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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202204


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose in April 2022 to 65.2
Posted: April 29, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumers voiced much more positive views in April, rising 9.8% above March, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

Most of the surge was concentrated in expectations, with gains of 21.6% in the year-ahead outlook for the economy and an 18.3% jump in personal financial expectations, said U-M economist Richard Curtin, director of the surveys. ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index fell to 56.4 in April 2022
Posted: April 29, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, fell to 56.4 in April, reversing last month’s gain to 62.9.

• All main indicators decreased except for Prices Paid, with both Production and New Orders now at the lowest level since Summer 2020.
• New Orders saw the largest decline, dropping 10.8 points to 51.1, a post June-2020 low, with almost half of firms seeing no increase.
• ...


Personal Income Increased 0.5%, Spending Increased 1.1% in March 2022
Posted: April 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $107.2 billion (0.5 percent) in March, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $89.7 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $185.0 billion ...


Employment Cost Index up 1.4% in 4Q2021
Posted: April 29, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 1.4 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending in March 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries increased 1.2 percent and benefit costs increased 1.8 percent from December ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity eased slightly in April 2022
Posted: April 28, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity eased slightly, and expectations for future activity remained solid. The monthly index of raw materials prices inched upward in April and increased slightly compared to a year ago. Finished goods price indexes increased somewhat from a month ago but remained moderately higher than last ...


1Q2022 GDP advance estimate decreased 1.4%
Posted: April 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 6.9 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (refer to "Source Data for the Advance Estimate" on page 3). The "second" estimate for the first quarter, based on more complete data, will be ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 5,000 to 180,000
Posted: April 28, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 180,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 184,000 to 185,000. The 4-week moving average was 179,750, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Pending Home Sales Index fell 1.2% in March 2022
Posted: April 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales dropped in March, signifying five straight months that contract activity has declined, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Month-over-month, only the Northeast saw an increase in contract signings, while the three other major U.S. regions experienced declines in transactions. All four regions reported ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 27, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 15, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity increased to 14 in April 2022
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Fifth District manufacturing activity continued its expansion in April, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index stood at 14 in April compared to 13 in March. Shipments increased to 17 from 9, while the volume of new orders moved down slightly to 6 from 10. ...


Consumer Confidence decreased slightly in April 2022 to 107.3
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® decreased slightly in April, after an increase in March. The Index now stands at 107.3 (1985=100), down from 107.6 in March. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—fell to 152.6 from 153.8 last month. However, the ...


New Home Sales in March 2022 at annual rate of 763,000
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in March 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 763,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 8.6 percent (±12.9 percent)* below the revised February rate of 835,000 and is 12.6 percent ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 1.7% in February 2022
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for February 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the U.S.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 19.8% annual gain in February, up from 19.1% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 18.6%, up from 17.3% in ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest continued expansion in activity in April 2022
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Responses to the April Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey suggest continued expansion in nonmanufacturing activity in the region. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, sales/revenues, and new orders all declined but remained positive. Prices for the firms' inputs and own goods sustained overall increases, according to ...


March 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 0.8%, Ex-Trans up 1.1%
Posted: April 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in March increased $2.3 billion or 0.8 percent to $275.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up five of the last six months, followed a 1.7 percent February decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity increased at a moderate pace in April 2022
Posted: April 25, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded at a moderate pace in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, ticked down two points to 10.8, a reading in line with the ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index suggests a slight decrease in economic growth in March 2022
Posted: April 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to +0.44 in March from +0.54 in February. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in March, but two categories deteriorated from February. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased to +0.57 in March ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased by 0.3% in March 2022
Posted: April 21, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI)for the U.S. increased by 0.3 percent in March to 119.8 (2016 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in February. The LEI increased by 1.9 percent in the six-month period from September 2021 to March 2022.

“The US LEI rose again in March despite headwinds from the war in Ukraine,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “This broad-based improvement signals economic growth is likely to continue through 2022 despite volatile stock ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 2,000 to 184,000
Posted: April 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 184,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 185,000 to 186,000. The 4-week moving average was 177,250, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average. The ...


Philadelphia Fed Outlook Activity expanded at slower pace in April 2022
Posted: April 21, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity continued to expand in the region, according to the firms responding to the April Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's indicators for current general activity, shipments, and new orders declined from last month's readings but remained positive. The employment index and both price indexes edged higher ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity expanded at a moderate pace
Posted: April 20, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Economic activity expanded at a moderate pace since mid-February. Several Districts reported moderate employment gains despite hiring and retention challenges in the labor market. Consumer spending accelerated among retail and non-financial service firms, as COVID-19 cases tapered across the country. Manufacturing activity was solid overall ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 2.7% in March 2022
Posted: April 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales decreased in March, marking two consecutive months of declines, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Month-over-month, sales in March waned in three of the four major U.S. regions while holding steady in the West. Sales were down across each ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 20, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 15, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 ...


March 2022 Housing Starts Increased 0.3%, Permits up 0.4%
Posted: April 19, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,873,000. This is 0.4 percent above the revised February rate of 1,865,000 and is 6.7 percent above the March 2021 rate of 1,755,000. Single‐family authorizations in March were at a rate of 1,147,000; this is ...


NAHB Builder Confidence decreased 2 points to 77 in April 2022
Posted: April 18, 2022 at 10:09 AM (Monday)

Rapidly rising interest rates combined with ongoing home price increases and higher construction costs continue to take a toll on builder confidence and housing affordability.

Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes moved two points lower to 77 in April, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. This is the fourth straight month that builder ...


