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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 200902



New York Purchasing Managers business activity declined
Posted: February 27, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

End of the Tunnel Not in Sight. New York City business activity declined for a 13th consecutive month, according to the survey taken by the National Association of Purchasing Management- New York (NAPM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index fell to 29.6 in February, the lowest level since ...


Chicago PMI stuck
Posted: February 27, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER remained stuck for the 5th month in a narrow range of decreasing business activity:

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID index decline continued, but at a somewhat faster rate;
PRODUCTION and ORDER BACKLOG indexes continued to fall, at a slower rate;
EMPLOYMENT: unemployment accelerated;
BUYING POLICY: MRO lead-times lengthened, while CAPITAL EQUIPMENT dropped. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence still near low
Posted: February 27, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence declined in February as consumers came to the consensus view that the economy would remain in recession throughout 2009. Moreover, nearly two-thirds anticipated that the downturn would last five more years. More consumers than at any other time in the past fifty years have voiced their concerns about the deepening recession ...


4Q2008 GDP preliminary estimate -6.2%
Posted: February 27, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- decreased at an annual rate of 6.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity declined sharply
Posted: February 26, 2009 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity continued to decline sharply in February, and firms’ expectations for future activity weakened considerably. Price indexes in the survey continued to fall, with most now in negative territory.

The net percentage of firms reporting month-over-month increases in production in February was -24, similar to the -25 reading in January, but down slightly from -18 in December. Production fell less at durable-goods producing plants than in recent months, but took a slight ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer down -0.2%
Posted: February 26, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 14, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined by -0.2 percent, continuing a weekly swing between positive and negative growth that emerged in mid-December. The swings are likely the result of weekly seasonally adjustment that is skewed due to the timing of auto factory shutdowns that persisted well into ...


New Home Sales in January at annual rate of 309,000
Posted: February 26, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales of new one-family houses in January 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 309,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 10.2 percent (±15.4%)* below the revised December rate of 344,000 and is 48.2 percent (±6.8%) below the ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims up 36,000 to 667,000
Posted: February 26, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 667,000, an increase of 36,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 631,000. The 4-week moving average was 639,000, an increase of 19,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


New orders for durable goods decreased 5.2%
Posted: February 26, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in January decreased $9.0 billion or 5.2 percent to $163.8 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the sixth consecutive monthly decrease and followed a 4.6 percent December decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 2.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased ...


January Existing-Home Sales Fall, Inventory Down
Posted: February 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Existing-home sales declined in January with some buyers waiting to see how details of the economic stimulus package would affect them, according to the National Association of Realtors®. At the same time, inventories fell to a two-year low.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 5.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.49 million units in January from a level of 4.74 million units in December, and are 8.6 percent lower the 4.91 million-unit pace ...


January Mass Layoffs total 2,227 actions, 237,902 workers
Posted: February 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Employers took 2,227 mass layoff actions in January that resulted in the separation of 237,902 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 25, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 20, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 743.5, a decrease of 15.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 875.3 one week earlier. This week’s results included an ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey decreased to -51
Posted: February 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In February, the seasonally adjusted manufacturing index — our broadest measure of manufacturing activity — decreased to -51 from January's reading of -49. Among the index's components, shipments slipped two points to -56, new orders inched down four points to finish at -54, and the jobs index was virtually unchanged ...


Consumer Confidence Plummets Further in February
Posted: February 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index™, which had decreased moderately in January, declined in February, reaching yet another all-time low. The Index now stands at 25.0 (1985=100), down from 37.4 in January. The Present Situation Index declined to 21.2 from 29.7 last month. The Expectations Index decreased to 27.5 from 42.5 ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices continues decline
Posted: February 24, 2009 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through December 2008, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the prices of existing single family homes across the United States continue to set record declines, a trend that prevailed throughout all of 2007 ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales Up 0.6% In Feb 21 Wk
Posted: February 24, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index increased 0.6% in the week to Feb 21 from its level a week before, on a seasonally-adjusted, comparable store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales decline by 0.8% in the latest ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Still Contracting
Posted: February 23, 2009 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas manufacturing activity continued to deteriorate in February, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. All indexes for current activity remained at extremely low levels.

