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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 200906



Consumer Confidence retreated in June
Posted: June 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index™, which had improved considerably in May, retreated in June. The Index now stands at 49.3 (1985=100), down from 54.8 in May. The Present Situation Index decreased to 24.8 from 29.7. The Expectations Index declined to 65.5 from 71.5 ...


New York Purchasing Managers business activity contracted
Posted: June 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

New York City business activity contracted in June after expanding in May, according to the survey taken by the National Association of Purchasing Management-New York (NAPM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index fell to 44.8 in June from 61.3 in May.

Purchasing and supply management executives maintain the view that recovery could begin this year. The Six- Month Outlook index stayed above 50 for the fourth straight month, rising to 58.3 in June from 56.1 in May. Purchasing volume continued to contract, but by the ...


Chicago PMI rebounding
Posted: June 30, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER rate of decline slowed while rebounding from May’s weakness.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
PRICES PAID index added 6 1/2 points while declining for the 9th month;
EMPLOYMENT continued to shrink;
NEW ORDERS and ORDER BACKLOG indexes improved, but still declined;
BUYING POLICY:
PRODUCTION MATERIEL lead-times declined to start-of-recession low. ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices declines Moderate
Posted: June 30, 2009 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through April 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that, although still negative, the annual decline of the 10-City and 20-City Composites improved.

The 10-City and 20-City Composites declined 18.0% and 18.1%, respectively, in April compared to the same month in 2008. These are improvements over their returns reported for March, down 18.7% for both indices. For the past three months, the 10-City and 20-City Composites ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales Up 1.6% In June 27 Wk
Posted: June 30, 2009 at 08:40 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index were up 1.6% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales rise 0.6% in the latest ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index declined 3.1%
Posted: June 29, 2009 at 12:00 PM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) declined 3.1% in May, to a seasonally adjusted level of 78.2 (2002 = 100). Revised data show the index was down 1.4% in April, to 80.7. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) was down 1.0% in May. Regional output in May declined 24.4% from a ...


Texas Manufacturing Contraction Ebbs Further, Outlook Stays Positive
Posted: June 29, 2009 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Declines in Texas factory activity moderated further in June, according to the business executives who responded to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.

Indexes for production, capacity utilization, new orders and growth rate of orders improved slightly from their May readings, but they remained negative, suggesting continued weakness. For the most part, the changes reflect fewer companies seeing declines in these measures, ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index little changed in May
Posted: June 29, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index was –2.30 in May, little changed from –2.27 in April. All four broad categories of indicators made negative contributions to the index in May.

The three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, was –2.67 in May, up slightly from –2.73 in the previous month. May’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was well below its historical trend. With regard to inflation, the amount of economic slack ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Edges Higher
Posted: June 26, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence posted its fifth consecutive monthly improvement in June, rising a total of 28% since its November low. “Consumers have become convinced that the steepest economic declines are now over, but very few consumers anticipate a quick end to the recession,” according to Richard Curtin, the Director of the Reuters/University ...


1Q2009 GDP final estimate -5.5%
Posted: June 26, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- decreased at an annual rate of 5.5 percent in the first quarter of 2009, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the ...


Personal Income up 1.4%, Spending up 0.7%
Posted: June 26, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Personal income increased $167.1 billion, or 1.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $178.1 billion, or 1.6 percent, in May, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $25.1 billion, or 0.3 percent. In April, personal income increased $78.3 billion, or 0.7 percent, ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity showed signs of a rebound
Posted: June 25, 2009 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Tenth District manufacturing activity showed signs of a rebound in June, and firms’ expectations for future factory activity were generally positive. Price indexes in the survey edged up slightly after months of decline.

The net percentage of firms reporting month-over-month increases in production in June was 9, up from -3 in May and -6 in April (Tables 1 & 2, Chart). Production indexes, positive for the first time in 10 months, increased at both durable and non-durable-goods producing ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped -0.4%
Posted: June 25, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 13, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped -0.4 percent on top of -0.9 percent in the prior week. The barometer is now at its lowest level since October 1993. Although the barometer has continued to decline in the second quarter, the pace of that decline has slowed considerably. With the second quarter coming ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims up 15,000 to 627,000
Posted: June 25, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 627,000, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 612,000. The 4-week moving average was 617,250, an increase of 500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


FOMC keeps target funds rate of 0 - 1/4%
Posted: June 24, 2009 at 02:15 PM (Wednesday)

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests that the pace of economic contraction is slowing. Conditions in financial markets have generally improved in recent months. Household spending has shown further signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, lower housing wealth, and ...