Treasury International Capital Data for February 2022
Posted: April 15, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Friday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for February 2022. The sum total in February of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $162.6 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $198.4 billion, and ...


March 2022 Industrial Production increased 0.9%, Capacity Utilization increased to 78.3%
Posted: April 15, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Total industrial production advanced 0.9 percent in March and rose at an annual rate of 8.1 percent for the first quarter. Manufacturing output gained 0.9 percent in March; the output of motor vehicles and parts jumped 7.8 percent, while factory output elsewhere moved up 0.4 percent. The index for utilities increased 0.4 percent, and the index ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions picked up markedly in April 2022
Posted: April 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Business activity picked up markedly in New York State, according to firms responding to the April 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index surged thirty-six points to 24.6. New orders and shipments grew strongly, and unfilled orders increased. Delivery times lengthened, though at a slower pace than ...


Business Inventories up 1.5% in February 2022
Posted: April 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for February, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,804.6 billion, up 1.0 percent (±0.2 percent) from January 2022 and was up 18.8 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary April Results jumped to 65.7
Posted: April 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Consumer Sentiment jumped by a surprising 10.6% in early April, although it remained below January's reading and lower than in any prior month in the past decade. Nearly the entire gain was in the Expectations Index, which posted a monthly gain of 18.0%, including a leap of 29.4% in the year-ahead outlook for the economy and a 17.2% jump ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 18,000 to 185,000
Posted: April 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending April 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 185,000, an increase of 18,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 166,000 to 167,000. The 4-week moving average was 172,250, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


U.S. Retail Sales for March 2022 increase 0.5%, Ex-Auto up 1.1%
Posted: April 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for March 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $665.7 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 6.9 percent (±0.9 percent) above March 2021. Total sales for the January ...


U.S. Import Price Index advanced 2.6% in March 2022
Posted: April 14, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Prices for U.S. imports advanced 2.6 percent in March following a 1.6-percent increase in February and a 2.0-percent rise in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Higher fuel prices drove the March advance and nonfuel prices also increased. U.S. export prices rose 4.5 percent in March, after advancing 3.0 percent ...


Producer Price Index rose 1.4% in March 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 1.1%
Posted: April 13, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.4 percent in March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 0.9 percent in February and 1.2 percent in January. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 11.2 percent for the 12 months ended in March, ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 13, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 8, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 5 ...


Consumer Price Index increased 1.2% in March 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: April 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.2 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.8 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings decreased 0.8% in March 2022
Posted: April 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.8 percent from February to March, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.4 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 1.2 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased to 93.2 in March 2022
Posted: April 12, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in March by 2.4 points to 93.2, the third consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty-one percent of owners reported that inflation was the single most important problem in their business, up five points from February and the highest reading since the first quarter of 1981. ...


Wholesale Inventories up 2.5% in February 2022
Posted: April 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

February 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $675.8 billion, up 1.7 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised January level and were up 25.5 percent (±1.1 percent) from the revised February ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 11.30% in February 2022
Posted: April 7, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Thursday)

In February, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 11.3 percent. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 20.7 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 8.4 percent.

...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 5,000 to 166,000
Posted: April 7, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Beginning with the Unemployment Insurance (UI) Weekly Claims News Release issued Thursday, April 7, 2022, the methodology used to seasonally adjust the national initial claims and continued claims reflects a change in the estimation of the models.

In the week ending April 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 166,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 31,000 from 202,000 to 171,000. The 4-week moving average was ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in March 2022 to 174.1
Posted: April 6, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in March and now stands at 174.1 (July 2018=100), up from 171.1 in February. The 1.8 percent increase between February and March follows a 0.2 percent decrease between January and February. Overall, the Index is up 35.2 percent from a ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: April 6, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 6.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 1, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 10 ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index rose to 58.3% in March 2022
Posted: April 5, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Economic activity in the services sector grew in March for the 22nd month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 58.3 percent — say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: “In March, the Services PMI® registered 58.3 percent, 1.8 percentage points higher than February’s reading of ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in February 2022
Posted: April 5, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased slightly to $89.2 billion in February from January (revised), as exports increased more than imports. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $89.2 billion in February, down less than $0.1 ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 0.5% in February 2022
Posted: April 4, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Summary
New orders for manufactured goods in February, down following nine consecutive monthly increases, decreased $2.7 billion or 0.5 percent to $542.0 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 1.5 percent January increase. Shipments, up twenty-one of the last twenty-two months, increased $3.1 billion or 0.6 percent ...


Employment Trends Index rose in March 2022 to 120.56
Posted: April 4, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) increased in March to 120.56, up from 118.90 in February 2022 (a downward revision).

“The Employment Trends Index rose again in March, signaling further solid job growth ahead in the second quarter of 2022,” said Agron Nicaj, Associate Economist at The Conference Board. “Consistent months of growth in the ETI indicate that employment is growing, and the ...


Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in February 2022
Posted: April 1, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Total Construction
Construction spending during February 2022 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,704.4 billion, 0.5 percent (±0.7 percent)* above the revised January estimate of $1,695.5 billion. The February figure is 11.2 percent (±1.2 percent) above the February 2021 estimate of $1,533.3 billion. During the first ...


ISM Manufacturing Index dipped to 57.1% in March 2022
Posted: April 1, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew in March, with the overall economy achieving a 22nd consecutive month of growth, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Timothy R. Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M., Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: ...


March 2022 Employment rose by 431,000
Unemployment Rate declined to 3.6%

Posted: April 1, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 431,000 in March, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains continued in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, ...



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