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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202210


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity growth continued in October 2022
Posted: October 31, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity continued in October, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, edged down three points to 6.0, suggesting a slight deceleration in ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell to 45.2 in October 2022
Posted: October 31, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, dipped a further half-point to 45.2 in October, contracting for a second consecutive month.

• After the across-the-board September plunge, most indicators saw marginal improvements in October, whilst New Orders and Supplier Deliveries slipped further. Order Backlogs and Employment recorded stronger upticks (albeit remaining in contraction). ...


Pending Home Sales down 10.2% in September 2022
Posted: October 28, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Pending home sales trailed off for the fourth consecutive month in September, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. All four major regions recorded month-over-month and year-over-year declines in transactions.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings, slumped 10.2% to 79.5 in September. Year-over-year, pending transactions slid by 31.0%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose in October 2022 to 59.9
Posted: October 28, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment was essentially unchanged in October, inching up just 1.3 index points above September.

Following the notable improvement in August, sentiment remained low by historic standards as consumers continued to voice concerns about inflation. Buying conditions for durables surged 23% on the basis of easing prices and supply constraints. However, year-ahead expected ...


Personal Income Increased 0.4%, Spending Increased 0.6% in September 2022
Posted: October 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $78.9 billion (0.4 percent) in September, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $71.3 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $113.0 billion ...


Employment Cost Index up 1.2% in 3Q2022
Posted: October 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 1.2 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in September 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries increased 1.3 percent and benefit costs increased 1.0 percent from ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity declined slightly in October 2022
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined slightly, and expectations for future activity also decreased. The monthly index of raw materials prices slowed in October and continued to decrease compared to a year ago. Finished goods price indexes decreased slightly from a month ago and compared to year-ago levels. Expectations for future ...


3Q2022 GDP advance estimate increased 2.6%
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the third quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 0.6 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (refer to "Source Data for the Advance Estimate" on page 3). The "second" estimate for the third quarter, based on more complete data, will be ...


September 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 0.4%, Ex-Trans down 0.5%
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in September, up six of the last seven months, increased $1.0 billion or 0.4 percent to $274.7 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This followed a 0.2 percent August increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 3,000 to 217,000
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 214,000. The 4-week moving average was 219,000, an increase of 6,750 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


New Home Sales in September 2022 at annual rate of 603,000
Posted: October 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in September 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 603,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 10.9 percent (±15.2 percent)* below the revised August rate of 677,000 and is 17.6 ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 26, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 21, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 0.1 ...


Consumer Confidence decreased in October 2022 to 102.5
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased in October after back-to-back monthly gains. The Index now stands at 102.5 (1985=100), down from 107.8 in September. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—declined sharply to 138.9 from 150.2 last month. The ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell to -10 in October 2022
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Many Fifth District manufacturing firms reported weaker conditions in October, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell from 0 in September to −10 in October, dipping below its August level. Two of its three component indexes deteriorated notably: the indexes ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices decrease 1.1% in August 2022
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for August 2022 show that home price gains decelerated across the United States.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 13.0% annual gain in August, down from 15.6% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 12.1%, down from 14.9% ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest continued expansion in October 2022
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing activity in the region continued to expand overall, according to the firms responding to the October Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's current indicator for general activity at the firm level decreased but remained positive, and the index for sales/revenues increased. However, the index for new orders ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests steady economic growth in September 2022
Posted: October 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) was unchanged at +0.10 in September. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in September, but two categories deteriorated from August. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved up to +0.17 in September from +0.04 ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.4% in September 2022
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for the U.S. decreased by 0.4 percent in September 2022 to 115.9 (2016=100), after remaining unchanged in August. The LEI is down 2.8 percent over the six-month period between March and September 2022, a reversal from its 1.4 percent growth over the previous ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 1.5% in September 2022
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales descended in September, the eighth month in a row of declines, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three out of the four major U.S. regions notched month-over-month sales contractions, while the West held steady. On a year-over-year basis, sales dropped in ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity continued to decline in October 2022
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity in the region continued to decline overall this month, according to the firms responding to the October Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for general activity and new orders remained negative, and the shipments index was little changed at a low but positive reading. The firms continued to ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 12,000 to 214,000
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 214,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 2,000 from 228,000 to 226,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,250, an increase of 1,250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded modestly
Posted: October 19, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

National economic activity expanded modestly on net since the previous report; however, conditions varied across industries and Districts. Four Districts noted flat activity and two cited declines, with slowing or weak demand attributed to higher interest rates, inflation, and supply disruptions. Retail spending was relatively flat, ...


September 2022 Housing Starts Decreased 8.1%, Permits up 1.4%
Posted: October 19, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,564,000. This is 1.4 percent above the revised August rate of 1,542,000, but is 3.2 percent below the September 2021 rate of 1,615,000. Single‐family authorizations in September were at a rate of 872,000; ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 19, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 4.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 14, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for August 2022
Posted: October 18, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for August 2022. The sum total in August of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $275.6 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $292.9 billion, and ...


