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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202207


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose in July 2022 to 51.5
Posted: July 29, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was essentially unchanged from June, when it had reached an all-time low for the survey, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Most components of the index were little changed, though buying conditions for durables adjusted upwards, primarily due to perceptions of easing supply constraints. Still, buying conditions for durables remained 28% lower than July 2021, according to U-M economist Joanne ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell to 52.1 in July 2022
Posted: July 29, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, slid further in July, extending June’s decline. The indicator fell 3.9-points to 52.1, the lowest level since August 2020.

• All main indicators decreased except for prices paid and employment, the latter of which hit the highest level since October 2021. Production, New Orders, Order Backlogs and Supplier Deliveries are all back around 2020 levels. ...


Personal Income Increased 0.6%, Spending Increased 1.1% in June 2022
Posted: July 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $133.5 billion (0.6 percent) in June, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $120.4 billion (0.7 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $181.1 billion ...


Employment Cost Index up 1.3% in 2Q2022
Posted: July 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 1.3 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in June 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries increased 1.4 percent and benefit costs increased 1.2 percent from ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity grew moderately in July 2022
Posted: July 28, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity grew moderately in July. Expectations for future activity increased after dropping in June (Chart 1, Tables 1 & 2). Monthly and annual survey price indexes fell to their lowest levels in over a year, and indexes for price expectations ...


2Q2022 GDP advance estimate decreased 0.9%
Posted: July 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.9 percent in the second quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (refer to "Source Data for the Advance Estimate" on page 3). The "second" estimate for the second quarter, based on more complete data, will be ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 5,000 to 256,000
Posted: July 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 256,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 10,000 from 251,000 to 261,000. The 4-week moving average was 249,250, an increase of 6,250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


FOMC target funds rate raised to 2.25% - 2.50%
Posted: July 27, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader ...


Pending Home Sales down 8.6% in June 2022
Posted: July 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales decreased in June, following a slight increase in May, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. All four major regions posted month-over-month and year-over-year pullbacks, the largest of which occurred in the West.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), pa forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings, dipped 8.6% to 91.0 in June. Year-over-year, transactions shrank 20.0%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. ...


June 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 1.9%, Ex-Trans up 0.3%
Posted: July 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in June increased $5.0 billion or 1.9 percent to $272.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up eight of the last nine months, followed a 0.8 percent May increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.3 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 27, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 22, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


Consumer Confidence decreased in July 2022 to 95.7
Posted: July 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased in July, following a larger decline in June. The Index now stands at 95.7 (1985=100), down 2.7 points from 98.4 in June. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—fell to 141.3 from 147.2 last month. The ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity improved to 0 in July 2022
Posted: July 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity improved but remained relatively flat in July, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index rose from −9 in June to 0 in July, as two of its three component indexes showed marked improvement. The indexes for shipments and volume of new ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 1.5% in May 2022
Posted: July 26, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for May 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 19.7% annual gain in May, down from 20.6% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 19.0%, down from 19.6% in ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest moderation in activity in July 2022
Posted: July 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the July Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey indicate a moderation of nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders all declined but remained positive at low readings. The price indicators for the firms' inputs and own goods also decreased but ...


New Home Sales in June 2022 at annual rate of 590,000
Posted: July 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in June 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 590,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 8.1 percent (±15.0 percent)* below the revised May rate of 642,000 and is 17.4 percent ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity continued at a modest pace in July 2022
Posted: July 25, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity continued at a modest pace in July, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, was largely unchanged at 3.8, a reading well below average but still indicative ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests steady economic growth in June 2022
Posted: July 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) was unchanged at –0.19 in June. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made negative contributions in June, and two categories deteriorated from May. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved down to –0.04 in June from +0.09 ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.8% in June 2022
Posted: July 21, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. decreased by 0.8 percent in June 2022 to 117.1 (2016=100), after declining by 0.6 percent in May. The LEI was down by 1.8 percent over the first half of 2022, a reversal from its 3.3 percent growth over the second half ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity declined in July 2022
Posted: July 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region declined overall in July, according to the firms responding to this month's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for current general activity and new orders declined further into negative territory. The shipments index was positive and rose slightly, while the indexes for ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 7,000 to 251,000
Posted: July 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 251,000, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 244,000. The 4-week moving average was 240,500, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 235,750 ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 5.4% in June 2022
Posted: July 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales dropped for the fifth straight month in June, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three out of four major U.S. regions experienced month-over-month sales declines and one region held steady. Year-over-year sales sank in all four regions.

Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, dipped 5.4% from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.12 million in June. Year-over-year, sales fell 14.2% (5.97 million in June 2021). ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 20, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 15, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 17 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 4 ...


June 2022 Housing Starts Decreased 2.0%, Permits down 0.7%
Posted: July 19, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in June were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,685,000. This is 0.6 percent below the revised May rate of 1,695,000, but is 1.4 percent above the June 2021 rate of 1,661,000. Single‐family authorizations in June were at a rate of 967,000; this is 8.0 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for May 2022
Posted: July 18, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for May 2022. The sum total in May of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $182.5 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $220.5 billion, and net ...


