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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201201



Consumer Confidence Retreated in January
Posted: January 31, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in December, retreated in January. The Index now stands at 61.1 (1985=100), down from 64.8 in December. The Present Situation Index declined to 38.4 from 46.5. The Expectations Index edged down to 76.2 from 77.0 ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Softened at 60.2
Posted: January 31, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER softened. Yet, the barometer marked the 28th month of expansion and its 3-month moving average rose to the highest level since June 2011. Similarly, Production and New Orders declined, but their 3-month moving averages rose to the highest since early Q2. However, key ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Showed Declines of 1.3%
Posted: January 31, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through November 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed declines of 1.3% for both the 10- and 20-City Composites in November over October. For a second consecutive month, 19 of the 20 cities covered by the indices also saw home prices decrease. The ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.4% in 4Q2011
Posted: January 31, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.4 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending December 2011, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation costs) also increased 0.4 percent, and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose modestly by 0.1% in Jan 28 Wk
Posted: January 31, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The fiscal month of January ended on a mixed note for retailers as retail sales rose marginally on a week-over-week basis. For the week ending January 28, 2012, weekly retail sales rose modestly by 0.1%, according to International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index. However, on a ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Increased
Posted: January 30, 2012 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity increased in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose from 0.2 to 5.8, suggesting growth resumed this month.

Other measures of current manufacturing conditions also indicated growth in January. The new orders index jumped to 9.5, its highest reading in six months, after two months in negative territory. Similarly, the shipments index turned positive after two negative readings, ...


Personal Income increased 0.5%, Spending down less than 0.1%
Posted: January 30, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Personal income increased $61.3 billion, or 0.5 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $47.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, in December, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $2.0 billion, or less than 0.1 percent. In November, personal income increased $7.4 billion, or ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index Increased 1.7%
Posted: January 30, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) increased 1.7% in December, to a seasonally adjusted level of 87.4 (2007 = 100). Revised data show the index was unchanged in November. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) increased 0.9% in December. Regional output in December rose 8.4% from a ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence rose to 75.0
Posted: January 27, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Confidence continued to improve in January due to positive news about potential job gains. The increase in confidence over the past five months has been substantial, with the Sentiment Index rising by one-third over the depressed August low caused by the Congressional debt debate debacle. Despite this nascent trend toward optimism, the majority ...


4Q2011 GDP advance estimate up 2.8%
Posted: January 27, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011 (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Rebounded
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity rebounded in January, and expectations remained at solid levels. Price indexes also increased, with a greater number of firms passing through materials price increases. The month-over-month composite index was 7 in January, up from revised totals of -2 in December and 4 in November. The composite index is ...


New Home Sales in December at annual rate of 307,000
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Sales of new single-family houses in December 2011 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.2 percent (±13.2%) below the revised November rate of 314,000 and is 7.3 percent (±16.6%) below the ...


U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.4%
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. increased 0.4 percent in December to 94.3 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in November and a 0.6 percent increase in October. This month’s data inaugurates a number of major changes to the components and calculation of ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Increased 0.5%
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 14, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased by +0.5 percent after declining for three weeks in a row to a level of 95.9, which is well below 97.2 registered in the week ending December 17, 2011. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales were down slightly after a huge decline in the prior week while ...


New Orders for Durable Goods Increased 3.0%, Ex-Trans up 2.1%
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in December increased $6.2 billion or 3.0 percent to $214.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up five of the last six months, followed a 4.3 percent November increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 2.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 21,000 to 377,000
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 377,000, an increase of 21,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 356,000. The 4-week moving average was 377,500, a decrease of 2,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index improved in December
Posted: January 26, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Led by improvements in production- and employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index increased to +0.17 in December from –0.46 in November. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index improved from November, and only the consumption and housing category’s contribution remained negative ...


FRB: January 24-25, 2012 FOMC Briefing
Posted: January 25, 2012 at 02:15 PM (Wednesday)





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FOMC target funds rate remain at 0 - 1/4%
Posted: January 25, 2012 at 12:30 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding some slowing in global growth. While indicators point to some further improvement in overall labor market conditions, the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending has continued ...