NAHB Builder Confidence fell 8 points to 38 in October 2022
Posted: October 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In a further signal that rising interest rates, building material bottlenecks and elevated home prices continue to weaken the housing market, builder sentiment fell for the 10th straight month in October and traffic of prospective buyers fell to its lowest level since 2012 (excluding the two-month period in the spring of 2020 at the beginning ...


September 2022 Industrial Production increased 0.4%, Capacity Utilization moved up to 80.3%
Posted: October 18, 2022 at 09:17 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production increased 0.4 percent in September and 2.9 percent at an annual rate in the third quarter. In September, manufacturing output rose 0.4 percent after advancing a similar amount in the previous month. The index for mining moved up 0.6 percent, and the index for utilities fell 0.3 percent. At 105.2 percent of its 2017 ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined modestly in October 2022
Posted: October 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity declined modestly in New York State, according to firms responding to the October 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index fell eight points to -9.1. New orders, unfilled orders, and shipments were all little changed from last month. Delivery times held steady, and inventories ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in August 2022
Posted: October 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for August, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,843.2 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.1 percent) from July 2022 and was up 12.6 percent (±0.3 percent) from ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary October Results up to 59.8
Posted: October 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment is essentially unchanged at 1.2 index points above September, in spite of a 23% improvement in current buying conditions for durables owing to an easing in supply constraints. Sentiment is now 9.8 points above the all-time low reached in June, but this improvement remains tentative, as the expectations index declined by 3% ...


U.S. Import Price Index decreased 1.2% in September 2022
Posted: October 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices decreased 1.2 percent in September, after declining 1.1 percent the previous month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices in September contributed to the drop in U.S. import prices. Prices for U.S. exports fell 0.8 percent in September following a 1.7-percent decline ...


U.S. Retail Sales for September 2022 unch%, Ex-Auto up 0.1%
Posted: October 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $684.0 billion, virtually unchanged (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, but 8.2 percent (±0.7 percent) above September 2021. Total sales for the July 2022 ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in September 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.6%
Posted: October 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.1 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.2 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.1% in September 2022
Posted: October 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.1 percent from August to September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.3 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.4 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 9,000 to 228,000
Posted: October 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 228,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 219,000. The 4-week moving average was 211,500, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's unrevised average ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index rose in September 2022 to 160.6
Posted: October 12, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Emsi Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index rises in October and now stands at 160.8 (July 2018=100), up from 152.6 in August. The 5.4 percent increase between August and September follows a 10.0 percent decrease between July and August. Overall, the Index is down 0.8 percent from a ...


Producer Price Index increased 0.4% in September 2022, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: October 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.2 percent in August and 0.4 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 8.5 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 12, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 7, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 92.1 in September 2022
Posted: October 11, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.3 points in September to 92.1, making the ninth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business.

“Inflation and worker shortages continue to be the hardest challenges facing small business owners,” said NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg. “Even with these challenges, owners are still seeking opportunities to grow their business in the current period.” ...


Employment Trends Index increased in September 2022 to 120.17
Posted: October 10, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in September to 120.17, up from a downwardly revised 118.48 in August 2022. The Employment Trends Index is a leading composite index for employment. When the index increases, employment is likely to increase as well, and vice versa. Turning points in the index indicate that a ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 8.3% in August 2022
Posted: October 7, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

In August, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.3 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 18.1 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 5.1 percent.

...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.3% in August 2022
Posted: October 7, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

August 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $698.0 billion, up 0.1 percent (±0.4 percent)* from the revised July level and were up 16.1 percent (±0.9 percent) from the revised August 2021 level. ...


September 2022 Employment increased by 263,000
Unemployment Rate edged down to 3.5%

Posted: October 7, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 263,000 in September, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality and in health care.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 29,000 to 219,000
Posted: October 6, 2022 at 08:00 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 1, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 219,000, an increase of 29,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 3,000 from 193,000 to 190,000. The 4-week moving average was 206,500, an increase of 250 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 29,989 Job Cuts in September 2022
Posted: October 6, 2022 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 29,989 cuts in September, a 46.4% increase from the 20,485 cuts announced in August. It is 67.6% higher than the 17,898 cuts announced in the same month last year, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index dipped to 56.7% in September 2022
Posted: October 5, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in September for the 28th month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 56.7 percent — say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “In September, the Services PMI® registered 56.7 percent, 0.2 percentage point lower than August’s reading of ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in August 2022
Posted: October 5, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $67.4 billion in August from $70.5 billion in July (revised), as imports decreased more than exports. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $67.4 billion in August, down $3.1 billion ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 208,000 jobs in September 2022
Posted: October 5, 2022 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 208,000 jobs in September and annual pay was up 7.8% year-over-year, according to the September ADP® National Employment Report. “We are continuing to see steady job gains,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “While job stayers saw a pay increase, annual pay growth for job changers in September ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 5, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 14.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 30, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 14.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 14 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 18 ...


Job Openings decreased to 10.1 million in August 2022
Posted: October 4, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings decreased to 10.1 million on the last business day of August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.3 million and 6.0 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) were little changed. This ...



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