New Home Sales in May at annual rate of 342,000
Posted: June 24, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new one-family houses in May 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 342,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 0.6 percent (±17.8%)* below the revised April rate of 344,000 and is 32.8 percent (±10.9%) below the May 2008 ...


New orders for durable goods increased 1.8%
Posted: June 24, 2009 at 08:26 AM (Wednesday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in May increased $2.8 billion or 1.8 percent to $163.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the third increase in the last four months and followed a 1.8 percent April increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders also increased ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 24, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 19, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 548.2, an increase of 6.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 514.4 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased ...


Existing-Home Sales showed another gain in May
Posted: June 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Sales of existing homes showed another gain in May, benefiting from favorable affordability conditions and a first-time buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®. May’s increase was the first back-to-back monthly gain since September 2005.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.77 million units in May from a downwardly revised level of 4.66 million units in April, but remained 3.6 percent below the 4.95 ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey continues improvement to 6
Posted: June 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In June, the seasonally adjusted manufacturing index — our broadest measure of manufacturing activity — jumped to 6 from May's reading of 4. Among the index's components, shipments lost seven points to 2, new orders rose six points to finish at 16, and the jobs index advanced six points to end ...


May Mass Layoffs total 2,933 actions, 312,880 workers
Posted: June 23, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

Employers took 2,933 mass layoff actions in May that resulted in the separation of 312,880 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales Unchanged In June 20 Wk
Posted: June 23, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index were unchanged in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales fall 0.9% in the latest ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped -0.9%
Posted: June 18, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending June 6, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped -0.9 percent following an upward revised increase of +0.1 percent in the prior week. In the latest week, seasonally adjusted auto production dropped by -20.4 percent while truck production fell by -16.1 percent. This is a time when auto factories are typically ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 1.2%
Posted: June 18, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board LEI for the U.S. increased sharply for the second consecutive month in May. In addition, the strengths among its components continued to exceed the weaknesses this month. Vendor performance, the interest rate spread, real money supply, stock prices, consumer expectations, and building permits contributed positively to ...


Philadelphia Fed June Outlook Reflects Near Steady Levels of Activity
Posted: June 18, 2009 at 09:56 AM (Thursday)

Declines in the region's manufacturing sector were much less in evidence in June, according to results for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, and shipments showed notable improvement, suggesting recent declines have lessened dramatically. Indicative of ongoing weakness, however, firms reported ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims up 3,000 to 608,000
Posted: June 18, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 608,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 605,000. The 4-week moving average was 615,750, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% in May
Posted: June 17, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in May before seasonal adjustment, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Over the last 12 months the index has fallen 1.3 percent. This is the largest decline since April 1950 and is due mainly to a 27.3 percent decline in ...


1Q09 Current Account Deficit decreased
Posted: June 17, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The U.S. current-account deficit—the combined balances on trade in goods and services, income, and net unilateral current transfers—decreased to $101.5 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2009, the smallest deficit since the fourth quarter of 2001, from $154.9 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2008. The decrease was more ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 17, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 12, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 514.4, a decrease of 15.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 611.0 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index ...


Industrial production decreased 1.1%
Capacity Utilization down to 68.3%

Posted: June 16, 2009 at 09:15 AM (Tuesday)

Industrial production decreased 1.1 percent in May after having fallen a downward-revised 0.7 percent in April. The average decrease in industrial production during the first three months of the year was 1.6 percent. Manufacturing output moved down 1.0 percent in May with broad-based declines across industries. Outside of manufacturing, the ...


May Housing starts up 17.2%, Permits up 4.0%
Posted: June 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in May were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 518,000. This is 4.0 percent (±1.7%) above the revised April rate of 498,000, but is 47.0 percent (±2.1%) below the May 2008 estimate of 978,000. Single-family authorizations in May were at a rate of 408,000; this ...