NAHB Builder Confidence fell 12 points to 55 in July 2022
Posted: July 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence plunged in July as high inflation and increased interest rates stalled the housing market by dramatically slowing sales and buyer traffic. In a further sign of a weakening housing market, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes posted its seventh straight monthly decline in July, falling 12 points ...


Business Inventories up 1.4% in May 2022
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for May, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,829.1 billion, up 0.7 percent (±0.2 percent) from April 2022 and was up 14.4 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary July Results rose to 51.1
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was relatively unchanged, remaining near all-time lows. Current assessments of personal finances continued to deteriorate, reaching its lowest point since 2011. Buying conditions for durables adjusted upwards, owing both to consumers who cited easing supply constraints and those who believed that one should buy now to ...


June 2022 Industrial Production moved down 0.2%, Capacity Utilization decreased to 80.0%
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Total industrial production moved down 0.2 percent in June but advanced at an annual rate of 6.1 percent for the second quarter as a whole. Manufacturing output declined 0.5 percent for a second consecutive month in June; even so, it rose at an annual rate of 4.2 percent in the second quarter. In June, the index for mining advanced 1.7 ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.2% in June 2022
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.2 percent in June following a 0.5-percent advance the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Higher import fuel prices in June more than offset lower nonfuel prices. U.S. export prices rose 0.7 percent in June, after increasing 2.9 percent ...


U.S. Retail Sales for June 2022 increase 1.0%, Ex-Auto up 1.0%
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $680.6 billion, an increase of 1.0 percent (±0.5 percent) from the previous month, and 8.4 percent (±0.7 percent) above June 2021. Total sales for the April 2022 ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions increased modestly in July 2022
Posted: July 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity increased modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the July 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index climbed twelve points to 11.1. New orders increased marginally, and shipments expanded significantly. Unfilled orders edged lower for a second consecutive ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 9,000 to 244,000
Posted: July 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 244,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 235,000. The 4-week moving average was 235,750, an increase of 3,250 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Producer Price Index rose 1.1% in June 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: July 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.1 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 0.9 percent in May and 0.4 percent in April. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 11.3 percent for the 12 months ended in June, the ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded at a modest pace
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity expanded at a modest pace, on balance, since mid-May; however, several Districts reported growing signs of a slowdown in demand, and contacts in five Districts noted concerns over an increased risk of a recession. Most Districts reported that consumer spending moderated as higher food and gas prices diminished ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in June 2022 to 173.7
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in and now stands at 173.7 (July 2018=100), up from 170.9 in May. The 1.7 percent increase between May and June follows a 3.7 percent decrease between April and May. Overall, the Index is up 16.1 percent from a ...


Consumer Price Index increased 1.3% in June 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.7%
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.3 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.0 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 9.1 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 1.0% in June 2022
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 1.0 percent from May to June, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.3 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 1.3 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 8, 2022. This week’s results include an adjustment for the observance of ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped to 89.5 in June 2022
Posted: July 12, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped 3.6 points in June to 89.5, marking the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months decreased seven points to a net negative 61%, the lowest level recorded in the 48-year survey. Expectations for ...


Employment Trends Index increased in June to 119.38
Posted: July 11, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in June to 119.38, up from a downwardly revised 118.88 in May 2022. The ETI is a leading composite index for employment. When the index increases, employment is likely to increase as well, and vice versa. Turning points in the index indicate that a turning point in the number of jobs ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 5.90% in May 2022
Posted: July 8, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In May, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.9 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 8.1 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5.2 percent.

...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.8% in May 2022
Posted: July 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

May 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $696.0 billion, up 0.5 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised April level and were up 20.9 percent (±1.1 percent) from the revised May 2021 level. The ...


June 2022 Employment rose by 372,000
Unemployment Rate unchanged at 3.6%

Posted: July 8, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 372,000 in June, and the unemployment rate remained at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and health care.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in May 2022
Posted: July 7, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $85.5 billion in May from $86.7 billion in April (revised), as exports increased more than imports. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $85.5 billion in May, down $1.1 billion from ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 4,000 to 235,000
Posted: July 7, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 235,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 231,000. The 4-week moving average was 232,500, an increase of 750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 32,517 Job Cuts in June 2022
Posted: July 7, 2022 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 32,517 cuts in June, a 58.8% increase from the 20,476 cuts announced in the same month last year. It is 57% higher than the 20,712 cuts announced in May, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.
June marks the ...


Job Openings decreased to 11.3 million in May 2022
Posted: July 6, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The number of job openings decreased to 11.3 million on the last business day of May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.5 million and 6.0 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.3 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) were little changed. This ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dipped to 55.3% in June 2022
Posted: July 6, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in June for the 25th month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 55.3 percent, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “In June, the Services PMI® registered 55.3 percent, 0.6 percentage point lower than May’s reading of 55.9 ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: July 6, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 1, 2022. This week’s results include a holiday adjustment to account for early closings the Friday before ...



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