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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201110



Texas Manufacturing Activity Expands
Posted: October 31, 2011 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased in October, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, remained positive but edged down from 5.9 to 4.1, suggesting growth ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Stabilized 58.4
Posted: October 31, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER stabilized in October. The Business Barometer marked a 25th month of expansion, yet the 3 month moving average for the barometer fell for the 7th consecutive month. Monthly changes in the individual Business Activity components were generally modest with all but one ...


New York Purchasing Managers Business Activity Contracted
Posted: October 31, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

New York City business activity contracted at the fastest rate since the Great Recession, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index fell to 44.0 in October, the lowest level since April 2009, from 50 .6 in September. It also was the second contraction in the ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Improved to 60.9
Posted: October 28, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence improved in October due to slightly more favorable prospects for the national economy. There was no improvement in how consumers viewed their financial prospects, however. This repeats a familiar pattern in recent years: improved prospects for the national economy support gains in overall confidence, but when those gains ...


Personal Income increased 0.1%, Spending up 0.6%
Posted: October 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $17.3 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $12.9 billion, or 0.1 percent, in September, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $68.7 billion, or 0.6 percent. In August, personal income decreased $13.6 billion, or 0.1 percent, ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.3% in 3Q2011
Posted: October 28, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.3 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending September 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) increased 0.3 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent of ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Edged Higher
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity edged higher in October. Expectations for future activity rebounded after easing somewhat the past few months. Price indexes were mixed, with a slight drop in indexes for monthly materials and selling prices but continued expectations of moderately increasing prices ...


Pending Home Sales slipped 4.6%
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Pending home sales declined in September, although activity remains above a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, fell 4.6 percent to 84.5 in September from 88.6 in August but is 6.4 percent higher than September 2010 when it stood at 79.4. The data reflects contracts but not closings. ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer unchanged%
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending October 15, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was flat, with solid gains in steel production and electric output that were offset by weak performance in the consumer sector. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales were flat for two weeks in a row, mortgage applications volume turned down and railroad freight ...


3Q2011 GDP advance estimate up 2.5%
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property gdlocated in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in the third quarter of 2011 (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter) according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index increased 0.4%
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 0.4% in September, to a seasonally adjusted level of 85.2 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index increased 0.5% in August. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) increased 0.4% in September. Regional output in September rose 7.2% from a ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 2,000 to 402,000
Posted: October 27, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 22, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 402,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 404,000. The 4-week moving average was 405,500, an increase of 1,750 from the previous week's revised average ...


New Home Sales in September at annual rate of 313,000
Posted: October 26, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new single-family houses in September 2011 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 313,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 5.7 percent (±18.4%) above the revised August rate of 296,000, but is 0.9 percent (±16.3%) below the ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Decreased 0.8%, Ex-Trans up 1.7%
Posted: October 26, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in September decreased $1.5 billion or 0.8 percent to $200.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down three of the last four months, followed a 0.1 percent August decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.7 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 26, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.9 percent from one week earlier, which included the Columbus Day holiday, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 21, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 4.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 4.8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4.4 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity unchanged at -6
Posted: October 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region continued to contract in October, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. The index of overall activity remained at last month's level with all broad indicators — shipments, new orders, and employment — landing in negative territory. Continued softness was also evident in most ...


Consumer Confidence declined in October
Posted: October 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had slightly improved in September, declined in October. The Index now stands at 39.8 (1985=100), down from 46.4 in September. The Present Situation Index decreased to 26.3 from 33.3. The Expectations Index declined to 48.7 from 55.1 last month.

Consumer confidence is now back to levels ...


September Mass Layoffs total 1,495 actions, 153,229 workers
Posted: October 25, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 1,495 mass layoff actions in September involving 153,229 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. The number of mass layoff events ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Continue to Improve in August
Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through August 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed increases of +0.2% for the 10- and 20-City Composites in August versus July. Ten of the 20 cities covered by the indices also saw home prices increase over the month. In addition, 16 of the 20 ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased 0.8% in Oct 22 Wk
Posted: October 25, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell for the 9th time in the last 13 weeks and by the most in 5 weeks, decreasing 0.8% from the prior week, while growing 2.4% over the prior-year period during the week ending Oct 22nd, which was the smallest gain since the week ended June 18th. Based on ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved in September
Posted: October 24, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to –0.22 in September from –0.59 in August. Contributions from all four broad categories of indicators that make up the index improved from August. However, three of the four were only slightly positive ...


Philadelphia Fed October Outlook Suggest Improvement
Posted: October 20, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Responses to the Business Outlook Survey this month suggest that regional manufacturing is showing signs of recovering, following several months of decline. The survey’s broad indicators for activity, shipments, and new orders recorded positive readings after two months in negative territory. Responding firms indicated that employment was ...


Existing-Home Sales declined 3.0% in September
Posted: October 20, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales were down in September on the heels of a strong gain in August, but remain well above a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, declined 3.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.91 million in September from an upwardly revised 5.06 million in August, but are 11.3 ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.2%
Posted: October 20, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in September to 116.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in August, and a 0.6 percent increase in July.

September data shows moderating growth in both the LEI and the CEI. The weaknesses among the leading indicator components have become slightly more widespread in September. Moreover, the CEI suggests current economic conditions have been slow, with weak gains in all four ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer decreased 0.1%
Posted: October 20, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending October 8, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined slightly by -0.1 percent after a flat reading in the prior week. Fifty percent of the barometer’s components lost ground in the latest week compared to forty percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales dipped by -0.1 percent, giving back a ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 6,000 to 403,000
Posted: October 20, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 403,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 409,000. The 4-week moving average was 403,000, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's revised average ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity Continues to Expand
Posted: October 19, 2011 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicate that overall economic activity continued to expand in September, although many Districts described the pace of growth as "modest" or "slight" and contacts generally noted weaker or less certain outlooks for business conditions. The reports suggest that consumer spending was up slightly ...


