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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201003



New York Purchasing Managers Business activity eased
Posted: March 31, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New York City business activity eased, but still maintained a rapid pace in March, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management- New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index came in at 60.6 in March from a revised 78.1 in February. Readings above 70 usually are not sustained ...


New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.6%
Posted: March 31, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured goods in February, up ten of the last eleven months, increased $2.1 billion or 0.6 percent to $383.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 2.5 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Eased
Posted: March 31, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER continued to signal growth, but at a slower rate— marking a sixth month of recovery. All business activity indexes marked expansion in March.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID slowed its upward climb for the first time since July 2009;
INVENTORIES chalked up the first month of build since October 2008;
ORDER BACKLOGS reversed February’s acceleration.
BUYING POLICY:
Lead times for PRODUCTION MATERIEL lengthened ...


ADP National Employment Report decreased 23,000
Posted: March 31, 2010 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

According to today’s ADP National Employment Report®, private sector employment decreased by 23,000 from February to March on a seasonally adjusted basis. The ADP National Employment Report, created by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP®), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is derived from actual payroll data and measures ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 31, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 26, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.5 percent ...


Consumer Confidence Rebounds in March
Posted: March 30, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had decreased in February, rebounded in March. The Index now stands at 52.5 (1985=100), up from 46.4 in February. The Present Situation Index increased to 26.0 from 21.7. The Expectations Index improved to 70.2 from 62.9 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show small decline
Posted: March 30, 2010 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through January 2010, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the annual rates of decline of the 10-City and 20-City Composites improved in January compared to December 2009. In fact, the 10-City Composite is unchanged versus where it was a year ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales up 0.6% in Mar 27 Wk
Posted: March 30, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC-Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 0.6% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. The increase--the second straight--came as sales "remained encouraging" and consumers flocked to stores for seasonal and Easter-related merchandise, ICSC ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Expansion Continues
Posted: March 29, 2010 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded for the fifth straight month in March, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key indicator of state manufacturing conditions, rose to its highest level in two years.

Additional signs of strength came from other indicators of current factory activity. Capacity utilization rebounded, with the index rising to 15 in March after falling to 0 in February. The new orders index also jumped up sharply into positive territory after dipping below ...


Personal Income increased less than 0.1%, Spending up 0.3%
Posted: March 29, 2010 at 08:45 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $1.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in February, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $34.7 billion, or 0.3 percent. In January, personal income increased $30.4 billion, ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence remained unchanged
Posted: March 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Index of Consumer Sentiment was unchanged in March from the February survey and nearly identical to the level recorded six months ago. Following the sizable gains recorded from the recession lows set more than a year ago, confidence has moved sidewards with only small variations during the past six months. Consum-ers reported gains in ...


4Q2009 GDP final estimate up 5.6%
Posted: March 26, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity continued to grow solidly
Posted: March 25, 2010 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to grow solidly, with production almost back to year-ago levels. Producers’ expectations for future factory activity rebounded after moderating slightly in February. Price indexes were mixed, with some moderation in raw materials price increases, but more producers planned to pass-through ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.1%
Posted: March 25, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 13, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer experienced a fourth consecutive gain, rising +0.1 percent on top of a slightly downward revised +0.2 percent in the prior week (originally reported as +0.3%). Production components were strong in the latest week but general business activity, as measured by railroad ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 14,000 to 442,000
Posted: March 25, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 442,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 456,000. The 4-week moving average was 453,750, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


New Home Sales in February at annual rate of 308,000
Posted: March 24, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in February 2010 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 308,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.2 percent (±15.3%) below the revised January rate of 315,000 and is 13.0 percent (±12.2%) below the ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 0.5%, ex-trans up 0.9%
Posted: March 24, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in February increased $0.9 billion or 0.5 percent to $178.1 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the third consecutive monthly increase and followed a 3.9 percent January increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.9 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 24, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 19, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 4.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3.9 percent ...


Existing-Home Sales slipped 0.6%
Posted: March 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Existing-home sales declined slightly in February, with modest gains in the Northeast and Midwest offset by softer sales in the South and West, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Existing-home, which are finalized transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 0.6 percent nationally to ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey activity up 4 to 6
Posted: March 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In March the seasonally adjusted composite index of manufacturing activity — our broadest measure of manufacturing — inched up four points to 6 from February's reading of 2. Among the index's components, shipments picked up five points to 5, new orders edged up one point to finish at 10, and the jobs index advanced seven points to end ...


February Mass Layoffs total 1,570 actions, 155,718 workers
Posted: March 23, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,570 mass layoff actions in February that resulted in the separation of 155,718 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. The number of mass ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales up 0.1% in Mar 20 Wk
Posted: March 23, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

With the official arrival of spring on Saturday consumers were motivated to shop giving retailers a bounce back from last week’s slight sales decline. Overall, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers, Inc. (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs (GS) index, weekly retail sales for the week ending March 20 improved by 0.1 percent. In ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index slowed in February
Posted: March 22, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index decreased to –0.64 in February, down from –0.04 in January. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index deteriorated, and only the sales, orders, and inventories category made a ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 1.9%
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 12:00 PM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.9% in January, to a seasonally adjusted level of 83.1 (2002 = 100). Revised data show the index decreased 0.5% in December to 81.5. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) increased 1.0% in January. Regional output in January edged up ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.1%
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.1 percent in February, following a 0.3 percent gain in January, and a 1.2 percent rise in December.

The LEI for the U.S. has risen rapidly for almost a year now and it has reached its highest level. But, the sharp pick up in the LEI appears to be stabilizing. As the economy moves from recovery into early phases of an expansion, the leading economic index points to ...


