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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 202208


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index inched up to 52.2 in August 2022
Posted: August 31, 2022 at 09:45 AM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, all but stood still in August. The indicator inched up 0.1 points to 52.2, following the June/July slide which saw the Chicago Report™ fall to the lowest level since August 2020.

• The only sub-indicators to fall were employment and supplier deliveries, while prices paid was unchanged from the previous month. Supplier deliveries eased to the lowest level since July 2020 with just over a quarter of firms seeing deliveries slow. ...


ADP National Employment Report Increased by 132,000 jobs in August 2022
Posted: August 31, 2022 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Private sector employment increased by 132,000 jobs in August and annual pay was up 7.6% according to the August ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab (“Stanford Lab”).

The jobs report and pay insights use ADP’s fine-grained anonymized and aggregated payroll data of over 25 million U.S. employees to provide a representative picture of the labor market. The report details the current month’s total private employment change, and weekly job ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 31, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 3.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 26, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 3.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 ...


Job Openings increased to 11.2 million in July 2022
Posted: August 30, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The number of job openings was little changed at 11.2 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.4 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.4 million) were little changed. ...


Consumer Confidence increased in August 2022 to 103.2
Posted: August 30, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased in August, following three consecutive monthly declines. The Index now stands at 103.2 (1985=100), up from 95.3 in July. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—improved to 145.4 from 139.7 last month. The ...


S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices increase 0.6% in June 2022
Posted: August 30, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for June 2022 show that home prices continue to increase across the United States.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported an 18.0% annual gain in June, down from 19.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 17.4%, down from 19.1% ...


Paychex-IHS Markit Small Business Jobs Index slowed to 99.94 in August 2022
Posted: August 30, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Worker Hourly Earnings Growth Increases to a Record Level in August; Pace of Small Business Hiring Moderates. Workers of U.S. small businesses continue to benefit from higher wages, according to the latest Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch. Average hourly earnings growth increased to 5.18 percent, matching a record set in ...


Texas Fed Manufacturing Activity abated in August 2022
Posted: August 29, 2022 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Growth in Texas factory activity abated in August, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, ticked down to 1.2, a reading suggestive of very little change ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose in August 2022 to 58.2
Posted: August 26, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment rose by 13% in August, lifting off of the all-time low reading for the survey reached in June but remaining 17% below a year ago, according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

The gains in sentiment were seen across age, education, income, region and political affiliation, and can be attributed to the recent deceleration in inflation. Most of this increase was concentrated in expectations, led by a 59% surge in the year-ahead outlook for the ...


Personal Income Increased 0.6%, Spending Increased 1.1% in July 2022
Posted: August 26, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $47.0 billion (0.2 percent) in July, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $37.6 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $23.7 billion ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity slowed considerably in August 2022
Posted: August 25, 2022 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity growth slowed considerably in August but remained slightly positive. Expectations for future activity eased somewhat but were still solid overall. Monthly survey price indexes fell to their lowest levels in over a year. Both price indexes saw a significant easing in growth from a month and year ...


2Q2022 GDP preliminary estimate decreased 0.6%
Posted: August 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the decrease in real GDP was 0.9 percent. The update primarily reflects upward revisions to consumer spending and ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 2,000 to 243,000
Posted: August 25, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 243,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 5,000 from 250,000 to 245,000. The 4-week moving average was 247,000, an increase of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Pending Home Sales down 1.0% in July 2022
Posted: August 24, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Pending home sales declined for the second consecutive month in July, and for the eighth time in the last nine months, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three out of four major regions registered month-over-month decreases, though the West notched a minor gain. Year-over-year, all four regions saw double-digit percentage ...


July 2022 New Orders for Durable Goods unchanged%, Ex-Trans up 0.3%
Posted: August 24, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased less than $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $273.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down following four consecutive monthly increases, followed a 2.2 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.3 percent. ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 24, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 1.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 19, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 3 ...