The production index fell to a new low, with nearly half of the respondents indicating declines in output. The share of respondents reporting declines in capacity utilization, volume of new orders and shipments exceeded those noting improvements by four-to-one. The ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index up slightly
Posted: February 23, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index was –3.45 in January, up slightly from –3.65 in December. All four broad categories of indicators made negative contributions to the index in January.

The three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –3.41 in January from –2.70 in the previous month, reaching its lowest level since 1975. January’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was well below its historical trend. With regard ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in January
Posted: February 20, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in January, before seasonal adjustment, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The January level of 211.143 (1982-84=100) was virtually unchanged from ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up 0.1%
Posted: February 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending February 7, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by a tepid +0.1 percent, following a hefty drop of -1.2 percent in the prior week. Results were mixed in the latest week with an equal number of components adding to and subtracting from the barometer’s performance. We are about one-third of the way into the ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 0.4%
Posted: February 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index™ (CEI) decreased 0.5 percent and The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index™ (LAG) decreased 0.1 percent in January.

The LEI increased for the second consecutive month in January, but November and December values were revised down as new data for manufacturers' new orders became available. Between July 2008 and January 2009, the LEI decreased 1.9 percent (a -3.7 percent annual rate), ...


Philadelphia Fed February Outlook continued to deteriorate
Posted: February 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Conditions in the region's manufacturing sector continued to deteriorate this month, according to firms polled for the February Business Outlook Survey. All of the survey's broad indicators for current activity remained negative and fell from their already low levels in January. Employment losses were more substantial this month, and nearly ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims unchanged at 627,000
Posted: February 19, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 627,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure of 627,000. The 4-week moving average was 619,000, an increase of 10,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Producer Price Index rose 0.8 percent in January
Posted: February 19, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 0.8 percent in January, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This increase followed declines of 1.9 percent in December and 2.5 percent in November. At the earlier stages of processing, the decrease in prices for intermediate ...


Industrial production drops 1.8%
Capacity Utilization down to 72.0%

Posted: February 18, 2009 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production fell 1.8 percent in January. At 101.3 percent of its 2002 average, output in January was 10.0 percent below its year-earlier level. Production in the manufacturing sector dropped 2.5 percent with broad-based declines among its components. A plunge in motor vehicle and parts production that resulted from extended ...


U.S. Import Price Index declined 1.1% in January
Posted: February 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Import Price Index declined 1.1 percent in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, following decreases in each of the previous five months. In contrast, export prices rose for the first time in six months, advancing 0.5 percent ...


January Housing starts down 16.8%, Permits down 4.8%
Posted: February 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in January were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 521,000. This is 4.8 percent (±3.5%) below the revised December rate of 547,000 and is 50.5 percent (±2.2%) below the revised January 2008 estimate of 1,052,000. Single-family authorizations in January were at ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales Up 0.9% In Feb 14 Wk
Posted: February 18, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index increased 0.9% in the week ended Feb. 14 from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted comparable-store basis. On a year-over-year basis, retailers saw sales decline 0.9% in the latest ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 18, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 13, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 875.3, an increase of 45.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 600.6 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the ...


Builder Confidence virtually unchanged in February
Posted: February 17, 2009 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today, held in the single digits for a fourth consecutive month in February. The HMI rose a single point to 9 – virtually unchanged from an all-time record low in the previous month – indicating that home builders have seen essentially no improvement in ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey falls to new low
Posted: February 17, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers deteriorated significantly in February. The general business conditions index fell to a new low of -34.7. The new orders index also fell to a new low, the unfilled orders index stayed close to its recent record low, and the shipments index—despite a ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence still near low
Posted: February 13, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

U.S. consumer confidence fell to its lowest in three months in February as sentiment grew increasingly gloomy over an economic downturn that most expected to last five more years, a survey showed on Friday. The Reuters University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers said its index reading of confidence for February tumbled to 56.2 from 61.2 ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer down -1.2%
Posted: February 12, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 31, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped by -1.2 percent mainly on a large decline in car and truck production. December auto sales plunged even further to their lowest rate since June of 1982. This signaled that automakers will have to continue to aggressively pare back production in the first half ...