December Mass Layoffs total 1,384 actions, 145,648 workers
Posted: January 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Employers took 1,384 mass layoff actions in December involving 145,648 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each mass layoff involved at least 50 workers from a single employer. Mass layoff events in December increased ...


Pending Home Sales declined 3.5%
Posted: January 25, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

After reaching a 19-month high, pending home sales eased in December but stayed above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, declined 3.5 percent to 96.6 in December from 100.1 in November but is 5.6 percent above December 2010 when it was 91.5. The data reflects contracts but not closings. ...


Purchase Apps fell, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 25, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications decreased 5.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 20, 2012. The results include an adjustment to account for the Martin Luther King ...


Richmond Fed's Current Activity up 9 to 12
Posted: January 24, 2012 at 12:44 PM (Tuesday)

Manufacturing activity in the central Atlantic region advanced somewhat faster in January after firming somewhat in December, according to the Richmond Fed's latest survey. All broad indicators — shipments, new orders and employment — landed in positive territory, with manufacturers noting their first increase in worker numbers since ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales declined by 1.4% in Jan 21 Wk
Posted: January 24, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

Mixed weather patterns throughout the U.S. weakened consumer demand this past week and resulted in weekly retail sales slipping for the nation's retailers. Overall for the week ending January 21, 2012, weekly retail sales declined by 1.4 percent, according to International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) and Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain ...


Existing-Home Sales rose 5.0% in December
Posted: January 20, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Existing-home sales continued on an uptrend in December, rising for three consecutive months and remaining above a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

The latest monthly data shows total existing-home sales rose 5.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.61 million in December from a downwardly revised 4.39 million in November, and are 3.6 percent higher than the 4.45 million-unit level in December 2010. The ...


Philadelphia Fed January Outlook Suggest Continued Growth
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

Results from the Business Outlook Survey suggest that regional manufacturing activity continued to expand at a moderate pace in January. All of the broad indicators remained positive this month, and firms continued to report increases in employment. Firms polled reported higher input prices this month, with a notable share of firms reporting ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Decreased 1.2%
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 7, 2012, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer declined sharply by -1.2 percent on top of a drop by -0.5 percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales plunged by -5.5 percent to the lowest level since the week ending October 22, 2011, and pushed the barometer index down by -0.9 percentage ...


Consumer Price Index unch% in December, Ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in December on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Similar to last month, the energy index declined in December and offset increases in other indexes. The gasoline index declined for the third month in a row and the household energy index declined as well. The food index rose in December, with the index for food at home ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.2% in December
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Real average hourly earnings for all employees rose 0.2 percent from November to December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This change stems from a 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings, while the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) ...


December Housing starts up 4.1%, Permits up 0.1%
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 679,000. This is 0.1 percent (±1.2%) below the revised November rate of 680,000, but is 7.8 percent (±2.2%) above the December 2010 estimate of 630,000. Single-family authorizations in December were at a rate ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 50,000 to 352,000
Posted: January 19, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 352,000, a decrease of 50,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 402,000. The 4-week moving average was 379,000, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average ...


Builder Confidence Rises Fourth Consecutive Month in January
Posted: January 18, 2012 at 10:00 PM (Wednesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes continued to climb for a fourth consecutive month in January, rising four points to 25 on the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This is the highest level the index has attained since June of ...


Industrial Production increased 0.4%
Capacity Utilization rose to 78.1%

Posted: January 18, 2012 at 09:15 AM (Wednesday)

Industrial production increased 0.4 percent in December after having fallen 0.3 percent in November. For the fourth quarter as a whole, industrial production rose at an annual rate of 3.1 percent, its 10th consecutive quarterly gain. In the manufacturing sector, output advanced 0.9 percent in December with similarly sized gains for both ...


Treasury International Capital Data for November 2011
Posted: January 18, 2012 at 09:00 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for November 2011. Foreign residents increased their holdings of long-term U.S. securities in November — net purchases were $58.0 billion.

Net purchases by private foreign investors were $40.3 billion, and net purchases by foreign official institutions were $17.7 billion. At the same time, U.S. residents decreased their holdings of long-term foreign securities, with net sales of $1.9 billion. ...