New Home Sales in July 2022 at annual rate of 511,000
Posted: August 23, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New Home Sales
Sales of new single‐family houses in July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 511,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9 percent)* below the revised June rate of 585,000 and is 29.6 percent ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity fell to −8 in August 2022
Posted: August 23, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Many Fifth District manufacturing firms reported slowdowns in August, according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index fell from 0 in July to −8 in August, almost matching the June reading of −9. Two of its three component indexes tumbled: the indexes for shipments and volume of ...


Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest mostly steady activity in August 2022
Posted: August 23, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonmanufacturing business activity was mostly steady on balance this month, according to the firms responding to the August Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The index for general activity at the firm level fell to zero, and the indexes for new orders and sales/revenues dipped into negative territory. The full-time employment ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index Suggests a pickup in economic growth in July 2022
Posted: August 22, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.27 in July from –0.25 in June. All four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, and all four categories improved from June. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, ...


Existing-Home Sales fell 5.9% in July 2022
Posted: August 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Existing-home sales sagged for the sixth straight month in July, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. All four major U.S. regions recorded month-over-month and year-over-year sales declines.

Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slipped 5.9% from June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.81 million in July. Year-over-year, sales fell 20.2% (6.03 million in July 2021). ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index decreased by 0.4% in July 2022
Posted: August 18, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. decreased by 0.4 percent in July 2022 to 116.6 (2016=100), after declining by 0.7 percent in June. The LEI was down by 1.6 percent over the six-month period from January to July 2022, a reversal from its 1.6 percent growth over the previous ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease 2,000 to 250,000
Posted: August 18, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 250,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 10,000 from 262,000 to 252,000. The 4-week moving average was 246,750, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Philadelphia Fed Mfg Outlook Activity held mostly steady in August 2022
Posted: August 18, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Manufacturing activity held mostly steady on balance, according to the firms responding to the August Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. Most of the survey's indicators rose from last month. Although the general activity index turned positive, it was low, and the new orders index remained negative. The employment index increased, while ...


Business Inventories up 1.4% in June 2022
Posted: August 17, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

The combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for June, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,858.1 billion, up 1.3 percent (±0.1 percent) from May 2022 and was up 14.5 percent (±0.4 percent) from ...


U.S. Retail Sales for July 2022 unchanged%, Ex-Auto up 0.4%
Posted: August 17, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July 2022, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $682.8 billion, virtually unchanged (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, but 10.3 percent (±0.7 percent) above July 2021. Total sales for the May 2022 through July ...


Purchase Apps Down, Refi's Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 17, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 12, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 5 ...


July 2022 Industrial Production increased 0.6%, Capacity Utilization moved up to 80.3%
Posted: August 16, 2022 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

In July, total industrial production increased 0.6 percent. Manufacturing output gained 0.7 percent after having fallen 0.4 percent in each of the two previous months. The production of motor vehicles and parts rose 6.6 percent, while factory output elsewhere moved up 0.3 percent. The index for mining increased 0.7 percent, while the index ...


July 2022 Housing Starts Decreased 9.6%, Permits down 1.3%
Posted: August 16, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Building Permits
Privately‐owned housing units authorized by building permits in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,674,000. This is 1.3 percent below the revised June rate of 1,696,000, but is 1.1 percent above the July 2021 rate of 1,655,000. Single‐family authorizations in July were at a rate of 928,000; this is 4.3 ...


Treasury International Capital Data for June 2022
Posted: August 15, 2022 at 04:00 PM (Monday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for June 2022. The sum total in June of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC inflow of $22.1 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $23.1 billion, and net ...


NAHB Builder Confidence fell 6 points to 49 in August 2022
Posted: August 15, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

Builder confidence fell for the eighth straight month in August as elevated interest rates, ongoing supply chain problems and high home prices continue to exacerbate housing affordability challenges. In another sign that a declining housing market has failed to bottom out, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions declined sharply in August 2022
Posted: August 15, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Business activity declined sharply in New York State, according to firms responding to the August 2022 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index plummeted forty-two points to -31.3. New orders and shipments plunged, and unfilled orders declined. Delivery times held steady for the first time in nearly ...