Business Inventories down 3.2% in December
Posted: February 12, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales. The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,016.6 billion, down 3.2 percent (±0.2%) from November 2008 and down 11.8 percent (±0.3%) from December ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims down 8,000 to 623,000
Posted: February 12, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Feb. 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 623,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 631,000. The 4-week moving average was 607,500, an increase of 24,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


U.S. Retail Sales for January increased 1.0%
Posted: February 12, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $344.6 billion, an increase of 1.0 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 9.7 percent (±0.7%) below January 2008. ...


Goods and Services Deficit Decreases in December 2008
Posted: February 11, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation’s international deficit in goods and services decreased to $677.1 billion in 2008 from $700.3 billion in 2007.

For December, the goods and services deficit decreased to $39.9 billion from $41.6 billion (revised) in November. Exports decreased $8.5 billion from November to $133.8 billion in December. Goods were $88.7 billion in December, down from $97.0 billion in November, and ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 11, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 6, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 600.6, a decrease of 24.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 795.4 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index ...


Wholesale Inventories down 1.4% in December
Posted: February 10, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that December 2008 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $336.1 billion, down 3.6 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised November level and were down 10.7 ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales unchanged In Feb 6 Wk
Posted: February 10, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index was unchanged in the week to Feb. 7 from its level a week before, on a seasonally-adjusted, comparable store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales decline by 1.8% in the latest ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 3.0%
Posted: February 6, 2009 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 3 percent in the fourth quarter. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/2 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 1-3/4 percent. In December, consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of ...


January Employment declined by 598,000,
Unemployment rate jumps to 7.6%

Posted: February 6, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Nonfarm payroll employment fell sharply in January (-598,000) and the unemployment rate rose from 7.2 to 7.6 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment has declined by 3.6 million since the start of the recession in December 2007; about one-half of this decline occurred in the past ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased 0.3%
Posted: February 5, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 24, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased +0.3 percent as once again wild swings in motor vehicle production skewed the data. Looking at January on the whole, economic activity continued to decline, yet the rate of that decline lessened compared to the prior two months. This suggests that the U.S. ...


New orders for manufactured goods decreased 3.9%
Posted: February 5, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured goods in December, down five consecutive months, decreased $14.8 billion or 3.9 percent to $362.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This was the longest streak of consecutive monthly decreases since the series was first published on a NAICS basis in 1992 and followed a 6.5 percent November ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims up 35,000 to 626,000
Posted: February 5, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Jan. 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 626,000, an increase of 35,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 591,000. The 4-week moving average was 582,250, an increase of 39,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


4Q Productivity Growth was 3.1%
Posted: February 5, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported preliminary productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--for the fourth quarter and for the full year 2008. The seasonally adjusted annual rates of productivity change in the fourth quarter were 3.1 percent in the business sector and 1.3 percent ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index up slightly to 42.9%
Posted: February 4, 2009 at 10:02 AM (Wednesday)

The NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) registered 42.9 percent in January, 2.8 percentage points higher than the seasonally adjusted 40.1 percent registered in December, indicating contraction in the non-manufacturing sector for the fourth consecutive month, but at a slightly slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased ...


ADP National Employment Report decreased 522,000
Posted: February 4, 2009 at 08:15 AM (Wednesday)

Nonfarm private employment decreased 522,000 from December 2008 to January 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report. January’s ADP Report estimates nonfarm private employment in the service-providing sector fell by 279,000. Employment in the goods-producing sector declined 243,000, the ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: February 4, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 30, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 795.4, an increase of 8.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 732.1 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index ...


Pending Home Sales Show Healthy Gain
Posted: February 3, 2009 at 10:30 AM (Tuesday)

Pending home sales increased as more buyers took advantage of improved affordability conditions, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Big gains in the South and Midwest offset modest declines in other regions.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in December, rose 6.3 percent to 87.7 from an upwardly revised reading of 82.5 in November, and is 2.1 percent higher than December 2007 when it was 85.9. ...



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