Producer Price Index down 0.1% in December, ex Fd & Engy up 0.3%
Posted: January 18, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for finished goods declined 0.1 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Prices for finished goods moved up 0.3 percent in November and fell 0.3 percent in October. At the earlier stages of processing, the index for intermediate goods decreased 0.5 percent in ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose by 0.1% in Jan 14 Wk
Posted: January 18, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

Despite the continuation of mild weather across the country consumers continued to redeem their holiday gift cards and gave retailers their first week of positive sales results for 2012. As a result, for the week ending January 14, 2012, weekly retail sales rose by 0.1 percent, according to International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 18, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 23.1 percent from one week earlier (last week’s results included an adjustment for New Years Day), according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 13, 2012.

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 23.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 38.1 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index increased ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey Conditions Expanded
Posted: January 17, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that manufacturing activity expanded in New York State in January. The general business conditions index climbed five points to 13.5. The new orders index rose eight points to 13.7 and the shipments index inched up to 21.7. The prices paid index was positive and slightly higher than it was last ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increased in November 2011
Posted: January 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit in goods and services increased to $47.8 billion in November from $43.3 billion (revised) in October, as imports increased and exports decreased.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total November exports of $177.8 billion and imports of $225.6 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $47.8 billion, up from $43.3 billion ...


U.S. Import Price Index down 0.1% in December
Posted: January 13, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

U.S. import prices edged down 0.1 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after rising 0.8 percent the previous month. In December, declining prices for fuels more than offset a 0.1 percent rise in nonfuel prices. Export prices also decreased in December, falling 0.5 percent following a 0.1 percent advance ...


Business Inventories up 0.3% in November
Posted: January 12, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,220.9 billion, up 0.3 percent (±0.2%) from October 2011 and up 9.6 percent (±0.3%) from ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Decreased 0.5%
Posted: January 12, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 31, 2011, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer fell by -0.5 percent on top of a drop by +0.1 percent in the prior week. Inflation-adjusted chain store sales continued to rise for the third week, after a sharp increase of +3.3 percent in the week ending December 17th, while MBA’s mortgage applications plunged by ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 24,000 to 399,000
Posted: January 12, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending January 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 399,000, an increase of 24,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 375,000. The 4-week moving average was 381,750, an increase of 7,750 from the previous week's revised average ...


U.S. Retail Sales for Dec up 0.1%, Ex-Auto down 0.2%
Posted: January 12, 2012 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $400.6 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 6.5 percent (±0.7%) above December 2010. ...


Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded at a Modest to Moderate Pace
Posted: January 11, 2012 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Contact reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts suggest that national economic activity expanded at a modest to moderate pace during the reporting period of late November through the end of December. Seven Districts characterized growth as modest; of the remaining five, New York and Chicago noted a pickup in the pace of growth, ...


Purchase Apps up, Refi's up in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 11, 2012 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

Mortgage applications increased 4.5 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 6, 2012. The results include an adjustment to account for the New Year’s Day ...


Job Openings were 3.2 million in November
Posted: January 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 3.2 million job openings on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The hires rate (3.2 percent) and separations rate (3.0 percent) were little changed over the month. The job openings rate has trended upward since the end of the recession in June 2009. (Recession dates are determined ...


Wholesale Inventories up 0.1% in November
Posted: January 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that November 2011 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $407.9 billion, up 0.6 percent (+/-0.5%) from the revised October level and were up 11.3 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell by 5.4% in Jan 7 Wk
Posted: January 10, 2012 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that chain store tumbled 5.4% from the prior week, the largest decline on record going back to September 1989, and increased just 2.8% over the prior-year period during the week ending Jan 7th. ”January is a low sales volume month and small shifts can be accentuated, which is the ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index gained 1.8 points to 93.8
Posted: January 10, 2012 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

For the second consecutive month, small business optimism rose 1.8 points, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Optimism Index. The small but notable gain settled the December reading at 93.8. This represents the fourth monthly increase since September, suggesting that the rising trend might stick. However, ...



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