Philadelphia Fed Survey of Forecasters See Weaker Growth
Posted: August 12, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. economy looks weaker now than it did three months ago, according to 35 forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The panel predicts real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 1.4 percent this quarter, down from the prediction of 2.5 percent in the last survey. Over the next three quarters, the panelists also ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Preliminary August Results rose to 55.1
Posted: August 12, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer sentiment moved up very slightly this month to about 5 index points above the all-time low reached in June. All components of the expectations index improved this month, particularly among low and middle income consumers for whom inflation is particularly salient. The year-ahead economic outlook rose substantially to just above ...


U.S. Import Price Index decreased 1.4% in July 2022
Posted: August 12, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices decreased 1.4 percent in July, after advancing 0.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Lower fuel and nonfuel prices in July contributed to the decline in U.S. import prices. The price index for U.S. exports fell 3.3 percent in July following a 0.7-percent advance the ...


Producer Price Index fell 0.5% in July 2022, ex Fd & Engy up 0.2%
Posted: August 11, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.5 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline followed advances of 1.0 percent in June and 0.8 percent in May. On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 9.8 percent for the 12 months ended ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 14,000 to 262,000
Posted: August 11, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending August 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 262,000, an increase of 14,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 12,000 from 260,000 to 248,000. The 4-week moving average was 252,000, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.8% in June 2022
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

June 2022 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading day differences but not for price changes, were $709.6 billion, up 1.8 percent (±0.4 percent) from the revised May level and were up 20.4 percent (±0.9 percent) from the revised June 2021 level. The ...


Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine Index increased in July 2022 to 167.0
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

he Conference Board®−Burning Glass® Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index increased in July and now stands at 167.0 (July 2018=100), up from 162.4 in June. The 2.8 percent increase between June and July follows a 5.4 percent decrease between May and June. Overall, the Index is up 2.0 percent from a ...


Consumer Price Index unch% in July 2022, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings increased 0.5% in July 2022
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

All employees
Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.5 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.5 percent in average hourly earnings combined with no change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban ...


Purchase Apps Up, Refi's Up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 5, 2022.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 0.3 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased 4 ...


2Q2022 Productivity Growth decreased 4.6%
Posted: August 9, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 4.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output decreased 2.1 percent and hours worked increased 2.6 percent. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the same quarter a year ago, ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 89.9 in July 2022
Posted: August 9, 2022 at 07:00 AM (Tuesday)

NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.4 points in July to 89.9, however, it is the sixth consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty-seven percent of small business owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, an increase of three points from June and the highest ...


Employment Trends Index decreased in July 2022 to 117.63
Posted: August 8, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) decreased in July 2022 to 117.63—down from a downwardly revised 118.71 in June. The ETI is a leading composite index for employment. When the index decreases, employment is likely to decrease as well, and vice versa. Turning points in the index indicate that a turning point in the number of ...


Consumer Credit Increased at an annual rate of 10.50% in June 2022
Posted: August 5, 2022 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.7 percent during the second quarter. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 14.6 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 6.9 percent. In June, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of ...


July 2022 Employment rose by 528,000
Unemployment Rate lower at 3.5%

Posted: August 5, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 528,000 in July, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Both total nonfarm employment and the unemployment rate ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreased in June 2022
Posted: August 4, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The nation's international trade deficit in goods and services decreased to $79.6 billion in June from $84.9 billion in May (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased. The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $79.6 billion in June, down $5.3 billion ...


Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase 6,000 to 260,000
Posted: August 4, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending July 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 260,000, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 2,000 from 256,000 to 254,000. The 4-week moving average was 254,750, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week's revised average. ...


Challenger Layoffs announced 25,810 Job Cuts in July 2022
Posted: August 4, 2022 at 07:30 AM (Thursday)

U.S.-based employers announced 25,810 cuts in July, a 20.6% decrease from the 32,517 cuts announced in June. It is 36.3% higher than the 18,942 cuts announced in the same month last year, according to a report released Thursday from global outplacement and business and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. July marks ...



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