September Housing starts up 15.0%, Permits down 5.0%
Posted: October 19, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 594,000. This is 5.0 percent (±1.3%) below the revised August rate of 625,000, but is 5.7 percent (±2.6%) above the September 2010 estimate of 562,000. Single-family authorizations in September were at a rate ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.3% in September, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: October 19, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in energy and food indexes were the main cause of the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The gasoline index continued to rise, and indexes for electricity and natural gas increased as well. Broad increases in food indexes also continued in September, with the ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings fell 0.1% in September
Posted: October 19, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees fell 0.1 percent from August to September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings was more than offset by a 0.3 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 19, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 14.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 14, 2011, which included the Columbus Day holiday.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 14.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 14.9 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased ...


Builder Confidence Jumped Higher in October
Posted: October 18, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose four points to 18 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for October, which was released today. This is the largest one-month gain the index has seen since the home buyer tax credit program helped spur the market in April ...


Treasury International Capital Data for August 2011
Posted: October 18, 2011 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for August 2011. Foreign residents increased their holdings of long-term U.S. securities in August — net purchases were $66.0 billion.

Net purchases by private foreign investors were $74.7 billion, and net purchases by foreign official institutions were negative $8.7 billion. At the same time, U.S. residents increased their holdings of long-term foreign securities, with net purchases of $8.1 billion. ...


Producer Price Index up 0.8% in September, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: October 18, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.8 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Finished goods prices were unchanged in August and increased 0.2 percent in July. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 0.6 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales increased 0.1% in Oct 15 Wk
Posted: October 18, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

After last weeks slow start for the fiscal month, weekly retail sales gained some momentum and rose as discounters drove sales for the week. Overall weekly retail sales rose by 0.1 percent for the week ending October 15, according to International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. On ...


Industrial Production up 0.2%
Capacity Utilization edged up to 77.4%

Posted: October 17, 2011 at 09:15 AM (Monday)

Industrial production increased 0.2 percent in September after having been unchanged in August. Previously, industrial production was reported to have stepped up 0.2 percent in August. For the third quarter as a whole, industrial production rose at an annual rate of 5.1 percent. Manufacturing output moved up 0.4 percent in September after ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Remain Weak
Posted: October 17, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to deteriorate in October. The general business conditions index remained negative and, at -8.5, was little changed. The new orders index hovered around zero, indicating that orders were flat, while the shipments index rose above zero to 5.3. ...


Business Inventories up 0.5% in August
Posted: October 14, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for August, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,201.4 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.2%) from July 2011 and up 11.8 percent (±0.3%) from ...


U.S. Retail Sales for Sept up 1.1%, Ex-Auto up 0.6%
Posted: October 14, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $395.5 billion, an increase of 1.1 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 7.9 percent (±0.7%) above September 2010. ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 0.4% in Sept
Posted: October 14, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices rose 0.3 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the past five months, import prices have shown little net change. Export prices increased 0.4 percent in September after advancing 0.5 percent the previous month.

...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer unchanged%
Posted: October 13, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending October 1, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer was flat after an increase of +0.1 percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales increased by +0.1 percent after they decreased for two continuous weeks, the gain, however, was not strong enough to lift the overall barometer. Both mortgage applications ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in August 2011
Posted: October 13, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services was virtually unchanged at $45.6 billion in August, as exports and imports decreased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total August exports of $177.6 billion and imports of $223.2 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $45.6 billion, virtually unchanged from ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 1,000 to 404,000
Posted: October 13, 2011 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending October 8, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 404,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 405,000. The 4-week moving average was 408,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average ...


Job Openings were 3.1 million in August
Posted: October 12, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

There were 3.1 million job openings on the last business day of August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.1 percent) and separations rate (3.0 percent) were essentially unchanged over the month. The job openings rate has trended upward slowly since the end of the recession in June 2009 (as determined by ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: October 12, 2011 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 1.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 7, 2011.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 1.3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 1.3 ...


Employment Trends Index Decreased in September to 100.95
Posted: October 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased in September to 100.95, down from the revised figure of 101.37 in August. The September figure is up 4.4 percent from the same month a year ago.

Despite the somewhat better than expected employment numbers released on Friday, the decline in the Employment Trends Index in September suggests that weak job growth is likely to continue for the rest of 2011. Even as the economy remains slow going into the next year, we ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales decreased 0.1% in Oct 8 Wk
Posted: October 11, 2011 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store sales fell for the 8th time in 11 weeks, declining 0.1% from the prior week, while growing 2.8% over the prior-year period during the week ending Oct 8th. Based on the ICSC‐GS channel‐checking survey, the pace of shopper footfall was weaker for the period, especially ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index up to 88.9
Posted: October 11, 2011 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Index of Small Business Optimism gained 0.8 points ending a six month decline, but about the only good thing to say about it is that the Index didn’t go down. The net percent of owners expecting real sales to improve became less negative by 6 points, “rising” to a negative 6 percent. The net percent of owners expecting better ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 4.50%
Posted: October 7, 2011 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 4-1/2 percent in August 2011. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/2 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent.

...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.4% in August
Posted: October 7, 2011 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that August 2011 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $401.3 billion, up 1.0 percent (+/-0.7) from the revised July level and were up 15.2 percent (+/-0.7%) from ...



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