobs have been gained. However, some moderation in job growth is ...



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