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Category: Research - Topic: Economics - 201001



New York Purchasing Managers business activity jumps higer
Posted: January 29, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Business activity started off 2010 strongly, according to the survey taken by the Institute for Supply Management-New York (ISM-NY). The Current Business Conditions index jumped to 72.6 in January, the highest level since November 2006, from a revised 64.5 in December.

Seasonally-adjusted series have been recalculated using updated seasonal factors. This affects Current Business Conditions, the Six-Month Outlook and the NY-BCI from January 2005 to December 2009. Please contact the ISM-NY Business Survey Chair for the new historical data. ...


University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Improved
Posted: January 29, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

Consumer confidence rose in January to its highest level in two years due to a more favorable outlook for the national economy. Despite the expected gains in the economy, consumers still anticipate no improvement in their overall personal financial situation. In past economic cycles, consumers typically expected gains in their own finances to ...


Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Expansion Accelerate
Posted: January 29, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported the CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER rose to the highest level since November 2005.

BUSINESS ACTIVITY:
EMPLOYMENT leapt to the highest level in nearly five years;
PRICES PAID expanded at an accelerating rate;
PRODUCTION, NEW ORDERS, and ORDER BACKLOGS continued to strengthen; ...


4Q2009 GDP advance estimate up 5.7%
Posted: January 29, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In ...


Employment Cost Index up 0.5% in 4Q2009
Posted: January 29, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Compensation costs for civilian workers increased 0.5 percent, seasonally adjusted, for the 3-month period ending December 2009, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Both components of compensation--wages and salaries (which make up about 70 percent of compensation) and benefits (which make up the remaining 30 percent ...


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing activity strengthened
Posted: January 28, 2010 at 11:00 AM (Thursday)

Growth in Tenth District manufacturing activity strengthened in January, with production returning nearly back to year-ago levels. Producers’ expectations for future factory activity also rebounded strongly after easing slightly in December. Price indexes moved higher, with twice as many firms reporting a rise in current and expected raw ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 0.6%
Posted: January 28, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 16, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer increased +0.6 percent after dropping by -2.1 percent in the prior week. The barometer’s recent volatility, caused by the timing of annual auto factory shutdowns, has run its course. In addition, as we move further into the year auto production should accelerate as ...


New orders for durable goods increased 0.3%, ex-trans up 0.9%
Posted: January 28, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

New orders for manufactured durable goods in December increased $0.5 billion or 0.3 percent to $167.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase followed two consecutive monthly decreases including a 0.4 percent November decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.9 percent. Excluding defense, new ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims decrease 8,000 to 470,000
Posted: January 28, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Jan. 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 470,000, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 478,000. The 4-week moving average was 456,250, an increase of 9,500 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Chicago Fed National Activity Index moved lower in December
Posted: January 28, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

Led by declines in employment-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index decreased to –0.61 in December, down from –0.39 in November. Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index moved lower, although both the production and income category and the sales, orders, and inventories category made ...


Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index decreased 0.3%
Posted: January 27, 2010 at 12:00 PM (Wednesday)

The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) decreased 0.3% in December, to a seasonally adjusted level of 84.1 (2002 = 100). Revised data show the index increased 1.0% in November to 84.4. The Federal Reserve Board’s industrial production index for manufacturing (IPMFG) was unchanged in December. Regional output in December declined ...


New Home Sales in December at annual rate of 342,000
Posted: January 27, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Sales of new one-family houses in December 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 342,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 7.6 percent (±14.6%) below the revised November rate of 370,000 and is 8.6 percent (±15.2%) below the ...


December Mass Layoffs total 1,726 actions, 153,127 workers
Posted: January 27, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Employers took 1,726 mass layoff actions in December that resulted in the separation of 153,127 workers, seasonally adjusted, as measured by new filings for unemployment insurance benefits during the month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Each action involved at least 50 persons from a single employer. The number of mass ...


Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 27, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 22, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 10.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 10.1 percent ...


Consumer Confidence Increases Moderately in January
Posted: January 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had increased in December, improved further in January. The Index now stands at 55.9 (1985=100), up from 53.6 in December. The Present Situation Index increased to 25.0 from 20.2. The Expectations Index increased to 76.5 from 75.9 ...


Richmond Fed's latest survey activity moved up to −2
Posted: January 26, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

In January, the seasonally adjusted composite index of manufacturing activity — our broadest measure of manufacturing — improved slightly, moving up to −2 from December's reading of −4. Among the index's components, shipments picked up four points to −2, and new orders turned positive, gaining five points to finish at 1. However, the jobs ...