Philadelphia Fed March Outlook Suggest Continued Growth
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The region's manufacturing sector is continuing to show signs of growth, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, shipments, and employment all remained positive this month. The survey's broad indicators of future activity continued to suggest that the region's ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.3%
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending March 6, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer experienced a third consecutive gain, rising +0.3 percent on top of +0.5 percent in the prior week. After unusually severe storms in the Northeast stymied shopping plans at the end of February, spring came in like a lion with inflation-adjusted chain store sales rising ...


4Q09 Current Account Deficit increased, FY 2009 decreased
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. current-account deficit--the combined balances on trade in goods and
services, income, and net unilateral current transfers--increased to $115.6 billion (preliminary) in the fourth quarter of 2009 from $102.3 billion (revised) in the third quarter. The increase was more than accounted for by an increase in the deficit on goods and, to ...


Consumer Price Index up unch% in February, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the index increased 2.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The unchanged all items index was the result of a decline in the energy index being offset ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 5,000 to 457,000
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 457,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 462,000. The 4-week moving average was 471,250, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings Rose 0.1% in February
Posted: March 18, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.1 percent from January to February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This increase stems from a 0.1 percent increase in average hourly earnings while the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) ...


Producer Price Index down 0.6% in February, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: March 17, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods declined 0.6 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decrease followed a 1.4 percent advance in January and a 0.4-percent increase in December. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods moved up ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 17, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 12, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1.7 percent ...


FOMC target funds rate remains at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: March 16, 2010 at 02:15 PM (Tuesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic activity has continued to strengthen and that the labor market is stabilizing. Household spending is expanding at a moderate rate but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. ...


Feb Housing starts down 5.9%, Permits down 1.6%
Posted: March 16, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 612,000. This is 1.6 percent (±1.0%) below the revised January rate of 622,000, but is 11.3 percent (±1.8%) above the February 2009 estimate of 550,000. Single-family authorizations in February were at a rate ...


U.S. Import Price Index Fell 0.3% in February
Posted: March 16, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Import Price Index fell 0.3 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The decrease was led by a 1.9 percent downturn in fuel prices, which more than offset a 0.2 percent advance in nonfuel prices. Export prices fell 0.5 percent in February after advancing 0.7 percent in each of the previous ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales drop 0.4% in Mar 13 Wk
Posted: March 16, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The ICSC-Goldman Sachs (ICSC-GS) chain store sales index for the week ending March 13 slipped by 0.4% with some regional weather-induced sales softness, especially in the Northeast and on the weekend. However, throughout the nation, sales were relatively strong during the early-to-middle part of the week and that helped to offset some of ...


Builder Confidence Declines in March
Posted: March 15, 2010 at 01:00 PM (Monday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes fell back two points to 15 in March as poor weather conditions and distressed property sales posed increasing challenges to both builders and buyers.

Unusually poor weather conditions certainly had a negative effect on builders’ business in February. At the same time, the continual flow of distressed properties priced below the cost of production is having an adverse effect on new-home appraisals and also making it tough ...


Industrial production increased 0.1%
Capacity Utilization up to 72.7%

Posted: March 15, 2010 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

Industrial production edged up 0.1 percent in February following a gain of 0.9 percent in January. Production was likely held down somewhat by winter storms in the Northeast. Manufacturing decreased 0.2 percent in February, with mixed results among its major industries. The output of mines rose 2.0 percent, while the index for utilities rose ...


Treasury International Capital Data for January 2010
Posted: March 15, 2010 at 09:00 AM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for January 2010. Net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $19.1 billion.

Net foreign purchases of long-term U.S. securities were $36.1 billion. Of this amount, net purchases by private foreign investors were $40.3 billion, and net purchases by foreign official institutions were negative $4.2 billion. U.S. residents purchased a net $17.0 billion ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Continue to Improve
Posted: March 15, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to improve at a steady pace in March. The general business conditions index remained near its February level, at 22.9. The new orders index rose sharply, and the shipments index climbed as well. The inventories index rose above zero for the ...


Business Inventories unchanged in January
Posted: March 12, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers' shipments for January, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,046.9 billion, up 0.6 percent (±0.4%) from December 2009 and up 6.8 percent (±0.4%) from January ...


U.S. Retail Sales for February up 0.3%, Ex-Auto up 0.8%
Posted: March 12, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $355.5 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 3.9 percent (±0.5%) above February 2009. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.5%
Posted: March 11, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 27, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer built upon the prior week’s gain by rising another +0.5 percent. On a year-over-year basis the barometer finally posted its first increase since December 2007 and the largest increase since December 2005. In the latest week motor vehicle production continued to add ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in January 2010
Posted: March 11, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $37.3 billion in January from $39.9 billion (revised) in December, as imports decreased more than exports.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total January exports of $142.7 billion and imports of $180.0 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $37.3 billion, down from $39.9 billion ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 6,000 to 462,000
Posted: March 11, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending March 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 462,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 468,000. The 4-week moving average was 475,500, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Wholesale Inventories down 0.2% in January
Posted: March 10, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that January 2010 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $346.7 billion, up 1.3 percent (+/-0.9%) from the revised December level and were up 10.5 percent ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: March 10, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 5, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.2 percent compared ...


Job Openings were 2.7 million in January
Posted: March 9, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 2.7 million job openings on the last business day of January 2010, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The job openings rate rose over the month to 2.1 percent, the highest the rate has been since February 2009. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and the separations rate (3.2 percent) were unchanged in January. The ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rise 2.9% in Mar 6 Wk
Posted: March 9, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs on Tuesday released the following seasonally adjusted weekly data on U.S. chain store retail sales. ICSC reported that chain store sales for the week ending March, 6 2010, increased 2.9% week-over-week and rose 3.4% from the year-ago period. ICSC Research expects same-store sales ...



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