Research >> Economics
Richmond Fed's Current Activity Index declined 21 points to a reading of -11
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Fifth District manufacturing activity declined in August, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. New orders and shipments decreased this month, while backlogs fell. Hiring increases in the sector expanded modestly across firms, and wage increases were more widespread. Raw materials prices rose at a somewhat faster pace in August, while prices of finished goods rose at a slightly slower pace.
Looking ahead six months, producers anticipated more robust business conditions. Manufacturers expected strong growth in shipments and in the volume of new orders. Survey participants looked for backlogs to rise, and expected longer vendor lead times. Expectations were for increased capacity utilization during the next six months.
Hiring expectations across firms were strong for the months ahead, and producers anticipated future wage increases. Firms expected little change in prices paid, however anticipated somewhat faster growth in prices received in the next six months.
Overall, manufacturing activity declined in August, with the composite index dropping to a reading of −11, following last month's reading of 10. The indicators for shipments and new orders decreased sharply this month. The index for shipments lost 21 points, ending at a reading of −14, while the index for new orders fell 35 points to −20. In addition, the index for order backlogs fell to a reading of −21, following last month's reading of 1. In contrast, the manufacturing employment index changed little from last month, maintaining a positive reading. That indicator gained one point to end at 7.
Capacity utilization weakened in August, the index lost 22 points to end at a reading of −19. Additionally, the vendor lead time indicator moved down five points to end at 5. Finished goods inventories rose across more firms compared to a month ago, that index moved up nine points, ending at a reading of 24. Growth in raw materials inventories continued in August, with that index adding four points to end the survey period at 27.
Posted: August 23, 2016 Tuesday 10:00 AM