Producer Price Index up 0.2 percent in May
Posted: June 16, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods increased 0.2 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. This rise followed a 0.3-percent advance in April and a 1.2-percent decrease in March. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales down 0.3% In June 13 Wk
Posted: June 16, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index fell 0.6% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales fall 1.5% in the latest ...


Builder Caution Reflects Fragile Housing Market In June
Posted: June 15, 2009 at 01:00 PM (Monday)

Indicating that single-family home builders remain cautious and concerned about the fragile state of today’s economy and housing market, the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) declined one point to 15 in June.

The outlook for home sales has improved somewhat in recent months, due largely ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey continued to deteriorate
Posted: June 15, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to deteriorate in June, at a moderately faster pace than in May. The general business conditions index fell 5 points, to -9.4. The new orders index remained negative and near last month’s level, while the shipments index fell 6 points to -4.8. ...


U.S. Import Price Index rose 1.3% in May
Posted: June 12, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Import Price Index increased for the third consecutive month in May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today, rising 1.3 percent. An 8.3 percent increase in petroleum prices was the primary contributor to the overall advance. The U.S. Export Price Index rose 0.6 percent in May after increasing ...


Business Inventories down 1.1% in April
Posted: June 11, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for April, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $966.8 billion, down 0.3 percent (±0.2%) from March 2009 and down 17.3 percent (±0.5%) from April ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Unchanged
Posted: June 11, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 30, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer remained unchanged after posting a +0.4 percent increase in the prior week. In the latest week an increase in the production side of the barometer was offset by weakness on the consumer side. Since February, the barometer has consistently posted smaller and smaller declines ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims down 24,000 to 601,000
Posted: June 11, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending June 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 601,000, a decrease of 24,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 625,000. The 4-week moving average was 621,750, a decrease of 10,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


U.S. Retail Sales for May increased 0.5%
Posted: June 11, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $340.0 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 9.6 percent (±0.7%) below May 2008. Total sales ...


Beige Book: Economic activity remained weak or deteriorated further
Posted: June 10, 2009 at 02:00 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve District Banks indicate that economic conditions remained weak or deteriorated further during the period from mid-April through May. However, five of the Districts noted that the downward trend is showing signs of moderating. Further, contacts from several Districts said that their expectations ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increases in April 2009
Posted: June 10, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Nation's international deficit in goods and services increased to $29.2 billion in April from $28.5 billion (revised) in March, as exports decreased more than imports.

Goods and Services
Exports decreased to $121.1 billion in April from $123.9 billion in March. Goods were $80.0 billion in April, down from $82.6 billion in March, and services were $41.1 billion in April, down from $41.4 billion in March. ...


Purchase Activity Steady, Refinance Applications Fall in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: June 10, 2009 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 5, 2009. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, was 611.0, a decrease of 7.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 658.7 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased ...


Wholesale Inventories down 1.4% in April
Posted: June 9, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that April 2009 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $309.4 billion, down 0.4 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised March level and were down 19.5 percent ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales Up 0.2% In June 6 Wk
Posted: June 9, 2009 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 0.2% in the week ended Saturday from its level a week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. On a year-on-year basis, retailers saw sales fall 0.8% in the latest week, the biggest decline in five ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 7.5%
Posted: June 5, 2009 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 7-1/2 percent in April 2009. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 11 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 5-1/4 percent.

...


May Employment declined by 345,000,
Unemployment rate jumps to 9.4%

Posted: June 5, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 345,000 in May, about half the average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The unemployment rate continued to rise, increasing from 8.9 to 9.4 percent. Steep job losses continued in manufacturing, while declines moderated ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer Up 0.4%
Posted: June 4, 2009 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending May 23, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased +0.4 percent on broad improvement in both the consumer and production side of the barometer. May is shaping up to post a similar decline in activity to April, but both months slowed their decline considerably when compared to the first three months of the year. So ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims down 4,000 to 621,000
Posted: June 4, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending May 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 621,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 625,000. The 4-week moving average was 631,250, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


1Q Productivity Growth was 1.6%
Posted: June 4, 2009 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor today reported revised productivity data--as measured by output per hour of all persons--for the first quarter of 2009. The revised seasonally adjusted annual rates of productivity change in the first quarter were: 1.8 percent in the business sector and 1.6 percent in the ...



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