S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices show Mixed Messages
Posted: January 26, 2010 at 09:00 AM (Tuesday)

Data through November 2009, released today by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the annual rates of decline of the 10-City and 20-City Composites continue to improve, in spite of price declines being measured across many markets during November. This ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 2.5% in Jan 23 Wk
Posted: January 26, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index fell 2.5% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis. The drop continues the trend of January volatility that can be affected by small swings because of low sales volumes, ICSC ...


Texas Manufacturing Activity Expands Again
Posted: January 25, 2010 at 10:30 AM (Monday)

Texas factory activity expanded in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key indicator of state manufacturing conditions, climbed further into positive territory as more producers reported either increased or unchanged activity from ...


Existing-Home Sales fell as expected
Posted: January 25, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Monday)

After a rising surge from September through November, existing-home sales fell as expected in December after first-time buyers rushed to complete sales before the original November deadline for the tax credit. However, prices rose from December 2008 and annual sales improved in 2009, according to the National Association ...


Philadelphia Fed Jan Outlook continues to show improvement
Posted: January 21, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The region's manufacturing sector continues to show improvement, according to firms polled for this month's Business Outlook Survey. Indexes for general activity, new orders, and shipments all remained positive this month, although each fell back somewhat from their revised readings in December. Also indicative of improvement, for the ...


U.S. leading economic index increased 1.1%
Posted: January 21, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index™ (LEI) for the U.S. increased 1.1 percent in December, following a 1.0 percent gain in November, and a 0.3 percent rise in October.

The Conference Board LEI for the U.S. increased sharply in December, and has risen steadily for nine consecutive months. The six-month growth rate has picked up slightly to 5.2 percent (about a 10.8 percent annual rate) in the period through December, substantially higher ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer fell by 2.1%
Posted: January 21, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 9, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer fell -2.1 percent after rising by +1.8 percent in the prior week. The barometer’s volatility over the past few weeks is reflective of the typical distortion experienced each year when auto factory shutdowns surrounding the holiday season and New Year make weekly ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 36,000 to 482,000
Posted: January 21, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Jan. 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 482,000, an increase of 36,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 446,000. The 4-week moving average was 448,250, an increase of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


Dec Housing starts down 4.0%, Permits up 10.9%
Posted: January 20, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

BUILDING PERMITS
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 653,000. This is 10.9 percent (±2.4%) above the revised November rate of 589,000 and is 15.8 percent (±2.9%) above the December 2008 estimate of 564,000. Single-family authorizations in December were at a rate ...


Producer Price Index up 0.2% in December, ex Fd & Engy unch%
Posted: January 20, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Wednesday)

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods moved up 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed a 1.8-percent advance in November and a 0.3-percent increase in October. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by producers of intermediate goods rose 0.5 ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales rose 2.0% in Jan 16 Wk
Posted: January 20, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Wednesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index rose 2% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis.

The increase--the biggest in the past month--came as consumers "headed to discounters to fight the post-holiday blues," ICSC said. The group noted that January is a low-volume month and can be affected by small swings. ...


Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 20, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 15, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 9.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 10.4 percent ...


Builder Confidence Declines in January
Posted: January 19, 2010 at 01:00 PM (Tuesday)

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes declined one point to 15 in January on continuing concerns about the poor job market and large number of foreclosed homes for sale, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), ...


Industrial production increased 0.6%
Capacity Utilization up to 72.0%

Posted: January 15, 2010 at 09:15 AM (Friday)

Industrial production increased 0.6 percent in December. The gain primarily resulted from an increase of 5.9 percent in electric and gas utilities due to unseasonably cold weather. Manufacturing production edged down 0.1 percent, while the output of mines rose 0.2 percent. The change in the overall index was revised up in October, but it ...


Consumer Price Index up 0.1% in December, ex Fd & Engy up 0.1%
Posted: January 15, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the December Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index was broad based, with the indexes ...


Empire State Manufacturing Survey conditions continue to improve
Posted: January 15, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers improved for the sixth consecutive month in January. The general business conditions index climbed 11 points, to 15.9. The new orders and shipments indexes posted similar increases, and the unfilled orders index rose above zero. Both the prices paid ...


Real Average Hourly Earnings unch% in December
Posted: January 15, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Real average hourly earnings did not change from November to December, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.2 percent increase in average hourly earnings for production and nonsupervisory workers was offset by a 0.2 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers ...


Business Inventories up 0.4% in November
Posted: January 14, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for November, adjusted for seasonal and trading-day differences but not for price changes, was estimated at $1,027.4 billion, up 2.0 percent (±0.3%) from October 2009, but down 0.4 percent (±0.5%)* from November ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer up by 1.8%
Posted: January 14, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending January 2, 2010, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer jumped +1.8 percent after falling by -0.9 percent in the prior week. The barometer’s volatility over the past two weeks is reflective of the typical distortion experienced each year when auto factory shutdowns surrounding the floating holidays of Christmas and New Year’s ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 11,000 to 444,000
Posted: January 14, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Jan. 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 444,000, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 433,000. The 4-week moving average was 440,750, a decrease of 9,000 from the previous week's revised average of ...


U.S. Retail Sales for December down 0.3%, Ex-Auto down 0.2%
Posted: January 14, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $353.0 billion, a decrease of 0.3 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month, but 5.4 percent (±0.5%) above December 2008. ...


U.S. Import Price Index unchanged in December
Posted: January 14, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

The U.S. Import Price Index was unchanged in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as a decline in fuel prices offset rising nonfuel prices. Import prices increased 8.6 percent in 2009. U.S. export prices advanced 0.6 percent in December and rose 3.4 percent ...


Beige Book: Economic conditions improved modestly further
Posted: January 13, 2010 at 03:39 PM (Wednesday)

Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts indicated that while economic activity remains at a low level, conditions have improved modestly further, and those improvements are broader geographically than in the last report. Ten Districts reported some increased activity or improvement in conditions, while the remaining two--Philadelphia ...


Mortgage Applications Remain Flat in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Posted: January 13, 2010 at 07:00 AM (Wednesday)

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending January 8, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 14.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 66.0 percent ...


Job Openings were 2.4 million in November
Posted: January 12, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Tuesday)

There were 2.4 million job openings on the last business day of November 2009, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The job openings rate was little changed over the month at 1.8 percent. The openings rate has held relatively steady since March 2009. The hires rate (3.2 percent) and the separations rate (3.3 percent) ...


Goods and Services Deficit Increases in November 2009
Posted: January 12, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Tuesday)

The Nation’s international trade deficit increased to $36.4 billion in November from $33.2 billion (revised) in October, as imports increased more than exports.

Goods and Services ...


ICSC Chain Store Sales fell 3.0% in Jan 9 Wk
Posted: January 12, 2010 at 07:45 AM (Tuesday)

The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs Retail Chain Store Sales Index fell 3% in the week ended Saturday from the week before on a seasonally adjusted, comparable-store basis.

The decrease came as consumers lacked a reason to go out and shop after the holiday season, and bargain-hunting consumers had limited clearance merchandise from which to choose. "If it is not on sale and the consumer does not need it, they will not make the purchase," ICSC ...


NFIB Small Business Optimism Index drops to 88.0
Posted: January 12, 2010 at 07:30 AM (Tuesday)

It has been a very difficult year and 2009 did not end on an uplifting note. The Index of Small Business Optimism lost 0.3 points, falling to 88.0 (1986=100), 7.0 points higher than the survey’s second lowest reading reached in March 2009 (the lowest reading was 80.1 in 1980). But optimism has clearly stalled in spite of the improvements in ...


Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 8.50%
Posted: January 8, 2010 at 03:00 PM (Friday)

Consumer credit decreased at an annual rate of 8-1/2 percent in November. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 18-1/2 percent, and nonrevolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3 percent.

...


Wholesale Inventories up 1.5% in November
Posted: January 8, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Friday)

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that November 2009 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $337.4 billion, up 3.3 percent (+/-0.7%) from the revised October level and were up 0.6 percent ...


December Employment declined by 85,000
Unemployment rate remains at 10.0%

Posted: January 8, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Friday)

Nonfarm payroll employment edged down (-85,000) in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and wholesale trade, while temporary help services and health care ...


DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer down by 0.9%
Posted: January 7, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

For the week ending December 26, 2009, the DJ-BTMU U.S. Business Barometer dropped -0.9 percent, but did not fully reverse the large jump in the prior week. This week closes out the reporting year with the barometer dropping -7.9 percent in 2009, which was the largest drop since -20.6 percent in 1982. Since the barometer’s inception in 1980 ...


Weekly initial unemployment claims increase 1,000 to 434,000
Posted: January 7, 2010 at 08:30 AM (Thursday)

In the week ending Jan. 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 434,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 433,000. The 4-week moving average was 450,250, a decrease of 10,250 from the previous week's revised average of ...


ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases to 50.1%
Posted: January 6, 2010 at 10:00 AM (Wednesday)

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in December after one month of contraction, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The Non-Manufacturing Index registered 50.1 percent in December, 1.4 percentage points higher than the 48.7 percent registered in November, indicating growth in the non-manufacturing sector for three out of the last four months. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index ...



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